
Slowroasted
Flex cardJoined October 2024
Total earnings
$37,046.45
1D
$0.53
7D
$78.06
30D
$1.3K
90D
$9.5K
Total volume
$19.03M
Predictions
5,530
Positions value
$166.2K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$36.0K
LP+$73.23
Maker+$739.45
Yield+$324.26
Fees−$139.71

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢120.0K shares
50¢→87.5¢
$60.0K
$120.0K
$105.1K
+$45.1K (+75.1%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50¢120.0K shares
50¢→12.4¢
$60.0K
$120.0K
$14.9K
−$45.1K (-75.1%)

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No 94.0¢4.1K shares
94.0¢→95.3¢
$3.8K
$4.1K
$3.9K
+$51.97 (+1.4%)

Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?
No 99.6¢3.8K shares
99.6¢→99.8¢
$3.7K
$3.8K
$3.7K
+$3.88 (+0.1%)

Trump out as President by July 31?
No 99¢2.8K shares
99¢→99.7¢
$2.8K
$2.8K
$2.8K
+$18.13 (+0.7%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 91.5¢2.5K shares
91.5¢→96.4¢
$2.3K
$2.5K
$2.4K
+$119.78 (+5.2%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 89¢2.5K shares
89¢→95.7¢
$2.2K
$2.5K
$2.4K
+$166.25 (+7.5%)

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 98.0¢2.4K shares
98.0¢→97.7¢
$2.4K
$2.4K
$2.3K
−$7.76 (-0.3%)

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 97.9¢2.3K shares
97.9¢→97.8¢
$2.2K
$2.3K
$2.2K
−$4.44 (-0.2%)

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
No 94.4¢2.3K shares
94.4¢→96.6¢
$2.1K
$2.3K
$2.2K
+$50.65 (+2.4%)

Will Venezuela become 51st state?
No 95.8¢2.0K shares
95.8¢→96.6¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
$2.0K
+$15.88 (+0.8%)

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 94.8¢1.8K shares
94.8¢→94.5¢
$1.7K
$1.8K
$1.7K
−$6.25 (-0.4%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 93.5¢1.5K shares
93.5¢→97.4¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.5K
+$60.45 (+4.2%)

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 98.7¢1.5K shares
98.7¢→98.7¢
$1.5K
$1.5K
$1.5K
−$0.75 (-0.1%)

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
No 94.0¢1.5K shares
94.0¢→96.4¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$35.25 (+2.5%)

Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 97.1¢1.3K shares
97.1¢→96.7¢
$1.2K
$1.3K
$1.2K
−$5.33 (-0.4%)

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 97.7¢1.3K shares
97.7¢→97.6¢
$1.2K
$1.3K
$1.2K
−$0.97 (-0.1%)

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 96.9¢1.2K shares
96.9¢→96.5¢
$1.2K
$1.2K
$1.2K
−$3.81 (-0.3%)

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
No 85.5¢1.2K shares
85.5¢→94.5¢
$984.49
$1.2K
$1.1K
+$103.24 (+10.5%)

US recession by end of 2026?
No 82.5¢1.0K shares
82.5¢→88¢
$829.13
$1.0K
$884.17
+$55.04 (+6.6%)

Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 97.8¢841.8 shares
97.8¢→97.6¢
$822.94
$841.77
$821.57
−$1.38 (-0.2%)

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
No 92¢833.8 shares
92¢→97.5¢
$767.06
$833.76
$812.92
+$45.86 (+6.0%)

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
No 93.2¢785 shares
93.2¢→94.7¢
$731.26
$785.02
$743.41
+$12.16 (+1.7%)

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No 94¢750 shares
94¢→95.5¢
$705.00
$750.00
$716.25
+$11.25 (+1.6%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 96.2¢658.6 shares
96.2¢→97.3¢
$633.57
$658.60
$640.49
+$6.92 (+1.1%)

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
No 95.9¢624.8 shares
95.9¢→97.9¢
$599.14
$624.76
$611.33
+$12.18 (+2.0%)

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 73¢620.4 shares
73¢→93.5¢
$452.88
$620.38
$580.06
+$127.18 (+28.1%)

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No 93¢600 shares
93¢→96.7¢
$558.00
$600.00
$579.90
+$21.90 (+3.9%)

Iran Nuke before 2027?
No 92.8¢608.7 shares
92.8¢→94.8¢
$564.86
$608.65
$577.00
+$12.14 (+2.1%)

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 86.9¢564.6 shares
86.9¢→95.5¢
$490.69
$564.63
$538.94
+$48.25 (+9.8%)

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 98.5¢500 shares
98.5¢→98.4¢
$492.51
$500.01
$492.01
−$0.50 (-0.1%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 90.0¢500 shares
90.0¢→91.5¢
$450.02
$500.03
$457.53
+$7.50 (+1.7%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 96¢500 shares
96¢→80.2¢
$480.00
$500.00
$400.75
−$79.25 (-16.5%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No 64.5¢446.4 shares
64.5¢→87.5¢
$288.00
$446.40
$390.60
+$102.60 (+35.6%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 91.3¢400 shares
91.3¢→96.7¢
$365.19
$399.98
$386.58
+$21.40 (+5.9%)

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
No 89.3¢395.6 shares
89.3¢→95.3¢
$353.41
$395.64
$377.24
+$23.83 (+6.7%)

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
No 98.5¢304.9 shares
98.5¢→99.7¢
$300.32
$304.92
$303.85
+$3.53 (+1.2%)

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
No 90.0¢250 shares
90.0¢→90.5¢
$225.03
$250.03
$226.28
+$1.25 (+0.6%)

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
No 98.4¢112.6 shares
98.4¢→98.4¢
$110.79
$112.62
$110.76
−$0.03 (-0.0%)

Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
No 86.6¢111.1 shares
86.6¢→87.5¢
$96.18
$111.10
$97.21
+$1.03 (+1.1%)

Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
No 63.2¢165.8 shares
63.2¢→58.0¢
$104.86
$165.78
$96.15
−$8.71 (-8.3%)

New pandemic in 2026?
No 88¢75 shares
88¢→93.5¢
$66.00
$75.00
$70.13
+$4.13 (+6.3%)

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 71.5¢80.7 shares
71.5¢→72.5¢
$57.67
$80.70
$58.51
+$0.84 (+1.5%)

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
No 86¢60 shares
86¢→92.8¢
$51.60
$60.00
$55.71
+$4.11 (+8.0%)

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
No 94.5¢57.9 shares
94.5¢→95.0¢
$54.75
$57.90
$54.98
+$0.23 (+0.4%)

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 67.6¢62.4 shares
67.6¢→79.5¢
$42.15
$62.37
$49.58
+$7.43 (+17.6%)

Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 77.4¢48.7 shares
77.4¢→90.5¢
$37.74
$48.74
$44.11
+$6.37 (+16.9%)

Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
No 93.6¢45.6 shares
93.6¢→96.8¢
$42.65
$45.58
$44.10
+$1.45 (+3.4%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes 58.5¢100 shares
58.5¢→43.5¢
$58.50
$100.00
$43.50
−$15.00 (-25.6%)

Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes 82.9¢52.5 shares
82.9¢→79.7¢
$43.54
$52.54
$41.85
−$1.69 (-3.9%)

Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
No 46.8¢93.9 shares
46.8¢→40.2¢
$43.99
$93.94
$37.72
−$6.27 (-14.3%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 36¢100 shares
36¢→33.5¢
$36.00
$100.00
$33.50
−$2.50 (-6.9%)

Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes 66.5¢50 shares
66.5¢→62.9¢
$33.25
$50.00
$31.45
−$1.80 (-5.4%)

Will US annex any territory in 2026?
No 87.0¢30 shares
87.0¢→96.3¢
$26.10
$30.00
$28.88
+$2.78 (+10.6%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
No 98.9¢12.6 shares
98.9¢→99.3¢
$12.50
$12.64
$12.55
+$0.04 (+0.4%)

Human moon landing in 2026?
No 97¢10.6 shares
97¢→98.0¢
$10.26
$10.58
$10.37
+$0.11 (+1.1%)

Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 80.0¢10.7 shares
80.0¢→85.5¢
$8.58
$10.72
$9.17
+$0.59 (+6.9%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 83.2¢10 shares
83.2¢→78.1¢
$8.32
$10.00
$7.82
−$0.50 (-6.1%)

Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19¢30 shares
19¢→16.5¢
$5.70
$30.00
$4.95
−$0.75 (-13.2%)
