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theta-thunberg
theta-thunberg
Joined July 2025
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Polymarket
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Total earnings
$63,801.51
1D
−$53.63
7D
−$3.5K
30D
−$492.80
90D
$11.6K
Total volume
$2.41M
Predictions
1,005
Positions value
$5.8K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$64.3K
LP
+$1,119.71
Maker
+$198.53
Yield
+$375.39
Taker
+$98.05
Fees
−$2,287.28
Standings
Overall
#2,815
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#9,950
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#2,711
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#3,388
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#13,666
of 161k earners
Taker Rebates
#11,175
of 72k earners
Yield
#1,091
of 352k earners
Fees Paid
#12,269
of 1.5M payers
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
No 95¢
1.1K shares
Share
85¢
→
95¢
$894.73
$1.1K
$999.99
+$105.26
(+11.8%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of October 2026?
No 95.3¢
993.6 shares
Share
81.4¢
→
95.3¢
$808.69
$993.59
$947.39
+$138.70
(+17.2%)
US imports Russian diesel by November 15?
No 90¢
769.2 shares
Share
30.6¢
→
90¢
$235.70
$769.21
$692.29
+$456.59
(+193.7%)
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?
No 73.5¢
858.7 shares
Share
78.3¢
→
73.5¢
$672.41
$858.72
$631.16
−$41.25
(-6.1%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Yes 95.7¢
482.6 shares
Share
77.3¢
→
95.7¢
$372.85
$482.56
$461.57
+$88.72
(+23.8%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Yes 23.5¢
1.1K shares
Share
25.2¢
→
23.5¢
$281.97
$1.1K
$263.10
−$18.88
(-6.7%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Yes 96.3¢
272.1 shares
Share
87.6¢
→
96.3¢
$238.45
$272.08
$261.88
+$23.43
(+9.8%)
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?
Yes 15¢
1.5K shares
Share
28.1¢
→
15¢
$409.13
$1.5K
$218.61
−$190.51
(-46.6%)
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?
Yes 18¢
1.2K shares
Share
86.7¢
→
18¢
$1.0K
$1.2K
$210.53
−$803.24
(-79.2%)
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Yes 28.5¢
721.3 shares
Share
60.8¢
→
28.5¢
$438.73
$721.31
$205.57
−$233.16
(-53.1%)
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
No 44¢
228.5 shares
Share
24.5¢
→
44¢
$55.97
$228.52
$100.55
+$44.58
(+79.7%)
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 15, 2026?
Yes 97¢
101 shares
Share
89.2¢
→
97¢
$90.05
$100.99
$97.96
+$7.91
(+8.8%)
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
No 86¢
107.9 shares
Share
63.2¢
→
86¢
$68.22
$107.89
$92.79
+$24.56
(+36.0%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 92.5¢
100 shares
Share
91¢
→
92.5¢
$91.00
$100.00
$92.50
+$1.50
(+1.6%)
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Yes 28.8¢
297.1 shares
Share
40.8¢
→
28.8¢
$121.08
$297.11
$85.57
−$35.51
(-29.3%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Yes 55.5¢
132.1 shares
Share
30¢
→
55.5¢
$39.62
$132.08
$73.30
+$33.68
(+85.0%)
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19.5¢
345.8 shares
Share
6.9¢
→
19.5¢
$23.76
$345.79
$67.43
+$43.67
(+183.8%)
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
Yes 6¢
999.6 shares
Share
20¢
→
6¢
$199.92
$999.62
$59.98
−$139.95
(-70.0%)
Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
Yes 97.7¢
60.2 shares
Share
33.0¢
→
97.7¢
$19.87
$60.20
$58.79
+$38.92
(+195.9%)
Another vessel struck in the Black Sea by November 30, 2026?
Yes 97.9¢
40 shares
Share
95¢
→
97.9¢
$38.00
$40.00
$39.14
+$1.14
(+3.0%)
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
Yes 3.8¢
736.7 shares
Share
3.0¢
→
3.8¢
$21.87
$736.70
$27.63
+$5.75
(+26.3%)
James Norton announced as next James Bond?
Yes 1¢
2.5K shares
Share
0.3¢
→
1¢
$8.13
$2.5K
$25.25
+$17.13
(+210.7%)
Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by December 31?
No 73¢
23.8 shares
Share
75¢
→
73¢
$17.88
$23.84
$17.40
−$0.48
(-2.7%)
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5.5¢
239.1 shares
Share
11¢
→
5.5¢
$26.30
$239.08
$13.15
−$13.15
(-50.0%)
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
No 1.4¢
961.5 shares
Share
8.1¢
→
1.4¢
$78.07
$961.47
$12.98
−$65.09
(-83.4%)
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?
Yes 2.8¢
368.8 shares
Share
63.7¢
→
2.8¢
$234.84
$368.78
$10.14
−$224.70
(-95.7%)
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?
Yes 1.1¢
534 shares
Share
8.0¢
→
1.1¢
$42.82
$534.00
$5.87
−$36.95
(-86.3%)
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
Yes 2.3¢
69 shares
Share
5.0¢
→
2.3¢
$3.45
$69.00
$1.59
−$1.86
(-54.0%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
Yes 1.5¢
90 shares
Share
1.2¢
→
1.5¢
$1.08
$90.00
$1.31
+$0.23
(+20.8%)
James Collier announced as next James Bond?
Yes 0.1¢
1.5K shares
Share
0.3¢
→
0.1¢
$4.53
$1.5K
$0.76
−$3.78
(-83.3%)
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Yes 4.5¢
7.8 shares
Share
24¢
→
4.5¢
$1.87
$7.79
$0.35
−$1.52
(-81.3%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?
Yes 0.2¢
70.8 shares
Share
1.4¢
→
0.2¢
$1.00
$70.78
$0.14
−$0.86
(-85.8%)
Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?
Yes 3.7¢
2 shares
Share
29.9¢
→
3.7¢
$0.60
$2.00
$0.07
−$0.52
(-87.6%)
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
26.2¢
→
0¢
$130.75
$500.00
Lost
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes 0¢
100 shares
Share
3.4¢
→
0¢
$3.35
$100.00
Lost
Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?
Yes 0¢
646 shares
Share
28.0¢
→
0¢
$180.88
$646.00
Lost
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?
No 0¢
1.7K shares
Share
41.6¢
→
0¢
$719.38
$1.7K
Lost
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢
10.0K shares
Share
2.5¢
→
0¢
$250.00
$10.0K
Lost
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
Yes 0¢
3.6K shares
Share
3.2¢
→
0¢
$114.08
$3.6K
Lost
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
1.1K shares
Share
41.0¢
→
0¢
$470.86
$1.1K
Lost
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
Yes 0¢
12 shares
Share
9¢
→
0¢
$1.08
$12.00
Lost
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
No 0¢
424 shares
Share
18.1¢
→
0¢
$76.75
$424.02
Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?
Down 0¢
1.0K shares
Share
0.1¢
→
0¢
$1.00
$1.0K
Lost
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