ourdemocracy2

Flex card
Joined June 2025

Total earnings

$9,785.73
1D
$480.62
7D
−$213.08
30D
$696.28
90D
$1.3K
Total volume
$10.88M
Predictions
545
Positions value
$31.5K
Performance
+$9.5K
+$516.54
+$14.54
+$17.20
+$3.04
$318.44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
No 90.0¢6.8K shares
$6.3K
+$218.53 (+3.6%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No 86.5¢4.9K shares
$4.2K
−$49.30 (-1.2%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
No 88.0¢3.3K shares
$2.9K
+$82.15 (+2.9%)
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 89¢1.4K shares
$1.3K
+$77.00 (+6.2%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 64¢2.0K shares
$1.3K
−$30.00 (-2.3%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
No 76.8¢1.4K shares
$1.1K
+$57.91 (+5.5%)
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
No 86.5¢1.3K shares
$1.1K
−$32.96 (-2.9%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 82.7¢1.2K shares
$994.18
−$27.22 (-2.7%)
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 92¢1.0K shares
$961.50
+$41.50 (+4.5%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
No 89.9¢1.1K shares
$946.46
−$4.71 (-0.5%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
No 96.8¢842.3 shares
$838.09
+$22.42 (+2.7%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 96.3¢750 shares
$703.13
−$19.37 (-2.7%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
No 67.9¢1.0K shares
$694.90
+$15.98 (+2.4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 91¢662.5 shares
$634.68
+$31.80 (+5.3%)
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
No 89.8¢500 shares
$487.25
+$38.20 (+8.5%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
No 85.3¢533 shares
$466.38
+$11.81 (+2.6%)
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
No 76.9¢453.4 shares
$319.65
−$29.16 (-8.4%)
Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by July 31?
No 96.9¢310 shares
$308.14
+$7.69 (+2.6%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
No 95.3¢293.2 shares
$291.02
+$11.63 (+4.2%)
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 95.9¢300 shares
$289.95
+$2.25 (+0.8%)
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?
No 88.5¢304.3 shares
$289.11
+$19.80 (+7.4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 93¢300 shares
$288.76
+$9.75 (+3.5%)
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by July 31?
No 95.6¢288.6 shares
$280.51
+$4.66 (+1.7%)
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
No 88.8¢300 shares
$273.00
+$6.65 (+2.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 54¢500 shares
$267.49
−$2.50 (-0.9%)
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
No 82¢300 shares
$255.00
+$9.00 (+3.7%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No 91¢300 shares
$246.00
−$27.00 (-9.9%)
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by July 31?
No 97¢236.3 shares
$235.93
+$6.73 (+2.9%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
No 91.8¢243.5 shares
$231.32
+$7.86 (+3.5%)
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
No 79.9¢229.1 shares
$206.15
+$23.20 (+12.7%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
No 86.0¢202.8 shares
$180.52
+$6.19 (+3.5%)
Megaquake by July 31?
No 91.2¢169.5 shares
$165.55
+$11.00 (+7.1%)
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 69.9¢200 shares
$159.70
+$19.91 (+14.2%)
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?
No 88¢150 shares
$149.48
+$17.47 (+13.2%)
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?
No 97¢150 shares
$147.98
+$2.47 (+1.7%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
No 89.4¢140.5 shares
$136.96
+$11.25 (+9.0%)
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
No 50¢250 shares
$123.75
−$1.25 (-1.0%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
No 93.4¢123 shares
$120.76
+$5.84 (+5.1%)
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
No 74¢150 shares
$101.25
−$9.75 (-8.8%)
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?
No 96¢100 shares
$98.50
+$2.50 (+2.6%)
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
No 91¢100 shares
$97.65
+$6.65 (+7.3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 94.3¢93.1 shares
$91.43
+$3.68 (+4.2%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
No 72.7¢142 shares
$90.17
−$13.07 (-12.7%)
Trump meets with Putin by September 30?
No 91¢94.5 shares
$85.52
−$0.47 (-0.5%)
Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢86.8 shares
$85.12
+$3.08 (+3.8%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
No 83.5¢85.3 shares
$81.60
+$10.43 (+14.7%)
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
No 59.9¢115.5 shares
$81.46
+$12.29 (+17.8%)
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by September 30, 2026?
No 88.5¢83 shares
$76.36
+$2.90 (+3.9%)
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
No 85.9¢70 shares
$63.70
+$3.60 (+6.0%)
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 21¢341.1 shares
$59.70
−$11.94 (-16.7%)
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?
No 95.4¢60.3 shares
$57.26
−$0.31 (-0.5%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No 75.6¢69.4 shares
$54.46
+$1.98 (+3.8%)
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
No 77¢60 shares
$54.00
+$7.80 (+16.9%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
No 84.8¢55.3 shares
$50.39
+$3.45 (+7.4%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in July?
No 95.2¢50 shares
$49.84
+$2.25 (+4.7%)
Will Databricks have the highest private market valuation on July 31?
No 98¢50 shares
$49.78
+$0.77 (+1.6%)
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?
No 87¢50 shares
$45.25
+$1.75 (+4.0%)
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢50 shares
$43.25
+$1.25 (+3.0%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
Yes 66.1¢43 shares
$29.87
+$1.45 (+5.1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
No 93.6¢30.1 shares
$29.44
+$1.30 (+4.6%)
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?
No 86.6¢29 shares
$27.55
+$2.45 (+9.7%)
Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?
No 90.8¢27.5 shares
$26.43
+$1.46 (+5.8%)
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
No 74¢25 shares
$17.63
−$0.88 (-4.7%)
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Yes 73.7¢6.1 shares
$3.93
−$0.56 (-12.4%)
Will gas hit $3.70 (Low) by July 31?
Yes 81¢9.8 shares
$0.26
−$7.65 (-96.7%)
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6?
No 50¢59.1 shares
Lost
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?
No 78.7¢75 shares
Lost
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?
No 59.4¢90 shares
Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.3¢1.7 shares
Lost
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Yes 65.8¢50 shares
Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.1¢4.0K shares
Lost
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?
No 85¢50 shares
Lost
Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?
Yes 55.0¢176 shares
Lost
Will Google reach $375 in April?
No 98.6¢117.7 shares
Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
No 95.4¢800 shares
Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Yes 1.0K shares
Lost
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?
No 60¢100 shares
Lost
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
No 87.0¢100.1 shares
Lost
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?
Yes 37.7¢25 shares
Lost
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
Yes 1.1¢3.8K shares
Lost
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
No 93¢300 shares
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.1¢1.0K shares
Lost