anciano
Flex cardJoined November 2021
Total earnings
$43,140.98
1D
$128.82
7D
$2.9K
30D
$17.5K
90D
$26.8K
Total volume
$21.33M
Predictions
3,323
Positions value
$63.2K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$5.2K
LP+$34.3K
Maker+$2.8K
Yield+$902.67
Taker+$16.57
Will the Washington Wizards be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
No 95.0¢9.2K shares
95.0¢→95.5¢
$8.7K
$9.2K
$8.7K
+$49.08 (+0.6%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 84.1¢5.8K shares
84.1¢→85.5¢
$4.9K
$5.8K
$5.0K
+$79.91 (+1.6%)

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 92.0¢4.3K shares
92.0¢→94.0¢
$4.0K
$4.3K
$4.1K
+$84.14 (+2.1%)
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
No 90.0¢3.9K shares
90.0¢→90.5¢
$3.5K
$3.9K
$3.5K
+$20.05 (+0.6%)
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
No 83.1¢3.7K shares
83.1¢→77.5¢
$3.1K
$3.7K
$2.9K
−$206.65 (-6.6%)

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 40.3¢4.8K shares
40.3¢→40.5¢
$1.9K
$4.8K
$1.9K
+$9.77 (+0.5%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 46.4¢3.2K shares
46.4¢→43.5¢
$1.5K
$3.2K
$1.4K
−$92.65 (-6.2%)

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 41.6¢3.1K shares
41.6¢→42.5¢
$1.3K
$3.1K
$1.3K
+$28.08 (+2.2%)

Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 96.1¢1.2K shares
96.1¢→96.9¢
$1.2K
$1.2K
$1.2K
+$9.17 (+0.8%)

Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 94.3¢1.2K shares
94.3¢→94.5¢
$1.2K
$1.2K
$1.2K
+$1.68 (+0.1%)

Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?
Yes 35.2¢2.7K shares
35.2¢→41¢
$939.25
$2.7K
$1.1K
+$155.30 (+16.5%)

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 51.4¢2.4K shares
51.4¢→44.5¢
$1.2K
$2.4K
$1.1K
−$166.08 (-13.5%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80.3¢1.3K shares
80.3¢→79.8¢
$1.0K
$1.3K
$1.0K
−$7.71 (-0.7%)

Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?
No 67.9¢1.1K shares
67.9¢→70.5¢
$770.96
$1.1K
$800.04
+$29.08 (+3.8%)

Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
No 89.0¢849.3 shares
89.0¢→93¢
$756.26
$849.34
$789.88
+$33.63 (+4.4%)

Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
Yes 43.6¢882 shares
43.6¢→89.3¢
$384.37
$881.95
$787.14
+$402.77 (+104.8%)
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
No 77.2¢1.0K shares
77.2¢→77.5¢
$780.28
$1.0K
$782.93
+$2.65 (+0.3%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 97.9¢801 shares
97.9¢→97.5¢
$783.98
$801.01
$781.38
−$2.60 (-0.3%)

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
No 86.6¢846.5 shares
86.6¢→86.6¢
$732.71
$846.49
$732.64
−$0.07 (-0.0%)

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 97.7¢700 shares
97.7¢→98.4¢
$684.03
$700.00
$688.45
+$4.43 (+0.6%)

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No 78.4¢975.8 shares
78.4¢→69.5¢
$765.19
$975.81
$678.09
−$87.10 (-11.4%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 91.8¢710 shares
91.8¢→91.3¢
$652.19
$710.01
$648.60
−$3.59 (-0.6%)

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
No 84.9¢718.1 shares
84.9¢→87¢
$609.94
$718.14
$624.78
+$14.84 (+2.4%)

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98.9¢560 shares
98.9¢→99.1¢
$553.65
$560.01
$554.69
+$1.04 (+0.2%)

Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes 92.5¢547.4 shares
92.5¢→98.1¢
$506.33
$547.35
$536.95
+$30.62 (+6.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Yes 93.8¢551.8 shares
93.8¢→94.5¢
$517.52
$551.83
$521.48
+$3.96 (+0.8%)

Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
No 92.4¢510.7 shares
92.4¢→84.5¢
$471.73
$510.65
$431.50
−$40.23 (-8.5%)

Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
Yes 88.6¢466.4 shares
88.6¢→92.5¢
$413.44
$466.44
$431.46
+$18.01 (+4.4%)

Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2026 NFC North?
No 84.7¢503.6 shares
84.7¢→84.5¢
$426.57
$503.58
$425.52
−$1.05 (-0.2%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes 13.7¢5.0K shares
13.7¢→8.5¢
$686.62
$5.0K
$425.00
−$261.62 (-38.1%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 70.5¢600 shares
70.5¢→70.5¢
$423.00
$600.00
$423.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 24.5¢2.1K shares
24.5¢→19.9¢
$514.18
$2.1K
$416.84
−$97.34 (-18.9%)

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
Yes 85.2¢466.8 shares
85.2¢→89¢
$397.63
$466.81
$415.46
+$17.83 (+4.5%)

Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
Yes 76.9¢455 shares
76.9¢→88.5¢
$350.05
$455.00
$402.67
+$52.63 (+15.0%)
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Yes 99¢400 shares
99¢→99.7¢
$396.04
$400.00
$398.80
+$2.76 (+0.7%)

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 99.3¢400 shares
99.3¢→99.4¢
$397.20
$400.00
$397.40
+$0.20 (+0.1%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No 42.8¢667.7 shares
42.8¢→59.5¢
$286.09
$667.72
$397.29
+$111.20 (+38.9%)

Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 94.8¢405.9 shares
94.8¢→97.8¢
$384.64
$405.93
$396.80
+$12.16 (+3.2%)

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 97.1¢400 shares
97.1¢→97.2¢
$388.44
$400.01
$388.81
+$0.37 (+0.1%)

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Yes 51.6¢822 shares
51.6¢→47¢
$424.54
$821.96
$386.32
−$38.22 (-9.0%)

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
Yes 73.2¢439.8 shares
73.2¢→86.5¢
$322.01
$439.75
$380.38
+$58.37 (+18.1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?
Yes 33¢1.1K shares
33¢→34¢
$365.46
$1.1K
$376.54
+$11.07 (+3.0%)

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 98.9¢368 shares
98.9¢→99.0¢
$363.95
$368.00
$364.13
+$0.18 (+0.1%)

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 98.4¢368 shares
98.4¢→98.5¢
$362.12
$368.01
$362.31
+$0.18 (+0.1%)

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 99.2¢350 shares
99.2¢→99.7¢
$347.21
$350.01
$348.78
+$1.57 (+0.5%)

Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 23.0¢1.5K shares
23.0¢→21.5¢
$345.00
$1.5K
$322.50
−$22.50 (-6.5%)

Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 91.9¢342.5 shares
91.9¢→89.5¢
$314.91
$342.51
$306.72
−$8.20 (-2.6%)

Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
No 96.0¢300 shares
96.0¢→99.8¢
$287.92
$300.00
$299.25
+$11.34 (+3.9%)

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 99.2¢300 shares
99.2¢→99.7¢
$297.61
$300.01
$298.96
+$1.35 (+0.5%)

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 99.3¢300 shares
99.3¢→99.4¢
$297.93
$300.01
$298.06
+$0.12 (+0.0%)

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 95.4¢300 shares
95.4¢→98.0¢
$286.34
$300.01
$293.86
+$7.52 (+2.6%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 90¢320.8 shares
90¢→91.5¢
$288.73
$320.81
$293.54
+$4.81 (+1.7%)

Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
No 90.4¢310.5 shares
90.4¢→94.5¢
$280.80
$310.51
$293.44
+$12.64 (+4.5%)

Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 96¢273 shares
96¢→96.0¢
$262.09
$273.01
$262.23
+$0.14 (+0.1%)

Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Yes 83.8¢300 shares
83.8¢→87¢
$251.32
$300.01
$261.01
+$9.69 (+3.9%)

JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
No 94.0¢266.3 shares
94.0¢→94¢
$250.27
$266.27
$250.29
+$0.02 (+0.0%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 56.4¢420 shares
56.4¢→57.1¢
$236.88
$420.01
$240.03
+$3.15 (+1.3%)

Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West?
Yes 47.4¢489.8 shares
47.4¢→48.5¢
$232.41
$489.77
$237.54
+$5.13 (+2.2%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
No 55.1¢320.3 shares
55.1¢→72.5¢
$176.60
$320.25
$232.18
+$55.58 (+31.5%)

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 27.4¢835.8 shares
27.4¢→25.5¢
$228.77
$835.84
$213.14
−$15.63 (-6.8%)

Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Yes 14.2¢1.5K shares
14.2¢→14.5¢
$206.93
$1.5K
$210.53
+$3.60 (+1.7%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 46.9¢376.8 shares
46.9¢→53.5¢
$176.66
$376.77
$201.57
+$24.92 (+14.1%)

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98.5¢200 shares
98.5¢→98.9¢
$197.10
$200.00
$197.70
+$0.60 (+0.3%)

Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Yes 13.1¢1.4K shares
13.1¢→14.0¢
$183.67
$1.4K
$196.29
+$12.62 (+6.9%)

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Yes 68¢283.3 shares
68¢→69.0¢
$192.62
$283.26
$195.42
+$2.80 (+1.5%)

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Yes 37¢398.2 shares
37¢→49¢
$147.33
$398.18
$195.11
+$47.78 (+32.4%)

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 88.3¢200 shares
88.3¢→95.0¢
$176.55
$200.00
$190.10
+$13.55 (+7.7%)

Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
No 82.8¢216 shares
82.8¢→86.5¢
$178.86
$216.00
$186.73
+$7.87 (+4.4%)

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Yes 86.1¢218 shares
86.1¢→84.5¢
$187.72
$217.98
$184.19
−$3.53 (-1.9%)

Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
Yes 90.6¢193.4 shares
90.6¢→93.5¢
$175.32
$193.43
$180.85
+$5.53 (+3.2%)

Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Yes 8.6¢2.1K shares
8.6¢→8.6¢
$181.70
$2.1K
$180.20
−$1.50 (-0.8%)

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
No 31.7¢440 shares
31.7¢→35.5¢
$139.69
$440.00
$156.20
+$16.51 (+11.8%)

Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?
No 87¢176 shares
87¢→88¢
$153.12
$176.00
$154.88
+$1.76 (+1.1%)

Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Yes 83.0¢164.9 shares
83.0¢→86.5¢
$136.90
$164.92
$142.66
+$5.76 (+4.2%)

Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
No 60.2¢171.6 shares
60.2¢→78¢
$103.25
$171.56
$133.82
+$30.57 (+29.6%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
No 25.0¢600 shares
25.0¢→22.1¢
$150.30
$600.00
$132.60
−$17.70 (-11.8%)

Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
No 89¢147.2 shares
89¢→89.5¢
$131.01
$147.20
$131.74
+$0.74 (+0.6%)

Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?
No 89.1¢138.1 shares
89.1¢→93.8¢
$122.97
$138.06
$129.57
+$6.59 (+5.4%)

Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?
No 94.2¢129.8 shares
94.2¢→95.8¢
$122.26
$129.80
$124.28
+$2.03 (+1.7%)

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
No 51.9¢240.2 shares
51.9¢→50.5¢
$124.74
$240.17
$121.29
−$3.45 (-2.8%)

Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Yes 7.2¢1.7K shares
7.2¢→7.1¢
$120.83
$1.7K
$119.38
−$1.45 (-1.2%)

Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2026 NFC East?
No 69.0¢169 shares
69.0¢→69.5¢
$116.60
$168.99
$117.43
+$0.83 (+0.7%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Yes 18.0¢525.5 shares
18.0¢→22.3¢
$94.47
$525.48
$116.92
+$22.45 (+23.8%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
No 34.4¢186.4 shares
34.4¢→61.5¢
$64.13
$186.39
$114.63
+$50.50 (+78.7%)
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
No 47.0¢239.8 shares
47.0¢→46.5¢
$112.67
$239.83
$111.52
−$1.15 (-1.0%)

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
No 27.5¢400 shares
27.5¢→27.5¢
$110.00
$400.01
$110.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 14.0¢800 shares
14.0¢→13.8¢
$112.40
$800.01
$110.00
−$2.40 (-2.1%)

Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North?
Yes 26.0¢366.1 shares
26.0¢→29.5¢
$95.28
$366.11
$108.00
+$12.72 (+13.4%)

Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
Yes 44¢150 shares
44¢→72¢
$66.00
$150.00
$108.00
+$42.00 (+63.6%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 26.1¢400 shares
26.1¢→27.0¢
$104.53
$400.00
$107.80
+$3.27 (+3.1%)

Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
No 87.1¢236.9 shares
87.1¢→44¢
$206.33
$236.93
$104.25
−$102.08 (-49.5%)

Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?
No 93.3¢108.4 shares
93.3¢→93.7¢
$101.15
$108.41
$101.53
+$0.38 (+0.4%)

Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2026 AFC West?
No 67¢149.5 shares
67¢→67.5¢
$100.19
$149.53
$100.94
+$0.75 (+0.7%)

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 99.2¢100 shares
99.2¢→99.2¢
$99.22
$100.02
$99.17
−$0.05 (-0.0%)

Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2026 AFC North?
No 66¢147.1 shares
66¢→66.5¢
$97.06
$147.06
$97.79
+$0.74 (+0.8%)

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
No 70.3¢98.4 shares
70.3¢→98.8¢
$69.17
$98.39
$97.16
+$27.99 (+40.5%)

Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Yes 23¢372.7 shares
23¢→24.5¢
$85.73
$372.73
$91.32
+$5.59 (+6.5%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 85.6¢100 shares
85.6¢→90.5¢
$85.63
$100.01
$90.51
+$4.88 (+5.7%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No 46.0¢204.7 shares
46.0¢→43.5¢
$94.14
$204.67
$89.03
−$5.11 (-5.4%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 15.0¢573.1 shares
15.0¢→14.9¢
$85.87
$573.12
$85.68
−$0.19 (-0.2%)
