
Ahpo
Flex cardJoined August 2025
Total earnings
$95,867.94
1D
$187.47
7D
$951.56
30D
$4.4K
90D
$19.4K
Total volume
$15.12M
Predictions
2,881
Positions value
$61.6K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$95.8K
LP+$1.2K
Maker+$418.98
Yield+$294.98
Taker+$96.38
Fees−$1.9K

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢45.0K shares
50¢→87.5¢
$22.5K
$45.0K
$39.4K
+$16.9K (+75.1%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50¢45.0K shares
50¢→12.4¢
$22.5K
$45.0K
$5.6K
−$16.9K (-75.1%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 97.8¢5.0K shares
97.8¢→98¢
$4.9K
$5.0K
$4.9K
+$12.01 (+0.2%)

AI bubble burst in 2026?
No 77.2¢3.1K shares
77.2¢→83.5¢
$2.4K
$3.1K
$2.6K
+$198.59 (+8.3%)

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
No 94.9¢2.1K shares
94.9¢→97.4¢
$2.0K
$2.1K
$2.0K
+$52.95 (+2.7%)

Databricks IPO before 2027?
No 82.9¢1.4K shares
82.9¢→90.5¢
$1.2K
$1.4K
$1.3K
+$109.23 (+9.2%)

Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
No 97.9¢1.2K shares
97.9¢→100.0¢
$1.2K
$1.2K
$1.2K
+$25.04 (+2.1%)

Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 95.3¢967.9 shares
95.3¢→97.2¢
$922.42
$967.91
$940.33
+$17.91 (+1.9%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 47¢1.4K shares
47¢→46.5¢
$650.17
$1.4K
$643.25
−$6.92 (-1.1%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Yes 60¢763 shares
60¢→60.5¢
$457.80
$763.00
$461.62
+$3.81 (+0.8%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
No 96.8¢374 shares
96.8¢→99.5¢
$362.01
$373.99
$372.12
+$10.11 (+2.8%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 59.1¢655.2 shares
59.1¢→54.5¢
$387.01
$655.21
$357.09
−$29.92 (-7.7%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes 53.8¢668.3 shares
53.8¢→51.5¢
$359.59
$668.29
$344.17
−$15.42 (-4.3%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
No 97.8¢246 shares
97.8¢→97.9¢
$240.45
$245.97
$240.80
+$0.35 (+0.1%)
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Yes 42.7¢747 shares
42.7¢→30¢
$318.92
$747.01
$224.10
−$94.81 (-29.7%)

Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?
Yes 69.3¢276.6 shares
69.3¢→74.5¢
$191.68
$276.64
$206.10
+$14.42 (+7.5%)

Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the July meeting?
No 73.7¢166.7 shares
73.7¢→86.9¢
$122.84
$166.69
$144.77
+$21.93 (+17.9%)

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
No 90.3¢141.4 shares
90.3¢→92.0¢
$127.65
$141.36
$129.98
+$2.33 (+1.8%)
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes 35¢287.3 shares
35¢→33¢
$100.57
$287.33
$94.82
−$5.75 (-5.7%)
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
No 91.4¢88.7 shares
91.4¢→96.5¢
$81.04
$88.66
$85.56
+$4.52 (+5.6%)

Will the Bank of Korea hike by 50 bps or more at the August 2026 meeting?
No 89.8¢78.7 shares
89.8¢→99.2¢
$70.65
$78.67
$78.00
+$7.35 (+10.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?
No 71¢75 shares
71¢→69.5¢
$53.25
$75.00
$52.12
−$1.13 (-2.1%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 97.4¢50 shares
97.4¢→98.8¢
$48.70
$50.00
$49.38
+$0.68 (+1.4%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?
No 51.5¢50 shares
51.5¢→89.5¢
$25.74
$50.00
$44.75
+$19.01 (+73.9%)

Will Warsh’s remarks not air?
No 98.3¢10 shares
98.3¢→99.3¢
$9.85
$10.02
$9.94
+$0.10 (+1.0%)

Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?
No 88¢5 shares
88¢→83.5¢
$4.40
$5.00
$4.18
−$0.23 (-5.1%)
