ourdemocracy2
Flex cardJoined June 2025
Total earnings
$9,785.73
1D
$480.62
7D
−$213.08
30D
$696.28
90D
$1.3K
Total volume
$10.88M
Predictions
545
Positions value
$31.5K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$9.5K
LP+$516.54
Maker+$14.54
Yield+$17.20
Taker+$3.04
Fees−$318.44

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
No 90.0¢6.8K shares
90.0¢→93.2¢
$6.1K
$6.8K
$6.3K
+$218.53 (+3.6%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No 86.5¢4.9K shares
86.5¢→85.5¢
$4.2K
$4.9K
$4.2K
−$49.30 (-1.2%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
No 88.0¢3.3K shares
88.0¢→90.5¢
$2.9K
$3.3K
$2.9K
+$82.15 (+2.9%)

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 89¢1.4K shares
89¢→94.5¢
$1.2K
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$77.00 (+6.2%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 64¢2.0K shares
64¢→62.5¢
$1.3K
$2.0K
$1.3K
−$30.00 (-2.3%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
No 76.8¢1.4K shares
76.8¢→81¢
$1.0K
$1.4K
$1.1K
+$57.91 (+5.5%)

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
No 86.5¢1.3K shares
86.5¢→84¢
$1.1K
$1.3K
$1.1K
−$32.96 (-2.9%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 82.7¢1.2K shares
82.7¢→80.5¢
$1.0K
$1.2K
$994.18
−$27.22 (-2.7%)

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 92¢1.0K shares
92¢→96.2¢
$920.00
$1.0K
$961.50
+$41.50 (+4.5%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
No 89.9¢1.1K shares
89.9¢→89.5¢
$951.17
$1.1K
$946.46
−$4.71 (-0.5%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?
No 96.8¢842.3 shares
96.8¢→99.5¢
$815.67
$842.30
$838.09
+$22.42 (+2.7%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 96.3¢750 shares
96.3¢→93.8¢
$722.50
$750.00
$703.13
−$19.37 (-2.7%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
No 67.9¢1.0K shares
67.9¢→69.5¢
$678.92
$1.0K
$694.90
+$15.98 (+2.4%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 91¢662.5 shares
91¢→95.8¢
$602.88
$662.51
$634.68
+$31.80 (+5.3%)

Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?
No 89.8¢500 shares
89.8¢→97.5¢
$449.05
$500.00
$487.25
+$38.20 (+8.5%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
No 85.3¢533 shares
85.3¢→87.5¢
$454.56
$533.00
$466.38
+$11.81 (+2.6%)

Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
No 76.9¢453.4 shares
76.9¢→70.5¢
$348.80
$453.40
$319.65
−$29.16 (-8.4%)

Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by July 31?
No 96.9¢310 shares
96.9¢→99.4¢
$300.45
$310.00
$308.14
+$7.69 (+2.6%)

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
No 95.3¢293.2 shares
95.3¢→99.3¢
$279.39
$293.22
$291.02
+$11.63 (+4.2%)

Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 95.9¢300 shares
95.9¢→96.7¢
$287.70
$300.00
$289.95
+$2.25 (+0.8%)

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?
No 88.5¢304.3 shares
88.5¢→95¢
$269.31
$304.33
$289.11
+$19.80 (+7.4%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 93¢300 shares
93¢→96.3¢
$279.01
$300.01
$288.76
+$9.75 (+3.5%)

Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by July 31?
No 95.6¢288.6 shares
95.6¢→97.2¢
$275.85
$288.59
$280.51
+$4.66 (+1.7%)

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
No 88.8¢300 shares
88.8¢→91¢
$266.35
$300.00
$273.00
+$6.65 (+2.5%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 54¢500 shares
54¢→53.5¢
$269.99
$499.98
$267.49
−$2.50 (-0.9%)

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
No 82¢300 shares
82¢→85¢
$246.00
$300.00
$255.00
+$9.00 (+3.7%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No 91¢300 shares
91¢→82¢
$273.00
$300.00
$246.00
−$27.00 (-9.9%)

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by July 31?
No 97¢236.3 shares
97¢→99.9¢
$229.19
$236.28
$235.93
+$6.73 (+2.9%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
No 91.8¢243.5 shares
91.8¢→95¢
$223.46
$243.49
$231.32
+$7.86 (+3.5%)

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
No 79.9¢229.1 shares
79.9¢→90¢
$182.95
$229.06
$206.15
+$23.20 (+12.7%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
No 86.0¢202.8 shares
86.0¢→89¢
$174.33
$202.83
$180.52
+$6.19 (+3.5%)

Megaquake by July 31?
No 91.2¢169.5 shares
91.2¢→97.7¢
$154.55
$169.45
$165.55
+$11.00 (+7.1%)

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 69.9¢200 shares
69.9¢→79.8¢
$139.79
$200.00
$159.70
+$19.91 (+14.2%)

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by July 31, 2026?
No 88¢150 shares
88¢→99.7¢
$132.00
$150.00
$149.48
+$17.47 (+13.2%)

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?
No 97¢150 shares
97¢→98.7¢
$145.50
$150.00
$147.98
+$2.47 (+1.7%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?
No 89.4¢140.5 shares
89.4¢→97.5¢
$125.70
$140.54
$136.96
+$11.25 (+9.0%)

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
No 50¢250 shares
50¢→49.5¢
$125.00
$250.00
$123.75
−$1.25 (-1.0%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?
No 93.4¢123 shares
93.4¢→98.2¢
$114.92
$123.04
$120.76
+$5.84 (+5.1%)

Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?
No 74¢150 shares
74¢→67.5¢
$111.00
$150.00
$101.25
−$9.75 (-8.8%)

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?
No 96¢100 shares
96¢→98.5¢
$96.00
$100.00
$98.50
+$2.50 (+2.6%)

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
No 91¢100 shares
91¢→97.7¢
$91.00
$100.00
$97.65
+$6.65 (+7.3%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 94.3¢93.1 shares
94.3¢→98.3¢
$87.76
$93.06
$91.43
+$3.68 (+4.2%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
No 72.7¢142 shares
72.7¢→63.5¢
$103.24
$142.00
$90.17
−$13.07 (-12.7%)

Trump meets with Putin by September 30?
No 91¢94.5 shares
91¢→90.5¢
$86.00
$94.50
$85.52
−$0.47 (-0.5%)

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by July 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢86.8 shares
94.5¢→98.0¢
$82.04
$86.81
$85.12
+$3.08 (+3.8%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
No 83.5¢85.3 shares
83.5¢→95.7¢
$71.17
$85.27
$81.60
+$10.43 (+14.7%)

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
No 59.9¢115.5 shares
59.9¢→70.5¢
$69.17
$115.54
$81.46
+$12.29 (+17.8%)

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by September 30, 2026?
No 88.5¢83 shares
88.5¢→92¢
$73.46
$83.00
$76.36
+$2.90 (+3.9%)

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
No 85.9¢70 shares
85.9¢→91¢
$60.10
$70.00
$63.70
+$3.60 (+6.0%)

Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 21¢341.1 shares
21¢→17.5¢
$71.64
$341.14
$59.70
−$11.94 (-16.7%)

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by August 31, 2026?
No 95.4¢60.3 shares
95.4¢→94.9¢
$57.57
$60.34
$57.26
−$0.31 (-0.5%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No 75.6¢69.4 shares
75.6¢→78.5¢
$52.48
$69.38
$54.46
+$1.98 (+3.8%)

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
No 77¢60 shares
77¢→90¢
$46.20
$60.00
$54.00
+$7.80 (+16.9%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
No 84.8¢55.3 shares
84.8¢→91.0¢
$46.94
$55.34
$50.39
+$3.45 (+7.4%)

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in July?
No 95.2¢50 shares
95.2¢→99.7¢
$47.59
$49.99
$49.84
+$2.25 (+4.7%)

Will Databricks have the highest private market valuation on July 31?
No 98¢50 shares
98¢→99.6¢
$49.00
$50.00
$49.78
+$0.77 (+1.6%)

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?
No 87¢50 shares
87¢→90.5¢
$43.50
$50.00
$45.25
+$1.75 (+4.0%)

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢50 shares
84¢→86.5¢
$42.00
$50.00
$43.25
+$1.25 (+3.0%)

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
Yes 66.1¢43 shares
66.1¢→69.5¢
$28.42
$42.98
$29.87
+$1.45 (+5.1%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
No 93.6¢30.1 shares
93.6¢→97.9¢
$28.14
$30.07
$29.44
+$1.30 (+4.6%)

Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?
No 86.6¢29 shares
86.6¢→95¢
$25.10
$29.00
$27.55
+$2.45 (+9.7%)

Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?
No 90.8¢27.5 shares
90.8¢→96.1¢
$24.97
$27.50
$26.43
+$1.46 (+5.8%)

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
No 74¢25 shares
74¢→70.5¢
$18.50
$25.00
$17.63
−$0.88 (-4.7%)

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Yes 73.7¢6.1 shares
73.7¢→64.5¢
$4.49
$6.10
$3.93
−$0.56 (-12.4%)

Will gas hit $3.70 (Low) by July 31?
Yes 81¢9.8 shares
81¢→2.7¢
$7.91
$9.77
$0.26
−$7.65 (-96.7%)

Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6?
No 50¢59.1 shares
50¢→0¢
$29.54
$59.07
Lost

Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?
No 78.7¢75 shares
78.7¢→0¢
$59.05
$75.00
Lost

Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?
No 59.4¢90 shares
59.4¢→0¢
$53.49
$89.98
Lost

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.3¢1.7 shares
0.3¢→0¢
$0.01
$1.72
Lost

Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Yes 65.8¢50 shares
65.8¢→0¢
$32.90
$50.00
Lost

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.1¢4.0K shares
0.1¢→0¢
$4.00
$4.0K
Lost

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?
No 85¢50 shares
85¢→0¢
$42.50
$50.00
Lost

Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?
Yes 55.0¢176 shares
55.0¢→0¢
$96.77
$175.95
Lost

Will Google reach $375 in April?
No 98.6¢117.7 shares
98.6¢→0¢
$116.11
$117.70
Lost

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
No 95.4¢800 shares
95.4¢→0¢
$763.30
$800.00
Lost

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Yes 6¢1.0K shares
6¢→0¢
$60.00
$1.0K
Lost

Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?
No 60¢100 shares
60¢→0¢
$60.00
$100.00
Lost

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
No 87.0¢100.1 shares
87.0¢→0¢
$87.09
$100.10
Lost

Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?
Yes 37.7¢25 shares
37.7¢→0¢
$9.43
$25.00
Lost

Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
Yes 1.1¢3.8K shares
1.1¢→0¢
$41.80
$3.8K
Lost

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
No 93¢300 shares
93¢→0¢
$279.00
$300.00
Lost

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.1¢1.0K shares
0.1¢→0¢
$1.00
$1.0K
Lost
