R79dgahr
Flex cardJoined April 2026
Total earnings
$659,872.04
1D
$12.1K
7D
$24.5K
30D
$605.3K
90D
$639.5K
Total volume
$16.08M
Predictions
696
Positions value
$1.03M
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$646.0K
LP+$9.0K
Maker+$3.6K
Yield+$2.4K
Taker+$28.91
Fees−$1.8K

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 50¢213.0K shares
50¢→55.5¢
$106.5K
$213.0K
$118.2K
+$11.7K (+11.0%)

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 50¢213.0K shares
50¢→44.5¢
$106.5K
$213.0K
$94.8K
−$11.7K (-11.0%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 76.5¢86.7K shares
76.5¢→78.5¢
$66.3K
$86.7K
$68.1K
+$1.7K (+2.6%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 96.1¢51.0K shares
96.1¢→93.8¢
$49.0K
$51.0K
$47.8K
−$1.2K (-2.5%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 84.3¢52.0K shares
84.3¢→91.5¢
$43.8K
$52.0K
$47.6K
+$3.7K (+8.5%)
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Yes 81.2¢46.5K shares
81.2¢→99.7¢
$37.8K
$46.5K
$46.4K
+$8.6K (+22.9%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 97.2¢42.0K shares
97.2¢→98.8¢
$40.8K
$42.0K
$41.5K
+$648.06 (+1.6%)

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
No 94.2¢33.0K shares
94.2¢→99.5¢
$31.1K
$33.0K
$32.8K
+$1.7K (+5.6%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 89.3¢36.0K shares
89.3¢→90.5¢
$32.1K
$36.0K
$32.6K
+$449.99 (+1.4%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 75.0¢42.0K shares
75.0¢→76.5¢
$31.5K
$42.0K
$32.1K
+$636.47 (+2.0%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99.5¢30.0K shares
99.5¢→99.4¢
$29.9K
$30.0K
$29.8K
−$45.00 (-0.2%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 60.4¢51.0K shares
60.4¢→56.5¢
$30.8K
$51.0K
$28.8K
−$2.0K (-6.4%)

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
No 90.8¢26.9K shares
90.8¢→97.4¢
$24.4K
$26.9K
$26.2K
+$1.7K (+7.2%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 83.0¢29.5K shares
83.0¢→87.5¢
$24.5K
$29.5K
$25.8K
+$1.3K (+5.4%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No 75.7¢27.7K shares
75.7¢→87.5¢
$21.0K
$27.7K
$24.3K
+$3.3K (+15.6%)

Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 83.9¢23.4K shares
83.9¢→87.5¢
$19.7K
$23.4K
$20.5K
+$855.88 (+4.4%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 84.7¢21.1K shares
84.7¢→93.5¢
$17.8K
$21.1K
$19.7K
+$1.8K (+10.3%)

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
No 59.2¢29.2K shares
59.2¢→64.5¢
$17.3K
$29.2K
$18.8K
+$1.5K (+8.9%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 91¢18.0K shares
91¢→94.5¢
$16.4K
$18.0K
$17.0K
+$630.00 (+3.8%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 87.5¢18.0K shares
87.5¢→84.5¢
$15.7K
$18.0K
$15.2K
−$539.82 (-3.4%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 95¢15.0K shares
95¢→99.3¢
$14.3K
$15.0K
$14.9K
+$637.50 (+4.5%)

Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 95.3¢13.0K shares
95.3¢→98.0¢
$12.4K
$13.0K
$12.7K
+$357.50 (+2.9%)

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No 84.1¢14.1K shares
84.1¢→89.8¢
$11.9K
$14.1K
$12.7K
+$797.88 (+6.7%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 58.2¢17.0K shares
58.2¢→69.5¢
$9.9K
$17.0K
$11.8K
+$1.9K (+19.4%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
No 78.4¢12.4K shares
78.4¢→94.5¢
$9.7K
$12.4K
$11.7K
+$2.0K (+20.5%)

Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No 74¢10.3K shares
74¢→83.5¢
$7.6K
$10.3K
$8.6K
+$976.66 (+12.8%)

Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
No 49.6¢9.3K shares
49.6¢→91¢
$4.6K
$9.3K
$8.5K
+$3.9K (+83.2%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95.9¢8.6K shares
95.9¢→97.3¢
$8.3K
$8.6K
$8.4K
+$116.68 (+1.4%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Yes 77.4¢9.0K shares
77.4¢→92¢
$7.0K
$9.0K
$8.3K
+$1.3K (+18.8%)

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 58.1¢8.4K shares
58.1¢→63.5¢
$4.9K
$8.4K
$5.4K
+$459.15 (+9.4%)

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
No 29.5¢17.5K shares
29.5¢→27.3¢
$5.2K
$17.5K
$4.8K
−$388.94 (-7.5%)

New pandemic in 2026?
No 93¢5.0K shares
93¢→93.5¢
$4.7K
$5.0K
$4.7K
+$25.10 (+0.5%)

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Yes 96¢4.8K shares
96¢→97.2¢
$4.6K
$4.8K
$4.6K
+$57.35 (+1.2%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 61.5¢6.8K shares
61.5¢→65.5¢
$4.2K
$6.8K
$4.4K
+$269.63 (+6.5%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 35.9¢9.8K shares
35.9¢→44.5¢
$3.5K
$9.8K
$4.3K
+$838.35 (+23.9%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢48.6K shares
0.8¢→8.6¢
$379.71
$48.6K
$4.2K
+$3.8K (+1006.0%)
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 67.0¢5.4K shares
67.0¢→75.5¢
$3.6K
$5.4K
$4.1K
+$462.17 (+12.7%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No 86¢5.0K shares
86¢→82¢
$4.3K
$5.0K
$4.1K
−$200.00 (-4.7%)

Will Artyom Zdunov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?
Yes 91.0¢4.1K shares
91.0¢→97.7¢
$3.8K
$4.1K
$4.0K
+$275.69 (+7.3%)
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
No 93.5¢4.0K shares
93.5¢→96.5¢
$3.7K
$4.0K
$3.9K
+$120.00 (+3.2%)

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.7¢155.4K shares
1.7¢→2.4¢
$2.6K
$155.4K
$3.7K
+$1.1K (+42.2%)

Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
No 76.1¢4.0K shares
76.1¢→91.3¢
$3.0K
$4.0K
$3.7K
+$608.00 (+20.0%)

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
No 85¢3.3K shares
85¢→90.5¢
$2.8K
$3.3K
$3.0K
+$184.20 (+6.5%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢123.2K shares
1.6¢→2.5¢
$2.0K
$123.2K
$3.0K
+$1.0K (+52.5%)
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
No 96.9¢3.0K shares
96.9¢→98.9¢
$2.9K
$3.0K
$3.0K
+$60.00 (+2.1%)

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
No 88¢3.0K shares
88¢→93.5¢
$2.6K
$3.0K
$2.8K
+$165.00 (+6.2%)

Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Sep 30?
No 88¢3.0K shares
88¢→91¢
$2.6K
$3.0K
$2.7K
+$90.00 (+3.4%)
Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?
No 90.8¢2.8K shares
90.8¢→96¢
$2.5K
$2.8K
$2.7K
+$145.33 (+5.7%)

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 52¢5.0K shares
52¢→53¢
$2.6K
$5.0K
$2.6K
+$50.00 (+1.9%)

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
Yes 40.7¢12.6K shares
40.7¢→19.5¢
$5.1K
$12.6K
$2.4K
−$2.7K (-52.1%)

Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?
No 49¢5.0K shares
49¢→48.5¢
$2.5K
$5.0K
$2.4K
−$25.00 (-1.0%)

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Yes 56.8¢4.8K shares
56.8¢→50.5¢
$2.7K
$4.8K
$2.4K
−$298.97 (-11.1%)

Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
No 22.8¢5.4K shares
22.8¢→42¢
$1.2K
$5.4K
$2.3K
+$1.0K (+84.2%)

Will Yehude Simón Munaro win the next Lima mayoral elections?
No 96.8¢2.3K shares
96.8¢→99.4¢
$2.2K
$2.3K
$2.3K
+$58.50 (+2.7%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 74.4¢2.8K shares
74.4¢→80.2¢
$2.1K
$2.8K
$2.2K
+$158.50 (+7.7%)

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.2¢101.6K shares
1.2¢→2.1¢
$1.2K
$101.6K
$2.2K
+$955.69 (+78.4%)

Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
No 73¢3.0K shares
73¢→70¢
$2.2K
$3.0K
$2.1K
−$90.00 (-4.1%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 61¢3.0K shares
61¢→67.5¢
$1.8K
$3.0K
$2.0K
+$195.00 (+10.7%)

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
No 82.8¢2.2K shares
82.8¢→88.5¢
$1.8K
$2.2K
$1.9K
+$125.00 (+6.9%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 6.5¢44.8K shares
6.5¢→4.3¢
$2.9K
$44.8K
$1.9K
−$976.23 (-33.4%)

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No 51¢3.8K shares
51¢→51¢
$1.9K
$3.8K
$1.9K
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Yes 84¢1.8K shares
84¢→93.5¢
$1.5K
$1.8K
$1.6K
+$166.99 (+11.3%)

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 67¢2.0K shares
67¢→81.5¢
$1.3K
$2.0K
$1.6K
+$289.80 (+21.6%)

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 59¢2.7K shares
59¢→58.5¢
$1.6K
$2.7K
$1.6K
−$13.60 (-0.8%)

Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026?
No 80.0¢1.9K shares
80.0¢→84.5¢
$1.5K
$1.9K
$1.6K
+$84.57 (+5.7%)

Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 80¢2.0K shares
80¢→75¢
$1.6K
$2.0K
$1.5K
−$100.00 (-6.3%)
Will Richard Dodson be the WY-AL Republican nominee?
No 94.2¢1.5K shares
94.2¢→99.4¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.5K
+$77.87 (+5.5%)

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
Yes 80¢2.0K shares
80¢→74.5¢
$1.6K
$2.0K
$1.5K
−$110.00 (-6.9%)
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
No 25.6¢6.0K shares
25.6¢→24.5¢
$1.5K
$6.0K
$1.5K
−$68.60 (-4.5%)

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 1.9¢50.0K shares
1.9¢→2.9¢
$970.00
$50.0K
$1.4K
+$480.00 (+49.5%)

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 78¢1.8K shares
78¢→78¢
$1.4K
$1.8K
$1.4K
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.1¢102.1K shares
1.1¢→1.1¢
$1.1K
$102.1K
$1.2K
+$59.40 (+5.3%)

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 2.5¢100.0K shares
2.5¢→1.1¢
$2.5K
$100.0K
$1.1K
−$1.4K (-54.9%)

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢50.0K shares
0.4¢→2.1¢
$196.85
$50.0K
$1.1K
+$873.15 (+443.6%)

Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
No 63.9¢1.3K shares
63.9¢→80.4¢
$799.07
$1.3K
$1.0K
+$206.10 (+25.8%)

Will Alexander Alexandrov win the 2026 Mordovia gubernatorial elections?
No 96.2¢1.0K shares
96.2¢→97.8¢
$976.43
$1.0K
$992.77
+$16.34 (+1.7%)
Will Brayden Myer be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
No 84.5¢1.0K shares
84.5¢→96.0¢
$853.15
$1.0K
$970.17
+$117.02 (+13.7%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 91.0¢976.4 shares
91.0¢→93.5¢
$888.50
$976.38
$912.91
+$24.41 (+2.7%)

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
No 79¢984.6 shares
79¢→89¢
$777.82
$984.58
$876.28
+$98.46 (+12.7%)

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 87.1¢949.9 shares
87.1¢→89.6¢
$827.34
$949.87
$851.56
+$24.22 (+2.9%)

Will Jennifer Austria Barzaga win the special election to fill the Cavite 4th congressional district seat in the Philippine House of Representatives?
Yes 89.9¢828.4 shares
89.9¢→94.9¢
$744.78
$828.41
$786.16
+$41.38 (+5.6%)
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 69.0¢1.4K shares
69.0¢→52.5¢
$966.01
$1.4K
$735.01
−$231.00 (-23.9%)

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
No 24¢1.9K shares
24¢→35.5¢
$455.44
$1.9K
$673.68
+$218.23 (+47.9%)

Kash Patel out by December 31?
Yes 46¢2.0K shares
46¢→30.5¢
$920.00
$2.0K
$610.00
−$310.00 (-33.7%)

Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?
No 52¢900 shares
52¢→64¢
$468.00
$900.00
$576.00
+$108.00 (+23.1%)

Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
Yes 76¢671.3 shares
76¢→84.5¢
$510.18
$671.29
$567.24
+$57.06 (+11.2%)

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
No 87¢618.3 shares
87¢→89¢
$537.89
$618.27
$550.26
+$12.37 (+2.3%)

Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Yes 14.2¢2.0K shares
14.2¢→23.9¢
$284.27
$2.0K
$478.25
+$193.98 (+68.2%)

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢50.0K shares
0.4¢→0.9¢
$196.85
$50.0K
$475.00
+$278.15 (+141.3%)

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢50.0K shares
0.4¢→0.9¢
$196.85
$50.0K
$475.00
+$278.15 (+141.3%)

Will William Azaroff win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
Yes 9.1¢1.5K shares
9.1¢→27.3¢
$136.70
$1.5K
$408.45
+$271.75 (+198.8%)

Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Yes 10.1¢2.6K shares
10.1¢→15¢
$260.93
$2.6K
$387.03
+$126.10 (+48.3%)

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢40.5K shares
0.8¢→0.9¢
$316.09
$40.5K
$384.39
+$68.30 (+21.6%)

Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢50.0K shares
0.4¢→0.8¢
$196.85
$50.0K
$375.00
+$178.15 (+90.5%)

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢50.0K shares
0.4¢→0.8¢
$196.85
$50.0K
$375.00
+$178.15 (+90.5%)
Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?
Yes 33.8¢464.5 shares
33.8¢→78.5¢
$156.78
$464.49
$364.62
+$207.84 (+132.6%)

Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?
No 86.4¢386.3 shares
86.4¢→92.5¢
$333.77
$386.27
$357.30
+$23.53 (+7.0%)

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
Yes 8.9¢3.1K shares
8.9¢→11¢
$281.43
$3.1K
$346.43
+$65.00 (+23.1%)

GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?
No 85¢390.3 shares
85¢→85.5¢
$331.78
$390.33
$333.73
+$1.95 (+0.6%)

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢50.0K shares
0.4¢→0.7¢
$196.85
$50.0K
$325.00
+$128.15 (+65.1%)
