Total earnings
$161,864.00
1D
$801.05
7D
−$175.72
30D
$3.2K
90D
$9.7K
Total volume
$20.11M
Predictions
3,513
Positions value
$196.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$157.3K
LP+$1.2K
Maker+$152.65
Yield+$4.3K
Referral+$1.2K
Taker+$152.40
Fees−$2.4K
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 50¢175.0K shares
50¢→99.7¢
$87.5K
$175.0K
$174.4K
+$86.9K (+99.3%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 40.1¢9.4K shares
40.1¢→54.5¢
$3.8K
$9.4K
$5.1K
+$1.4K (+36.1%)
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Yes 61.9¢6.5K shares
61.9¢→57.5¢
$4.0K
$6.5K
$3.7K
−$284.66 (-7.1%)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
No 49.2¢4.0K shares
49.2¢→47.5¢
$2.0K
$4.0K
$1.9K
−$67.76 (-3.5%)
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
No 36.5¢4.1K shares
36.5¢→42.5¢
$1.5K
$4.1K
$1.7K
+$243.14 (+16.3%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 27¢2.4K shares
27¢→68.5¢
$648.00
$2.4K
$1.6K
+$996.00 (+153.7%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 21.1¢2.9K shares
21.1¢→44.5¢
$611.52
$2.9K
$1.3K
+$679.70 (+111.2%)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Yes 27.5¢3.0K shares
27.5¢→33¢
$812.71
$3.0K
$973.79
+$161.08 (+19.8%)
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 50.0¢175.0K shares
50.0¢→0.4¢
$87.5K
$175.0K
$612.50
−$86.9K (-99.3%)
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Yes 37.6¢1.4K shares
37.6¢→43.5¢
$514.08
$1.4K
$594.10
+$80.02 (+15.6%)
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Yes 47¢1.3K shares
47¢→46.5¢
$596.09
$1.3K
$589.75
−$6.34 (-1.1%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 20¢2.4K shares
20¢→22.5¢
$480.00
$2.4K
$540.00
+$60.00 (+12.5%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 39.9¢950 shares
39.9¢→52.3¢
$379.46
$950.00
$496.85
+$117.39 (+30.9%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 66.8¢495 shares
66.8¢→87.5¢
$330.93
$495.00
$433.37
+$102.44 (+31.0%)
What will be the next Fed rate change?
Hike 59.8¢500 shares
59.8¢→65¢
$298.89
$500.00
$325.00
+$26.11 (+8.7%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 3.6¢950 shares
3.6¢→33.5¢
$33.93
$950.00
$318.25
+$284.32 (+838.0%)
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Yes 14.7¢2.4K shares
14.7¢→5.5¢
$353.80
$2.4K
$133.20
−$220.60 (-62.4%)
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 99.4¢104.3 shares
99.4¢→99.7¢
$103.63
$104.26
$103.89
+$0.26 (+0.3%)
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
No 77.1¢113.7 shares
77.1¢→85.5¢
$87.73
$113.74
$97.25
+$9.51 (+10.8%)
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
No 89¢100 shares
89¢→88¢
$89.00
$100.00
$88.00
−$1.00 (-1.1%)
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?
No 87.0¢88.5 shares
87.0¢→95.8¢
$77.04
$88.51
$84.79
+$7.75 (+10.1%)
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.2¢32.8K shares
0.2¢→0.3¢
$65.51
$32.8K
$81.89
+$16.38 (+25.0%)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Yes 1.7¢2.1K shares
1.7¢→3.9¢
$35.93
$2.1K
$81.33
+$45.40 (+126.4%)
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.2¢31.6K shares
0.2¢→0.3¢
$63.26
$31.6K
$79.08
+$15.82 (+25.0%)
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Yes 0.6¢5.8K shares
0.6¢→1.3¢
$36.89
$5.8K
$75.96
+$39.07 (+105.9%)
AI bubble burst in 2026?
No 82.8¢85.5 shares
82.8¢→85.7¢
$70.78
$85.49
$73.22
+$2.44 (+3.4%)
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Yes 4.4¢4.4K shares
4.4¢→1.6¢
$193.42
$4.4K
$67.77
−$125.64 (-65.0%)
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 3.6¢950 shares
3.6¢→6.5¢
$33.93
$950.00
$61.75
+$27.82 (+82.0%)
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
No 98.3¢62.2 shares
98.3¢→98.9¢
$61.12
$62.21
$61.49
+$0.37 (+0.6%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 16.9¢2.4K shares
16.9¢→2.5¢
$405.52
$2.4K
$58.80
−$346.72 (-85.5%)
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?
Yes 16.7¢91 shares
16.7¢→64¢
$15.17
$91.00
$58.24
+$43.07 (+284.0%)
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Yes 29.6¢497.5 shares
29.6¢→11.5¢
$147.39
$497.53
$57.22
−$90.18 (-61.2%)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Yes 1.3¢6.0K shares
1.3¢→0.9¢
$75.23
$6.0K
$56.94
−$18.28 (-24.3%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 65¢90 shares
65¢→62.5¢
$58.50
$90.00
$56.25
−$2.25 (-3.8%)
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 2.6¢949.5 shares
2.6¢→4.7¢
$25.21
$949.52
$44.63
+$19.42 (+77.0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 19.3¢2.8K shares
19.3¢→1.3¢
$537.13
$2.8K
$34.73
−$502.40 (-93.5%)
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes 28.4¢90 shares
28.4¢→37.5¢
$25.59
$90.00
$33.75
+$8.16 (+31.9%)
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Yes 80¢38.9 shares
80¢→84.5¢
$31.12
$38.90
$32.87
+$1.75 (+5.6%)
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?
Yes 16.7¢91 shares
16.7¢→34¢
$15.17
$91.00
$30.94
+$15.77 (+104.0%)
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.3¢3.7K shares
0.3¢→0.6¢
$12.19
$3.7K
$22.25
+$10.06 (+82.5%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
No 80.5¢20 shares
80.5¢→95.7¢
$16.10
$20.00
$19.14
+$3.04 (+18.9%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 78¢100 shares
78¢→16.5¢
$78.00
$100.00
$16.50
−$61.50 (-78.8%)
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?
Yes 16.7¢84 shares
16.7¢→15.5¢
$14.01
$84.04
$13.03
−$0.98 (-7.0%)
Will exactly 0 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?
Yes 16.7¢41 shares
16.7¢→27.7¢
$6.83
$41.00
$11.36
+$4.52 (+66.2%)
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.9¢5.1K shares
0.9¢→0.1¢
$47.10
$5.1K
$7.70
−$39.39 (-83.6%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→13.8¢
$1.56
$50.00
$6.88
+$5.31 (+340.0%)
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.3¢2.9K shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$8.84
$2.9K
$4.42
−$4.42 (-50.0%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→5.5¢
$1.56
$50.00
$2.73
+$1.16 (+74.4%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→5¢
$1.56
$50.00
$2.50
+$0.94 (+60.0%)
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.5¢964.3 shares
0.5¢→0.3¢
$5.38
$964.28
$2.41
−$2.97 (-55.2%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→4.7¢
$1.56
$50.00
$2.33
+$0.76 (+48.8%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→4.1¢
$1.56
$50.00
$2.05
+$0.49 (+31.2%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→4.0¢
$1.56
$50.00
$2.03
+$0.46 (+29.6%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→4.0¢
$1.56
$50.00
$2.03
+$0.46 (+29.6%)
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.4¢1.2K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$4.72
$1.2K
$1.76
−$2.96 (-62.7%)
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.4¢1.1K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$3.84
$1.1K
$1.62
−$2.22 (-57.9%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→2.9¢
$1.56
$50.00
$1.45
−$0.11 (-7.2%)
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.2¢950 shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$1.90
$950.00
$1.43
−$0.48 (-25.0%)
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 3.6¢950 shares
3.6¢→0.1¢
$33.93
$950.00
$1.43
−$32.50 (-95.8%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR?
Yes 3.1¢30 shares
3.1¢→4.5¢
$0.94
$30.00
$1.35
+$0.41 (+44.0%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→2.5¢
$1.56
$50.00
$1.27
−$0.29 (-18.7%)
Will Lana – Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢2.2K shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$50.43
$2.2K
$1.11
−$49.32 (-97.8%)
Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢2.2K shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$50.43
$2.2K
$1.11
−$49.32 (-97.8%)
Will Independence Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢2.2K shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$50.43
$2.2K
$1.11
−$49.32 (-97.8%)
Will Khatt Ahmar win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢2.2K shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$50.43
$2.2K
$1.11
−$49.32 (-97.8%)
Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢2.2K shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$50.43
$2.2K
$1.11
−$49.32 (-97.8%)
Will Progressive Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢2.2K shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$50.43
$2.2K
$1.11
−$49.32 (-97.8%)
Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢2.2K shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$50.43
$2.2K
$1.11
−$49.32 (-97.8%)
Will Dignity Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢2.2K shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$50.43
$2.2K
$1.11
−$49.32 (-97.8%)
Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢2.2K shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$50.43
$2.2K
$1.11
−$49.32 (-97.8%)
Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢2.2K shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$49.61
$2.2K
$1.09
−$48.52 (-97.8%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→2.1¢
$1.56
$50.00
$1.03
−$0.54 (-34.4%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→2.1¢
$1.56
$50.00
$1.03
−$0.54 (-34.4%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→2.1¢
$1.56
$50.00
$1.03
−$0.54 (-34.4%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR + AUR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→2.1¢
$1.56
$50.00
$1.03
−$0.54 (-34.4%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→1.7¢
$1.56
$50.00
$0.83
−$0.74 (-47.2%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR?
Yes 3.1¢30 shares
3.1¢→2.1¢
$0.94
$30.00
$0.62
−$0.32 (-34.4%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + UDMR + AUR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→1.1¢
$1.56
$50.00
$0.53
−$1.04 (-66.4%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR + AUR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→1¢
$1.56
$50.00
$0.50
−$1.06 (-68.0%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR?
Yes 3.1¢50 shares
3.1¢→0.6¢
$1.56
$50.00
$0.30
−$1.26 (-80.8%)
Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢277.5 shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$6.31
$277.48
$0.14
−$6.17 (-97.8%)
Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢15.8 shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$0.36
$15.79
$0.01
−$0.35 (-97.8%)
Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
Yes 2.3¢11.8 shares
2.3¢→0.1¢
$0.27
$11.75
$0.01
−$0.26 (-97.8%)
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 4¢400 shares
4¢→0¢
$16.00
$400.00
Lost
Will 230-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?
Yes 5¢48.6 shares
5¢→0¢
$2.43
$48.57
Lost
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 1.6¢15 shares
1.6¢→0¢
$0.24
$15.00
Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 2.2¢82.1 shares
2.2¢→0¢
$1.81
$82.13
Lost