Joined October 2025

Total earnings

$79,219.20
1D
−$158.53
7D
$4.6K
30D
$14.62
90D
$9.3K
Total volume
$14.71M
Predictions
64,552
Positions value
$81.2K
Performance
+$60.5K
+$15.7K
+$4.1K
+$11.08
+$100.52
$1.7K
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Yes 19.7¢357 shares
$246.29
+$175.88 (+249.8%)
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?
No 77.0¢188.2 shares
$178.77
+$33.82 (+23.3%)
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?
No 87.1¢161.6 shares
$160.70
+$19.96 (+14.2%)
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
No 87.6¢173.3 shares
$152.56
+$0.81 (+0.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat?
No 95.2¢156.4 shares
$146.91
−$1.95 (-1.3%)
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 88.6¢148.1 shares
$139.46
+$8.19 (+6.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?
No 95.9¢142.2 shares
$139.16
+$2.77 (+2.0%)
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 90.6¢145 shares
$138.93
+$7.49 (+5.7%)
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
No 70.5¢138.4 shares
$138.23
+$40.57 (+41.5%)
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?
No 90.6¢148.9 shares
$137.10
+$2.18 (+1.6%)
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No 79.8¢165.4 shares
$135.41
+$3.46 (+2.6%)
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes 79.4¢182.8 shares
$135.28
−$9.86 (-6.8%)
Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 96.1¢137.3 shares
$134.78
+$2.81 (+2.1%)
Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?
No 74.2¢167.5 shares
$133.96
+$9.73 (+7.8%)
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Yes 80.0¢154.3 shares
$133.48
+$10.03 (+8.1%)
Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?
No 85¢154.4 shares
$131.27
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?
No 91.5¢132.9 shares
$126.35
+$4.78 (+3.9%)
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No 62.8¢128.3 shares
$125.16
+$44.54 (+55.3%)
Kash Patel out by July 31?
No 89.5¢126.8 shares
$124.73
+$11.31 (+10.0%)
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
No 77.4¢155.8 shares
$124.66
+$3.99 (+3.3%)
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
No 50.0¢238.5 shares
$121.65
+$2.39 (+2.0%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 39.8¢129.9 shares
$120.64
+$68.95 (+133.4%)
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
No 86.5¢136 shares
$120.29
+$2.65 (+2.3%)
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
No 84¢119.9 shares
$119.86
+$19.13 (+19.0%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 83¢140 shares
$119.70
+$3.50 (+3.0%)
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by July 31?
No 78.9¢126.6 shares
$115.84
+$15.91 (+15.9%)
Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
No 77.4¢121.5 shares
$114.22
+$20.16 (+21.4%)
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
No 88.9¢126.2 shares
$114.21
+$2.01 (+1.8%)
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?
No 81.4¢118.5 shares
$108.40
+$11.94 (+12.4%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
No 93.9¢112.9 shares
$108.03
+$2.03 (+1.9%)
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
No 72.6¢118.9 shares
$107.80
+$21.51 (+24.9%)
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?
No 65.0¢122.5 shares
$107.17
+$27.54 (+34.6%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No 76.8¢132.5 shares
$106.55
+$4.74 (+4.7%)
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No 76.0¢122.3 shares
$105.85
+$12.91 (+13.9%)
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 95.8¢107 shares
$105.72
+$3.26 (+3.2%)
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
Yes 39.1¢159.5 shares
$105.29
+$42.92 (+68.8%)
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No 63¢147.2 shares
$103.81
+$11.04 (+11.9%)
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?
No 68.6¢116.2 shares
$101.06
+$21.33 (+26.8%)
Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027?
No 82.7¢105.8 shares
$100.48
+$12.96 (+14.8%)
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch
No 82¢143.4 shares
$100.36
−$17.20 (-14.6%)
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
No 77.0¢114.1 shares
$99.85
+$11.98 (+13.6%)
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?
No 59.4¢114.3 shares
$99.27
+$31.38 (+46.2%)
Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
No 81.3¢99.5 shares
$99.17
+$18.23 (+22.5%)
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 89¢100 shares
$98.10
+$9.09 (+10.2%)
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 91.8¢97.3 shares
$97.17
+$7.78 (+8.7%)
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?
No 91.9¢130.9 shares
$96.84
−$23.41 (-19.5%)
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?
No 83.8¢105.8 shares
$96.83
+$8.15 (+9.2%)
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No 72.6¢105.8 shares
$96.76
+$19.97 (+26.0%)
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?
No 82.3¢100.7 shares
$96.47
+$13.59 (+16.4%)
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
No 80.4¢113.9 shares
$96.45
+$4.87 (+5.3%)
Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
No 84¢95.7 shares
$95.48
+$15.08 (+18.7%)
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
No 78¢109.4 shares
$95.17
+$9.84 (+11.5%)
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
No 64.3¢102.5 shares
$92.26
+$26.36 (+40.0%)
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?
No 78.1¢129.8 shares
$92.16
−$9.26 (-9.1%)
Will XRP reach $1.20 in July?
No 83¢111.6 shares
$92.10
−$0.56 (-0.6%)
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
No 89.5¢92.6 shares
$91.92
+$9.03 (+10.9%)
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No 75.2¢114.8 shares
$90.66
+$4.36 (+5.1%)
Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?
No 85.1¢104.8 shares
$90.55
+$1.31 (+1.5%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
No 90.1¢96.4 shares
$90.28
+$3.42 (+3.9%)
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?
No 51.4¢131.5 shares
$90.07
+$22.53 (+33.4%)
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 61.6¢126.7 shares
$89.94
+$11.89 (+15.2%)
Will at least 25 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
Yes 25¢96.1 shares
$89.84
+$65.82 (+274.0%)
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?
No 75.6¢102.8 shares
$88.93
+$11.21 (+14.4%)
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
Yes 57.2¢166.2 shares
$88.92
−$6.22 (-6.5%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
No 84.4¢100.2 shares
$88.89
+$4.37 (+5.2%)
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
No 82¢103.6 shares
$88.10
+$3.11 (+3.7%)
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?
No 73.1¢108.9 shares
$87.64
+$8.08 (+10.2%)
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?
No 71.4¢106.8 shares
$87.61
+$11.36 (+14.9%)
Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
No 84.8¢102.4 shares
$87.53
+$0.76 (+0.9%)
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?
No 79.3¢110.8 shares
$86.95
−$0.92 (-1.0%)
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 93.8¢88 shares
$86.68
+$4.09 (+5.0%)
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
No 72.0¢112.1 shares
$86.30
+$5.60 (+6.9%)
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 71.9¢94.7 shares
$86.17
+$18.04 (+26.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?
No 82.0¢100.1 shares
$86.05
+$4.00 (+4.9%)
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
No 79¢91.9 shares
$85.51
+$12.87 (+17.7%)
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
No 87.0¢96.8 shares
$85.42
+$1.21 (+1.4%)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
No 50.1¢116.5 shares
$84.48
+$26.05 (+44.6%)
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
No 70.2¢108.9 shares
$84.37
+$7.95 (+10.4%)
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
No 85.8¢93.4 shares
$84.33
+$4.20 (+5.2%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
No 56.8¢93.1 shares
$83.75
+$30.90 (+58.5%)
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
No 83.4¢102.8 shares
$83.66
−$2.07 (-2.4%)
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
No 85¢97.8 shares
$83.58
+$0.49 (+0.6%)
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No 85.5¢91.5 shares
$83.28
+$4.99 (+6.4%)
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Yes 28.4¢186.6 shares
$83.02
+$30.00 (+56.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?
No 89¢100 shares
$82.00
−$7.00 (-7.9%)
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?
No 68.9¢94.8 shares
$80.62
+$15.25 (+23.3%)
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%?
No 69.9¢97.1 shares
$79.58
+$11.73 (+17.3%)
Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No 43.0¢128.9 shares
$79.26
+$23.80 (+42.9%)
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?
No 48.3¢105.9 shares
$78.40
+$27.19 (+53.1%)
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
No 75.3¢88.8 shares
$78.23
+$11.34 (+16.9%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by July 31, 2026?
No 71¢83.7 shares
$77.00
+$17.58 (+29.6%)
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?
No 75.8¢104 shares
$76.95
−$1.85 (-2.3%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
No 79.1¢79.3 shares
$76.43
+$13.71 (+21.9%)
Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
No 95.3¢78.4 shares
$76.04
+$1.33 (+1.8%)
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 45 by July 31?
No 28.0¢77 shares
$75.71
+$54.16 (+251.2%)
Will PPI YoY be 6.0% or more in July?
No 90.8¢80 shares
$75.60
+$3.00 (+4.1%)
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?
No 20.9¢140 shares
$75.60
+$46.27 (+157.8%)
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?
No 85.6¢82 shares
$75.31
+$5.16 (+7.4%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
No 79.4¢91.5 shares
$75.10
+$2.50 (+3.4%)
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 65¢114.2 shares
$74.80
+$0.57 (+0.8%)