Joined August 2024
Total earnings
$748,613.01
1D
$7.8K
7D
$27.7K
30D
$72.0K
90D
$308.4K
Total volume
$66.23M
Predictions
5,678
Positions value
$331.3K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$745.0K
LP+$13.0K
Maker+$6.0K
Yield+$281.51
Taker+$1.4K
Fees−$16.9K
Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 95.2¢56.7K shares
95.2¢→98.0¢
$54.0K
$56.7K
$55.6K
+$1.6K (+3.0%)
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
No 99.6¢22.7K shares
99.6¢→99.8¢
$22.6K
$22.7K
$22.6K
+$43.41 (+0.2%)
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 90.3¢22.7K shares
90.3¢→88.4¢
$20.5K
$22.7K
$20.0K
−$426.78 (-2.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 88.3¢17.8K shares
88.3¢→84.5¢
$15.7K
$17.8K
$15.0K
−$677.73 (-4.3%)
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
No 91.0¢14.8K shares
91.0¢→93.5¢
$13.5K
$14.8K
$13.9K
+$368.72 (+2.7%)
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No 95.3¢14.0K shares
95.3¢→95.7¢
$13.3K
$14.0K
$13.4K
+$48.66 (+0.4%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 83.4¢14.0K shares
83.4¢→78.5¢
$11.7K
$14.0K
$11.0K
−$683.44 (-5.8%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 98.6¢10.0K shares
98.6¢→99.3¢
$9.9K
$10.0K
$10.0K
+$60.22 (+0.6%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
No 92.7¢9.9K shares
92.7¢→97.2¢
$9.2K
$9.9K
$9.6K
+$438.10 (+4.8%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
No 98.6¢9.6K shares
98.6¢→99.5¢
$9.5K
$9.6K
$9.5K
+$86.34 (+0.9%)
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?
No 91.3¢9.9K shares
91.3¢→95.9¢
$9.0K
$9.9K
$9.4K
+$448.53 (+5.0%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 94.2¢13.8K shares
94.2¢→68.3¢
$13.0K
$13.8K
$9.4K
−$3.6K (-27.5%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 67.3¢11.9K shares
67.3¢→67.5¢
$8.0K
$11.9K
$8.0K
+$20.19 (+0.3%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 66.9¢10.8K shares
66.9¢→69.5¢
$7.2K
$10.8K
$7.5K
+$282.24 (+3.9%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
No 62.8¢10.8K shares
62.8¢→65.5¢
$6.8K
$10.8K
$7.1K
+$292.03 (+4.3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
No 93.8¢7.1K shares
93.8¢→99.3¢
$6.7K
$7.1K
$7.1K
+$392.07 (+5.9%)
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
No 98.7¢5.7K shares
98.7¢→98.9¢
$5.6K
$5.7K
$5.6K
+$12.52 (+0.2%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
No 98.4¢5.6K shares
98.4¢→98.7¢
$5.5K
$5.6K
$5.5K
+$19.14 (+0.3%)
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
No 99.4¢5.5K shares
99.4¢→99.9¢
$5.4K
$5.5K
$5.5K
+$22.48 (+0.4%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
No 94.5¢5.4K shares
94.5¢→94.8¢
$5.1K
$5.4K
$5.1K
+$14.61 (+0.3%)
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Yes 38.5¢12.9K shares
38.5¢→39.5¢
$5.0K
$12.9K
$5.1K
+$130.55 (+2.6%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
Yes 55.1¢8.3K shares
55.1¢→58.5¢
$4.6K
$8.3K
$4.9K
+$285.60 (+6.2%)
Iran leadership change by August 31?
No 90.7¢4.9K shares
90.7¢→92.5¢
$4.5K
$4.9K
$4.6K
+$87.29 (+2.0%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 31.0¢16.7K shares
31.0¢→25.8¢
$5.2K
$16.7K
$4.3K
−$870.75 (-16.8%)
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
No 98.3¢4.2K shares
98.3¢→99.0¢
$4.1K
$4.2K
$4.2K
+$29.32 (+0.7%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
No 93.0¢4.0K shares
93.0¢→94.5¢
$3.7K
$4.0K
$3.8K
+$59.99 (+1.6%)
Iran leadership change by September 30?
No 84¢4.1K shares
84¢→88¢
$3.5K
$4.1K
$3.6K
+$164.93 (+4.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 73¢3.6K shares
73¢→99.6¢
$2.7K
$3.6K
$3.6K
+$966.65 (+36.4%)
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 64.8¢5.6K shares
64.8¢→59.1¢
$3.7K
$5.6K
$3.3K
−$325.81 (-8.9%)
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
No 93.3¢3.3K shares
93.3¢→97.2¢
$3.1K
$3.3K
$3.2K
+$127.01 (+4.1%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 36.2¢8.0K shares
36.2¢→38.5¢
$2.9K
$8.0K
$3.1K
+$183.66 (+6.4%)
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
No 63¢4.2K shares
63¢→72.5¢
$2.6K
$4.2K
$3.0K
+$397.55 (+15.1%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 77.8¢3.3K shares
77.8¢→76.5¢
$2.6K
$3.3K
$2.5K
−$41.13 (-1.6%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 59.1¢3.9K shares
59.1¢→58.5¢
$2.3K
$3.9K
$2.3K
−$23.30 (-1.0%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
No 58.6¢2.9K shares
58.6¢→66.5¢
$1.7K
$2.9K
$2.0K
+$233.01 (+13.5%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 77¢2.2K shares
77¢→83.5¢
$1.7K
$2.2K
$1.9K
+$145.82 (+8.4%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 28.4¢4.9K shares
28.4¢→37.5¢
$1.4K
$4.9K
$1.9K
+$447.56 (+31.9%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Yes 50.6¢4.5K shares
50.6¢→34¢
$2.3K
$4.5K
$1.5K
−$746.23 (-32.8%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
No 63.5¢2.0K shares
63.5¢→78.0¢
$1.2K
$2.0K
$1.5K
+$282.47 (+22.8%)
Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?
No 91.6¢1.5K shares
91.6¢→94.4¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$42.60 (+3.1%)
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?
Yes 96.0¢1.4K shares
96.0¢→99.7¢
$1.4K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$52.33 (+3.8%)
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
No 79.6¢1.5K shares
79.6¢→89.5¢
$1.2K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$151.35 (+12.3%)
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No 66.6¢1.4K shares
66.6¢→91.5¢
$954.70
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$357.67 (+37.5%)
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
No 78.9¢1.4K shares
78.9¢→91¢
$1.1K
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$167.78 (+15.3%)
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
No 75.1¢1.5K shares
75.1¢→79.5¢
$1.1K
$1.5K
$1.2K
+$65.77 (+5.9%)
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No 85.4¢1.2K shares
85.4¢→95.3¢
$989.77
$1.2K
$1.1K
+$113.89 (+11.5%)
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026?
No 87.8¢1.2K shares
87.8¢→94.5¢
$1.0K
$1.2K
$1.1K
+$77.29 (+7.6%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
No 94.9¢999 shares
94.9¢→97.9¢
$948.05
$999.00
$978.02
+$29.97 (+3.2%)
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
No 82.9¢961.7 shares
82.9¢→98.5¢
$797.36
$961.68
$946.77
+$149.41 (+18.7%)
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 15.2¢7.9K shares
15.2¢→11.5¢
$1.2K
$7.9K
$908.17
−$295.08 (-24.5%)
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 94.3¢916.6 shares
94.3¢→96.0¢
$864.37
$916.62
$879.49
+$15.12 (+1.7%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes 6.7¢12.3K shares
6.7¢→6.9¢
$831.62
$12.3K
$845.00
+$13.37 (+1.6%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
No 63.3¢1.1K shares
63.3¢→75.5¢
$703.85
$1.1K
$839.78
+$135.93 (+19.3%)
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No 94.1¢835.7 shares
94.1¢→97.8¢
$786.67
$835.70
$816.90
+$30.23 (+3.8%)
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No 37.0¢2.7K shares
37.0¢→25.5¢
$982.85
$2.7K
$677.10
−$305.75 (-31.1%)
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?
No 86¢664.1 shares
86¢→87.5¢
$571.10
$664.07
$581.06
+$9.96 (+1.7%)
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
No 95.6¢567.5 shares
95.6¢→99.6¢
$542.54
$567.51
$565.24
+$22.70 (+4.2%)
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
No 57.7¢589.1 shares
57.7¢→60.5¢
$339.88
$589.05
$356.38
+$16.49 (+4.9%)
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?
Yes 21¢1.4K shares
21¢→17.5¢
$296.60
$1.4K
$247.17
−$49.43 (-16.7%)
Hurupay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No 96.4¢184 shares
96.4¢→98.6¢
$177.35
$184.00
$181.33
+$3.99 (+2.2%)
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Yes 6¢2.3K shares
6¢→7.5¢
$137.66
$2.3K
$172.07
+$34.41 (+25.0%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 74¢200 shares
74¢→78.5¢
$148.00
$200.00
$157.00
+$9.00 (+6.1%)
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 1:00-2:59?
No 96.8¢136.8 shares
96.8¢→99.6¢
$132.35
$136.78
$136.23
+$3.88 (+2.9%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
Yes 90¢107.8 shares
90¢→99.8¢
$96.99
$107.77
$107.55
+$10.56 (+10.9%)
Hurupay FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No 96.2¢105.3 shares
96.2¢→99.2¢
$101.27
$105.29
$104.40
+$3.13 (+3.1%)
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 3:00-4:59?
No 92.0¢91.1 shares
92.0¢→100.0¢
$83.78
$91.11
$91.06
+$7.29 (+8.7%)
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
No 92.8¢72.3 shares
92.8¢→99.1¢
$67.07
$72.26
$71.57
+$4.50 (+6.7%)
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
No 82.0¢41.1 shares
82.0¢→99.5¢
$33.67
$41.07
$40.84
+$7.17 (+21.3%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?
No 90¢33.6 shares
90¢→95.5¢
$30.24
$33.60
$32.09
+$1.85 (+6.1%)
Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 88.7¢33.5 shares
88.7¢→94.7¢
$29.75
$33.52
$31.73
+$1.98 (+6.7%)
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?
No 87.0¢32.1 shares
87.0¢→97.0¢
$27.92
$32.09
$31.14
+$3.22 (+11.6%)
Hurupay FDV above $20M one day after launch?
No 90.3¢19.9 shares
90.3¢→95.5¢
$17.93
$19.86
$18.96
+$1.03 (+5.7%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
No 51¢26.5 shares
51¢→63¢
$13.50
$26.47
$16.68
+$3.18 (+23.5%)
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
No 51.8¢97.9 shares
51.8¢→9.8¢
$50.69
$97.85
$9.64
−$41.05 (-81.0%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?
No 86¢10 shares
86¢→91.8¢
$8.60
$10.00
$9.19
+$0.59 (+6.8%)
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?
No 2.7¢5.7K shares
2.7¢→0.1¢
$152.00
$5.7K
$8.54
−$143.47 (-94.4%)
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
Mayweather 51¢10.6 shares
51¢→53.5¢
$5.41
$10.61
$5.68
+$0.27 (+4.9%)
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No 95.6¢5 shares
95.6¢→98.0¢
$4.79
$5.01
$4.91
+$0.12 (+2.6%)
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?
No 84¢91.6 shares
84¢→1.3¢
$76.93
$91.58
$1.14
−$75.78 (-98.5%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 37¢5 shares
37¢→19.8¢
$1.85
$5.00
$0.99
−$0.86 (-46.6%)
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be >7 minutes?
Yes 72¢10 shares
72¢→1.5¢
$7.20
$10.00
$0.15
−$7.05 (-97.9%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 1¢9.6K shares
1¢→0¢
$95.51
$9.6K
Lost
Over $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?
Yes 14.8¢177.1 shares
14.8¢→0¢
$26.22
$177.05
Lost
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
No 66.5¢2.9K shares
66.5¢→0¢
$1.9K
$2.9K
Lost