QMG-CORE
Flex cardJoined March 2024
Total earnings
$112,987.57
1D
$1.4K
7D
$2.8K
30D
$7.0K
90D
$38.2K
Total volume
$15.33M
Predictions
2,036
Positions value
$405.3K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$106.5K
LP+$5.3K
Maker+$719.30
Yield+$179.09
Taker+$78.69

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99.4¢75.0K shares
99.4¢→99.4¢
$74.5K
$75.0K
$74.5K
−$11.40 (-0.0%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99.3¢55.1K shares
99.3¢→99.6¢
$54.7K
$55.1K
$54.8K
+$146.80 (+0.3%)

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
No 98.9¢15.5K shares
98.9¢→99.7¢
$15.3K
$15.5K
$15.5K
+$116.43 (+0.8%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 71.5¢26.4K shares
71.5¢→55.5¢
$18.9K
$26.4K
$14.7K
−$4.2K (-22.4%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 96.5¢15.0K shares
96.5¢→96.3¢
$14.4K
$15.0K
$14.4K
−$35.85 (-0.2%)

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 87.9¢15.0K shares
87.9¢→91.5¢
$13.2K
$15.0K
$13.7K
+$541.85 (+4.1%)

New pandemic in 2026?
No 86.9¢14.6K shares
86.9¢→93.5¢
$12.6K
$14.6K
$13.6K
+$965.76 (+7.6%)

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 98.4¢13.6K shares
98.4¢→98.2¢
$13.4K
$13.6K
$13.3K
−$31.25 (-0.2%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 62.4¢17.0K shares
62.4¢→70.5¢
$10.6K
$17.0K
$12.0K
+$1.4K (+13.0%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 82.0¢14.0K shares
82.0¢→78.5¢
$11.5K
$14.0K
$11.0K
−$490.30 (-4.3%)

Trump out as President before 2027?
No 90.6¢10.0K shares
90.6¢→93.5¢
$9.1K
$10.0K
$9.4K
+$289.71 (+3.2%)

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 89.6¢10.0K shares
89.6¢→89.6¢
$9.0K
$10.0K
$9.0K
+$6.18 (+0.1%)

Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 96.5¢8.5K shares
96.5¢→98.0¢
$8.2K
$8.5K
$8.3K
+$132.67 (+1.6%)

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
No 89.9¢6.6K shares
89.9¢→91.5¢
$5.9K
$6.6K
$6.0K
+$103.01 (+1.7%)

Trump out as President by July 31?
No 99.2¢6.0K shares
99.2¢→99.7¢
$6.0K
$6.0K
$6.0K
+$28.00 (+0.5%)

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 88.6¢6.0K shares
88.6¢→90.5¢
$5.3K
$6.0K
$5.4K
+$115.04 (+2.2%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 96.6¢5.3K shares
96.6¢→98.8¢
$5.1K
$5.3K
$5.2K
+$114.22 (+2.2%)

Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
No 97.5¢5.2K shares
97.5¢→99.0¢
$5.1K
$5.2K
$5.1K
+$74.82 (+1.5%)
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
No 97.4¢4.9K shares
97.4¢→97.2¢
$4.8K
$4.9K
$4.8K
−$12.32 (-0.3%)

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
No 94.4¢4.7K shares
94.4¢→99.1¢
$4.4K
$4.7K
$4.6K
+$217.62 (+4.9%)

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
No 98.7¢4.6K shares
98.7¢→99.3¢
$4.6K
$4.6K
$4.6K
+$23.50 (+0.5%)

Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
No 96¢4.5K shares
96¢→98.9¢
$4.3K
$4.5K
$4.5K
+$130.51 (+3.0%)

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2026 meeting?
No 97.2¢4.5K shares
97.2¢→98.6¢
$4.4K
$4.5K
$4.4K
+$59.76 (+1.4%)

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?
Yes 96.9¢4.0K shares
96.9¢→98.4¢
$3.9K
$4.0K
$4.0K
+$61.47 (+1.6%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?
No 98.5¢4.0K shares
98.5¢→99.1¢
$3.9K
$4.0K
$4.0K
+$23.01 (+0.6%)

Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 98.6¢3.6K shares
98.6¢→99.6¢
$3.6K
$3.6K
$3.6K
+$34.48 (+1.0%)

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
No 48¢3.9K shares
48¢→90.5¢
$1.9K
$3.9K
$3.6K
+$1.7K (+88.5%)
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
No 99.1¢3.5K shares
99.1¢→99.6¢
$3.5K
$3.5K
$3.5K
+$19.03 (+0.6%)

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
No 52.9¢8.3K shares
52.9¢→39¢
$4.4K
$8.3K
$3.3K
−$1.2K (-26.3%)

Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 84.5¢3.5K shares
84.5¢→87.5¢
$3.0K
$3.5K
$3.1K
+$104.25 (+3.5%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
No 98.7¢3.0K shares
98.7¢→99.7¢
$3.0K
$3.0K
$3.0K
+$27.00 (+0.9%)

Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
No 88.1¢3.1K shares
88.1¢→91.5¢
$2.8K
$3.1K
$2.9K
+$106.50 (+3.8%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 93.4¢3.0K shares
93.4¢→93.8¢
$2.8K
$3.0K
$2.8K
+$10.90 (+0.4%)

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 89¢3.0K shares
89¢→91.5¢
$2.7K
$3.0K
$2.7K
+$75.00 (+2.8%)

JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
No 93¢2.8K shares
93¢→94¢
$2.6K
$2.8K
$2.7K
+$28.45 (+1.1%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No 87.7¢3.0K shares
87.7¢→85.5¢
$2.6K
$3.0K
$2.6K
−$64.99 (-2.5%)

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
No 96¢2.6K shares
96¢→96.0¢
$2.5K
$2.6K
$2.5K
−$1.36 (-0.1%)

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
No 98.3¢2.5K shares
98.3¢→99.7¢
$2.5K
$2.5K
$2.5K
+$33.39 (+1.3%)

Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
No 90¢2.5K shares
90¢→91.5¢
$2.3K
$2.5K
$2.3K
+$37.98 (+1.7%)

Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?
No 96.2¢2.2K shares
96.2¢→98.7¢
$2.1K
$2.2K
$2.2K
+$55.40 (+2.6%)

Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 84.3¢2.6K shares
84.3¢→81¢
$2.2K
$2.6K
$2.1K
−$85.56 (-3.9%)
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?
No 94.6¢2.0K shares
94.6¢→96.9¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
$2.0K
+$46.15 (+2.4%)

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 97.8¢2.0K shares
97.8¢→98.4¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
$1.9K
+$11.14 (+0.6%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 22.8¢8.8K shares
22.8¢→19.9¢
$2.0K
$8.8K
$1.8K
−$256.29 (-12.8%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 97.9¢1.8K shares
97.9¢→98¢
$1.7K
$1.8K
$1.7K
+$1.77 (+0.1%)

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
No 81¢2.0K shares
81¢→84¢
$1.6K
$2.0K
$1.7K
+$60.00 (+3.7%)

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
No 90¢1.5K shares
90¢→95.5¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.4K
+$82.60 (+6.1%)

Macron out by July 31, 2026?
No 99.0¢1.4K shares
99.0¢→99.6¢
$1.4K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$9.03 (+0.6%)

Netanyahu out by July 31?
No 99.3¢1.3K shares
99.3¢→99.8¢
$1.3K
$1.3K
$1.3K
+$5.97 (+0.5%)

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
No 91.5¢1.3K shares
91.5¢→92.8¢
$1.2K
$1.3K
$1.2K
+$17.13 (+1.4%)

Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
No 86.8¢1.2K shares
86.8¢→90.5¢
$998.11
$1.2K
$1.0K
+$43.07 (+4.3%)

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
No 94.3¢1.0K shares
94.3¢→97.4¢
$985.33
$1.0K
$1.0K
+$32.50 (+3.3%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 98.8¢1.0K shares
98.8¢→99.3¢
$988.00
$1.0K
$992.50
+$4.50 (+0.5%)

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
No 96.0¢1.0K shares
96.0¢→96.8¢
$960.46
$1.0K
$968.00
+$7.54 (+0.8%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by July 31?
No 98¢956.7 shares
98¢→99.2¢
$937.61
$956.75
$949.09
+$11.48 (+1.2%)

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Yes 93.0¢1.0K shares
93.0¢→93.5¢
$930.04
$1.0K
$935.04
+$5.01 (+0.5%)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?
No 95¢1.0K shares
95¢→92.5¢
$950.00
$1.0K
$925.00
−$25.00 (-2.6%)

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 99¢924.4 shares
99¢→99.3¢
$915.11
$924.35
$917.88
+$2.77 (+0.3%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
No 82.0¢1.0K shares
82.0¢→89.5¢
$824.88
$1.0K
$899.68
+$74.81 (+9.1%)
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
No 73¢1,000 shares
73¢→87.5¢
$729.99
$999.99
$874.99
+$145.00 (+19.9%)

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
No 89.8¢770.6 shares
89.8¢→96.1¢
$692.00
$770.59
$740.54
+$48.54 (+7.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by July 31?
No 99¢672.9 shares
99¢→99.6¢
$666.21
$672.94
$670.25
+$4.04 (+0.6%)

Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 91¢705.5 shares
91¢→92.5¢
$641.96
$705.45
$652.54
+$10.58 (+1.6%)
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by July 31?
No 96.5¢649 shares
96.5¢→99.4¢
$625.93
$648.97
$645.08
+$19.14 (+3.1%)
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?
No 72.5¢776.3 shares
72.5¢→75.5¢
$562.79
$776.27
$586.08
+$23.29 (+4.1%)

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
No 89.9¢610.2 shares
89.9¢→95.9¢
$548.53
$610.19
$585.17
+$36.64 (+6.7%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800 by July 31?
No 97.9¢570.8 shares
97.9¢→97.7¢
$558.66
$570.78
$557.37
−$1.29 (-0.2%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 95.7¢568.6 shares
95.7¢→95.7¢
$544.18
$568.64
$543.90
−$0.28 (-0.1%)

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
No 95.3¢500 shares
95.3¢→96.7¢
$476.50
$500.00
$483.25
+$6.75 (+1.4%)

Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?
No 96.9¢491.9 shares
96.9¢→97.7¢
$476.86
$491.90
$480.34
+$3.48 (+0.7%)

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?
No 94.3¢500 shares
94.3¢→94.5¢
$471.50
$500.00
$472.75
+$1.25 (+0.3%)

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
No 87.8¢490.5 shares
87.8¢→95¢
$430.58
$490.47
$465.95
+$35.37 (+8.2%)

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
No 93.2¢494.9 shares
93.2¢→93.6¢
$461.28
$494.95
$463.27
+$1.98 (+0.4%)

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
No 93.0¢500 shares
93.0¢→90¢
$465.00
$500.00
$450.00
−$15.00 (-3.2%)

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
No 90.1¢472.9 shares
90.1¢→92.0¢
$426.04
$472.85
$434.79
+$8.75 (+2.1%)

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?
No 90.0¢500 shares
90.0¢→82.5¢
$449.85
$500.00
$412.50
−$37.35 (-8.3%)

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
No 92¢500 shares
92¢→80.5¢
$460.00
$500.00
$402.50
−$57.50 (-12.5%)

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
No 20.7¢400 shares
20.7¢→92.3¢
$82.99
$400.01
$369.21
+$286.21 (+344.9%)

JD Vance out as VP by July 31?
No 98.8¢359.9 shares
98.8¢→99.6¢
$355.59
$359.91
$358.47
+$2.88 (+0.8%)
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
Yes 39.5¢953.6 shares
39.5¢→34¢
$376.45
$953.64
$324.24
−$52.22 (-13.9%)

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
Yes 22.7¢2.0K shares
22.7¢→15.5¢
$451.44
$2.0K
$308.66
−$142.78 (-31.6%)

Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
No 90.2¢302.8 shares
90.2¢→99.6¢
$273.06
$302.76
$301.55
+$28.49 (+10.4%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Yes 18.8¢1.5K shares
18.8¢→18¢
$282.56
$1.5K
$270.00
−$12.56 (-4.4%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by July 31?
No 95.9¢242 shares
95.9¢→99.3¢
$232.12
$242.00
$240.31
+$8.19 (+3.5%)

Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?
No 96¢260.6 shares
96¢→91.9¢
$250.15
$260.57
$239.46
−$10.68 (-4.3%)

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
No 11¢2.0K shares
11¢→11.5¢
$220.00
$2.0K
$230.00
+$10.00 (+4.5%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 3.6¢4.0K shares
3.6¢→4.9¢
$144.98
$4.0K
$194.41
+$49.43 (+34.1%)

Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?
No 61.6¢221.9 shares
61.6¢→72¢
$136.62
$221.94
$159.80
+$23.18 (+17.0%)

SBF released from custody in 2026?
Yes 5.5¢2.5K shares
5.5¢→5.1¢
$136.50
$2.5K
$126.25
−$10.25 (-7.5%)

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
No 92.7¢121.9 shares
92.7¢→92¢
$113.02
$121.89
$112.14
−$0.88 (-0.8%)

Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?
No 97.2¢110.1 shares
97.2¢→99.8¢
$107.02
$110.10
$109.88
+$2.86 (+2.7%)

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
No 88¢114.6 shares
88¢→93¢
$100.83
$114.58
$106.56
+$5.73 (+5.7%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by July 31?
No 96¢100 shares
96¢→99.8¢
$96.00
$100.00
$99.75
+$3.75 (+3.9%)

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
No 89¢105 shares
89¢→91¢
$93.45
$105.00
$95.55
+$2.10 (+2.2%)
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by July 31?
No 98¢92.8 shares
98¢→96¢
$90.94
$92.80
$89.09
−$1.86 (-2.0%)

Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?
No 94¢77 shares
94¢→99.9¢
$72.35
$76.97
$76.86
+$4.50 (+6.2%)

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
No 91.2¢66.2 shares
91.2¢→94.5¢
$60.37
$66.17
$62.53
+$2.16 (+3.6%)

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No 89¢58.6 shares
89¢→86.5¢
$52.19
$58.64
$50.72
−$1.47 (-2.8%)

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 4.5¢2.2K shares
4.5¢→1.6¢
$99.99
$2.2K
$34.44
−$65.55 (-65.6%)

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 1.6¢4.2K shares
1.6¢→0.8¢
$67.86
$4.2K
$33.47
−$34.39 (-50.7%)
