Joined August 2025
Total earnings
$53,526.37
1D
$2.3K
7D
$1.8K
30D
−$5.3K
90D
$27.6K
Total volume
$12.49M
Predictions
2,202
Positions value
$13.9K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$56.8K
LP+$3.8K
Maker+$1.6K
Yield+$28.64
Taker+$532.80
Fees−$9.2K
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
No 81.6¢5.0K shares
81.6¢→89.5¢
$4.1K
$5.0K
$4.5K
+$394.79 (+9.7%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 16.3¢8.5K shares
16.3¢→39.5¢
$1.4K
$8.5K
$3.4K
+$2.0K (+141.9%)
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 63.0¢3.6K shares
63.0¢→57.7¢
$2.3K
$3.6K
$2.1K
−$192.63 (-8.5%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 56.0¢2.5K shares
56.0¢→56.5¢
$1.4K
$2.5K
$1.4K
+$12.25 (+0.9%)
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No 32.3¢3.0K shares
32.3¢→20¢
$957.98
$3.0K
$594.05
−$363.92 (-38.0%)
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
No 42.9¢785.1 shares
42.9¢→69.5¢
$336.84
$785.12
$545.58
+$208.74 (+62.0%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Yes 2.7¢1.5K shares
2.7¢→31.1¢
$40.00
$1.5K
$467.25
+$427.25 (+1068.2%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
Yes 9.7¢3.1K shares
9.7¢→5.5¢
$299.99
$3.1K
$170.53
−$129.46 (-43.2%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
Yes 11.4¢1.1K shares
11.4¢→11.5¢
$125.30
$1.1K
$126.82
+$1.51 (+1.2%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
Yes 16.1¢1.4K shares
16.1¢→8.5¢
$225.93
$1.4K
$118.25
−$107.68 (-47.7%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Yes 2.6¢10.5K shares
2.6¢→1.1¢
$276.49
$10.5K
$115.50
−$160.99 (-58.2%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Yes 12.4¢3.0K shares
12.4¢→2.9¢
$380.00
$3.0K
$86.92
−$293.07 (-77.1%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
No 8¢3.0K shares
8¢→2.6¢
$240.00
$3.0K
$79.50
−$160.50 (-66.9%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?
Yes 2¢5.0K shares
2¢→1.4¢
$100.00
$5.0K
$67.50
−$32.50 (-32.5%)
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Yes 3¢1.6K shares
3¢→3.0¢
$48.00
$1.6K
$48.80
+$0.80 (+1.7%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 5.6¢3.5K shares
5.6¢→1.3¢
$198.00
$3.5K
$44.12
−$153.88 (-77.7%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 12¢207 shares
12¢→12.6¢
$24.84
$206.97
$25.97
+$1.14 (+4.6%)
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 24, 2026?
Yes 7.0¢1,000 shares
7.0¢→2.5¢
$70.00
$999.99
$25.00
−$45.00 (-64.3%)
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Yes 23.4¢6.5K shares
23.4¢→0.4¢
$1.5K
$6.5K
$22.62
−$1.5K (-98.5%)
Will Pep Guardiola be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
Yes 20.3¢1.4K shares
20.3¢→1.3¢
$285.00
$1.4K
$17.59
−$267.41 (-93.8%)
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?
Yes 49.3¢121.4 shares
49.3¢→8.5¢
$59.88
$121.39
$10.32
−$49.57 (-82.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
No 3¢2.5K shares
3¢→0.4¢
$75.00
$2.5K
$8.75
−$66.25 (-88.3%)
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Yes 12¢300 shares
12¢→2.3¢
$36.00
$300.00
$6.90
−$29.10 (-80.8%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Yes 4.8¢1.2K shares
4.8¢→0.5¢
$60.00
$1.2K
$6.82
−$53.18 (-88.6%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?
Yes 0.3¢4.5K shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$11.73
$4.5K
$6.69
−$5.04 (-43.0%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 70.9¢3.5 shares
70.9¢→68.5¢
$2.49
$3.51
$2.40
−$0.09 (-3.4%)
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Yes 10.6¢377.9 shares
10.6¢→0.6¢
$40.00
$377.89
$2.27
−$37.73 (-94.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?
No 3.7¢2.8K shares
3.7¢→0.1¢
$102.50
$2.8K
$1.40
−$101.10 (-98.6%)
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?
Yes 20.3¢2.8K shares
20.3¢→0.1¢
$559.49
$2.8K
$1.38
−$558.12 (-99.8%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?
Yes 0.6¢114 shares
0.6¢→0.8¢
$0.68
$114.00
$0.86
+$0.17 (+25.0%)
Will Antonio Conte be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
Yes 8¢500 shares
8¢→0.1¢
$40.00
$500.00
$0.25
−$39.75 (-99.4%)
Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?
Yes 8¢200 shares
8¢→0.1¢
$16.00
$200.00
$0.10
−$15.90 (-99.4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
No 2.1¢5.1K shares
2.1¢→0¢
$109.82
$5.1K
Lost
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 12, 2026?
No 5.1¢13 shares
5.1¢→0¢
$0.66
$13.00
Lost
Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?
No 0.9¢3.0K shares
0.9¢→0¢
$26.98
$3.0K
Lost
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?
No 10¢500 shares
10¢→0¢
$50.00
$499.99
Lost