untaken
Flex cardJoined August 2025
Total earnings
$10,782.97
1D
−$1.27
7D
−$33.82
30D
−$147.86
90D
−$1.8K
Total volume
$12.42M
Predictions
4,396
Positions value
$25.03
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$10.1K
LP+$710.93
Maker+$6.04
Yield+$2.65
Fees−$29.58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢3.9 shares
5.3¢→85.0¢
$0.20
$3.85
$3.27
+$3.07 (+1512.2%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 68.5¢3.6 shares
68.5¢→56.5¢
$2.47
$3.61
$2.04
−$0.44 (-17.6%)
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢183.5 shares
0.6¢→1.1¢
$1.09
$183.47
$1.93
+$0.83 (+76.5%)
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes -0.0¢240 shares
-0.0¢→0.7¢
−$0.04
$240.00
$1.56
+$1.60 (+0.0%)
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢183.5 shares
0.6¢→0.8¢
$1.09
$183.47
$1.47
+$0.38 (+34.5%)
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢47.7 shares
0.6¢→2.8¢
$0.30
$47.71
$1.31
+$1.01 (+337.9%)
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.2¢343.1 shares
0.2¢→0.3¢
$0.80
$343.13
$0.86
+$0.06 (+7.1%)
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.2¢343.1 shares
0.2¢→0.3¢
$0.80
$343.13
$0.86
+$0.06 (+7.1%)
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes -0.0¢240 shares
-0.0¢→0.4¢
−$0.04
$240.00
$0.84
+$0.88 (+0.0%)
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes -0.0¢240 shares
-0.0¢→0.4¢
−$0.04
$240.00
$0.84
+$0.88 (+0.0%)
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes -0.0¢240 shares
-0.0¢→0.3¢
−$0.04
$240.00
$0.60
+$0.64 (+0.0%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 23¢1.4 shares
23¢→40.5¢
$0.33
$1.42
$0.57
+$0.25 (+76.0%)
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.2¢343.1 shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$0.80
$343.13
$0.51
−$0.29 (-35.7%)
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.2¢343.1 shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$0.80
$343.13
$0.51
−$0.29 (-35.7%)
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.2¢343.1 shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$0.80
$343.13
$0.51
−$0.29 (-35.7%)
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.2¢343.1 shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$0.80
$343.13
$0.51
−$0.29 (-35.7%)
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢143.1 shares
0.5¢→0.4¢
$0.77
$143.13
$0.50
−$0.27 (-34.8%)
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes -0.0¢240 shares
-0.0¢→0.1¢
−$0.04
$240.00
$0.36
+$0.40 (+0.0%)
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes -0.0¢240 shares
-0.0¢→0.1¢
−$0.04
$240.00
$0.36
+$0.40 (+0.0%)
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes -0.0¢240 shares
-0.0¢→0.1¢
−$0.04
$240.00
$0.36
+$0.40 (+0.0%)
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes -0.0¢240 shares
-0.0¢→0.1¢
−$0.04
$240.00
$0.36
+$0.40 (+0.0%)
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢143.1 shares
0.5¢→0.3¢
$0.77
$143.13
$0.36
−$0.41 (-53.4%)
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢143.1 shares
0.5¢→0.3¢
$0.77
$143.13
$0.36
−$0.41 (-53.4%)
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢143.1 shares
0.5¢→0.3¢
$0.77
$143.13
$0.36
−$0.41 (-53.4%)
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢143.1 shares
0.5¢→0.3¢
$0.77
$143.13
$0.36
−$0.41 (-53.4%)
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢4 shares
5.3¢→8.5¢
$0.21
$4.03
$0.34
+$0.13 (+61.1%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 22.1¢1.9 shares
22.1¢→14.5¢
$0.42
$1.90
$0.28
−$0.14 (-34.3%)
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢95.4 shares
0.6¢→0.3¢
$0.55
$95.42
$0.24
−$0.32 (-57.0%)
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢143.1 shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$0.77
$143.13
$0.21
−$0.55 (-72.1%)
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢143.1 shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$0.77
$143.13
$0.21
−$0.55 (-72.1%)
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢47.7 shares
0.6¢→0.4¢
$0.30
$47.71
$0.21
−$0.09 (-28.4%)
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢143.1 shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$0.77
$143.13
$0.21
−$0.55 (-72.1%)
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢143.1 shares
0.5¢→0.1¢
$0.77
$143.13
$0.21
−$0.55 (-72.1%)
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢95.4 shares
0.6¢→0.1¢
$0.55
$95.42
$0.14
−$0.41 (-74.2%)
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢95.4 shares
0.6¢→0.1¢
$0.55
$95.42
$0.14
−$0.41 (-74.2%)
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢95.4 shares
0.6¢→0.1¢
$0.55
$95.42
$0.14
−$0.41 (-74.2%)
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢95.4 shares
0.6¢→0.1¢
$0.55
$95.42
$0.14
−$0.41 (-74.2%)
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢47.7 shares
0.6¢→0.3¢
$0.30
$47.71
$0.12
−$0.18 (-60.2%)
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢47.7 shares
0.6¢→0.3¢
$0.30
$47.71
$0.12
−$0.18 (-60.2%)
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢47.7 shares
0.6¢→0.3¢
$0.30
$47.71
$0.12
−$0.18 (-60.2%)
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢4 shares
5.3¢→2.8¢
$0.21
$4.03
$0.11
−$0.10 (-47.9%)
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0¢40 shares
0¢→0.3¢
−$0.00
$40.00
$0.10
+$0.10 (+0.0%)
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢183.9 shares
0.6¢→0.1¢
$1.09
$183.86
$0.09
−$1.00 (-91.6%)
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢47.7 shares
0.6¢→0.1¢
$0.30
$47.71
$0.07
−$0.23 (-76.1%)
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 2.0¢28.9 shares
2.0¢→0.1¢
$0.59
$28.85
$0.04
−$0.55 (-92.7%)
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 23.2¢4 shares
23.2¢→1¢
$0.93
$4.00
$0.04
−$0.89 (-95.7%)
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢3.9 shares
5.3¢→0.5¢
$0.20
$3.85
$0.02
−$0.18 (-89.6%)
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢4 shares
5.3¢→0.4¢
$0.21
$4.03
$0.02
−$0.19 (-91.5%)
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢4 shares
5.3¢→0.4¢
$0.21
$4.03
$0.01
−$0.20 (-93.4%)
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢3.5 shares
5.3¢→0.3¢
$0.18
$3.50
$0.01
−$0.18 (-95.3%)
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes -0.1¢3.2 shares
-0.1¢→0.3¢
−$0.00
$3.24
$0.01
+$0.01 (+0.0%)
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes -0.1¢3.2 shares
-0.1¢→0.3¢
−$0.00
$3.24
$0.01
+$0.01 (+0.0%)
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes -0.1¢3.2 shares
-0.1¢→0.3¢
−$0.00
$3.24
$0.01
+$0.01 (+0.0%)
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Yes 23¢1.4 shares
23¢→0.5¢
$0.33
$1.42
$0.01
−$0.32 (-97.6%)
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢3.9 shares
5.3¢→0.1¢
$0.20
$3.85
$0.01
−$0.20 (-97.2%)
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢3.7 shares
5.3¢→0.1¢
$0.20
$3.71
$0.01
−$0.19 (-97.2%)
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢3.4 shares
5.3¢→0.1¢
$0.18
$3.39
$0.01
−$0.17 (-97.2%)
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes -0.1¢3.2 shares
-0.1¢→0.1¢
−$0.00
$3.24
$0.00
+$0.01 (+0.0%)
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes -0.1¢3.2 shares
-0.1¢→0.1¢
−$0.00
$3.24
$0.00
+$0.01 (+0.0%)
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes -0.1¢3.2 shares
-0.1¢→0.1¢
−$0.00
$3.24
$0.00
+$0.01 (+0.0%)
Will Szymon Gumularz win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?
Yes -0.1¢24.9 shares
-0.1¢→0¢
−$0.02
$24.92
Lost
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?
Yes 13.4¢132.2 shares
13.4¢→0¢
$17.65
$132.22
Lost
Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 0.1¢402.6 shares
0.1¢→0¢
$0.37
$402.60
Lost
Will the Reformed Political Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Yes -0.3¢455.7 shares
-0.3¢→0¢
−$1.58
$455.72
Lost
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
Yes 0.5¢918.2 shares
0.5¢→0¢
$4.37
$918.17
Lost
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
No 1.6¢173.4 shares
1.6¢→0¢
$2.72
$173.42
Lost
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
No 15.0¢9.9 shares
15.0¢→0¢
$1.48
$9.86
Lost
Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?
No 0.4¢3.1 shares
0.4¢→0¢
$0.01
$3.14
Lost
Will Octavian Berceanu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Yes 0.3¢76.2 shares
0.3¢→0¢
$0.23
$76.16
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Yes 2.7¢195.1 shares
2.7¢→0¢
$5.19
$195.07
Lost
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 0.9¢210.2 shares
0.9¢→0¢
$1.88
$210.24
Lost
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Cup?
Yes -0.1¢20.6 shares
-0.1¢→0¢
−$0.02
$20.57
Lost
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on September 30?
Yes 0¢3.1K shares
0¢→0¢
$0.10
$3.1K
Lost
Will Jalen Royals be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Yes 0.1¢834.3 shares
0.1¢→0¢
$0.93
$834.32
Lost
Will Angola win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?
Yes 0.2¢266.3 shares
0.2¢→0¢
$0.66
$266.27
Lost
Will Tomio Okamura be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Yes 0.2¢121 shares
0.2¢→0¢
$0.27
$121.00
Lost
Will Travis Hunter be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Yes 0.3¢574.4 shares
0.3¢→0¢
$1.49
$574.35
Lost
Will Ne Zha 2 be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Yes 0.8¢925.8 shares
0.8¢→0¢
$7.02
$925.81
Lost
Will a major Philippines earthquake and related tsunami alerts be the #1 searched news on Google this year?
Yes 0.0¢276.8 shares
0.0¢→0¢
$0.09
$276.76
Lost
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Yes 0.0¢20 shares
0.0¢→0¢
$0.01
$20.00
Lost
Will DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Yes -0.0¢2.5K shares
-0.0¢→0¢
−$1.10
$2.5K
Lost
Will Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova win the 2025 US Open?
Yes 0.3¢850.3 shares
0.3¢→0¢
$2.22
$850.34
Lost
Will Jazz Hampton win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
Yes -0.0¢2.7K shares
-0.0¢→0¢
−$1.16
$2.7K
Lost
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Yes 2.6¢23.8 shares
2.6¢→0¢
$0.63
$23.85
Lost
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes 0.2¢1.9K shares
0.2¢→0¢
$3.48
$1.9K
Lost
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?
Yes 3.0¢100.2 shares
3.0¢→0¢
$3.04
$100.22
Lost
Will Ghost of Yotei win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Yes 0¢4.4K shares
0¢→0¢
$0.13
$4.4K
Lost
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Yes 0.4¢9.6 shares
0.4¢→0¢
$0.04
$9.60
Lost
Will Spencer Strider win the 2025 NL Cy Young?
Yes 0¢145 shares
0¢→0¢
−$0.00
$145.00
Lost
Will Keith Lehr win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Yes 0¢40 shares
0¢→0¢
−$0.00
$40.00
Lost
Will Vlad Gheorghe finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Yes 1.2¢4.2 shares
1.2¢→0¢
$0.05
$4.16
Lost
Will Simone Biles be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
Yes 1.5¢30.4 shares
1.5¢→0¢
$0.46
$30.40
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Yes 0.2¢1.1K shares
0.2¢→0¢
$2.46
$1.1K
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
Yes -0.1¢357 shares
-0.1¢→0¢
−$0.33
$357.00
Lost
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?
Yes 0.4¢1.1K shares
0.4¢→0¢
$3.98
$1.1K
Lost
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.4B and $1.6B?
Yes 0.4¢79.5 shares
0.4¢→0¢
$0.32
$79.52
Lost
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 0.0¢3.4K shares
0.0¢→0¢
$0.61
$3.4K
Lost
Will Gaimin Gladiators win The International 2025 Tournament?
Yes -0.7¢826.7 shares
-0.7¢→0¢
−$6.16
$826.68
Lost
Will Joe Biden be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 1.3¢121.3 shares
1.3¢→0¢
$1.62
$121.25
Lost
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Rockets?
Yes 4.9¢210.1 shares
4.9¢→0¢
$10.22
$210.14
Lost