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Large-Cicada
Joined February 2024
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Polymarket
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Total earnings
$232,486.80
1D
$64.5K
7D
$50.8K
30D
$14.1K
90D
$23.4K
Total volume
$27.51M
Predictions
477
Positions value
$287.0K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$215.8K
LP
+$9,159.72
Maker
+$5,026.36
Yield
+$1,964.69
Taker
+$511.91
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No 60.7¢
173.6K shares
Share
58.6¢
→
60.7¢
$101.8K
$173.6K
$105.3K
+$3.5K
(+3.5%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 31.3¢
137.1K shares
Share
36.3¢
→
31.3¢
$49.7K
$137.1K
$42.8K
−$6.9K
(-13.8%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8.4¢
245.3K shares
Share
10.9¢
→
8.4¢
$26.7K
$245.3K
$20.6K
−$6.1K
(-22.9%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No 96.8¢
18.8K shares
Share
76.2¢
→
96.8¢
$14.4K
$18.8K
$18.2K
+$3.9K
(+26.9%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 81.7¢
21.5K shares
Share
21.9¢
→
81.7¢
$4.7K
$21.5K
$17.6K
+$12.9K
(+272.0%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 98.3¢
15.9K shares
Share
86¢
→
98.3¢
$13.6K
$15.9K
$15.6K
+$1.9K
(+14.2%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.4¢
63.6K shares
Share
18.2¢
→
19.4¢
$11.6K
$63.6K
$12.3K
+$764.84
(+6.6%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.2¢
253.4K shares
Share
4.1¢
→
4.2¢
$10.4K
$253.4K
$10.5K
+$88.19
(+0.8%)
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Yes 85¢
8.8K shares
Share
81¢
→
85¢
$7.1K
$8.8K
$7.5K
+$352.87
(+4.9%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.7¢
158.4K shares
Share
4.7¢
→
4.7¢
$7.5K
$158.4K
$7.4K
−$116.79
(-1.6%)
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
No 98.3¢
5.0K shares
Share
71¢
→
98.3¢
$3.5K
$5.0K
$4.9K
+$1.4K
(+38.5%)
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
No 92¢
5.0K shares
Share
86.8¢
→
92¢
$4.4K
$5.0K
$4.6K
+$262.84
(+6.0%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
Yes 21.5¢
14.9K shares
Share
25.5¢
→
21.5¢
$3.8K
$14.9K
$3.2K
−$596.42
(-15.7%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 44.5¢
6.9K shares
Share
43.4¢
→
44.5¢
$3.0K
$6.9K
$3.1K
+$77.30
(+2.6%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.9¢
101.0K shares
Share
2.5¢
→
2.9¢
$2.5K
$101.0K
$3.0K
+$456.71
(+18.1%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No 90.5¢
2.8K shares
Share
78.2¢
→
90.5¢
$2.2K
$2.8K
$2.5K
+$343.93
(+15.7%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 86.4¢
2.2K shares
Share
88.2¢
→
86.4¢
$1.9K
$2.2K
$1.9K
−$40.18
(-2.1%)
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.5¢
111.2K shares
Share
1.7¢
→
1.5¢
$1.9K
$111.2K
$1.6K
−$278.93
(-14.7%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢
47.4K shares
Share
1.9¢
→
1.6¢
$898.98
$47.4K
$733.99
−$164.99
(-18.4%)
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No 95.2¢
724.3 shares
Share
78.0¢
→
95.2¢
$564.98
$724.34
$689.21
+$124.23
(+22.0%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Yes 6.5¢
10.0K shares
Share
8¢
→
6.5¢
$800.00
$10.0K
$650.00
−$150.00
(-18.8%)
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
Yes 25.5¢
2.0K shares
Share
28.0¢
→
25.5¢
$560.00
$2.0K
$510.00
−$50.00
(-8.9%)
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Yes 50¢
677.4 shares
Share
33¢
→
50¢
$223.55
$677.42
$338.71
+$115.16
(+51.5%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 93.5¢
360 shares
Share
84.0¢
→
93.5¢
$302.43
$360.04
$336.63
+$34.20
(+11.3%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in November?
Yes 30.5¢
978.4 shares
Share
37¢
→
30.5¢
$362.00
$978.38
$298.41
−$63.59
(-17.6%)
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
Yes 13.5¢
2.0K shares
Share
15¢
→
13.5¢
$300.00
$2.0K
$270.00
−$30.00
(-10.0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?
Yes 47¢
500 shares
Share
58.0¢
→
47¢
$290.00
$500.00
$235.00
−$55.00
(-19.0%)
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?
No 49¢
341 shares
Share
46¢
→
49¢
$156.86
$341.01
$167.09
+$10.23
(+6.5%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No 55.5¢
170.9 shares
Share
59¢
→
55.5¢
$100.84
$170.91
$94.86
−$5.98
(-5.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?
Yes 2.7¢
944.7 shares
Share
28.0¢
→
2.7¢
$264.51
$944.69
$25.51
−$239.01
(-90.4%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?
No 36¢
35.4 shares
Share
31¢
→
36¢
$10.96
$35.36
$12.73
+$1.77
(+16.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?
Yes 0.1¢
5.0K shares
Share
27¢
→
0.1¢
$1.3K
$5.0K
$2.50
−$1.3K
(-99.8%)
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Yes 1.6¢
100 shares
Share
45¢
→
1.6¢
$45.00
$100.00
$1.55
−$43.45
(-96.6%)
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