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cambridgeisaac
Joined July 2024
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$66,768.33
1D
$6.6K
7D
$9.0K
30D
−$345.27
90D
−$34.9K
Total volume
$7.36M
Predictions
2,353
Positions value
$105.1K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$63.5K
LP
+$2,016.81
Maker
+$1,088.33
Yield
+$24.34
Taker
+$127.19
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 97.4¢
58.9K shares
Share
80.3¢
→
97.4¢
$47.3K
$58.9K
$57.4K
+$10.1K
(+21.3%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 72¢
13.7K shares
Share
69.3¢
→
72¢
$9.5K
$13.7K
$9.8K
+$369.96
(+3.9%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 63.5¢
10.5K shares
Share
84.4¢
→
63.5¢
$8.9K
$10.5K
$6.7K
−$2.2K
(-24.8%)
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No 70¢
3.8K shares
Share
72.6¢
→
70¢
$2.8K
$3.8K
$2.7K
−$99.11
(-3.6%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 86.1¢
2.9K shares
Share
75.3¢
→
86.1¢
$2.1K
$2.9K
$2.5K
+$309.01
(+14.4%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
No 64.5¢
3.6K shares
Share
50.6¢
→
64.5¢
$1.8K
$3.6K
$2.3K
+$498.39
(+27.4%)
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No 34¢
6.6K shares
Share
28.0¢
→
34¢
$1.8K
$6.6K
$2.2K
+$394.07
(+21.5%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 23¢
9.1K shares
Share
13.9¢
→
23¢
$1.3K
$9.1K
$2.1K
+$825.80
(+65.2%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 56.5¢
3.7K shares
Share
44.3¢
→
56.5¢
$1.6K
$3.7K
$2.1K
+$450.21
(+27.5%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Yes 37.5¢
3.1K shares
Share
51.5¢
→
37.5¢
$1.6K
$3.1K
$1.1K
−$427.85
(-27.1%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
Yes 65.5¢
1.6K shares
Share
64.8¢
→
65.5¢
$1.0K
$1.6K
$1.1K
+$10.56
(+1.0%)
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?
No 99.0¢
991.7 shares
Share
68.0¢
→
99.0¢
$674.86
$991.67
$981.26
+$306.39
(+45.4%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Yes 85.4¢
951.2 shares
Share
32.3¢
→
85.4¢
$307.39
$951.19
$811.84
+$504.45
(+164.1%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 11.5¢
6.1K shares
Share
18.5¢
→
11.5¢
$1.1K
$6.1K
$701.66
−$426.32
(-37.8%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes 12.5¢
5.0K shares
Share
48.4¢
→
12.5¢
$2.4K
$5.0K
$630.02
−$1.8K
(-74.2%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 44.5¢
1.4K shares
Share
33.9¢
→
44.5¢
$479.04
$1.4K
$629.71
+$150.68
(+31.5%)
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No 88¢
623.1 shares
Share
84.3¢
→
88¢
$525.14
$623.08
$548.31
+$23.17
(+4.4%)
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?
No 78.5¢
659.8 shares
Share
71.3¢
→
78.5¢
$470.26
$659.80
$517.94
+$47.68
(+10.1%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes 50.5¢
901.6 shares
Share
72.8¢
→
50.5¢
$656.50
$901.58
$455.30
−$201.21
(-30.6%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 100.0¢
422.5 shares
Share
71.0¢
→
100.0¢
$300.00
$422.54
$422.33
+$122.33
(+40.8%)
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Yes 28.5¢
1.5K shares
Share
53.3¢
→
28.5¢
$788.05
$1.5K
$420.98
−$367.08
(-46.6%)
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
Yes 35.5¢
1.0K shares
Share
8.4¢
→
35.5¢
$84.80
$1.0K
$358.97
+$274.18
(+323.3%)
No one announced as next James Bond?
No 85.7¢
400 shares
Share
74.1¢
→
85.7¢
$296.40
$400.00
$342.80
+$46.40
(+15.7%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 36¢
915 shares
Share
68.3¢
→
36¢
$625.00
$915.03
$329.41
−$295.59
(-47.3%)
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5.1¢
6.0K shares
Share
5.5¢
→
5.1¢
$328.60
$6.0K
$305.43
−$23.17
(-7.1%)
Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
Yes 77.5¢
371.9 shares
Share
62.0¢
→
77.5¢
$230.60
$371.94
$288.25
+$57.65
(+25.0%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 98.8¢
291.4 shares
Share
56.3¢
→
98.8¢
$164.08
$291.44
$287.80
+$123.71
(+75.4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
No 64¢
410.8 shares
Share
36.5¢
→
64¢
$150.00
$410.81
$262.92
+$112.92
(+75.3%)
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢
3.6K shares
Share
63.9¢
→
7.0¢
$2.3K
$3.6K
$252.02
−$2.0K
(-89.0%)
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
No 68.5¢
361 shares
Share
83.1¢
→
68.5¢
$300.00
$361.02
$247.30
−$52.70
(-17.6%)
Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Yes 81¢
300 shares
Share
53¢
→
81¢
$159.00
$300.00
$243.00
+$84.00
(+52.8%)
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Yes 60¢
400 shares
Share
29.7¢
→
60¢
$118.99
$399.99
$239.99
+$121.00
(+101.7%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 84.5¢
282.6 shares
Share
73.1¢
→
84.5¢
$206.55
$282.58
$238.78
+$32.23
(+15.6%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Yes 11.5¢
2.0K shares
Share
35.8¢
→
11.5¢
$699.47
$2.0K
$224.84
−$474.63
(-67.9%)
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Yes 99.9¢
225 shares
Share
68.0¢
→
99.9¢
$153.01
$225.01
$224.67
+$71.67
(+46.8%)
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 81.5¢
274.8 shares
Share
48.0¢
→
81.5¢
$131.84
$274.80
$223.96
+$92.12
(+69.9%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 10.5¢
2.1K shares
Share
42.3¢
→
10.5¢
$879.75
$2.1K
$218.53
−$661.21
(-75.2%)
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?
No 54.5¢
380.7 shares
Share
60¢
→
54.5¢
$228.43
$380.70
$207.48
−$20.95
(-9.2%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 38.5¢
512.8 shares
Share
39.0¢
→
38.5¢
$200.00
$512.82
$197.44
−$2.56
(-1.3%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Yes 23.5¢
839.1 shares
Share
60.4¢
→
23.5¢
$506.55
$839.13
$197.20
−$309.35
(-61.1%)
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?
No 98.6¢
197.1 shares
Share
78.1¢
→
98.6¢
$154.04
$197.14
$194.38
+$40.34
(+26.2%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 96.4¢
200 shares
Share
87¢
→
96.4¢
$174.00
$200.00
$192.80
+$18.80
(+10.8%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No 47.5¢
400 shares
Share
39¢
→
47.5¢
$156.00
$399.99
$190.00
+$34.00
(+21.8%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 84.0¢
219.8 shares
Share
79.3¢
→
84.0¢
$174.20
$219.76
$184.71
+$10.51
(+6.0%)
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Yes 43¢
377.3 shares
Share
56.0¢
→
43¢
$211.40
$377.28
$162.23
−$49.17
(-23.3%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Yes 63.8¢
252.4 shares
Share
39.6¢
→
63.8¢
$100.00
$252.41
$161.04
+$61.04
(+61.0%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 16¢
1,000 shares
Share
39¢
→
16¢
$389.99
$999.97
$160.00
−$229.99
(-59.0%)
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?
Yes 38.5¢
389.4 shares
Share
50.2¢
→
38.5¢
$195.55
$389.43
$149.93
−$45.62
(-23.3%)
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Yes 48.5¢
300 shares
Share
65¢
→
48.5¢
$195.00
$300.00
$145.50
−$49.50
(-25.4%)
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Yes 13.4¢
1.1K shares
Share
42.4¢
→
13.4¢
$452.00
$1.1K
$142.87
−$309.13
(-68.4%)
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
No 43.5¢
320.4 shares
Share
61.9¢
→
43.5¢
$198.37
$320.44
$139.39
−$58.98
(-29.7%)
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
Yes 59¢
219.2 shares
Share
42.1¢
→
59¢
$92.24
$219.16
$129.30
+$37.07
(+40.2%)
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Yes 100.0¢
125 shares
Share
80¢
→
100.0¢
$100.00
$125.00
$124.94
+$24.94
(+24.9%)
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes 2.5¢
4.9K shares
Share
2.6¢
→
2.5¢
$129.37
$4.9K
$122.67
−$6.70
(-5.2%)
Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
No 82¢
148.6 shares
Share
66¢
→
82¢
$98.07
$148.59
$121.84
+$23.77
(+24.2%)
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
Yes 77¢
150 shares
Share
59¢
→
77¢
$88.50
$150.00
$115.50
+$27.00
(+30.5%)
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
No 86¢
133.9 shares
Share
74.7¢
→
86¢
$100.00
$133.94
$115.19
+$15.19
(+15.2%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
Yes 4.5¢
2.3K shares
Share
11.0¢
→
4.5¢
$250.00
$2.3K
$102.27
−$147.73
(-59.1%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Yes 6.5¢
1.5K shares
Share
28.4¢
→
6.5¢
$439.99
$1.5K
$100.72
−$339.28
(-77.1%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Yes 55.5¢
149.3 shares
Share
67.0¢
→
55.5¢
$100.00
$149.25
$82.84
−$17.16
(-17.2%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Yes 4.5¢
1.7K shares
Share
13.0¢
→
4.5¢
$226.25
$1.7K
$78.36
−$147.89
(-65.4%)
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?
Yes 26.5¢
265.8 shares
Share
37.0¢
→
26.5¢
$98.35
$265.80
$70.44
−$27.91
(-28.4%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
Yes 22¢
312.5 shares
Share
32¢
→
22¢
$100.00
$312.50
$68.75
−$31.25
(-31.3%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 45.5¢
142.9 shares
Share
35.0¢
→
45.5¢
$50.00
$142.86
$65.00
+$15.00
(+30.0%)
Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
No 89¢
70 shares
Share
87.6¢
→
89¢
$61.30
$70.00
$62.30
+$1.00
(+1.6%)
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?
Yes 62¢
92.1 shares
Share
45¢
→
62¢
$41.46
$92.14
$57.13
+$15.66
(+37.8%)
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Yes 31¢
169 shares
Share
59.2¢
→
31¢
$100.00
$168.99
$52.39
−$47.61
(-47.6%)
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No 86.5¢
60 shares
Share
75¢
→
86.5¢
$45.01
$60.01
$51.91
+$6.90
(+15.3%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
600 shares
Share
42.0¢
→
8.5¢
$252.00
$600.00
$51.00
−$201.00
(-79.8%)
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?
Yes 21.5¢
200 shares
Share
36¢
→
21.5¢
$72.00
$200.00
$43.00
−$29.00
(-40.3%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Yes 8.5¢
500 shares
Share
20¢
→
8.5¢
$100.00
$500.00
$42.50
−$57.50
(-57.5%)
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?
Yes 27¢
150 shares
Share
23¢
→
27¢
$34.50
$150.00
$40.50
+$6.00
(+17.4%)
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
Yes 14.0¢
282.5 shares
Share
49.0¢
→
14.0¢
$138.44
$282.53
$39.55
−$98.89
(-71.4%)
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
Yes 2.1¢
1.8K shares
Share
38.2¢
→
2.1¢
$688.03
$1.8K
$36.88
−$651.15
(-94.6%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 25.1¢
144.9 shares
Share
6.9¢
→
25.1¢
$10.00
$144.93
$36.30
+$26.30
(+263.0%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Yes 6.5¢
520.8 shares
Share
38.4¢
→
6.5¢
$200.00
$520.81
$33.85
−$166.15
(-83.1%)
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?
Yes 26.5¢
124 shares
Share
28.0¢
→
26.5¢
$34.72
$124.00
$32.86
−$1.86
(-5.4%)
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
Yes 17.5¢
185.2 shares
Share
54.0¢
→
17.5¢
$100.00
$185.19
$32.41
−$67.59
(-67.6%)
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
Yes 20.5¢
150 shares
Share
46¢
→
20.5¢
$69.00
$150.00
$30.75
−$38.25
(-55.4%)
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
No 84.5¢
36.2 shares
Share
82.9¢
→
84.5¢
$30.00
$36.20
$30.59
+$0.59
(+2.0%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes 2.9¢
1.0K shares
Share
7.5¢
→
2.9¢
$75.00
$1.0K
$29.50
−$45.50
(-60.7%)
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?
Yes 2.9¢
1,000 shares
Share
90.1¢
→
2.9¢
$900.99
$999.99
$29.50
−$871.49
(-96.7%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 14.8¢
190.5 shares
Share
31.5¢
→
14.8¢
$60.00
$190.48
$28.29
−$31.71
(-52.9%)
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 13.0¢
216.9 shares
Share
64.5¢
→
13.0¢
$140.00
$216.94
$28.09
−$111.91
(-79.9%)
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?
No 67¢
40 shares
Share
59¢
→
67¢
$23.60
$40.00
$26.80
+$3.20
(+13.6%)
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
No 85.5¢
23.3 shares
Share
86.0¢
→
85.5¢
$20.00
$23.26
$19.88
−$0.12
(-0.6%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 6¢
323.6 shares
Share
61.8¢
→
6¢
$200.00
$323.56
$19.41
−$180.59
(-90.3%)
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
Yes 18.9¢
100 shares
Share
3¢
→
18.9¢
$3.00
$100.00
$18.85
+$15.85
(+528.3%)
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 21¢
71.5 shares
Share
8.0¢
→
21¢
$5.72
$71.52
$15.02
+$9.30
(+162.5%)
Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Yes 3.4¢
439.4 shares
Share
2.8¢
→
3.4¢
$12.30
$439.44
$14.94
+$2.64
(+21.4%)
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Yes 2.8¢
533.3 shares
Share
8.6¢
→
2.8¢
$46.00
$533.33
$14.93
−$31.07
(-67.5%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.2¢
333.3 shares
Share
12.0¢
→
4.2¢
$40.00
$333.33
$13.83
−$26.17
(-65.4%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢
769.2 shares
Share
1.3¢
→
1.6¢
$10.00
$769.23
$11.92
+$1.92
(+19.2%)
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Yes 3.7¢
315.8 shares
Share
19.0¢
→
3.7¢
$60.00
$315.79
$11.68
−$48.32
(-80.5%)
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes 1.8¢
483.9 shares
Share
5.3¢
→
1.8¢
$25.65
$483.90
$8.71
−$16.94
(-66.0%)
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.5¢
588.2 shares
Share
1.7¢
→
1.5¢
$10.00
$588.24
$8.53
−$1.47
(-14.7%)
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Yes 2.4¢
337 shares
Share
68.1¢
→
2.4¢
$229.52
$336.99
$7.92
−$221.60
(-96.5%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Yes 31¢
24.7 shares
Share
24¢
→
31¢
$5.94
$24.73
$7.67
+$1.73
(+29.2%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes 84.5¢
8.7 shares
Share
77¢
→
84.5¢
$6.70
$8.70
$7.35
+$0.65
(+9.7%)
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?
Anthropic 46.5¢
14 shares
Share
14.0¢
→
46.5¢
$1.96
$14.00
$6.51
+$4.55
(+232.1%)
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