387411007415611814092217897387
Flex cardJoined February 2024
Total earnings
$127,431.22
1D
−$1.0K
7D
−$3.1K
30D
$8.4K
90D
$31.1K
Total volume
$21.18M
Predictions
27,669
Positions value
$102.2K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$111.0K
LP+$10.4K
Maker+$5.6K
Yield+$421.47
Taker+$108.14

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50¢35.0K shares
50¢→57.5¢
$17.5K
$35.0K
$20.1K
+$2.6K (+15.0%)

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢35.0K shares
50¢→42.5¢
$17.5K
$35.0K
$14.9K
−$2.6K (-15.0%)

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 14.6¢9.7K shares
14.6¢→30.4¢
$1.4K
$9.7K
$2.9K
+$1.5K (+108.1%)

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 56.8¢2.0K shares
56.8¢→77.5¢
$1.1K
$2.0K
$1.6K
+$415.49 (+36.3%)

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of July?
Yes 95.8¢1.6K shares
95.8¢→98.0¢
$1.5K
$1.6K
$1.5K
+$32.79 (+2.2%)

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of July?
Yes 93.3¢1.7K shares
93.3¢→83.3¢
$1.6K
$1.7K
$1.4K
−$175.52 (-10.8%)

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
No 82.1¢1.6K shares
82.1¢→83.5¢
$1.3K
$1.6K
$1.4K
+$22.44 (+1.7%)

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 62.2¢1.6K shares
62.2¢→76.7¢
$965.90
$1.6K
$1.2K
+$225.32 (+23.3%)

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 70.1¢909.1 shares
70.1¢→99.7¢
$637.59
$909.13
$905.95
+$268.35 (+42.1%)

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 57.1¢1.1K shares
57.1¢→78¢
$645.14
$1.1K
$881.17
+$236.03 (+36.6%)

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $390 end of July?
No 86.2¢835.7 shares
86.2¢→99.5¢
$720.33
$835.73
$831.55
+$111.22 (+15.4%)

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of July?
No 91.1¢827.8 shares
91.1¢→98.4¢
$753.88
$827.83
$814.58
+$60.70 (+8.1%)

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $380 end of July?
No 91.9¢787.6 shares
91.9¢→98.4¢
$723.85
$787.63
$775.03
+$51.18 (+7.1%)

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of July?
Yes 91.8¢677.9 shares
91.8¢→92.0¢
$622.01
$677.92
$623.35
+$1.34 (+0.2%)
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in July 2026?
No 97.6¢558.6 shares
97.6¢→99.3¢
$545.34
$558.56
$554.65
+$9.31 (+1.7%)

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of July?
Yes 88.4¢1.0K shares
88.4¢→52.5¢
$911.24
$1.0K
$540.93
−$370.31 (-40.6%)

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 55.7¢951.5 shares
55.7¢→56.5¢
$530.27
$951.48
$537.49
+$7.22 (+1.4%)
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?
No 78.5¢616.2 shares
78.5¢→87¢
$484.00
$616.20
$536.09
+$52.09 (+10.8%)

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $330 end of July?
Yes 82.1¢2.0K shares
82.1¢→27¢
$1.6K
$2.0K
$531.90
−$1.1K (-67.1%)

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
No 66.5¢547.4 shares
66.5¢→93¢
$363.89
$547.39
$509.08
+$145.19 (+39.9%)

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 90.6¢553.2 shares
90.6¢→89¢
$501.37
$553.25
$492.39
−$8.98 (-1.8%)

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $230 end of July?
Yes 95.8¢450.5 shares
95.8¢→98.2¢
$431.57
$450.52
$442.41
+$10.84 (+2.5%)

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
No 77.7¢543.1 shares
77.7¢→70.9¢
$421.89
$543.11
$384.79
−$37.10 (-8.8%)

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 51.8¢468.7 shares
51.8¢→81.5¢
$242.63
$468.66
$381.91
+$139.29 (+57.4%)

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 13.9¢4.0K shares
13.9¢→9.5¢
$553.10
$4.0K
$377.16
−$175.93 (-31.8%)

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of July?
No 96.1¢390.4 shares
96.1¢→94¢
$375.27
$390.40
$366.97
−$8.29 (-2.2%)

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 66.7¢405.7 shares
66.7¢→90¢
$270.68
$405.74
$365.17
+$94.48 (+34.9%)

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of July?
Yes 93.9¢368.1 shares
93.9¢→95.8¢
$345.50
$368.07
$352.42
+$6.92 (+2.0%)
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in July 2026?
No 49.5¢1.9K shares
49.5¢→17¢
$959.71
$1.9K
$329.63
−$630.08 (-65.7%)

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of July?
Yes 94.3¢312.4 shares
94.3¢→98.3¢
$294.58
$312.35
$306.88
+$12.30 (+4.2%)

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
No 94.5¢316.9 shares
94.5¢→95.2¢
$299.62
$316.88
$301.51
+$1.89 (+0.6%)

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Yes 54.0¢544.9 shares
54.0¢→54.5¢
$294.12
$544.86
$296.95
+$2.83 (+1.0%)

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $220 end of July?
Yes 97.4¢296.3 shares
97.4¢→96.5¢
$288.72
$296.33
$285.81
−$2.91 (-1.0%)

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
No 82.0¢263.2 shares
82.0¢→98.8¢
$215.98
$263.21
$260.05
+$44.07 (+20.4%)

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 92.8¢249.1 shares
92.8¢→99.4¢
$231.29
$249.11
$247.62
+$16.33 (+7.1%)

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?
Yes 12.1¢926.1 shares
12.1¢→26.3¢
$112.09
$926.12
$243.57
+$131.48 (+117.3%)

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes 23.3¢976.4 shares
23.3¢→24.7¢
$227.90
$976.44
$241.18
+$13.28 (+5.8%)

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 end of July?
No 97.8¢379.6 shares
97.8¢→53.7¢
$371.21
$379.64
$203.87
−$167.34 (-45.1%)

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
No 84.9¢237.7 shares
84.9¢→85.5¢
$201.78
$237.75
$203.28
+$1.50 (+0.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 1?
Yes 11.0¢200.9 shares
11.0¢→100¢
$22.16
$200.86
Won
$200.86

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $260?
No 98¢200 shares
98¢→100¢
$196.00
$200.00
Won
$200.00

Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
No 97¢200 shares
97¢→100¢
$194.00
$200.00
Won
$200.00

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 18 above $415?
No 91¢200 shares
91¢→100¢
$182.00
$200.00
Won
$200.00

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 25 above $375?
Yes 84¢200 shares
84¢→100¢
$168.00
$200.00
Won
$200.00

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above $440?
No 98¢200 shares
98¢→100¢
$196.00
$200.00
Won
$200.00

Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of April 27 above $295?
No 98¢200 shares
98¢→100¢
$196.00
$200.00
Won
$200.00

Will Apple (AAPL) close at >$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
No 98¢200 shares
98¢→100¢
$196.00
$200.00
Won
$200.00

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 18 above $240?
No 85¢200 shares
85¢→100¢
$170.00
$200.00
Won
$200.00

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above $310?
Yes 97¢200 shares
97¢→100¢
$194.00
$200.00
Won
$200.00

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 18 above $370?
Yes 97¢200 shares
97¢→100¢
$194.00
$200.00
Won
$200.00

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
Yes 36.4¢199.4 shares
36.4¢→100¢
$72.56
$199.40
Won
$199.40

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 18.1¢891.2 shares
18.1¢→22¢
$161.05
$891.23
$196.07
+$35.02 (+21.7%)

Will July 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
No 99.0¢194 shares
99.0¢→99.5¢
$192.00
$194.00
$193.03
+$1.03 (+0.5%)

Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in July 2026?
Yes 14.9¢2.4K shares
14.9¢→7.8¢
$360.27
$2.4K
$190.31
−$169.96 (-47.2%)

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 27 above $470?
No 95.2¢190 shares
95.2¢→100¢
$180.90
$190.00
Won
$190.00

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 5?
No 64.6¢187.6 shares
64.6¢→100¢
$121.14
$187.57
Won
$187.57

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 24?
No 86.8¢179 shares
86.8¢→100¢
$155.49
$179.04
Won
$179.04

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $360 end of April?
Yes 95.3¢178.4 shares
95.3¢→100¢
$170.00
$178.43
Won
$178.43

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 26?
No 93.6¢174.6 shares
93.6¢→100¢
$163.49
$174.62
Won
$174.62

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 51.7¢308.4 shares
51.7¢→56.5¢
$159.49
$308.42
$174.23
+$14.74 (+9.2%)

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of July?
Yes 92.9¢173.4 shares
92.9¢→99.5¢
$161.00
$173.36
$172.49
+$11.49 (+7.1%)

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?
Yes 11.0¢172.5 shares
11.0¢→100¢
$19.02
$172.48
Won
$172.48

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $230 end of April?
Yes 98.8¢172 shares
98.8¢→100¢
$170.00
$172.02
Won
$172.02

Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on May 9?
Yes 4¢171 shares
4¢→100¢
$6.84
$171.00
Won
$171.00

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $270 end of April?
Yes 97.7¢169.9 shares
97.7¢→100¢
$166.00
$169.86
Won
$169.86

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 end of April?
Yes 67¢168.3 shares
67¢→100¢
$112.75
$168.28
Won
$168.28

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of May 11 above $230?
No 93.7¢167 shares
93.7¢→100¢
$156.50
$166.97
Won
$166.97

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $270 end of April?
Yes 99.2¢162 shares
99.2¢→100¢
$160.70
$161.97
Won
$161.97

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $240 end of April?
Yes 91.3¢147.4 shares
91.3¢→100¢
$134.50
$147.39
Won
$147.39

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
Yes 47.8¢143.8 shares
47.8¢→100¢
$68.80
$143.79
Won
$143.79

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 30?
No 65.9¢141.8 shares
65.9¢→100¢
$93.50
$141.82
Won
$141.82

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 32.3¢615.7 shares
32.3¢→23¢
$198.56
$615.67
$141.60
−$56.95 (-28.7%)

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 95.3¢140.5 shares
95.3¢→99.3¢
$133.99
$140.54
$139.49
+$5.50 (+4.1%)

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes 17.0¢1.3K shares
17.0¢→11¢
$212.32
$1.3K
$137.64
−$74.68 (-35.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11?
Yes 12.8¢136.9 shares
12.8¢→100¢
$17.52
$136.87
Won
$136.87

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?
Yes 5.8¢136.8 shares
5.8¢→100¢
$7.93
$136.76
Won
$136.76

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $315 end of April?
Yes 99.0¢136.1 shares
99.0¢→100¢
$134.75
$136.09
Won
$136.09

Ledger IPO closing market cap above $3B?
No 14.0¢169 shares
14.0¢→80.5¢
$23.66
$169.01
$136.05
+$112.39 (+475.0%)

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9?
Yes 13.1¢136 shares
13.1¢→100¢
$17.78
$136.00
Won
$136.00

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on May 12?
No 82.4¢133.3 shares
82.4¢→100¢
$109.79
$133.25
Won
$133.25

Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No 71.4¢174.2 shares
71.4¢→76¢
$124.35
$174.21
$132.40
+$8.04 (+6.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 12?
No 91.6¢131.2 shares
91.6¢→100¢
$120.14
$131.21
Won
$131.21

Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 27 above $340?
Yes 84¢130 shares
84¢→100¢
$109.20
$130.00
Won
$130.00

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
No 61.4¢145.2 shares
61.4¢→88¢
$89.20
$145.21
$127.78
+$38.59 (+43.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on May 15?
No 93.6¢126.1 shares
93.6¢→100¢
$118.05
$126.07
Won
$126.07

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?
Yes 3.9¢703.8 shares
3.9¢→17.8¢
$27.44
$703.77
$125.62
+$98.18 (+357.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 31?
Yes 23.8¢122.2 shares
23.8¢→100¢
$29.08
$122.22
Won
$122.22

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
Yes 12.9¢1.2K shares
12.9¢→10.5¢
$150.23
$1.2K
$122.14
−$28.09 (-18.7%)

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes 25.1¢487.7 shares
25.1¢→24.9¢
$122.44
$487.74
$121.20
−$1.23 (-1.0%)

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 end of July?
Yes 96.9¢128.3 shares
96.9¢→94.5¢
$124.30
$128.29
$121.17
−$3.13 (-2.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 1?
No 73.6¢120.3 shares
73.6¢→100¢
$88.56
$120.35
Won
$120.35

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 6?
Yes 8.6¢118.6 shares
8.6¢→100¢
$10.20
$118.58
Won
$118.58

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 95.8¢122.9 shares
95.8¢→95.9¢
$117.74
$122.95
$117.84
+$0.10 (+0.1%)

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?
Yes 2.7¢1.9K shares
2.7¢→6.3¢
$51.39
$1.9K
$117.83
+$66.45 (+129.3%)

Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?
No 86.4¢169.3 shares
86.4¢→69.2¢
$146.34
$169.33
$117.16
−$29.18 (-19.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on May 5?
No 67.6¢116.7 shares
67.6¢→100¢
$78.94
$116.71
Won
$116.71

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 9?
No 93.7¢115.3 shares
93.7¢→100¢
$108.05
$115.29
Won
$115.29

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 1?
No 94.8¢113.2 shares
94.8¢→100¢
$107.38
$113.23
Won
$113.23

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 7?
No 94.2¢112.3 shares
94.2¢→100¢
$105.80
$112.26
Won
$112.26

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Yes 6.6¢112.3 shares
6.6¢→100¢
$7.37
$112.26
Won
$112.26
