Total earnings
$2,651,218.17
1D
$84.6K
7D
$141.3K
30D
$137.8K
90D
$860.8K
Total volume
$99.29M
Predictions
991
Positions value
$1.49M
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$2.59M
LP+$58.7K
Maker+$125.71
Yield+$0.00
Fees−$194.42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 75.2¢463.3K shares
75.2¢→93.5¢
$348.5K
$463.3K
$433.1K
+$84.6K (+24.3%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 73.6¢370.5K shares
73.6¢→84.5¢
$272.7K
$370.5K
$313.0K
+$40.4K (+14.8%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 48.1¢112.9K shares
48.1¢→83.5¢
$54.3K
$112.9K
$94.3K
+$40.0K (+73.7%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 77.0¢83.1K shares
77.0¢→94.5¢
$64.0K
$83.1K
$78.5K
+$14.5K (+22.7%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 76.3¢64.3K shares
76.3¢→91.5¢
$49.1K
$64.3K
$58.9K
+$9.7K (+19.8%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes 39.4¢71.1K shares
39.4¢→61.5¢
$28.0K
$71.1K
$43.7K
+$15.7K (+56.1%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 65.5¢51.2K shares
65.5¢→84.5¢
$33.5K
$51.2K
$43.3K
+$9.8K (+29.1%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 63.3¢48.8K shares
63.3¢→84.5¢
$30.9K
$48.8K
$41.3K
+$10.4K (+33.5%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 95.9¢40.9K shares
95.9¢→96.3¢
$39.2K
$40.9K
$39.4K
+$175.92 (+0.4%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 54.4¢56.0K shares
54.4¢→61.5¢
$30.5K
$56.0K
$34.5K
+$4.0K (+13.0%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
No 74.9¢32.9K shares
74.9¢→89¢
$24.6K
$32.9K
$29.3K
+$4.6K (+18.8%)
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes 53.8¢37.4K shares
53.8¢→74.5¢
$20.1K
$37.4K
$27.8K
+$7.7K (+38.4%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 51.2¢33.6K shares
51.2¢→82.3¢
$17.2K
$33.6K
$27.6K
+$10.4K (+60.7%)
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes 66.2¢33.4K shares
66.2¢→82¢
$22.1K
$33.4K
$27.4K
+$5.3K (+23.9%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 30.5¢56.2K shares
30.5¢→34.5¢
$17.2K
$56.2K
$19.4K
+$2.2K (+12.9%)
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
No 74.8¢16.1K shares
74.8¢→89.5¢
$12.1K
$16.1K
$14.4K
+$2.4K (+19.7%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
No 41.1¢25.5K shares
41.1¢→56.0¢
$10.5K
$25.5K
$14.3K
+$3.8K (+36.3%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No 82.0¢14.9K shares
82.0¢→90.5¢
$12.2K
$14.9K
$13.5K
+$1.3K (+10.3%)
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
No 67.1¢13.2K shares
67.1¢→91.5¢
$8.9K
$13.2K
$12.1K
+$3.2K (+36.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes 36.2¢37.8K shares
36.2¢→28.8¢
$13.7K
$37.8K
$10.9K
−$2.8K (-20.4%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes 26.3¢43.3K shares
26.3¢→24¢
$11.4K
$43.3K
$10.4K
−$1.0K (-8.8%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 57.6¢17.1K shares
57.6¢→56.5¢
$9.8K
$17.1K
$9.6K
−$187.94 (-1.9%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
No 89.2¢9.0K shares
89.2¢→96.2¢
$8.0K
$9.0K
$8.7K
+$627.33 (+7.8%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes 44.6¢15.8K shares
44.6¢→54¢
$7.1K
$15.8K
$8.5K
+$1.5K (+21.0%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
No 88.8¢7.5K shares
88.8¢→98.9¢
$6.6K
$7.5K
$7.4K
+$753.15 (+11.4%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
No 81.4¢8.4K shares
81.4¢→87.5¢
$6.8K
$8.4K
$7.3K
+$507.69 (+7.5%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No 83.5¢7.0K shares
83.5¢→86.3¢
$5.9K
$7.0K
$6.1K
+$194.67 (+3.3%)
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
No 83.9¢6.1K shares
83.9¢→87.5¢
$5.1K
$6.1K
$5.4K
+$222.61 (+4.3%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 72.7¢5.1K shares
72.7¢→95.6¢
$3.7K
$5.1K
$4.9K
+$1.2K (+31.6%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Yes 53.0¢11.0K shares
53.0¢→44¢
$5.8K
$11.0K
$4.8K
−$994.00 (-17.0%)
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
No 77.6¢5.0K shares
77.6¢→87.5¢
$3.9K
$5.0K
$4.4K
+$494.51 (+12.8%)
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 31.0¢11.2K shares
31.0¢→33.5¢
$3.5K
$11.2K
$3.8K
+$277.73 (+8.0%)
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
No 51.1¢4.4K shares
51.1¢→83¢
$2.3K
$4.4K
$3.7K
+$1.4K (+62.5%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes 53.3¢3.8K shares
53.3¢→86.5¢
$2.0K
$3.8K
$3.3K
+$1.3K (+62.3%)
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
No 80.6¢3.1K shares
80.6¢→93.5¢
$2.5K
$3.1K
$2.9K
+$397.95 (+16.0%)
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Yes 59.1¢4.6K shares
59.1¢→56.5¢
$2.7K
$4.6K
$2.6K
−$118.74 (-4.3%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
No 85.0¢2.8K shares
85.0¢→88.5¢
$2.4K
$2.8K
$2.5K
+$99.74 (+4.1%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes 56.1¢7.1K shares
56.1¢→35.5¢
$4.0K
$7.1K
$2.5K
−$1.5K (-36.7%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Yes 53.2¢3.3K shares
53.2¢→71¢
$1.7K
$3.3K
$2.3K
+$582.82 (+33.4%)
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
No 79.1¢2.5K shares
79.1¢→93.5¢
$2.0K
$2.5K
$2.3K
+$356.80 (+18.2%)
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 20.3¢7.4K shares
20.3¢→28.5¢
$1.5K
$7.4K
$2.1K
+$610.00 (+40.5%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?
Yes 23.5¢9.0K shares
23.5¢→21¢
$2.1K
$9.0K
$1.9K
−$226.14 (-10.7%)
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 76.2¢1.3K shares
76.2¢→93.5¢
$1.0K
$1.3K
$1.2K
+$230.24 (+22.7%)
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
Yes 48¢1.8K shares
48¢→67.5¢
$859.54
$1.8K
$1.2K
+$349.08 (+40.6%)
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 27.9¢3.6K shares
27.9¢→32.5¢
$1.0K
$3.6K
$1.2K
+$164.84 (+16.3%)
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 29.6¢3.8K shares
29.6¢→28.5¢
$1.1K
$3.8K
$1.1K
−$44.44 (-3.9%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
Yes 22.7¢4.4K shares
22.7¢→22.5¢
$993.38
$4.4K
$986.52
−$6.86 (-0.7%)
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
No 82¢971.4 shares
82¢→94.5¢
$796.55
$971.41
$917.98
+$121.43 (+15.2%)
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
No 84¢698.4 shares
84¢→94¢
$586.64
$698.38
$656.48
+$69.84 (+11.9%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?
Yes 6.4¢234 shares
6.4¢→6.7¢
$14.97
$233.98
$15.68
+$0.70 (+4.7%)
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
Yes 2.1¢7.0K shares
2.1¢→0¢
$144.70
$7.0K
Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Yes 24.5¢18.2K shares
24.5¢→0¢
$4.5K
$18.2K
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Yes 11¢3.3K shares
11¢→0¢
$366.63
$3.3K
Lost
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Yes 11¢225 shares
11¢→0¢
$24.75
$225.03
Lost
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
No 55.9¢2.2K shares
55.9¢→0¢
$1.2K
$2.2K
Lost