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PadreMaronno
PadreMaronno
Joined October 2024
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$14,782.83
1D
$67.28
7D
$59.71
30D
$195.70
90D
$760.04
Total volume
$546.7K
Predictions
4,490
Positions value
$3.4K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$14.5K
LP
+$347.62
Maker
+$11.83
Yield
+$9.04
Fees
−$39.67
Standings
Overall
#10,933
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#36,642
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#10,608
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#7,246
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#58,143
of 161k earners
Yield
#11,741
of 352k earners
Fees Paid
#200,091
of 1.5M payers
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No 96.2¢
400 shares
Share
79¢
→
96.2¢
$316.00
$400.00
$384.60
+$68.60
(+21.7%)
Will Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 83.8¢
240 shares
Share
91.7¢
→
83.8¢
$220.00
$240.00
$201.00
−$19.00
(-8.6%)
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
No 96.9¢
146.7 shares
Share
85¢
→
96.9¢
$124.67
$146.67
$142.12
+$17.45
(+14.0%)
Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?
No 96.7¢
127.8 shares
Share
78.1¢
→
96.7¢
$99.78
$127.78
$123.56
+$23.78
(+23.8%)
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
No 97.0¢
124.5 shares
Share
82.8¢
→
97.0¢
$103.14
$124.54
$120.87
+$17.73
(+17.2%)
Will Todd Blanche be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?
No 99.9¢
100 shares
Share
91¢
→
99.9¢
$91.00
$100.00
$99.85
+$8.85
(+9.7%)
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 99.3¢
100 shares
Share
79.4¢
→
99.3¢
$79.38
$100.00
$99.25
+$19.87
(+25.0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 99.2¢
100 shares
Share
76.4¢
→
99.2¢
$76.43
$99.99
$99.14
+$22.71
(+29.7%)
Will Oman join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 99.1¢
100 shares
Share
92¢
→
99.1¢
$92.00
$100.00
$99.10
+$7.10
(+7.7%)
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 99.0¢
100 shares
Share
73¢
→
99.0¢
$73.00
$100.01
$98.96
+$25.95
(+35.5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 98.8¢
100 shares
Share
68.1¢
→
98.8¢
$68.08
$100.00
$98.80
+$30.72
(+45.1%)
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
No 97.6¢
100 shares
Share
93.9¢
→
97.6¢
$93.90
$100.00
$97.60
+$3.70
(+3.9%)
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
No 96.8¢
100 shares
Share
85¢
→
96.8¢
$85.00
$100.00
$96.80
+$11.80
(+13.9%)
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
No 95.5¢
100 shares
Share
76¢
→
95.5¢
$76.00
$100.00
$95.50
+$19.50
(+25.7%)
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
No 97.0¢
97.9 shares
Share
47.4¢
→
97.0¢
$46.37
$97.86
$94.97
+$48.60
(+104.8%)
Will Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 91¢
100 shares
Share
89¢
→
91¢
$89.00
$100.00
$91.00
+$2.00
(+2.2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 88.5¢
90 shares
Share
33.0¢
→
88.5¢
$29.70
$90.00
$79.65
+$49.95
(+168.2%)
Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?
No 99.4¢
80 shares
Share
75¢
→
99.4¢
$60.00
$80.00
$79.48
+$19.48
(+32.5%)
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes 85¢
90 shares
Share
55.0¢
→
85¢
$49.50
$90.00
$76.50
+$27.00
(+54.5%)
Will the United Arab Emirates join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 98.3¢
70 shares
Share
93¢
→
98.3¢
$65.10
$70.00
$68.81
+$3.71
(+5.7%)
Will Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 97.0¢
70 shares
Share
94¢
→
97.0¢
$65.80
$70.00
$67.94
+$2.14
(+3.2%)
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No 96.3¢
70 shares
Share
76¢
→
96.3¢
$53.19
$69.98
$67.39
+$14.21
(+26.7%)
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?
No 33¢
200 shares
Share
11¢
→
33¢
$22.00
$200.00
$66.00
+$44.00
(+200.0%)
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
No 91.5¢
70 shares
Share
73.0¢
→
91.5¢
$51.10
$69.99
$64.05
+$12.95
(+25.3%)
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?
No 98¢
60 shares
Share
55.0¢
→
98¢
$33.00
$60.00
$58.80
+$25.80
(+78.2%)
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
No 81.5¢
70 shares
Share
67¢
→
81.5¢
$46.90
$70.00
$57.05
+$10.15
(+21.6%)
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
No 94.5¢
60 shares
Share
54¢
→
94.5¢
$32.40
$60.00
$56.70
+$24.30
(+75.0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 92.5¢
60 shares
Share
48¢
→
92.5¢
$28.80
$59.99
$55.49
+$26.70
(+92.7%)
Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total?
Sothebys 84¢
61.5 shares
Share
44.3¢
→
84¢
$27.26
$61.50
$51.66
+$24.40
(+89.5%)
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?
No 83¢
60 shares
Share
69.8¢
→
83¢
$41.90
$60.00
$49.80
+$7.90
(+18.9%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 96.5¢
50 shares
Share
61.0¢
→
96.5¢
$30.50
$50.01
$48.23
+$17.73
(+58.1%)
Will Ilija Srdanović become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria?
Yes 18¢
200 shares
Share
13¢
→
18¢
$26.00
$200.00
$36.00
+$10.00
(+38.5%)
Madison Beer and Justin Herbert confirmed married by December 31?
No 53.5¢
67.1 shares
Share
51.7¢
→
53.5¢
$34.70
$67.09
$35.89
+$1.19
(+3.4%)
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
No 85.5¢
40 shares
Share
62¢
→
85.5¢
$24.80
$40.00
$34.20
+$9.40
(+37.9%)
Will Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 96.4¢
30 shares
Share
91¢
→
96.4¢
$27.30
$30.00
$28.92
+$1.62
(+5.9%)
Will Jordan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 94.3¢
30 shares
Share
93¢
→
94.3¢
$27.90
$30.00
$28.28
+$0.38
(+1.3%)
Will Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 92¢
30 shares
Share
91¢
→
92¢
$27.28
$29.98
$27.58
+$0.30
(+1.1%)
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?
No 98.7¢
21 shares
Share
59.0¢
→
98.7¢
$12.39
$21.00
$20.73
+$8.34
(+67.3%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?
No 96.5¢
20.6 shares
Share
76.5¢
→
96.5¢
$15.79
$20.64
$19.92
+$4.13
(+26.1%)
Will Sudan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢
19.6 shares
Share
89¢
→
94.5¢
$17.48
$19.64
$18.55
+$1.07
(+6.1%)
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
No 92¢
20 shares
Share
51¢
→
92¢
$10.20
$20.00
$18.40
+$8.20
(+80.4%)
Plague pandemic in 2026?
No 98.6¢
17.5 shares
Share
89¢
→
98.6¢
$15.62
$17.55
$17.29
+$1.68
(+10.7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 97.7¢
15 shares
Share
53¢
→
97.7¢
$7.95
$15.00
$14.66
+$6.71
(+84.3%)
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
Nothing 95.3¢
15.4 shares
Share
87¢
→
95.3¢
$13.38
$15.38
$14.65
+$1.27
(+9.5%)
Canada's population Up or Down this year?
Down 43¢
33.5 shares
Share
17¢
→
43¢
$5.69
$33.49
$14.40
+$8.71
(+152.9%)
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
No 98.3¢
12.4 shares
Share
71¢
→
98.3¢
$8.81
$12.41
$12.20
+$3.39
(+38.5%)
Will Algeria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 97.9¢
12 shares
Share
92¢
→
97.9¢
$11.04
$12.00
$11.75
+$0.71
(+6.4%)
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No 97.3¢
11.1 shares
Share
83¢
→
97.3¢
$9.20
$11.09
$10.78
+$1.58
(+17.2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 98.4¢
10 shares
Share
51¢
→
98.4¢
$5.10
$10.00
$9.84
+$4.74
(+92.9%)
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
No 97.2¢
8.5 shares
Share
41¢
→
97.2¢
$3.47
$8.47
$8.24
+$4.76
(+137.1%)
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
No 78.5¢
10 shares
Share
54.0¢
→
78.5¢
$5.39
$9.99
$7.84
+$2.45
(+45.4%)
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
No 80¢
9 shares
Share
61¢
→
80¢
$5.49
$9.00
$7.20
+$1.71
(+31.1%)
Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?
No 82¢
8.1 shares
Share
51¢
→
82¢
$4.11
$8.06
$6.61
+$2.50
(+60.8%)
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?
No 96.5¢
6.7 shares
Share
93.6¢
→
96.5¢
$6.28
$6.71
$6.48
+$0.19
(+3.1%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
Yes 1.5¢
400 shares
Share
3.9¢
→
1.5¢
$15.60
$399.99
$6.00
−$9.60
(-61.5%)
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Yes 4.8¢
120 shares
Share
19.3¢
→
4.8¢
$23.20
$120.00
$5.70
−$17.50
(-75.4%)
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV by October 31?
Yes 2.9¢
180.6 shares
Share
4.7¢
→
2.9¢
$8.54
$180.56
$5.33
−$3.22
(-37.7%)
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
Yes 4.2¢
90 shares
Share
34.3¢
→
4.2¢
$30.90
$90.00
$3.73
−$27.17
(-87.9%)
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
No 97.7¢
3.4 shares
Share
71¢
→
97.7¢
$2.45
$3.45
$3.37
+$0.92
(+37.5%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes 7.5¢
39.1 shares
Share
25.6¢
→
7.5¢
$10.01
$39.08
$2.93
−$7.08
(-70.7%)
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?
No 94¢
3 shares
Share
51¢
→
94¢
$1.53
$3.00
$2.82
+$1.29
(+84.3%)
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
Yes 13¢
20.3 shares
Share
15¢
→
13¢
$3.04
$20.29
$2.64
−$0.41
(-13.3%)
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?
No 96.7¢
2.3 shares
Share
57.0¢
→
96.7¢
$1.33
$2.33
$2.25
+$0.92
(+69.6%)
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
Down 5.5¢
37.3 shares
Share
21.7¢
→
5.5¢
$8.10
$37.35
$2.05
−$6.05
(-74.7%)
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Yes 10.2¢
20 shares
Share
44.4¢
→
10.2¢
$8.88
$20.00
$2.03
−$6.85
(-77.1%)
Japan recession in 2026?
No 91¢
2.1 shares
Share
53¢
→
91¢
$1.13
$2.13
$1.94
+$0.81
(+71.7%)
Will Denis Bouanga win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
No 100.0¢
1.9 shares
Share
81¢
→
100.0¢
$1.56
$1.93
$1.93
+$0.37
(+23.4%)
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
Yes 5.5¢
34.7 shares
Share
15.9¢
→
5.5¢
$5.52
$34.73
$1.91
−$3.61
(-65.4%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?
Yes 1.6¢
110 shares
Share
2.6¢
→
1.6¢
$2.83
$110.00
$1.71
−$1.12
(-39.8%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
No 5.7¢
6.8 shares
Share
21¢
→
5.7¢
$1.42
$6.75
$0.38
−$1.04
(-73.1%)
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?
No 2.3¢
5.8 shares
Share
58.0¢
→
2.3¢
$3.37
$5.82
$0.13
−$3.24
(-96.0%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
Yes 0.1¢
100 shares
Share
3.2¢
→
0.1¢
$3.20
$100.00
$0.10
−$3.10
(-96.9%)
Will Trump say "Best military" or "Greatest military" during Healthcare Affordability Events?
No 0¢
1.9 shares
Share
46¢
→
0¢
$0.85
$1.85
Lost
Will Trump say "Percent" 13+ times during Wisconsin events?
No 0¢
20 shares
Share
56.0¢
→
0¢
$11.20
$20.00
Lost
Will Trump say "Cartel" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?
No 0¢
20 shares
Share
51¢
→
0¢
$10.20
$20.00
Lost
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
Yes 0¢
40 shares
Share
46¢
→
0¢
$18.40
$40.00
Lost
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Tele-Rally?
Yes 0¢
70 shares
Share
15¢
→
0¢
$10.49
$69.95
Lost
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
1.3¢
→
0¢
$6.50
$500.00
Lost
Will Lazio win Coppa Italia?
Yes 0¢
300 shares
Share
9.5¢
→
0¢
$28.60
$300.00
Lost
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in October?
No 0¢
60 shares
Share
41¢
→
0¢
$24.60
$60.00
Lost
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
No 0¢
50 shares
Share
67¢
→
0¢
$33.49
$49.99
Lost
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 3+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
No 0¢
30 shares
Share
41¢
→
0¢
$12.30
$30.00
Lost
Will Trump say "Shit" in October?
No 0¢
41.5 shares
Share
13¢
→
0¢
$5.39
$41.49
Lost
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
No 0¢
20 shares
Share
65¢
→
0¢
$13.00
$20.00
Lost
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Wisconsin events?
No 0¢
100 shares
Share
15¢
→
0¢
$15.00
$100.00
Lost
Will the announcers say "Equalizer" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
Yes 0¢
39 shares
Share
22.5¢
→
0¢
$8.79
$39.04
Lost
Will Trump say "Ice Cream" in October?
No 0¢
30 shares
Share
26¢
→
0¢
$7.80
$30.00
Lost
Will Trump say "Best of Trump" in June?
No 0¢
40 shares
Share
35¢
→
0¢
$14.00
$40.00
Lost
Will Rafael Leão score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No 0¢
10 shares
Share
55.0¢
→
0¢
$5.50
$10.00
Lost
Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Yes 0¢
325.4 shares
Share
62.8¢
→
0¢
$204.23
$325.38
Lost
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
No 0¢
20 shares
Share
43¢
→
0¢
$8.60
$19.99
Lost
Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?
No 0¢
11.9 shares
Share
58.0¢
→
0¢
$6.90
$11.90
Lost
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Yes 0¢
100 shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$2.10
$100.00
Lost
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No 0¢
25.6 shares
Share
61¢
→
0¢
$15.64
$25.64
Lost
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
No 0¢
20 shares
Share
63¢
→
0¢
$12.60
$20.00
Lost
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Up 0¢
40 shares
Share
34¢
→
0¢
$13.60
$40.00
Lost
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Up 0¢
15.8 shares
Share
24.0¢
→
0¢
$3.78
$15.78
Lost
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in May 2026?
Yes 0¢
100 shares
Share
15¢
→
0¢
$15.00
$99.99
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 10, 2026?
No 0¢
100 shares
Share
31¢
→
0¢
$31.00
$100.00
Lost
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?
No 0¢
30 shares
Share
54¢
→
0¢
$16.20
$30.00
Lost
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