Total earnings
$284,727.32
1D
−$306.79
7D
$2.8K
30D
$12.9K
90D
$82.1K
Total volume
$257.87M
Predictions
9,751
Positions value
$17.7K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$138.1K
LP+$143.8K
Maker+$1.8K
Yield+$394.58
Taker+$668.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Yes 14.4¢25.1K shares
14.4¢→11.5¢
$3.6K
$25.1K
$2.9K
−$724.26 (-20.0%)
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Yes 17.4¢8.2K shares
17.4¢→14.0¢
$1.4K
$8.2K
$1.2K
−$277.93 (-19.4%)
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?
No 61.8¢1.3K shares
61.8¢→76.5¢
$806.78
$1.3K
$997.91
+$191.13 (+23.7%)
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?
No 72.1¢1.2K shares
72.1¢→68.5¢
$874.26
$1.2K
$830.57
−$43.69 (-5.0%)
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
No 16.1¢5.6K shares
16.1¢→14.5¢
$905.31
$5.6K
$816.63
−$88.67 (-9.8%)
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?
Yes 9.2¢31.2K shares
9.2¢→2.5¢
$2.9K
$31.2K
$792.08
−$2.1K (-72.3%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
No 52.7¢1.1K shares
52.7¢→56.5¢
$600.81
$1.1K
$644.13
+$43.32 (+7.2%)
Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
No 60¢1.0K shares
60¢→58.5¢
$600.00
$1.0K
$585.00
−$15.00 (-2.5%)
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
No 12.6¢10.1K shares
12.6¢→5.5¢
$1.3K
$10.1K
$556.03
−$720.48 (-56.4%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes 22¢3.0K shares
22¢→16.5¢
$660.02
$3.0K
$495.01
−$165.01 (-25.0%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes 7.0¢6.6K shares
7.0¢→7.5¢
$460.22
$6.6K
$493.09
+$32.87 (+7.1%)
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
No 90¢453.6 shares
90¢→90.2¢
$408.28
$453.64
$409.19
+$0.91 (+0.2%)
Will Netflix win the most Emmys?
Yes 22.9¢1.6K shares
22.9¢→24.5¢
$362.18
$1.6K
$388.27
+$26.09 (+7.2%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?
Yes 57.0¢592.5 shares
57.0¢→60.5¢
$338.00
$592.52
$358.47
+$20.47 (+6.1%)
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Yes 6.6¢15.4K shares
6.6¢→2.3¢
$1.0K
$15.4K
$354.34
−$656.60 (-64.9%)
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
No 74.9¢365.8 shares
74.9¢→86.7¢
$273.89
$365.80
$316.97
+$43.08 (+15.7%)
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
No 56.4¢933.6 shares
56.4¢→33.8¢
$526.53
$933.57
$315.08
−$211.45 (-40.2%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
No 67¢461.7 shares
67¢→66¢
$309.31
$461.66
$304.69
−$4.62 (-1.5%)
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
No 90.3¢300 shares
90.3¢→85.9¢
$271.00
$300.00
$257.55
−$13.45 (-5.0%)
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
Yes 19.8¢606.3 shares
19.8¢→36¢
$119.80
$606.33
$218.28
+$98.48 (+82.2%)
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
Yes 10.2¢4.0K shares
10.2¢→4.3¢
$406.86
$4.0K
$170.00
−$236.86 (-58.2%)
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?
No 33.2¢495.5 shares
33.2¢→33.5¢
$164.69
$495.55
$166.01
+$1.32 (+0.8%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No 10.5¢1.9K shares
10.5¢→8.5¢
$194.80
$1.9K
$158.09
−$36.71 (-18.8%)
Will "Widow's Bay" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?
Yes 34.6¢486.1 shares
34.6¢→31.5¢
$168.19
$486.09
$153.12
−$15.08 (-9.0%)
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
Yes 3.7¢4.9K shares
3.7¢→2.9¢
$180.82
$4.9K
$145.56
−$35.27 (-19.5%)
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?
No 12.6¢833.6 shares
12.6¢→16.5¢
$104.99
$833.61
$137.55
+$32.55 (+31.0%)
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
Yes 34¢390.3 shares
34¢→34.5¢
$132.72
$390.35
$134.63
+$1.91 (+1.4%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
No 72¢214.3 shares
72¢→62.5¢
$154.31
$214.32
$133.95
−$20.36 (-13.2%)
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
Yes 9.3¢2.4K shares
9.3¢→5.5¢
$224.99
$2.4K
$132.65
−$92.34 (-41.0%)
Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?
Yes 10.6¢1.2K shares
10.6¢→10.7¢
$122.11
$1.2K
$122.69
+$0.58 (+0.5%)
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.75% and 4.49%?
Yes 24.8¢815.8 shares
24.8¢→14.5¢
$202.43
$815.76
$118.29
−$84.15 (-41.6%)
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?
No 7.0¢1.5K shares
7.0¢→7.5¢
$101.86
$1.5K
$109.13
+$7.28 (+7.1%)
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Yes 9.5¢917.8 shares
9.5¢→9.5¢
$87.60
$917.78
$87.19
−$0.41 (-0.5%)
Will “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series?
No 9.5¢868.5 shares
9.5¢→9.5¢
$82.72
$868.53
$82.51
−$0.21 (-0.2%)
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
Yes 5¢1.8K shares
5¢→4.3¢
$91.94
$1.8K
$78.01
−$13.93 (-15.2%)
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 18¢500 shares
18¢→15.5¢
$90.00
$500.00
$77.50
−$12.50 (-13.9%)
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos be the top Spotify album for 2026?
No 26.8¢303.7 shares
26.8¢→25.5¢
$81.49
$303.67
$77.44
−$4.05 (-5.0%)
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Yes 21¢297.2 shares
21¢→26¢
$62.41
$297.21
$77.27
+$14.86 (+23.8%)
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?
No 8¢1.0K shares
8¢→7.5¢
$81.41
$1.0K
$76.32
−$5.09 (-6.3%)
Will Noah Wyle – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?
No 9¢881 shares
9¢→8.5¢
$79.29
$880.95
$74.88
−$4.40 (-5.6%)
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?
No 68.7¢87.9 shares
68.7¢→81.5¢
$60.33
$87.86
$71.60
+$11.26 (+18.7%)
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
No 70¢100 shares
70¢→65.8¢
$70.00
$100.00
$65.75
−$4.25 (-6.1%)
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
Yes 39¢198 shares
39¢→29.5¢
$77.24
$198.05
$58.42
−$18.81 (-24.4%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
Yes 5.3¢1.1K shares
5.3¢→5.3¢
$58.19
$1.1K
$57.64
−$0.55 (-0.9%)
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢1.1K shares
6.5¢→5.3¢
$69.40
$1.1K
$56.18
−$13.22 (-19.0%)
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Yes 4.7¢2.4K shares
4.7¢→2.3¢
$110.29
$2.4K
$54.19
−$56.10 (-50.9%)
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
Yes 25.4¢388.3 shares
25.4¢→13.5¢
$98.85
$388.34
$52.43
−$46.42 (-47.0%)
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
Yes 6.0¢1.2K shares
6.0¢→4.5¢
$69.99
$1.2K
$52.19
−$17.81 (-25.4%)
Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Event
Yes 27.6¢244.9 shares
27.6¢→21¢
$67.62
$244.93
$51.44
−$16.18 (-23.9%)
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?
No 29.5¢160.1 shares
29.5¢→32¢
$47.30
$160.06
$51.22
+$3.91 (+8.3%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
Yes 10¢500 shares
10¢→10¢
$50.00
$500.00
$50.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?
Yes 30.2¢142 shares
30.2¢→33.5¢
$42.85
$142.00
$47.57
+$4.72 (+11.0%)
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
No 48.9¢97.8 shares
48.9¢→46.4¢
$47.84
$97.82
$45.34
−$2.49 (-5.2%)
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?
Yes 12.0¢1.4K shares
12.0¢→3.1¢
$170.63
$1.4K
$44.85
−$125.78 (-73.7%)
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
Yes 4¢1.4K shares
4¢→3.0¢
$57.29
$1.4K
$43.68
−$13.61 (-23.7%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?
Yes 6.2¢645.1 shares
6.2¢→6.7¢
$39.80
$645.10
$43.22
+$3.42 (+8.6%)
Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes 20.9¢227.2 shares
20.9¢→19¢
$47.45
$227.21
$43.17
−$4.28 (-9.0%)
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?
No 7.0¢838.7 shares
7.0¢→5.1¢
$58.42
$838.66
$42.69
−$15.73 (-26.9%)
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?
No 81¢49.7 shares
81¢→85¢
$40.28
$49.73
$42.27
+$1.99 (+4.9%)
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5.9¢868.2 shares
5.9¢→4.5¢
$51.13
$868.18
$39.07
−$12.06 (-23.6%)
Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?
No 23.5¢348.9 shares
23.5¢→11¢
$82.11
$348.94
$38.38
−$43.73 (-53.3%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?
Yes 2.6¢1.7K shares
2.6¢→2.1¢
$46.08
$1.7K
$36.47
−$9.61 (-20.9%)
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
Yes 6.4¢1.2K shares
6.4¢→3.0¢
$76.15
$1.2K
$36.36
−$39.79 (-52.2%)
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 5.8¢1.3K shares
5.8¢→2.6¢
$73.23
$1.3K
$33.66
−$39.56 (-54.0%)
Will Vest launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Yes 12.4¢352.5 shares
12.4¢→9.5¢
$43.63
$352.55
$33.49
−$10.14 (-23.2%)
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?
No 9.5¢2.1K shares
9.5¢→1.5¢
$204.21
$2.1K
$32.24
−$171.97 (-84.2%)
Will Joy Sunday – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Yes 5.9¢938.5 shares
5.9¢→3.4¢
$55.82
$938.53
$31.91
−$23.91 (-42.8%)
Will LOUD Win the Shortest Game in CBLOL 2026 Split 2?
Yes 35.6¢133.8 shares
35.6¢→23.5¢
$47.69
$133.77
$31.44
−$16.26 (-34.1%)
Will Nova Esports be a 2027 VCT CN partner team?
Yes 45.5¢64 shares
45.5¢→46.5¢
$29.09
$64.00
$29.76
+$0.67 (+2.3%)
Will Xi Lai Gaming be a 2027 VCT CN partner team?
Yes 53.2¢64 shares
53.2¢→46.5¢
$34.04
$64.00
$29.76
−$4.28 (-12.6%)
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?
Yes 16.1¢134 shares
16.1¢→21¢
$21.57
$134.00
$28.14
+$6.57 (+30.5%)
Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?
Yes 4.4¢1.1K shares
4.4¢→2.4¢
$49.51
$1.1K
$26.55
−$22.96 (-46.4%)
Trump on $250 bill this year?
Yes 7.3¢899.1 shares
7.3¢→2.8¢
$65.74
$899.09
$24.73
−$41.01 (-62.4%)
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?
Yes 30¢100 shares
30¢→23¢
$30.00
$100.00
$23.00
−$7.00 (-23.3%)
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
No 78¢30 shares
78¢→74.5¢
$23.40
$30.00
$22.35
−$1.05 (-4.5%)
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist in the US for 2026?
Yes 8.4¢265.6 shares
8.4¢→8.3¢
$22.42
$265.62
$22.18
−$0.24 (-1.1%)
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 9.3¢294.9 shares
9.3¢→7.5¢
$27.56
$294.92
$22.12
−$5.44 (-19.7%)
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?
Yes 10.0¢257.9 shares
10.0¢→8.6¢
$25.77
$257.91
$22.05
−$3.71 (-14.4%)
Will Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
Yes 7.4¢413.3 shares
7.4¢→5.1¢
$30.56
$413.32
$21.04
−$9.52 (-31.2%)
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
Yes 13¢200 shares
13¢→10.5¢
$26.00
$200.00
$21.00
−$5.00 (-19.2%)
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Yes 21.1¢106.2 shares
21.1¢→19.5¢
$22.38
$106.15
$20.70
−$1.68 (-7.5%)
Will three people dissent the January Fed decision?
Yes 23¢87.1 shares
23¢→23.5¢
$20.04
$87.14
$20.48
+$0.44 (+2.2%)
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?
Yes 14.9¢151.1 shares
14.9¢→13.6¢
$22.55
$151.08
$20.47
−$2.07 (-9.2%)
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?
Yes 6¢360.7 shares
6¢→5.5¢
$21.64
$360.66
$19.84
−$1.80 (-8.3%)
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 12¢300 shares
12¢→6.5¢
$36.00
$300.00
$19.50
−$16.50 (-45.8%)
Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 10.7¢138.9 shares
10.7¢→13.9¢
$14.91
$138.93
$19.31
+$4.40 (+29.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?
No 7.0¢293 shares
7.0¢→6.5¢
$20.51
$293.01
$19.05
−$1.47 (-7.1%)
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
Yes 13.1¢132 shares
13.1¢→14.0¢
$17.31
$132.00
$18.48
+$1.17 (+6.8%)
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?
Yes 10.9¢153.1 shares
10.9¢→12¢
$16.75
$153.10
$18.37
+$1.62 (+9.7%)
Will All Gamers be a 2027 VCT CN partner team?
No 22.0¢82 shares
22.0¢→21.5¢
$18.07
$82.01
$17.63
−$0.44 (-2.4%)
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 40,000-50,000?
Yes 21.9¢506.4 shares
21.9¢→3.3¢
$110.77
$506.40
$16.71
−$94.06 (-84.9%)
Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?
Yes 12.8¢229.4 shares
12.8¢→7.1¢
$29.40
$229.37
$16.26
−$13.14 (-44.7%)
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 6.2¢375.3 shares
6.2¢→4.3¢
$23.33
$375.35
$16.10
−$7.23 (-31.0%)
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
Yes 8.8¢662.8 shares
8.8¢→2.4¢
$58.23
$662.84
$15.91
−$42.32 (-72.7%)
Will TYLOO be a 2027 VCT CN partner team?
Yes 41.1¢47 shares
41.1¢→33.5¢
$19.34
$47.00
$15.75
−$3.60 (-18.6%)
Will Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?
Yes 6.5¢151 shares
6.5¢→10.4¢
$9.87
$151.01
$15.70
+$5.83 (+59.1%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?
Yes 14.0¢154.5 shares
14.0¢→10¢
$21.64
$154.55
$15.45
−$6.18 (-28.6%)
Will Trace Esports be a 2027 VCT CN partner team?
Yes 23.8¢26 shares
23.8¢→58.5¢
$6.20
$26.01
$15.22
+$9.02 (+145.6%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
Yes 8.6¢200 shares
8.6¢→7.5¢
$17.12
$200.00
$15.00
−$2.12 (-12.4%)
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes 10.1¢174.1 shares
10.1¢→8.5¢
$17.63
$174.09
$14.80
−$2.83 (-16.1%)