Total earnings
$60,078.41
1D
$670.14
7D
$32.3K
30D
$45.1K
90D
$64.6K
Total volume
$22.69M
Predictions
6,820
Positions value
$162.6K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$28.3K
LP+$23.2K
Maker+$11.3K
Yield+$62.71
Referral+$1.04
Fees−$2.8K

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 96.2¢30.0K shares
96.2¢→97.3¢
$28.9K
$30.0K
$29.2K
+$315.00 (+1.1%)

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
No 51.5¢15.3K shares
51.5¢→100.0¢
$7.9K
$15.3K
$15.2K
+$7.4K (+94.0%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 74.3¢15.7K shares
74.3¢→78.5¢
$11.7K
$15.7K
$12.3K
+$665.02 (+5.7%)

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Yes 7.1¢9.9K shares
7.1¢→99.7¢
$700.68
$9.9K
$9.9K
+$9.2K (+1311.2%)

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 14.5¢15.7K shares
14.5¢→40.9¢
$2.3K
$15.7K
$6.4K
+$4.1K (+181.3%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 75.3¢4.8K shares
75.3¢→80.2¢
$3.6K
$4.8K
$3.8K
+$230.96 (+6.4%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 13.8¢5.1K shares
13.8¢→62.5¢
$701.73
$5.1K
$3.2K
+$2.5K (+352.4%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
No 21.6¢13.0K shares
21.6¢→21.4¢
$2.8K
$13.0K
$2.8K
−$13.04 (-0.5%)

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 1.1¢17.4K shares
1.1¢→11.5¢
$195.71
$17.4K
$2.0K
+$1.8K (+923.6%)

Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
No 98.6¢1.9K shares
98.6¢→100.0¢
$1.9K
$1.9K
$1.9K
+$25.73 (+1.4%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 85.6¢2.9K shares
85.6¢→62.3¢
$2.5K
$2.9K
$1.8K
−$688.41 (-27.3%)

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
No 74.8¢1.8K shares
74.8¢→88.5¢
$1.4K
$1.8K
$1.6K
+$248.30 (+18.3%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 10.7¢5.5K shares
10.7¢→23.6¢
$591.64
$5.5K
$1.3K
+$715.97 (+121.0%)

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
No 50.3¢1.7K shares
50.3¢→75¢
$856.23
$1.7K
$1.3K
+$421.34 (+49.2%)

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 8.0¢3.4K shares
8.0¢→32.5¢
$275.21
$3.4K
$1.1K
+$839.06 (+304.9%)

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 84.2¢1.2K shares
84.2¢→89.6¢
$1.0K
$1.2K
$1.1K
+$66.12 (+6.5%)

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 52.7¢1.2K shares
52.7¢→69.6¢
$616.93
$1.2K
$815.13
+$198.20 (+32.1%)

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 23.4¢3.1K shares
23.4¢→25.8¢
$733.77
$3.1K
$807.87
+$74.10 (+10.1%)

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
No 75.4¢972.9 shares
75.4¢→82.5¢
$733.26
$972.92
$802.66
+$69.40 (+9.5%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 93.1¢815.6 shares
93.1¢→95.0¢
$759.18
$815.64
$775.27
+$16.09 (+2.1%)

Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Yes 2.0¢2.0K shares
2.0¢→34.5¢
$41.68
$2.0K
$705.50
+$663.82 (+1592.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Yes 22.1¢2.4K shares
22.1¢→29.0¢
$527.58
$2.4K
$690.90
+$163.32 (+31.0%)

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
No 96.5¢686.6 shares
96.5¢→96.4¢
$662.60
$686.63
$661.91
−$0.69 (-0.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?
Yes 91¢662.3 shares
91¢→95¢
$602.71
$662.32
$629.20
+$26.49 (+4.4%)

Trump out as President before 2027?
No 89.4¢672 shares
89.4¢→93.5¢
$601.10
$672.02
$628.34
+$27.24 (+4.5%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.0¢3.1K shares
20.0¢→19.9¢
$628.18
$3.1K
$624.06
−$4.11 (-0.7%)

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Yes 56.3¢903.6 shares
56.3¢→64.5¢
$508.36
$903.58
$582.81
+$74.45 (+14.6%)

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes 36.3¢1.7K shares
36.3¢→32.5¢
$622.68
$1.7K
$557.68
−$65.00 (-10.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?
Yes 92¢595 shares
92¢→93.5¢
$547.40
$595.00
$556.33
+$8.93 (+1.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?
Yes 87.6¢604.5 shares
87.6¢→91.5¢
$529.46
$604.49
$553.11
+$23.65 (+4.5%)

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 1.1¢4.8K shares
1.1¢→11.6¢
$55.29
$4.8K
$552.45
+$497.15 (+899.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?
Yes 88.5¢625.2 shares
88.5¢→87.5¢
$553.26
$625.16
$547.01
−$6.25 (-1.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-06 House seat?
Yes 93¢564.8 shares
93¢→93.5¢
$525.26
$564.80
$528.08
+$2.82 (+0.5%)

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 86.0¢563.2 shares
86.0¢→92.5¢
$484.34
$563.19
$520.95
+$36.61 (+7.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?
Yes 93¢550 shares
93¢→94.1¢
$511.50
$550.00
$517.55
+$6.05 (+1.2%)

Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes 5.5¢699.3 shares
5.5¢→72¢
$38.85
$699.33
$503.52
+$464.66 (+1196.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No 28.9¢1.5K shares
28.9¢→33.5¢
$433.08
$1.5K
$501.13
+$68.04 (+15.7%)

Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Yes 43.4¢2.0K shares
43.4¢→23.5¢
$883.11
$2.0K
$478.67
−$404.44 (-45.8%)

Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?
No 87.0¢499 shares
87.0¢→89¢
$434.02
$499.04
$444.15
+$10.13 (+2.3%)

Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
No 85.8¢454.3 shares
85.8¢→93.3¢
$389.99
$454.32
$423.88
+$33.89 (+8.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the OH-02 House seat?
Yes 92¢450 shares
92¢→93.5¢
$414.00
$450.00
$420.75
+$6.75 (+1.6%)

Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 19.8¢498.6 shares
19.8¢→83.1¢
$98.74
$498.62
$414.35
+$315.61 (+319.6%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 61.6¢613.1 shares
61.6¢→65.5¢
$377.57
$613.07
$401.56
+$23.99 (+6.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?
Yes 84.4¢469.4 shares
84.4¢→85¢
$396.41
$469.40
$398.99
+$2.58 (+0.7%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 26.5¢893.8 shares
26.5¢→44.5¢
$236.58
$893.84
$397.76
+$161.17 (+68.1%)

Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
No 88.6¢419 shares
88.6¢→94.3¢
$371.25
$419.01
$395.13
+$23.88 (+6.4%)

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No 87.8¢400 shares
87.8¢→97.6¢
$351.21
$399.99
$390.39
+$39.18 (+11.2%)

Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
No 76.7¢756.4 shares
76.7¢→51.5¢
$579.88
$756.38
$389.54
−$190.34 (-32.8%)

Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
No 90.7¢400 shares
90.7¢→96.4¢
$362.80
$400.00
$385.60
+$22.80 (+6.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?
Yes 86¢461.6 shares
86¢→83.5¢
$396.93
$461.55
$385.39
−$11.54 (-2.9%)

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
No 74.0¢591 shares
74.0¢→65.0¢
$437.10
$590.98
$383.84
−$53.26 (-12.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?
Yes 85.6¢423.9 shares
85.6¢→89.5¢
$363.04
$423.94
$379.43
+$16.38 (+4.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-26 House seat?
Yes 91¢400 shares
91¢→93.5¢
$364.00
$400.00
$374.00
+$10.00 (+2.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-06 House seat?
Yes 92¢400 shares
92¢→93.5¢
$368.00
$400.00
$374.00
+$6.00 (+1.6%)

Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?
Yes 93.1¢400 shares
93.1¢→93.3¢
$372.30
$400.00
$373.00
+$0.70 (+0.2%)

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
No 69.7¢426.2 shares
69.7¢→84¢
$296.96
$426.18
$357.99
+$61.03 (+20.6%)

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
No 84.5¢400 shares
84.5¢→88.5¢
$337.82
$400.00
$354.00
+$16.18 (+4.8%)
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?
Yes 86.7¢393.7 shares
86.7¢→89.5¢
$341.41
$393.74
$352.40
+$10.99 (+3.2%)

Will Guy Young appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
No 89.8¢373 shares
89.8¢→91.9¢
$335.02
$373.04
$342.82
+$7.81 (+2.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-12 House seat?
Yes 92.9¢361.9 shares
92.9¢→93.5¢
$336.07
$361.85
$338.33
+$2.26 (+0.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-07 House seat?
Yes 91¢354.6 shares
91¢→93.5¢
$322.69
$354.60
$331.55
+$8.86 (+2.7%)

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
No 87.6¢373.5 shares
87.6¢→88.3¢
$327.22
$373.49
$329.61
+$2.39 (+0.7%)

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Yes 58.5¢1.0K shares
58.5¢→31¢
$606.39
$1.0K
$321.54
−$284.85 (-47.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?
Yes 86.6¢343.7 shares
86.6¢→88.5¢
$297.70
$343.68
$304.16
+$6.46 (+2.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-09 House seat?
Yes 91¢310 shares
91¢→95¢
$282.10
$310.00
$294.50
+$12.40 (+4.4%)

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 70.8¢319.1 shares
70.8¢→90.5¢
$225.83
$319.12
$288.81
+$62.97 (+27.9%)

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
No 26.3¢398.6 shares
26.3¢→72¢
$104.67
$398.55
$286.96
+$182.28 (+174.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?
Yes 91.4¢305 shares
91.4¢→93.5¢
$278.64
$304.99
$285.17
+$6.53 (+2.3%)

Will Tom Tiffany win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 87.0¢285.6 shares
87.0¢→98.8¢
$248.47
$285.63
$282.06
+$33.59 (+13.5%)

Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
Yes 3.4¢289.3 shares
3.4¢→93.7¢
$9.98
$289.33
$270.96
+$260.98 (+2615.9%)

Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
No 75.9¢280.1 shares
75.9¢→95.5¢
$212.69
$280.14
$267.53
+$54.84 (+25.8%)

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 58.1¢421 shares
58.1¢→63.5¢
$244.76
$421.02
$267.35
+$22.58 (+9.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the IN-06 House seat?
Yes 90¢276.5 shares
90¢→94.5¢
$248.85
$276.50
$261.29
+$12.44 (+5.0%)

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Yes 82.3¢276.9 shares
82.3¢→93.5¢
$227.98
$276.90
$258.90
+$30.92 (+13.6%)

Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
No 86.5¢278.2 shares
86.5¢→90.0¢
$240.69
$278.17
$250.22
+$9.53 (+4.0%)

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 80.4¢524.6 shares
80.4¢→46.2¢
$421.81
$524.63
$242.11
−$179.69 (-42.6%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 47.7¢425.6 shares
47.7¢→56.5¢
$202.88
$425.59
$240.41
+$37.53 (+18.5%)

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
Yes 3.5¢1.8K shares
3.5¢→13.5¢
$61.63
$1.8K
$240.25
+$178.62 (+289.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?
Yes 93¢250 shares
93¢→95.5¢
$232.50
$250.00
$238.75
+$6.25 (+2.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?
Yes 92¢250 shares
92¢→93.5¢
$230.00
$250.00
$233.75
+$3.75 (+1.6%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 40.8¢466.8 shares
40.8¢→49.5¢
$190.43
$466.79
$231.06
+$40.64 (+21.3%)

Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
Yes 71.0¢297.5 shares
71.0¢→77.5¢
$211.26
$297.47
$230.54
+$19.28 (+9.1%)

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Yes 91.3¢230.6 shares
91.3¢→97.5¢
$210.52
$230.55
$224.79
+$14.27 (+6.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat?
Yes 58.1¢238.6 shares
58.1¢→93.5¢
$138.66
$238.58
$223.08
+$84.42 (+60.9%)

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No 84¢234.2 shares
84¢→94.5¢
$196.69
$234.16
$221.28
+$24.59 (+12.5%)

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No 73.8¢273.6 shares
73.8¢→78.5¢
$201.76
$273.56
$214.88
+$13.13 (+6.5%)

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
No 89.0¢225.9 shares
89.0¢→94.5¢
$201.13
$225.88
$213.45
+$12.33 (+6.1%)

Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
Yes 29.5¢355.8 shares
29.5¢→59.5¢
$104.82
$355.78
$211.69
+$106.87 (+102.0%)

Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?
No 91.0¢212.4 shares
91.0¢→97.8¢
$193.29
$212.42
$207.75
+$14.46 (+7.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?
Yes 55.8¢263 shares
55.8¢→76.5¢
$146.59
$262.95
$201.16
+$54.56 (+37.2%)

Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 88.4¢199 shares
88.4¢→96.7¢
$175.86
$199.00
$192.33
+$16.47 (+9.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?
Yes 93.7¢200 shares
93.7¢→95.2¢
$187.50
$200.00
$190.40
+$2.90 (+1.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?
Yes 93¢200 shares
93¢→95¢
$186.00
$200.00
$190.00
+$4.00 (+2.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?
Yes 92¢200 shares
92¢→95¢
$184.00
$200.00
$190.00
+$6.00 (+3.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-08 House seat?
Yes 92.5¢200 shares
92.5¢→95¢
$185.00
$200.00
$190.00
+$5.00 (+2.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-01 House seat?
No 90¢200 shares
90¢→94.5¢
$180.00
$200.00
$189.00
+$9.00 (+5.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?
Yes 93.5¢200 shares
93.5¢→94.5¢
$187.00
$200.00
$189.00
+$2.00 (+1.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?
No 90.0¢200 shares
90.0¢→94.5¢
$180.00
$200.00
$189.00
+$9.00 (+5.0%)

US recession by end of 2026?
No 79.1¢214.5 shares
79.1¢→88¢
$169.66
$214.47
$188.73
+$19.07 (+11.2%)

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?
No 89.7¢200 shares
89.7¢→94.3¢
$179.46
$200.00
$188.50
+$9.04 (+5.0%)
