Total earnings
$277,325.32
1D
−$61.29
7D
$6.7K
30D
$31.6K
90D
$110.6K
Total volume
$22.14M
Predictions
64,811
Positions value
$78.0K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$245.6K
LP+$515.1K
Maker+$7.8K
Yield+$1.37
Fees−$0.13

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
No 84.4¢259.6 shares
84.4¢→78¢
$219.15
$259.58
$202.48
−$16.68 (-7.6%)

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
No 92¢202 shares
92¢→95.8¢
$185.84
$202.00
$193.42
+$7.57 (+4.1%)

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
No 6.9¢178 shares
6.9¢→99.6¢
$12.26
$178.00
$177.20
+$164.94 (+1345.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-28 House seat?
No 90¢178 shares
90¢→93.5¢
$160.20
$178.00
$166.43
+$6.23 (+3.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?
No 89¢179 shares
89¢→87¢
$159.31
$179.00
$155.73
−$3.58 (-2.2%)

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5?
No 54.8¢152 shares
54.8¢→100.0¢
$83.23
$151.99
$151.91
+$68.68 (+82.5%)

Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Yes 71.3¢183.6 shares
71.3¢→74.2¢
$130.86
$183.61
$136.24
+$5.38 (+4.1%)

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on August 5?
No 62.1¢135.7 shares
62.1¢→100.0¢
$84.30
$135.72
$135.65
+$51.35 (+60.9%)

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Yes 64.0¢206.6 shares
64.0¢→62.5¢
$132.16
$206.62
$129.14
−$3.02 (-2.3%)

Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
No 86¢125 shares
86¢→97.7¢
$107.50
$125.00
$122.06
+$14.56 (+13.5%)

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $105 Week of August 3 2026?
No 84¢123 shares
84¢→98.7¢
$103.32
$123.00
$121.34
+$18.02 (+17.4%)
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 20–30%?
No 67.2¢122 shares
67.2¢→98.6¢
$82.00
$122.00
$120.29
+$38.29 (+46.7%)

Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
No 85¢123 shares
85¢→97.5¢
$104.55
$123.00
$119.99
+$15.44 (+14.8%)

Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
No 88¢123 shares
88¢→96.5¢
$108.24
$123.00
$118.70
+$10.45 (+9.7%)

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $56 Week of August 3 2026?
No 73¢122 shares
73¢→96.9¢
$89.06
$122.00
$118.22
+$29.16 (+32.7%)

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 70¢175 shares
70¢→67.5¢
$122.50
$175.00
$118.13
−$4.37 (-3.6%)

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 3 2026?
No 81¢125 shares
81¢→94¢
$101.25
$125.00
$117.50
+$16.25 (+16.0%)

Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
No 86¢121 shares
86¢→95.8¢
$104.06
$121.00
$115.92
+$11.86 (+11.4%)

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5?
No 74.8¢115.5 shares
74.8¢→100.0¢
$86.37
$115.48
$115.42
+$29.05 (+33.6%)

Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
No 85¢120 shares
85¢→96¢
$102.00
$120.00
$115.20
+$13.20 (+12.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 5?
No 82¢115.1 shares
82¢→100.0¢
$94.39
$115.11
$115.05
+$20.66 (+21.9%)

Will Jamie Zahlaway Belsito be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
No 97¢115 shares
97¢→99.6¢
$111.55
$115.00
$114.54
+$2.99 (+2.7%)

Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
Yes 55.6¢118 shares
55.6¢→95.3¢
$65.65
$118.00
$112.40
+$46.74 (+71.2%)

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
No 65.7¢168 shares
65.7¢→66.5¢
$110.46
$168.00
$111.72
+$1.26 (+1.1%)

Will Tyreek Hill play for the Buffalo Bills next?
No 92.9¢110.5 shares
92.9¢→99.7¢
$102.74
$110.53
$110.20
+$7.46 (+7.3%)

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $58 Week of August 3 2026?
No 63¢115 shares
63¢→95.5¢
$72.45
$115.00
$109.83
+$37.38 (+51.6%)

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
No 59.2¢115.3 shares
59.2¢→92.5¢
$68.26
$115.31
$106.66
+$38.40 (+56.3%)

Will the Republican Party win the VA-07 House seat?
No 91.3¢119 shares
91.3¢→89.2¢
$108.65
$119.00
$106.15
−$2.50 (-2.3%)

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?
No 49.6¢136 shares
49.6¢→78¢
$67.45
$136.00
$106.08
+$38.63 (+57.3%)

Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
No 96.2¢106 shares
96.2¢→99.6¢
$101.97
$106.00
$105.52
+$3.55 (+3.5%)

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?
No 70.4¢123 shares
70.4¢→85.5¢
$86.59
$123.00
$105.17
+$18.57 (+21.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?
No 62.7¢178 shares
62.7¢→59¢
$111.56
$178.00
$105.02
−$6.54 (-5.9%)

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 5?
No 88¢104 shares
88¢→100.0¢
$91.52
$104.00
$103.95
+$12.43 (+13.6%)

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 5?
No 77¢104 shares
77¢→100.0¢
$80.08
$104.00
$103.95
+$23.87 (+29.8%)

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 5?
No 80¢104 shares
80¢→100.0¢
$83.20
$104.00
$103.95
+$20.75 (+24.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 5?
Yes 29.0¢104 shares
29.0¢→100.0¢
$30.16
$104.00
$103.95
+$73.79 (+244.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 5?
Yes 40¢104 shares
40¢→100.0¢
$41.60
$104.00
$103.94
+$62.35 (+149.9%)

Will Rachel Creemers be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
No 96.8¢103.8 shares
96.8¢→100.0¢
$100.48
$103.80
$103.75
+$3.27 (+3.3%)

Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $337.50 Week of August 3 2026?
No 81¢123 shares
81¢→84¢
$99.63
$123.00
$103.32
+$3.69 (+3.7%)
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?
No 70.9¢160 shares
70.9¢→64.5¢
$113.42
$160.00
$103.20
−$10.22 (-9.0%)
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?
No 89.1¢102.4 shares
89.1¢→100.0¢
$91.23
$102.40
$102.35
+$11.11 (+12.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 5?
No 62.9¢102.3 shares
62.9¢→100.0¢
$64.38
$102.26
$102.21
+$37.83 (+58.8%)

Will OpenAI raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?
No 87¢111 shares
87¢→92¢
$96.57
$111.00
$102.12
+$5.55 (+5.7%)

Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 160m by August 31?
No 93.2¢103 shares
93.2¢→98.9¢
$96.00
$103.00
$101.82
+$5.82 (+6.1%)

Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
No 72.6¢120 shares
72.6¢→84.5¢
$87.12
$120.00
$101.46
+$14.34 (+16.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5?
No 77¢101 shares
77¢→100.0¢
$77.76
$100.99
$100.94
+$23.18 (+29.8%)

Will BRION Challengers win LCK CL 2026?
No 96.3¢104 shares
96.3¢→97.0¢
$100.15
$104.00
$100.83
+$0.68 (+0.7%)
Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?
Yes 86.0¢108.7 shares
86.0¢→92.8¢
$93.46
$108.70
$100.82
+$7.36 (+7.9%)

Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
No 68.8¢154.2 shares
68.8¢→65.3¢
$106.14
$154.21
$100.77
−$5.36 (-5.1%)
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
No 66.5¢128 shares
66.5¢→78.7¢
$85.08
$128.00
$100.74
+$15.65 (+18.4%)

Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
No 82¢117 shares
82¢→86¢
$95.94
$117.00
$100.62
+$4.68 (+4.9%)

Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 3 2026?
No 43.5¢108 shares
43.5¢→92.7¢
$46.97
$107.99
$100.05
+$53.08 (+113.0%)

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
No 76¢105 shares
76¢→95.2¢
$79.80
$105.00
$99.96
+$20.16 (+25.3%)

Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
No 90¢100 shares
90¢→100.0¢
$90.00
$100.00
$99.95
+$9.95 (+11.1%)

Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Yes 91¢101 shares
91¢→98.6¢
$91.91
$101.00
$99.54
+$7.63 (+8.3%)

Will Sentinels Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?
No 86¢119 shares
86¢→83.5¢
$102.34
$119.00
$99.37
−$2.98 (-2.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?
No 65.2¢160 shares
65.2¢→61.5¢
$104.30
$160.00
$98.40
−$5.90 (-5.7%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
No 63¢105 shares
63¢→93.5¢
$66.15
$105.00
$98.18
+$32.02 (+48.4%)

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 6?
No 76.1¢131.7 shares
76.1¢→74.5¢
$100.20
$131.73
$98.14
−$2.06 (-2.1%)
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?
Yes 84.3¢118 shares
84.3¢→83¢
$99.44
$118.00
$97.94
−$1.50 (-1.5%)

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
No 75.1¢99 shares
75.1¢→98.8¢
$74.35
$99.00
$97.81
+$23.46 (+31.6%)

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 5?
Yes 33.3¢97.4 shares
33.3¢→100.0¢
$32.42
$97.43
$97.38
+$64.96 (+200.4%)

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 5?
No 57.9¢97.3 shares
57.9¢→100.0¢
$56.31
$97.31
$97.27
+$40.96 (+72.7%)
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?
No 84.2¢117 shares
84.2¢→83¢
$98.51
$117.00
$97.11
−$1.40 (-1.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?
No 90¢119 shares
90¢→81.5¢
$107.10
$119.00
$96.97
−$10.13 (-9.5%)

Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
No 90¢112 shares
90¢→86.5¢
$100.80
$112.00
$96.88
−$3.92 (-3.9%)

Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 63.6¢102.1 shares
63.6¢→94.5¢
$64.99
$102.14
$96.52
+$31.53 (+48.5%)

Will Paul Skenes lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?
No 83.8¢98 shares
83.8¢→98.1¢
$82.15
$98.00
$96.14
+$13.99 (+17.0%)

Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026?
No 96.7¢103 shares
96.7¢→93.3¢
$99.60
$103.00
$96.05
−$3.55 (-3.6%)

Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No 90.6¢106 shares
90.6¢→90.4¢
$96.08
$106.00
$95.82
−$0.26 (-0.3%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
No 84.5¢115 shares
84.5¢→83.0¢
$97.18
$115.00
$95.51
−$1.67 (-1.7%)

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 40.8¢285 shares
40.8¢→33.5¢
$116.39
$285.00
$95.48
−$20.91 (-18.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?
No 95.4¢100 shares
95.4¢→95.2¢
$95.40
$100.00
$95.20
−$0.20 (-0.2%)

Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 Week of August 3 2026?
No 84¢96 shares
84¢→99.0¢
$80.64
$96.00
$94.99
+$14.35 (+17.8%)
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?
Yes 90¢97 shares
90¢→97.5¢
$87.30
$97.00
$94.62
+$7.32 (+8.4%)

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of August 3 2026?
No 49¢95 shares
49¢→99.4¢
$46.55
$95.00
$94.43
+$47.88 (+102.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?
No 84¢104 shares
84¢→90.5¢
$87.35
$103.98
$94.11
+$6.76 (+7.7%)
Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Event
No 62.5¢119 shares
62.5¢→79¢
$74.33
$119.00
$94.01
+$19.68 (+26.5%)
Will Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?
No 80.6¢126 shares
80.6¢→74.6¢
$101.56
$126.00
$93.93
−$7.62 (-7.5%)

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $132.50 Week of August 3 2026?
No 74¢100 shares
74¢→93.5¢
$74.00
$100.00
$93.50
+$19.50 (+26.4%)

Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?
No 87¢101 shares
87¢→92¢
$87.87
$101.00
$92.92
+$5.05 (+5.7%)

Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government?
No 96.4¢94 shares
96.4¢→98.6¢
$90.62
$94.00
$92.68
+$2.07 (+2.3%)

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $120 Week of August 3 2026?
No 39.0¢93 shares
39.0¢→99.5¢
$36.31
$93.00
$92.49
+$56.18 (+154.7%)
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
Yes 84.9¢99 shares
84.9¢→92.3¢
$84.05
$99.00
$91.43
+$7.38 (+8.8%)

Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
No 97.2¢92 shares
97.2¢→99.1¢
$89.42
$92.00
$91.17
+$1.75 (+2.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?
No 75¢126 shares
75¢→72¢
$94.50
$126.00
$90.72
−$3.78 (-4.0%)

Will Connor Farrell win the 2026 PLL Face-Off Player of the Year?
No 82¢93 shares
82¢→97.5¢
$76.25
$92.99
$90.67
+$14.41 (+18.9%)
Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?
Yes 91.1¢98 shares
91.1¢→92.0¢
$89.28
$98.00
$90.21
+$0.93 (+1.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?
Yes 53.1¢107 shares
53.1¢→84¢
$56.80
$107.00
$89.88
+$33.08 (+58.2%)

Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
No 97¢93 shares
97¢→95.6¢
$90.21
$93.00
$88.91
−$1.30 (-1.4%)

Will Rebekah LaVann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
No 96.5¢89.6 shares
96.5¢→99.1¢
$86.46
$89.60
$88.75
+$2.28 (+2.6%)

Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change Before September?
No 95.5¢92 shares
95.5¢→96.4¢
$87.86
$92.00
$88.64
+$0.78 (+0.9%)

Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
Yes 87¢101 shares
87¢→87.5¢
$87.87
$101.00
$88.38
+$0.50 (+0.6%)
Will Wildcard Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege
No 86.7¢101 shares
86.7¢→87.5¢
$87.59
$101.00
$88.38
+$0.79 (+0.9%)

Tread FDV above $300M one day after launch
No 89¢94 shares
89¢→93.5¢
$83.66
$94.00
$87.94
+$4.28 (+5.1%)

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Yes 90¢94 shares
90¢→93.5¢
$84.60
$94.00
$87.89
+$3.29 (+3.9%)

Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 in August?
Yes 76¢106 shares
76¢→82¢
$80.56
$106.00
$86.92
+$6.36 (+7.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?
No 87¢95 shares
87¢→91.5¢
$82.65
$95.00
$86.88
+$4.23 (+5.1%)

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
No 67.4¢116.2 shares
67.4¢→74.5¢
$78.33
$116.17
$86.55
+$8.21 (+10.5%)

Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
No 91¢87 shares
91¢→99.4¢
$79.17
$87.00
$86.48
+$7.31 (+9.2%)
