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Poligarch
Joined June 2025
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$252,955.34
1D
−$818.89
7D
$10.69
30D
$5.7K
90D
$34.1K
Total volume
$30.74M
Predictions
60,926
Positions value
$66.8K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$208.9K
LP
+$10.6K
Maker
+$32.8K
Yield
+$0.00
Taker
+$616.80
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
No 100¢
1.4K shares
Share
90.0¢
→
100¢
$1.3K
$1.4K
Won
$1.4K
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 7?
Yes 100¢
854.9 shares
Share
45.6¢
→
100¢
$389.72
$854.87
Won
$854.87
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 9?
No 100¢
821.2 shares
Share
42.2¢
→
100¢
$346.29
$821.21
Won
$821.21
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100¢
759.9 shares
Share
85.5¢
→
100¢
$649.91
$759.86
Won
$759.86
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?
Yes 100¢
649.3 shares
Share
45.8¢
→
100¢
$297.29
$649.33
Won
$649.33
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
Yes 100¢
628.3 shares
Share
72.0¢
→
100¢
$452.73
$628.27
Won
$628.27
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?
Yes 98.6¢
562.9 shares
Share
80.1¢
→
98.6¢
$451.18
$562.93
$555.05
+$103.87
(+23.0%)
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
No 100¢
510.9 shares
Share
75.4¢
→
100¢
$385.40
$510.87
Won
$510.87
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
No 100¢
499.7 shares
Share
82.4¢
→
100¢
$411.89
$499.65
Won
$499.65
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
No 99.0¢
468.5 shares
Share
75.5¢
→
99.0¢
$353.73
$468.46
$463.54
+$109.81
(+31.0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?
Yes 100¢
427.8 shares
Share
50.0¢
→
100¢
$213.86
$427.78
Won
$427.78
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Yes 85.4¢
443 shares
Share
84.1¢
→
85.4¢
$372.63
$443.01
$378.11
+$5.48
(+1.5%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 27?
Yes 100¢
365 shares
Share
10.2¢
→
100¢
$37.24
$364.96
Won
$364.96
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 1?
No 100¢
311 shares
Share
47.2¢
→
100¢
$146.67
$310.99
Won
$310.99
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 3?
No 100¢
294.8 shares
Share
41.5¢
→
100¢
$122.40
$294.83
Won
$294.83
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
No 95.5¢
303 shares
Share
82.3¢
→
95.5¢
$249.32
$303.01
$289.37
+$40.05
(+16.1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?
Yes 100¢
280.6 shares
Share
21.2¢
→
100¢
$59.63
$280.62
Won
$280.62
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 16?
Yes 100¢
278.2 shares
Share
41.9¢
→
100¢
$116.49
$278.20
Won
$278.20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 100.0¢
261 shares
Share
69.2¢
→
100.0¢
$180.66
$261.02
$260.89
+$80.23
(+44.4%)
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 3?
Yes 100¢
251.6 shares
Share
17.1¢
→
100¢
$42.90
$251.61
Won
$251.61
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 6?
Yes 100¢
250.2 shares
Share
38.1¢
→
100¢
$95.45
$250.22
Won
$250.22
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?
No 96.5¢
258.9 shares
Share
34.1¢
→
96.5¢
$88.21
$258.91
$249.98
+$161.77
(+183.4%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
No 100¢
230 shares
Share
30.4¢
→
100¢
$70.07
$230.05
Won
$230.05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 3?
No 100¢
222.2 shares
Share
68.8¢
→
100¢
$152.78
$222.15
Won
$222.15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
No 100¢
219 shares
Share
17.5¢
→
100¢
$38.30
$218.97
Won
$218.97
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?
Yes 100¢
209.4 shares
Share
30.7¢
→
100¢
$64.28
$209.43
Won
$209.43
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?
Yes 100¢
200 shares
Share
48.0¢
→
100¢
$96.12
$200.00
Won
$200.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 3?
Yes 100¢
196.8 shares
Share
47.6¢
→
100¢
$93.75
$196.76
Won
$196.76
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C on November 3?
Yes 100¢
183.7 shares
Share
48.7¢
→
100¢
$89.45
$183.70
Won
$183.70
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2?
No 100¢
182.3 shares
Share
27.9¢
→
100¢
$50.96
$182.33
Won
$182.33
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?
No 100¢
180.9 shares
Share
89.1¢
→
100¢
$161.26
$180.95
Won
$180.95
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
No 75.7¢
238.2 shares
Share
32.4¢
→
75.7¢
$77.23
$238.17
$180.30
+$103.07
(+133.5%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?
No 100¢
178.7 shares
Share
39.2¢
→
100¢
$70.09
$178.73
Won
$178.73
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18?
No 100¢
176.5 shares
Share
37.2¢
→
100¢
$65.65
$176.53
Won
$176.53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 3?
Yes 100¢
166.6 shares
Share
47.4¢
→
100¢
$79.01
$166.58
Won
$166.58
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?
Yes 67¢
235.2 shares
Share
58.1¢
→
67¢
$136.70
$235.19
$157.58
+$20.87
(+15.3%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on November 4?
Yes 100.0¢
153.9 shares
Share
43.0¢
→
100.0¢
$66.24
$153.85
$153.77
+$87.53
(+132.1%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 2?
No 100¢
149 shares
Share
74.8¢
→
100¢
$111.43
$149.00
Won
$149.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?
Yes 100¢
148.8 shares
Share
34.2¢
→
100¢
$50.81
$148.79
Won
$148.79
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on November 3?
Yes 100¢
148.7 shares
Share
13.9¢
→
100¢
$20.64
$148.71
Won
$148.71
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
No 100¢
147.2 shares
Share
88.8¢
→
100¢
$130.74
$147.24
Won
$147.24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on November 2?
Yes 100¢
145.5 shares
Share
60.5¢
→
100¢
$87.96
$145.45
Won
$145.45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2?
No 100¢
142.9 shares
Share
70.3¢
→
100¢
$100.51
$142.86
Won
$142.86
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?
No 23.4¢
607 shares
Share
73.7¢
→
23.4¢
$447.48
$607.05
$142.35
−$305.13
(-68.2%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 3?
Yes 100¢
141.6 shares
Share
74.7¢
→
100¢
$105.74
$141.59
Won
$141.59
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 4?
Yes 100¢
141.2 shares
Share
22.4¢
→
100¢
$31.63
$141.17
Won
$141.17
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 16?
Yes 100¢
140 shares
Share
36.1¢
→
100¢
$50.49
$140.00
Won
$140.00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on November 4?
Yes 100¢
139 shares
Share
84.9¢
→
100¢
$118.03
$139.00
Won
$139.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 20?
Yes 100¢
137.5 shares
Share
33.4¢
→
100¢
$45.86
$137.48
Won
$137.48
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 24?
Yes 100¢
137.3 shares
Share
41.6¢
→
100¢
$57.11
$137.33
Won
$137.33
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 3?
No 100¢
131.4 shares
Share
72.2¢
→
100¢
$94.84
$131.42
Won
$131.42
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
No 100¢
130.6 shares
Share
87.8¢
→
100¢
$114.72
$130.63
Won
$130.63
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100¢
130.4 shares
Share
83.9¢
→
100¢
$109.45
$130.38
Won
$130.38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 21?
Yes 100¢
129.2 shares
Share
40.8¢
→
100¢
$52.75
$129.15
Won
$129.15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 4?
No 99.9¢
128.5 shares
Share
51.9¢
→
99.9¢
$66.74
$128.49
$128.30
+$61.56
(+92.2%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on November 2?
Yes 100¢
127 shares
Share
25.8¢
→
100¢
$32.78
$127.02
Won
$127.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15?
Yes 100¢
126.4 shares
Share
46.9¢
→
100¢
$59.36
$126.42
Won
$126.42
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 24?
Yes 100¢
125.8 shares
Share
33.3¢
→
100¢
$41.86
$125.83
Won
$125.83
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
Yes 100¢
123.3 shares
Share
42.0¢
→
100¢
$51.79
$123.33
Won
$123.33
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on November 3?
No 100¢
122 shares
Share
44.1¢
→
100¢
$53.82
$122.02
Won
$122.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?
No 100¢
121.9 shares
Share
80.9¢
→
100¢
$98.57
$121.86
Won
$121.86
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 1?
No 100¢
121.6 shares
Share
46.5¢
→
100¢
$56.52
$121.65
Won
$121.65
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on November 3?
Yes 100¢
120.6 shares
Share
46.5¢
→
100¢
$56.10
$120.59
Won
$120.59
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 17?
Yes 100¢
120.1 shares
Share
46.2¢
→
100¢
$55.45
$120.07
Won
$120.07
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 21?
Yes 100¢
119 shares
Share
41.1¢
→
100¢
$48.92
$119.03
Won
$119.03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 15?
Yes 100¢
118.9 shares
Share
48.9¢
→
100¢
$58.10
$118.86
Won
$118.86
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 3?
No 100¢
117.2 shares
Share
69.0¢
→
100¢
$80.83
$117.23
Won
$117.23
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on November 2?
Yes 100¢
115.3 shares
Share
81.2¢
→
100¢
$93.59
$115.32
Won
$115.32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 4?
No 68¢
168.8 shares
Share
66.1¢
→
68¢
$111.61
$168.80
$114.79
+$3.17
(+2.8%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 19?
Yes 100¢
113.2 shares
Share
45.1¢
→
100¢
$51.07
$113.23
Won
$113.23
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?
No 100¢
112.7 shares
Share
72.8¢
→
100¢
$82.12
$112.74
Won
$112.74
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 1?
Yes 100¢
111.1 shares
Share
48.7¢
→
100¢
$54.17
$111.15
Won
$111.15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
No 100¢
109.9 shares
Share
82¢
→
100¢
$90.13
$109.91
Won
$109.91
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 5?
Yes 100¢
109.4 shares
Share
41.9¢
→
100¢
$45.86
$109.36
Won
$109.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 24?
Yes 100¢
108.6 shares
Share
42.2¢
→
100¢
$45.80
$108.64
Won
$108.64
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 25?
Yes 100¢
107.4 shares
Share
42.1¢
→
100¢
$45.18
$107.41
Won
$107.41
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 3?
Yes 100¢
107.4 shares
Share
30.5¢
→
100¢
$32.80
$107.37
Won
$107.37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 16?
Yes 100¢
107.1 shares
Share
39.4¢
→
100¢
$42.17
$107.09
Won
$107.09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 3?
No 100¢
106.6 shares
Share
64.0¢
→
100¢
$68.31
$106.64
Won
$106.64
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on July 31?
No 100¢
104.5 shares
Share
32.9¢
→
100¢
$34.43
$104.50
Won
$104.50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 16?
Yes 100¢
101.7 shares
Share
45.0¢
→
100¢
$45.73
$101.66
Won
$101.66
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 17?
Yes 100¢
101 shares
Share
22.1¢
→
100¢
$22.28
$100.99
Won
$100.99
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on November 3?
No 100¢
100.9 shares
Share
50.8¢
→
100¢
$51.25
$100.88
Won
$100.88
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
34.4¢
→
100¢
$34.42
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
No 100¢
100 shares
Share
88¢
→
100¢
$88.00
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
41.5¢
→
100¢
$41.56
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 100¢
100 shares
Share
26¢
→
100¢
$26.00
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
33.8¢
→
100¢
$33.84
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on October 16?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
24.4¢
→
100¢
$24.41
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
92.1¢
→
100¢
$92.15
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on October 21?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
41.7¢
→
100¢
$41.70
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 10?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
0¢
→
100¢
$0.00
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 24?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
43.8¢
→
100¢
$43.79
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 19?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
6.7¢
→
100¢
$6.70
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
42.8¢
→
100¢
$42.82
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 23?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
18.7¢
→
100¢
$18.72
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
13.4¢
→
100¢
$13.40
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 11?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
15.3¢
→
100¢
$15.30
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 3?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
45.1¢
→
100¢
$45.06
$100.00
Won
$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 22?
Yes 100¢
100 shares
Share
49.3¢
→
100¢
$49.31
$99.99
Won
$99.99
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