AJSV
Flex cardJoined October 2025
Total earnings
$79,219.20
1D
−$158.53
7D
$4.6K
30D
$14.62
90D
$9.3K
Total volume
$14.71M
Predictions
64,552
Positions value
$81.2K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$60.5K
LP+$15.7K
Maker+$4.1K
Yield+$11.08
Taker+$100.52
Fees−$1.7K

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Yes 19.7¢357 shares
19.7¢→69.0¢
$70.41
$357.00
$246.29
+$175.88 (+249.8%)

Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027?
No 77.0¢188.2 shares
77.0¢→95¢
$144.95
$188.18
$178.77
+$33.82 (+23.3%)
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m?
No 87.1¢161.6 shares
87.1¢→99.5¢
$140.73
$161.59
$160.70
+$19.96 (+14.2%)

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?
No 87.6¢173.3 shares
87.6¢→88.0¢
$151.75
$173.27
$152.56
+$0.81 (+0.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the IL-04 House seat?
No 95.2¢156.4 shares
95.2¢→94.0¢
$148.86
$156.37
$146.91
−$1.95 (-1.3%)
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 88.6¢148.1 shares
88.6¢→94.2¢
$131.27
$148.12
$139.46
+$8.19 (+6.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-10 House seat?
No 95.9¢142.2 shares
95.9¢→97.9¢
$136.39
$142.22
$139.16
+$2.77 (+2.0%)

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 90.6¢145 shares
90.6¢→95.8¢
$131.43
$145.02
$138.93
+$7.49 (+5.7%)

Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
No 70.5¢138.4 shares
70.5¢→99.9¢
$97.66
$138.44
$138.23
+$40.57 (+41.5%)

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?
No 90.6¢148.9 shares
90.6¢→92.0¢
$134.92
$148.94
$137.10
+$2.18 (+1.6%)

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No 79.8¢165.4 shares
79.8¢→81.9¢
$131.96
$165.36
$135.41
+$3.46 (+2.6%)

Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes 79.4¢182.8 shares
79.4¢→74¢
$145.14
$182.81
$135.28
−$9.86 (-6.8%)

Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 96.1¢137.3 shares
96.1¢→98.2¢
$131.97
$137.25
$134.78
+$2.81 (+2.1%)

Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?
No 74.2¢167.5 shares
74.2¢→80¢
$124.23
$167.45
$133.96
+$9.73 (+7.8%)

Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Yes 80.0¢154.3 shares
80.0¢→86.5¢
$123.45
$154.31
$133.48
+$10.03 (+8.1%)

Will USD/JPY hit 175 (High) in 2026?
No 85¢154.4 shares
85¢→85¢
$131.27
$154.44
$131.27
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?
No 91.5¢132.9 shares
91.5¢→95.1¢
$121.57
$132.86
$126.35
+$4.78 (+3.9%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No 62.8¢128.3 shares
62.8¢→97.5¢
$80.61
$128.30
$125.16
+$44.54 (+55.3%)

Kash Patel out by July 31?
No 89.5¢126.8 shares
89.5¢→98.4¢
$113.42
$126.76
$124.73
+$11.31 (+10.0%)

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
No 77.4¢155.8 shares
77.4¢→80¢
$120.68
$155.83
$124.66
+$3.99 (+3.3%)

Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
No 50.0¢238.5 shares
50.0¢→51¢
$119.26
$238.53
$121.65
+$2.39 (+2.0%)

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 39.8¢129.9 shares
39.8¢→92.9¢
$51.68
$129.86
$120.64
+$68.95 (+133.4%)

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
No 86.5¢136 shares
86.5¢→88.4¢
$117.64
$136.00
$120.29
+$2.65 (+2.3%)
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
No 84¢119.9 shares
84¢→100.0¢
$100.73
$119.92
$119.86
+$19.13 (+19.0%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 83¢140 shares
83¢→85.5¢
$116.20
$140.00
$119.70
+$3.50 (+3.0%)

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by July 31?
No 78.9¢126.6 shares
78.9¢→91.5¢
$99.93
$126.60
$115.84
+$15.91 (+15.9%)

Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
No 77.4¢121.5 shares
77.4¢→94¢
$94.06
$121.51
$114.22
+$20.16 (+21.4%)

Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
No 88.9¢126.2 shares
88.9¢→90.5¢
$112.20
$126.20
$114.21
+$2.01 (+1.8%)

Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?
No 81.4¢118.5 shares
81.4¢→91.5¢
$96.47
$118.47
$108.40
+$11.94 (+12.4%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
No 93.9¢112.9 shares
93.9¢→95.7¢
$105.99
$112.88
$108.03
+$2.03 (+1.9%)

Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
No 72.6¢118.9 shares
72.6¢→90.7¢
$86.29
$118.85
$107.80
+$21.51 (+24.9%)
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?
No 65.0¢122.5 shares
65.0¢→87.5¢
$79.63
$122.49
$107.17
+$27.54 (+34.6%)

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No 76.8¢132.5 shares
76.8¢→80.4¢
$101.81
$132.52
$106.55
+$4.74 (+4.7%)

Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No 76.0¢122.3 shares
76.0¢→86.6¢
$92.94
$122.30
$105.85
+$12.91 (+13.9%)

Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 95.8¢107 shares
95.8¢→98.9¢
$102.46
$106.95
$105.72
+$3.26 (+3.2%)

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
Yes 39.1¢159.5 shares
39.1¢→66¢
$62.37
$159.53
$105.29
+$42.92 (+68.8%)

Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No 63¢147.2 shares
63¢→70.5¢
$92.77
$147.25
$103.81
+$11.04 (+11.9%)
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?
No 68.6¢116.2 shares
68.6¢→87¢
$79.73
$116.16
$101.06
+$21.33 (+26.8%)

Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027?
No 82.7¢105.8 shares
82.7¢→95.0¢
$87.51
$105.82
$100.48
+$12.96 (+14.8%)

Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch
No 82¢143.4 shares
82¢→70¢
$117.56
$143.37
$100.36
−$17.20 (-14.6%)

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
No 77.0¢114.1 shares
77.0¢→87.5¢
$87.87
$114.11
$99.85
+$11.98 (+13.6%)

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?
No 59.4¢114.3 shares
59.4¢→86.9¢
$67.90
$114.30
$99.27
+$31.38 (+46.2%)

Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
No 81.3¢99.5 shares
81.3¢→99.7¢
$80.94
$99.52
$99.17
+$18.23 (+22.5%)

Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 89¢100 shares
89¢→98.1¢
$89.00
$100.00
$98.10
+$9.09 (+10.2%)

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 91.8¢97.3 shares
91.8¢→99.9¢
$89.39
$97.32
$97.17
+$7.78 (+8.7%)
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?
No 91.9¢130.9 shares
91.9¢→74¢
$120.25
$130.87
$96.84
−$23.41 (-19.5%)

Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?
No 83.8¢105.8 shares
83.8¢→91.5¢
$88.68
$105.82
$96.83
+$8.15 (+9.2%)

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No 72.6¢105.8 shares
72.6¢→91.5¢
$76.79
$105.75
$96.76
+$19.97 (+26.0%)

Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?
No 82.3¢100.7 shares
82.3¢→95.8¢
$82.88
$100.70
$96.47
+$13.59 (+16.4%)

Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
No 80.4¢113.9 shares
80.4¢→84.7¢
$91.59
$113.88
$96.45
+$4.87 (+5.3%)
Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
No 84¢95.7 shares
84¢→99.8¢
$80.40
$95.71
$95.48
+$15.08 (+18.7%)

Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
No 78¢109.4 shares
78¢→87¢
$85.33
$109.39
$95.17
+$9.84 (+11.5%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
No 64.3¢102.5 shares
64.3¢→90¢
$65.90
$102.51
$92.26
+$26.36 (+40.0%)

Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?
No 78.1¢129.8 shares
78.1¢→71¢
$101.42
$129.81
$92.16
−$9.26 (-9.1%)

Will XRP reach $1.20 in July?
No 83¢111.6 shares
83¢→82.5¢
$92.66
$111.64
$92.10
−$0.56 (-0.6%)

Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
No 89.5¢92.6 shares
89.5¢→99.3¢
$82.89
$92.62
$91.92
+$9.03 (+10.9%)

GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No 75.2¢114.8 shares
75.2¢→79¢
$86.30
$114.76
$90.66
+$4.36 (+5.1%)

Will Jordan Herrera be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?
No 85.1¢104.8 shares
85.1¢→86.4¢
$89.23
$104.80
$90.55
+$1.31 (+1.5%)

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
No 90.1¢96.4 shares
90.1¢→93.7¢
$86.86
$96.40
$90.28
+$3.42 (+3.9%)

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?
No 51.4¢131.5 shares
51.4¢→68.5¢
$67.55
$131.49
$90.07
+$22.53 (+33.4%)

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 61.6¢126.7 shares
61.6¢→71¢
$78.05
$126.67
$89.94
+$11.89 (+15.2%)

Will at least 25 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?
Yes 25¢96.1 shares
25¢→93.5¢
$24.02
$96.08
$89.84
+$65.82 (+274.0%)
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?
No 75.6¢102.8 shares
75.6¢→86.5¢
$77.72
$102.81
$88.93
+$11.21 (+14.4%)
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?
Yes 57.2¢166.2 shares
57.2¢→53.5¢
$95.13
$166.20
$88.92
−$6.22 (-6.5%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
No 84.4¢100.2 shares
84.4¢→88.8¢
$84.52
$100.16
$88.89
+$4.37 (+5.2%)

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
No 82¢103.6 shares
82¢→85¢
$84.99
$103.64
$88.10
+$3.11 (+3.7%)

Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?
No 73.1¢108.9 shares
73.1¢→80.5¢
$79.56
$108.86
$87.64
+$8.08 (+10.2%)
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?
No 71.4¢106.8 shares
71.4¢→82¢
$76.25
$106.84
$87.61
+$11.36 (+14.9%)

Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
No 84.8¢102.4 shares
84.8¢→85.5¢
$86.77
$102.37
$87.53
+$0.76 (+0.9%)
Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?
No 79.3¢110.8 shares
79.3¢→78.5¢
$87.87
$110.76
$86.95
−$0.92 (-1.0%)

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 93.8¢88 shares
93.8¢→98.5¢
$82.59
$88.04
$86.68
+$4.09 (+5.0%)

Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
No 72.0¢112.1 shares
72.0¢→77¢
$80.70
$112.08
$86.30
+$5.60 (+6.9%)

Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 71.9¢94.7 shares
71.9¢→91.0¢
$68.12
$94.74
$86.17
+$18.04 (+26.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.15T by July 31?
No 82.0¢100.1 shares
82.0¢→86¢
$82.05
$100.06
$86.05
+$4.00 (+4.9%)

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
No 79¢91.9 shares
79¢→93¢
$72.63
$91.94
$85.51
+$12.87 (+17.7%)

Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
No 87.0¢96.8 shares
87.0¢→88.3¢
$84.21
$96.79
$85.42
+$1.21 (+1.4%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
No 50.1¢116.5 shares
50.1¢→72.5¢
$58.43
$116.52
$84.48
+$26.05 (+44.6%)

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
No 70.2¢108.9 shares
70.2¢→77.5¢
$76.42
$108.86
$84.37
+$7.95 (+10.4%)

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
No 85.8¢93.4 shares
85.8¢→90.3¢
$80.13
$93.39
$84.33
+$4.20 (+5.2%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
No 56.8¢93.1 shares
56.8¢→90.0¢
$52.85
$93.11
$83.75
+$30.90 (+58.5%)
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
No 83.4¢102.8 shares
83.4¢→81.3¢
$85.74
$102.84
$83.66
−$2.07 (-2.4%)

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
No 85¢97.8 shares
85¢→85.5¢
$83.09
$97.75
$83.58
+$0.49 (+0.6%)

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No 85.5¢91.5 shares
85.5¢→91¢
$78.29
$91.51
$83.28
+$4.99 (+6.4%)

Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?
Yes 28.4¢186.6 shares
28.4¢→44.5¢
$53.03
$186.57
$83.02
+$30.00 (+56.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?
No 89¢100 shares
89¢→82¢
$89.00
$100.00
$82.00
−$7.00 (-7.9%)
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?
No 68.9¢94.8 shares
68.9¢→85¢
$65.37
$94.84
$80.62
+$15.25 (+23.3%)
CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%?
No 69.9¢97.1 shares
69.9¢→82¢
$67.85
$97.05
$79.58
+$11.73 (+17.3%)

Will Noble launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No 43.0¢128.9 shares
43.0¢→61.5¢
$55.46
$128.88
$79.26
+$23.80 (+42.9%)

Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?
No 48.3¢105.9 shares
48.3¢→74¢
$51.21
$105.94
$78.40
+$27.19 (+53.1%)

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
No 75.3¢88.8 shares
75.3¢→88.0¢
$66.89
$88.84
$78.23
+$11.34 (+16.9%)

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by July 31, 2026?
No 71¢83.7 shares
71¢→92¢
$59.43
$83.70
$77.00
+$17.58 (+29.6%)

Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?
No 75.8¢104 shares
75.8¢→74¢
$78.79
$103.98
$76.95
−$1.85 (-2.3%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
No 79.1¢79.3 shares
79.1¢→96.4¢
$62.72
$79.33
$76.43
+$13.71 (+21.9%)

Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
No 95.3¢78.4 shares
95.3¢→97¢
$74.71
$78.39
$76.04
+$1.33 (+1.8%)

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 45 by July 31?
No 28.0¢77 shares
28.0¢→98.4¢
$21.55
$76.98
$75.71
+$54.16 (+251.2%)
Will PPI YoY be 6.0% or more in July?
No 90.8¢80 shares
90.8¢→94.5¢
$72.60
$80.00
$75.60
+$3.00 (+4.1%)

Luigi Mangione tried before 2027?
No 20.9¢140 shares
20.9¢→54¢
$29.32
$140.00
$75.60
+$46.27 (+157.8%)

Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?
No 85.6¢82 shares
85.6¢→91.9¢
$70.15
$81.95
$75.31
+$5.16 (+7.4%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
No 79.4¢91.5 shares
79.4¢→82.1¢
$72.60
$91.47
$75.10
+$2.50 (+3.4%)

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 65¢114.2 shares
65¢→65.5¢
$74.23
$114.20
$74.80
+$0.57 (+0.8%)
