cynical-reason

Flex card
Joined July 2025

Total earnings

$267,618.38
1D
$0.00
7D
$0.00
30D
$0.00
90D
−$53.62
Total volume
$15.63M
Predictions
277
Positions value
$0.00
Performance
+$263.9K
+$2.2K
+$1.5K
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Yes 0.3¢4.1K shares
Lost
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?
Yes 3.8K shares
Lost
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
NYC Election: Sliwa drops out and Cuomo wins?
Yes 2.4¢1.7K shares
Lost
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
Yes 73¢118.7 shares
Lost
Will Catherine Connolly win by 0–5%?
Yes 3.3¢4.1K shares
Lost
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Yes 24¢1.2K shares
Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
No 37¢302.5 shares
Lost
Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
No 29.0¢626.2 shares
Lost
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
No 34¢7.4K shares
Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
Yes 26.3¢1.3K shares
Lost
Will Catherine Connolly win by 10–15%?
Yes 1.1¢8 shares
Lost
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?
No 23¢5.8K shares
Lost
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
Yes 9.0K shares
Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
No 12.0K shares
Lost
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Yes 2.4¢4.3K shares
Lost
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
No 12¢85.7 shares
Lost
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
No 16¢2.4K shares
Lost
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
Yes 3.3¢3.4K shares
Lost
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Yes 3.0¢3.7K shares
Lost
Will the New York City Mayor election have the largest Democratic margin of victory?
Yes 10.5¢448.8 shares
Lost
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?
No 29.1¢204.3 shares
Lost
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
No 20.0¢5.5K shares
Lost
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Yes 9.3¢3.3K shares
Lost
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?
Yes 50¢96.1 shares
Lost
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes 9.9¢20.6K shares
Lost
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?
Yes 5.0¢409.4 shares
Lost
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Yes 22¢2.5K shares
Lost
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?
Yes 0.3¢74.6 shares
Lost
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 31?
No 10.0¢418.3 shares
Lost
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?
No 23¢7.1K shares
Lost
Will Katy Perry be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?
No 36¢2.8K shares
Lost
Will Heather Humphreys win by 5–10%?
Yes 585.1 shares
Lost
Will GPT-5 be released on August 6?
Yes 190 shares
Lost
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
No 47.0¢20.1 shares
Lost
Will Canelo Alvarez be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?
Yes 4.3¢2.0K shares
Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 20.0¢14 shares
Lost
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Yes 225.5 shares
Lost
Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?
Yes 12.6¢447.5 shares
Lost
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Yes 35¢1.1K shares
Lost
Will Diddy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Grokipedia released by October 31?
No 37.6¢627.9 shares
Lost
Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Santa deliver between 8,000,000,000 and 8,100,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Yes 0.3¢9.0K shares
Lost
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
No 35.7¢4.6K shares
Lost
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Yes 13¢4.6K shares
Lost
Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Yes 2.1¢9.0K shares
Lost
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%?
Yes 0.2¢12.8K shares
Lost
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Yes 13.5¢2.7K shares
Lost
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Yes 1.4¢125.6 shares
Lost
Will Trump say "National Guard" during the DC Crime Press Conference?
No 5.1¢1.1 shares
Lost
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
Yes 46.0¢4.7K shares
Lost
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Sunday?
Yes 28.0¢1,000 shares
Lost
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?
No 21¢20.9 shares
Lost
Will Heather Humphreys win by 0–5%?
Yes 2.7¢12.7K shares
Lost
Will Santa deliver between 7,900,000,000 and 8,000,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Yes 0.3¢9.0K shares
Lost
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Mikey Madison be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?
No 4.5K shares
Lost
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
No 45¢370 shares
Lost
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
Yes 17¢63.5 shares
Lost
Will Catherine Connolly win by 5–10%?
Yes 1.9¢266.3 shares
Lost
Will Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Yes 7.7K shares
Lost
Will Beyoncé be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
French election called by October 31?
Yes 63¢437.3 shares
Lost
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Yes 0.6¢30.0K shares
Lost
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?
Yes 4.8¢11.0K shares
Lost
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
No 24.8¢13.4K shares
Lost
Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Jannik Sinner be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
No 70.1¢3.3K shares
Lost
Will Trump pardon Maduro by December 31?
Yes 5.7¢235.1 shares
Lost
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?
Yes 35.5¢2.8K shares
Lost
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10–15%?
Yes 45¢281 shares
Lost
Will no leader be out in 2025?
Yes 18.6¢9 shares
Lost
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Yes 25.4¢4.4K shares
Lost
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?
Yes 13.0K shares
Lost
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
Yes 6.3¢6.0K shares
Lost
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?
Yes 4.1¢21.1 shares
Lost
Will Sam Altman be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Panathinaikos vs. BC Dubai
BC Dubai 21¢2.0K shares
Lost
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?
No 4.6¢11.0K shares
Lost
Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Yes 0.2¢3.8K shares
Lost
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.1¢14.1K shares
Lost