Total earnings
$23,290.93
1D
$92.87
7D
$1.8K
30D
$20.9K
90D
$23.4K
Total volume
$2.94M
Predictions
5,778
Positions value
$9.3K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$31.5K
LP+$58.8K
Maker+$1.4K
Yield+$0.01
Taker+$499.47
Fees−$5.9K
Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?
No 91¢600 shares
91¢→84.5¢
$546.00
$600.00
$507.00
−$39.00 (-7.1%)
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%?
No 90¢496 shares
90¢→83¢
$446.40
$496.00
$411.68
−$34.72 (-7.8%)
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
Yes 62¢600 shares
62¢→44.5¢
$372.00
$600.00
$267.00
−$105.00 (-28.2%)
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
No 94¢290.2 shares
94¢→90.5¢
$272.81
$290.22
$262.65
−$10.16 (-3.7%)
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
No 76¢354.2 shares
76¢→66.5¢
$269.21
$354.22
$235.56
−$33.65 (-12.5%)
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $AAI?
No 98.2¢267 shares
98.2¢→84.4¢
$262.19
$267.00
$225.21
−$36.98 (-14.1%)
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No 91¢260.6 shares
91¢→86¢
$237.16
$260.62
$224.13
−$13.03 (-5.5%)
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?
No 90.7¢286 shares
90.7¢→78.0¢
$259.40
$286.00
$222.94
−$36.46 (-14.1%)
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
No 55.0¢460 shares
55.0¢→48¢
$253.00
$460.00
$220.80
−$32.20 (-12.7%)
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
No 89¢246 shares
89¢→85¢
$218.94
$246.00
$209.10
−$9.84 (-4.5%)
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?
Yes 76¢385 shares
76¢→53.5¢
$292.60
$385.00
$205.98
−$86.63 (-29.6%)
Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?
No 69.0¢192 shares
69.0¢→100¢
$132.48
$192.00
Won
$192.00
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?
Yes 78¢191.3 shares
78¢→100¢
$149.22
$191.31
Won
$191.31
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 90¢219 shares
90¢→86.5¢
$197.06
$218.96
$189.40
−$7.66 (-3.9%)
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?
Yes 67¢600 shares
67¢→30.5¢
$402.00
$600.00
$183.00
−$219.00 (-54.5%)
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026?
No 83¢224 shares
83¢→80¢
$185.92
$224.00
$179.20
−$6.72 (-3.6%)
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No 87¢208 shares
87¢→77¢
$180.96
$208.00
$160.16
−$20.80 (-11.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?
No 84¢201.1 shares
84¢→76¢
$168.94
$201.12
$152.85
−$16.09 (-9.5%)
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
No 74¢224 shares
74¢→68¢
$165.76
$224.00
$152.32
−$13.44 (-8.1%)
Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 46¢448 shares
46¢→33.5¢
$206.08
$448.00
$150.08
−$56.00 (-27.2%)
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?
No 89¢177.8 shares
89¢→83¢
$158.28
$177.84
$147.61
−$10.67 (-6.7%)
Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth 3.5%-4.5%?
No 87¢142.7 shares
87¢→100¢
$124.12
$142.67
Won
$142.67
Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
Yes 34¢579 shares
34¢→24.6¢
$196.86
$579.00
$142.14
−$54.72 (-27.8%)
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?
No 71.1¢400 shares
71.1¢→35.4¢
$284.40
$400.00
$141.40
−$143.00 (-50.3%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 67¢210 shares
67¢→67¢
$140.71
$210.02
$140.71
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?
No 88¢192.4 shares
88¢→71.5¢
$169.31
$192.40
$137.57
−$31.75 (-18.7%)
Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election?
No 36¢507.6 shares
36¢→26¢
$182.74
$507.60
$131.98
−$50.76 (-27.8%)
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
No 61¢223.8 shares
61¢→56.0¢
$136.52
$223.80
$125.33
−$11.19 (-8.2%)
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
No 90¢141.7 shares
90¢→87.5¢
$127.51
$141.68
$123.97
−$3.54 (-2.8%)
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
No 78¢172 shares
78¢→68¢
$134.16
$172.00
$116.96
−$17.20 (-12.8%)
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
No 91¢132.4 shares
91¢→83.5¢
$120.47
$132.39
$110.55
−$9.93 (-8.2%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?
Yes 78¢146 shares
78¢→73¢
$113.88
$146.00
$106.58
−$7.30 (-6.4%)
Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?
Yes 87¢426 shares
87¢→25¢
$370.62
$426.00
$106.50
−$264.12 (-71.3%)
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Yes 65.4¢200 shares
65.4¢→50.2¢
$130.80
$200.00
$100.48
−$30.32 (-23.2%)
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
No 94¢120.1 shares
94¢→83.5¢
$112.85
$120.05
$100.24
−$12.61 (-11.2%)
Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
No 36¢383.8 shares
36¢→25¢
$138.17
$383.80
$95.95
−$42.22 (-30.6%)
Will Iowa have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
No 91.7¢108.4 shares
91.7¢→88.4¢
$99.40
$108.40
$95.83
−$3.58 (-3.6%)
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?
Yes 71¢199.5 shares
71¢→48¢
$141.67
$199.54
$95.78
−$45.89 (-32.4%)
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?
Yes 37¢380 shares
37¢→25¢
$140.60
$380.00
$95.00
−$45.60 (-32.4%)
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
No 87¢141.1 shares
87¢→65.5¢
$122.77
$141.12
$92.43
−$30.34 (-24.7%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Yes 60¢160 shares
60¢→55.5¢
$96.01
$160.01
$88.80
−$7.20 (-7.5%)
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?
No 85¢106 shares
85¢→83.5¢
$90.08
$105.98
$88.49
−$1.59 (-1.8%)
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
No 80¢111 shares
80¢→74.5¢
$88.80
$111.00
$82.69
−$6.11 (-6.9%)
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes 90¢100 shares
90¢→80¢
$90.00
$100.00
$80.00
−$10.00 (-11.1%)
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?
No 89¢89 shares
89¢→81¢
$79.21
$89.00
$72.09
−$7.12 (-9.0%)
Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?
Yes 70¢131 shares
70¢→53.5¢
$91.70
$131.00
$70.09
−$21.61 (-23.6%)
Will the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
No 68¢133 shares
68¢→51.5¢
$90.44
$133.00
$68.50
−$21.95 (-24.3%)
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
No 90¢83.9 shares
90¢→80¢
$75.55
$83.94
$67.15
−$8.39 (-11.1%)
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on August 31, 2026?
No 73¢108 shares
73¢→61.5¢
$78.84
$108.00
$66.42
−$12.42 (-15.8%)
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
Yes 84¢106 shares
84¢→62¢
$89.04
$106.00
$65.72
−$23.32 (-26.2%)
Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?
No 66¢94 shares
66¢→62.5¢
$62.04
$94.00
$58.75
−$3.29 (-5.3%)
Will Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?
No 84.6¢74 shares
84.6¢→74.6¢
$62.60
$74.00
$55.17
−$7.44 (-11.9%)
Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?
No 73¢73 shares
73¢→64¢
$53.29
$73.00
$46.72
−$6.57 (-12.3%)
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?
No 58.0¢150 shares
58.0¢→31¢
$87.00
$150.00
$46.50
−$40.50 (-46.6%)
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?
No 72¢70 shares
72¢→62¢
$50.40
$70.00
$43.40
−$7.00 (-13.9%)
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?
No 94.6¢50 shares
94.6¢→84.5¢
$47.30
$50.00
$42.25
−$5.05 (-10.7%)
Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
No 50¢108 shares
50¢→38.5¢
$54.00
$108.00
$41.58
−$12.42 (-23.0%)
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?
No 82¢50 shares
82¢→78.5¢
$41.00
$50.00
$39.25
−$1.75 (-4.3%)
Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?
No 79¢50 shares
79¢→74.5¢
$39.50
$50.00
$37.25
−$2.25 (-5.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?
No 72¢53 shares
72¢→67.5¢
$38.16
$53.00
$35.78
−$2.38 (-6.2%)
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Yes 21.4¢218 shares
21.4¢→15.8¢
$46.65
$218.00
$34.44
−$12.21 (-26.2%)
Will the season series between the Cardinals and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 37¢220 shares
37¢→15.5¢
$81.40
$220.00
$34.10
−$47.30 (-58.1%)
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $66B?
No 85¢33 shares
85¢→100¢
$28.05
$33.00
Won
$33.00
Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
No 79.8¢44 shares
79.8¢→72.7¢
$35.11
$44.00
$31.97
−$3.15 (-9.0%)
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Yes 75¢51 shares
75¢→58.0¢
$38.25
$51.00
$29.58
−$8.67 (-22.7%)
Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?
No 84¢50 shares
84¢→58.0¢
$42.00
$50.00
$29.00
−$13.00 (-31.0%)
Will the Texas Rangers clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?
Yes 54¢72 shares
54¢→38.5¢
$38.88
$72.00
$27.72
−$11.16 (-28.7%)
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
No 85¢75 shares
85¢→35.5¢
$63.75
$75.00
$26.63
−$37.13 (-58.2%)
Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No 94.0¢30 shares
94.0¢→88.5¢
$28.20
$30.01
$26.55
−$1.65 (-5.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?
No 11¢400 shares
11¢→6.5¢
$44.00
$400.00
$26.00
−$18.00 (-40.9%)
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?
Yes 47¢150 shares
47¢→17¢
$70.50
$150.00
$25.50
−$45.00 (-63.8%)
Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
No 43.5¢104 shares
43.5¢→24.1¢
$45.24
$104.00
$25.01
−$20.23 (-44.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat?
Yes 10.6¢400 shares
10.6¢→6.0¢
$42.40
$400.00
$24.20
−$18.20 (-42.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?
Yes 74¢36 shares
74¢→66.5¢
$26.64
$36.00
$23.94
−$2.70 (-10.1%)
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 33¢220 shares
33¢→10.5¢
$72.60
$220.00
$23.10
−$49.50 (-68.2%)
Will Michelle Romero win the 2026 Henderson mayoral election?
No 22¢184 shares
22¢→12.5¢
$40.48
$184.00
$23.00
−$17.48 (-43.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?
Yes 32¢83 shares
32¢→27.5¢
$26.56
$83.00
$22.83
−$3.74 (-14.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-05 House seat?
Yes 0¢200 shares
0¢→11¢
$0.00
$200.00
$22.00
+$22.00 (+0.0%)
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Yes 49¢88 shares
49¢→24.5¢
$43.12
$88.00
$21.56
−$21.56 (-50.0%)
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
No 80¢33 shares
80¢→61.5¢
$26.38
$32.97
$20.28
−$6.10 (-23.1%)
Will Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 78¢20 shares
78¢→100¢
$15.60
$20.00
Won
$20.00
Will Trump praise Roger Penske in August?
No 79¢53 shares
79¢→37.5¢
$41.87
$53.00
$19.88
−$22.00 (-52.5%)
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Yes 47¢140 shares
47¢→14.0¢
$65.80
$140.00
$19.60
−$46.20 (-70.2%)
Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?
No 50¢47 shares
50¢→38.5¢
$23.50
$47.00
$18.10
−$5.41 (-23.0%)
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 94¢20 shares
94¢→87.5¢
$18.80
$20.00
$17.50
−$1.30 (-6.9%)
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
Yes 63¢32.4 shares
63¢→51¢
$20.42
$32.42
$16.53
−$3.89 (-19.0%)
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2028?
No 92¢20 shares
92¢→80¢
$18.40
$20.00
$16.00
−$2.40 (-13.0%)
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
No 34¢58 shares
34¢→27¢
$19.72
$58.00
$15.66
−$4.06 (-20.6%)
Will Brad Pitt win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 7.7¢317 shares
7.7¢→4.8¢
$24.41
$317.00
$15.06
−$9.35 (-38.3%)
Will Fred Clark be the WI-07 Democratic nominee?
No 18¢600 shares
18¢→2.3¢
$108.00
$600.00
$13.50
−$94.50 (-87.5%)
Will Bola Oyebamiji win the 2026 Osun State gubernatorial elections?
No 80¢20 shares
80¢→67.5¢
$16.00
$20.00
$13.50
−$2.50 (-15.6%)
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 19¢106 shares
19¢→12.5¢
$20.14
$106.01
$13.25
−$6.89 (-34.2%)
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Yes 66¢30 shares
66¢→43.5¢
$19.80
$30.00
$13.05
−$6.75 (-34.1%)
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 83¢16.1 shares
83¢→81¢
$13.34
$16.07
$13.02
−$0.32 (-2.4%)
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 61¢22 shares
61¢→58.0¢
$13.42
$22.00
$12.76
−$0.66 (-4.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
Yes 62¢20 shares
62¢→58.5¢
$12.40
$20.00
$11.70
−$0.70 (-5.6%)
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?
No 80¢20 shares
80¢→57.5¢
$16.00
$20.00
$11.50
−$4.50 (-28.1%)
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?
No 22¢150 shares
22¢→7.5¢
$33.00
$150.00
$11.25
−$21.75 (-65.9%)
Will Requião Filho win the Governor of Paraná election?
Yes 10¢586 shares
10¢→1.9¢
$58.60
$586.00
$11.13
−$47.47 (-81.0%)
Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes 10¢158.5 shares
10¢→7.0¢
$15.85
$158.50
$11.10
−$4.76 (-30.0%)