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MrMelonHead
Joined June 2025
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$17,624.77
1D
$2.7K
7D
$2.8K
30D
$7.9K
90D
$16.0K
Total volume
$2.91M
Predictions
2,481
Positions value
$23.8K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$17.6K
LP
+$3.33
Yield
+$5.02
Taker
+$25.57
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 100.0¢
1.9K shares
Share
92.7¢
→
100.0¢
$1.8K
$1.9K
$1.9K
+$139.82
(+7.8%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 100.0¢
1.5K shares
Share
65.5¢
→
100.0¢
$980.52
$1.5K
$1.5K
+$515.23
(+52.5%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 100.0¢
1.3K shares
Share
59.6¢
→
100.0¢
$774.21
$1.3K
$1.3K
+$524.69
(+67.8%)
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes 80¢
1.5K shares
Share
68.5¢
→
80¢
$1.0K
$1.5K
$1.2K
+$172.48
(+16.8%)
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?
Yes 56.5¢
1.9K shares
Share
53.4¢
→
56.5¢
$1.0K
$1.9K
$1.1K
+$58.51
(+5.8%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 61.5¢
1.5K shares
Share
40.6¢
→
61.5¢
$608.00
$1.5K
$921.45
+$313.46
(+51.6%)
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
No 69.5¢
1.3K shares
Share
65.8¢
→
69.5¢
$847.99
$1.3K
$895.11
+$47.11
(+5.6%)
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 97.5¢
835.2 shares
Share
64.9¢
→
97.5¢
$542.17
$835.23
$814.35
+$272.18
(+50.2%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 86.1¢
913.8 shares
Share
77.4¢
→
86.1¢
$707.00
$913.79
$786.77
+$79.78
(+11.3%)
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Yes 100.0¢
783 shares
Share
78.7¢
→
100.0¢
$616.00
$783.03
$782.64
+$166.64
(+27.1%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
No 73¢
1.1K shares
Share
70.7¢
→
73¢
$750.00
$1.1K
$774.81
+$24.82
(+3.3%)
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
No 71.5¢
1.1K shares
Share
64.8¢
→
71.5¢
$700.00
$1.1K
$772.77
+$72.77
(+10.4%)
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
No 98.0¢
739.5 shares
Share
81.1¢
→
98.0¢
$600.00
$739.48
$724.32
+$124.32
(+20.7%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 54.3¢
1.3K shares
Share
40.7¢
→
54.3¢
$525.00
$1.3K
$700.03
+$175.03
(+33.3%)
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
No 82.5¢
788.4 shares
Share
73.2¢
→
82.5¢
$577.00
$788.44
$650.46
+$73.46
(+12.7%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
No 91.5¢
701.8 shares
Share
85.5¢
→
91.5¢
$600.00
$701.77
$642.12
+$42.12
(+7.0%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
Yes 59.5¢
981.2 shares
Share
61.1¢
→
59.5¢
$600.00
$981.21
$583.82
−$16.18
(-2.7%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.4¢
2.9K shares
Share
17.2¢
→
19.4¢
$500.00
$2.9K
$562.41
+$62.41
(+12.5%)
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢
594.7 shares
Share
70.1¢
→
84¢
$417.00
$594.70
$499.55
+$82.55
(+19.8%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
No 78.5¢
599.3 shares
Share
66.7¢
→
78.5¢
$400.00
$599.26
$470.42
+$70.42
(+17.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No 60.7¢
775.5 shares
Share
28.0¢
→
60.7¢
$217.30
$775.52
$470.36
+$253.05
(+116.5%)
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Yes 71.5¢
608.7 shares
Share
72.3¢
→
71.5¢
$440.00
$608.70
$435.22
−$4.78
(-1.1%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No 47.5¢
891.8 shares
Share
33.6¢
→
47.5¢
$300.00
$891.77
$423.59
+$123.59
(+41.2%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 89.7¢
472 shares
Share
75.8¢
→
89.7¢
$358.00
$471.97
$423.36
+$65.36
(+18.3%)
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?
No 78¢
501.8 shares
Share
79.7¢
→
78¢
$400.00
$501.84
$391.44
−$8.56
(-2.1%)
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?
No 89.5¢
433.7 shares
Share
69.2¢
→
89.5¢
$300.00
$433.68
$388.14
+$88.14
(+29.4%)
Will Bryan Johnson dunk before 2027?
No 84.5¢
454.1 shares
Share
67.4¢
→
84.5¢
$306.00
$454.06
$383.68
+$77.68
(+25.4%)
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?
No 89¢
404.2 shares
Share
74.2¢
→
89¢
$300.00
$404.22
$359.76
+$59.76
(+19.9%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
No 78¢
446 shares
Share
74.0¢
→
78¢
$330.01
$445.96
$347.85
+$17.84
(+5.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?
Yes 92¢
367.1 shares
Share
90.2¢
→
92¢
$331.00
$367.07
$337.71
+$6.71
(+2.0%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 99.9¢
264.3 shares
Share
75.7¢
→
99.9¢
$200.00
$264.29
$263.89
+$63.89
(+31.9%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 28.0¢
940.7 shares
Share
44.6¢
→
28.0¢
$420.00
$940.69
$263.39
−$156.61
(-37.3%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 86.4¢
303.4 shares
Share
64.5¢
→
86.4¢
$195.83
$303.36
$262.10
+$66.28
(+33.8%)
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
No 65¢
345.6 shares
Share
65.1¢
→
65¢
$225.01
$345.60
$224.64
−$0.37
(-0.2%)
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?
No 90.5¢
229.9 shares
Share
87.0¢
→
90.5¢
$200.00
$229.89
$208.05
+$8.05
(+4.0%)
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?
No 88.9¢
224.8 shares
Share
88.9¢
→
88.9¢
$200.00
$224.84
$200.00
−$0.00
(-0.0%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 80.5¢
243.9 shares
Share
82.0¢
→
80.5¢
$200.00
$243.90
$196.34
−$3.66
(-1.8%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
No 37.5¢
367.3 shares
Share
27.2¢
→
37.5¢
$100.00
$367.25
$137.72
+$37.72
(+37.7%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by October 31?
No 96.3¢
109.5 shares
Share
91.4¢
→
96.3¢
$100.00
$109.46
$105.41
+$5.41
(+5.4%)
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?
No 99.4¢
105.7 shares
Share
94.6¢
→
99.4¢
$100.00
$105.68
$105.05
+$5.05
(+5.1%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
Yes 65.5¢
131.6 shares
Share
76.0¢
→
65.5¢
$100.00
$131.58
$86.18
−$13.82
(-13.8%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Yes 37.5¢
188.7 shares
Share
53.0¢
→
37.5¢
$100.00
$188.68
$70.75
−$29.25
(-29.2%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes 3.5¢
2.0K shares
Share
7.4¢
→
3.5¢
$150.00
$2.0K
$70.27
−$79.73
(-53.2%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Yes 8.5¢
687.5 shares
Share
16¢
→
8.5¢
$110.00
$687.50
$58.44
−$51.56
(-46.9%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?
Yes 4.5¢
609.1 shares
Share
11.0¢
→
4.5¢
$67.00
$609.09
$27.41
−$39.59
(-59.1%)
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?
No 0.1¢
1.8K shares
Share
11.8¢
→
0.1¢
$210.00
$1.8K
$0.89
−$209.11
(-99.6%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Yes 0.1¢
300 shares
Share
5¢
→
0.1¢
$15.00
$300.00
$0.45
−$14.55
(-97.0%)
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