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zthunderfury
Joined October 2025
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Polymarket
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Total earnings
$40,983.48
1D
$6.4K
7D
$9.4K
30D
$3.9K
90D
$16.9K
Total volume
$6.77M
Predictions
617
Positions value
$253.8K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$37.5K
LP
+$1,088.57
Maker
+$702.40
Yield
+$1,629.21
Taker
+$99.50
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 86.5¢
45.8K shares
Share
83.7¢
→
86.5¢
$38.3K
$45.8K
$39.6K
+$1.3K
(+3.4%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 100.0¢
33.6K shares
Share
89.9¢
→
100.0¢
$30.2K
$33.6K
$33.6K
+$3.4K
(+11.2%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 90.5¢
32.2K shares
Share
87.0¢
→
90.5¢
$28.0K
$32.2K
$29.1K
+$1.1K
(+4.0%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 84.6¢
34.3K shares
Share
50.0¢
→
84.6¢
$17.2K
$34.3K
$29.1K
+$11.9K
(+69.2%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 99.9¢
26.5K shares
Share
97.0¢
→
99.9¢
$25.7K
$26.5K
$26.5K
+$741.24
(+2.9%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 96.2¢
19.9K shares
Share
95.0¢
→
96.2¢
$18.9K
$19.9K
$19.1K
+$238.88
(+1.3%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 91¢
12.1K shares
Share
88¢
→
91¢
$10.7K
$12.1K
$11.0K
+$363.02
(+3.4%)
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No 98.0¢
10.3K shares
Share
81.5¢
→
98.0¢
$8.4K
$10.3K
$10.1K
+$1.7K
(+20.3%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 88.8¢
10.0K shares
Share
86.3¢
→
88.8¢
$8.6K
$10.0K
$8.9K
+$259.69
(+3.0%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 96.3¢
7.8K shares
Share
72.9¢
→
96.3¢
$5.7K
$7.8K
$7.5K
+$1.8K
(+31.9%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 98.2¢
7.2K shares
Share
94.4¢
→
98.2¢
$6.8K
$7.2K
$7.0K
+$269.60
(+4.0%)
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
No 97.9¢
6.8K shares
Share
97¢
→
97.9¢
$6.6K
$6.8K
$6.6K
+$57.46
(+0.9%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 77¢
7.5K shares
Share
82.4¢
→
77¢
$6.2K
$7.5K
$5.8K
−$402.02
(-6.5%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 15.4¢
34.3K shares
Share
50.0¢
→
15.4¢
$17.2K
$34.3K
$5.3K
−$11.9K
(-69.2%)
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No 96.2¢
4.1K shares
Share
92.8¢
→
96.2¢
$3.8K
$4.1K
$3.9K
+$134.38
(+3.5%)
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes 70.5¢
4.1K shares
Share
72.1¢
→
70.5¢
$3.0K
$4.1K
$2.9K
−$65.86
(-2.2%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 96.4¢
3.0K shares
Share
88.0¢
→
96.4¢
$2.6K
$3.0K
$2.9K
+$252.01
(+9.5%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 84.5¢
1.9K shares
Share
76.0¢
→
84.5¢
$1.5K
$1.9K
$1.6K
+$163.51
(+11.2%)
Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by December 31, 2026?
No 98.5¢
922.7 shares
Share
89.0¢
→
98.5¢
$821.58
$922.68
$908.84
+$87.26
(+10.6%)
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Yes 100.0¢
800.1 shares
Share
77.5¢
→
100.0¢
$620.09
$800.12
$799.72
+$179.63
(+29.0%)
Will Ukraine re-enter Oleshky by November 30, 2026?
No 98.9¢
700 shares
Share
96.9¢
→
98.9¢
$678.42
$700.00
$691.95
+$13.53
(+2.0%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
Yes 35.5¢
888.1 shares
Share
42.8¢
→
35.5¢
$379.78
$888.11
$315.28
−$64.50
(-17.0%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 90.6¢
310.4 shares
Share
78.6¢
→
90.6¢
$244.11
$310.41
$281.23
+$37.13
(+15.2%)
Stripe IPO before 2027?
No 97.2¢
267.1 shares
Share
92.0¢
→
97.2¢
$245.74
$267.11
$259.63
+$13.89
(+5.7%)
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
No 97.2¢
5 shares
Share
88¢
→
97.2¢
$4.40
$5.00
$4.86
+$0.46
(+10.4%)
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026?
No 93.3¢
5 shares
Share
96¢
→
93.3¢
$4.80
$5.00
$4.67
−$0.13
(-2.8%)
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
No 86¢
5 shares
Share
85¢
→
86¢
$4.25
$5.00
$4.30
+$0.05
(+1.2%)
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
No 83¢
5 shares
Share
84¢
→
83¢
$4.20
$5.00
$4.15
−$0.05
(-1.2%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
No 78.5¢
5 shares
Share
76¢
→
78.5¢
$3.80
$5.00
$3.93
+$0.13
(+3.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes 39.4¢
5 shares
Share
40.7¢
→
39.4¢
$2.04
$5.00
$1.97
−$0.07
(-3.3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Down 0¢
225 shares
Share
94.1¢
→
0¢
$211.71
$225.00
Lost
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