marksman
Flex cardJoined October 2024
Total earnings
$12,006.17
1D
−$403.02
7D
$281.66
30D
$1.6K
90D
$1.8K
Total volume
$22.95M
Predictions
4,770
Positions value
$11.0K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$9.8K
LP+$2.2K
Maker+$13.42
Yield+$0.00
Taker+$10.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 89.2¢2.5K shares
89.2¢→84.5¢
$2.2K
$2.5K
$2.1K
−$117.63 (-5.3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
No 73.4¢2.2K shares
73.4¢→73.5¢
$1.6K
$2.2K
$1.6K
+$1.94 (+0.1%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 66.0¢1.6K shares
66.0¢→78.5¢
$1.1K
$1.6K
$1.3K
+$201.19 (+19.0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 44.0¢2.5K shares
44.0¢→44.5¢
$1.1K
$2.5K
$1.1K
+$12.10 (+1.1%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 79.5¢893.6 shares
79.5¢→80.2¢
$710.87
$893.63
$716.25
+$5.38 (+0.8%)
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
No 54.3¢667 shares
54.3¢→100.0¢
$362.21
$667.03
$666.70
+$304.49 (+84.1%)
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 25.2¢676.3 shares
25.2¢→40.9¢
$170.55
$676.28
$276.87
+$106.32 (+62.3%)
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?
Yes 96.2¢268.4 shares
96.2¢→99.9¢
$258.24
$268.40
$268.00
+$9.76 (+3.8%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 72.5¢362.9 shares
72.5¢→69.6¢
$263.11
$362.94
$252.57
−$10.55 (-4.0%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
No 73.3¢184.2 shares
73.3¢→88.5¢
$135.05
$184.24
$163.05
+$28.00 (+20.7%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 53.3¢370.8 shares
53.3¢→40.5¢
$197.45
$370.80
$150.17
−$47.28 (-23.9%)
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
No 79.0¢153.4 shares
79.0¢→93.5¢
$121.19
$153.41
$143.44
+$22.24 (+18.4%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 39.1¢262.6 shares
39.1¢→53.5¢
$102.64
$262.60
$140.49
+$37.85 (+36.9%)
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
No 95.6¢210 shares
95.6¢→64.6¢
$200.78
$210.00
$135.66
−$65.12 (-32.4%)
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 11.5¢1.1K shares
11.5¢→11.6¢
$126.66
$1.1K
$127.36
+$0.70 (+0.6%)
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Yes 68.5¢201.9 shares
68.5¢→63¢
$138.30
$201.91
$127.20
−$11.10 (-8.0%)
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Yes 31.5¢798 shares
31.5¢→14.5¢
$251.65
$798.00
$115.71
−$135.94 (-54.0%)
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes 16.0¢521.4 shares
16.0¢→22¢
$83.26
$521.44
$114.72
+$31.46 (+37.8%)
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
Yes 75¢134.8 shares
75¢→80.5¢
$101.08
$134.77
$108.49
+$7.41 (+7.3%)
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
No 78.7¢127.7 shares
78.7¢→83.2¢
$100.47
$127.67
$106.16
+$5.69 (+5.7%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
No 94¢106.4 shares
94¢→96.4¢
$99.99
$106.37
$102.54
+$2.55 (+2.6%)
Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
No 91.6¢113 shares
91.6¢→89.9¢
$103.46
$112.95
$101.54
−$1.92 (-1.9%)
Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?
No 90¢111.9 shares
90¢→89.5¢
$100.71
$111.90
$100.15
−$0.56 (-0.6%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 23.6¢419.1 shares
23.6¢→23.6¢
$98.83
$419.13
$99.12
+$0.30 (+0.3%)
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes 56.2¢193.9 shares
56.2¢→51¢
$108.91
$193.88
$98.88
−$10.03 (-9.2%)
Will paiN Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
No 97.4¢100.7 shares
97.4¢→97.3¢
$98.12
$100.74
$98.02
−$0.10 (-0.1%)
Will Chuk Anyanwu win Big Brother season 28?
No 91.8¢100.1 shares
91.8¢→91.8¢
$91.90
$100.11
$91.95
+$0.05 (+0.1%)
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Yes 50.3¢173.3 shares
50.3¢→47.5¢
$87.24
$173.33
$82.33
−$4.91 (-5.6%)
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?
No 54.5¢150.6 shares
54.5¢→51¢
$82.14
$150.65
$76.83
−$5.31 (-6.5%)
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 10.5¢482.3 shares
10.5¢→13.7¢
$50.74
$482.34
$65.84
+$15.09 (+29.7%)
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
No 79.5¢88.3 shares
79.5¢→69.0¢
$70.21
$88.30
$60.92
−$9.29 (-13.2%)
Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?
Yes 8.4¢325.1 shares
8.4¢→16.1¢
$27.21
$325.09
$52.18
+$24.96 (+91.7%)
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Yes 67.8¢71 shares
67.8¢→70.5¢
$48.12
$71.00
$50.06
+$1.94 (+4.0%)
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 91.6¢42 shares
91.6¢→93.5¢
$38.46
$41.99
$39.28
+$0.82 (+2.1%)
Will FaZe Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
Yes 10.2¢250 shares
10.2¢→11.1¢
$25.56
$249.95
$27.74
+$2.18 (+8.5%)
Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
Yes 43.6¢58.9 shares
43.6¢→39.5¢
$25.69
$58.90
$23.27
−$2.43 (-9.4%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Yes 15.5¢121.1 shares
15.5¢→18.5¢
$18.78
$121.07
$22.40
+$3.62 (+19.3%)
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
No 52¢31 shares
52¢→56.0¢
$16.12
$31.01
$17.36
+$1.24 (+7.7%)
Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
No 67.9¢57.4 shares
67.9¢→25.5¢
$39.02
$57.43
$14.65
−$24.37 (-62.5%)
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?
No 66¢20 shares
66¢→69.0¢
$13.21
$20.01
$13.80
+$0.60 (+4.5%)
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Yes 14.0¢36.1 shares
14.0¢→33¢
$5.06
$36.11
$11.92
+$6.86 (+135.7%)
Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 47¢20 shares
47¢→57.0¢
$9.40
$20.00
$11.40
+$2.00 (+21.3%)
Will Remco Evenepoel win the 2026 Tour De France?
No 97.7¢8.7 shares
97.7¢→99.9¢
$8.52
$8.72
$8.71
+$0.19 (+2.2%)
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes 3.9¢216.8 shares
3.9¢→3.8¢
$8.35
$216.81
$8.13
−$0.22 (-2.6%)
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes 12.0¢55.4 shares
12.0¢→11.5¢
$6.65
$55.42
$6.37
−$0.28 (-4.2%)
Will FUT Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
Yes 6.2¢107.1 shares
6.2¢→5.5¢
$6.68
$107.10
$5.89
−$0.79 (-11.8%)
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
No 87.0¢6.1 shares
87.0¢→87¢
$5.28
$6.07
$5.28
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will The MongolZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
Yes 7.2¢85.2 shares
7.2¢→5¢
$6.14
$85.22
$4.26
−$1.88 (-30.6%)
Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Yes 3.0¢123.6 shares
3.0¢→2.5¢
$3.75
$123.59
$3.14
−$0.61 (-16.3%)
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in July?
Yes 1.2¢75 shares
1.2¢→4¢
$0.90
$75.00
$3.00
+$2.10 (+233.3%)
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Yes 3.8¢80 shares
3.8¢→3.4¢
$3.04
$80.00
$2.72
−$0.32 (-10.5%)
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
Yes 12¢16 shares
12¢→17.0¢
$1.92
$15.97
$2.71
+$0.79 (+41.1%)
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes 52¢5 shares
52¢→51¢
$2.60
$5.00
$2.55
−$0.05 (-1.9%)
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Yes 31¢7.4 shares
31¢→28.0¢
$2.28
$7.37
$2.06
−$0.22 (-9.7%)
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?
No 2¢105 shares
2¢→1.6¢
$2.10
$105.00
$1.68
−$0.42 (-20.0%)
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Yes 1.5¢109.3 shares
1.5¢→1.4¢
$1.64
$109.33
$1.53
−$0.11 (-6.7%)
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in July?
Yes 24.0¢6.5 shares
24.0¢→23¢
$1.57
$6.54
$1.50
−$0.07 (-4.2%)
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
No 20¢5.7 shares
20¢→22¢
$1.14
$5.68
$1.25
+$0.11 (+10.0%)
Will 100 Thieves Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
Yes 3¢30 shares
3¢→3.1¢
$0.90
$30.00
$0.93
+$0.03 (+3.3%)
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Yes 11.1¢261 shares
11.1¢→0.4¢
$29.02
$261.04
$0.91
−$28.10 (-96.9%)
Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
Yes 0.7¢90 shares
0.7¢→0.5¢
$0.63
$90.00
$0.50
−$0.14 (-21.4%)
Will Isaac del Toro win the 2026 Tour De France?
Yes 0.7¢311.4 shares
0.7¢→0.1¢
$2.29
$311.41
$0.16
−$2.13 (-93.2%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.7¢28 shares
0.7¢→0.4¢
$0.20
$28.00
$0.13
−$0.07 (-35.7%)
Will Taylor Brown win Big Brother season 28?
Yes 0.3¢1.1 shares
0.3¢→4.5¢
$0.00
$1.11
$0.05
+$0.05 (+1409.1%)
Will G2 Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?
Yes 4.3¢1.3K shares
4.3¢→0¢
$57.64
$1.3K
Lost