Total earnings
$928,573.54
1D
−$30.8K
7D
$16.0K
30D
−$67.9K
90D
−$99.0K
Total volume
$579.18M
Predictions
89,279
Positions value
$161.5K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$746.0K
LP+$65.2K
Maker+$74.3K
Yield+$607.51
Taker+$42.5K

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 22.6¢39.8K shares
22.6¢→55.4¢
$9.0K
$39.8K
$22.1K
+$13.1K (+145.1%)

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 33.6¢13.6K shares
33.6¢→36.5¢
$4.6K
$13.6K
$5.0K
+$390.41 (+8.5%)

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 78.5¢3.9K shares
78.5¢→86.5¢
$3.1K
$3.9K
$3.4K
+$317.05 (+10.2%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 98.4¢2.4K shares
98.4¢→98.7¢
$2.4K
$2.4K
$2.4K
+$5.91 (+0.2%)

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-05?
Yes 72.9¢2.4K shares
72.9¢→100.0¢
$1.7K
$2.4K
$2.4K
+$639.47 (+37.0%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 23.3¢7.4K shares
23.3¢→27.8¢
$1.7K
$7.4K
$2.1K
+$331.59 (+19.2%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 3.1¢7.5K shares
3.1¢→26.6¢
$235.41
$7.5K
$2.0K
+$1.8K (+749.6%)

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 99.5¢1.9K shares
99.5¢→99.5¢
$1.9K
$1.9K
$1.9K
+$0.43 (+0.0%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 13.8¢14.1K shares
13.8¢→13.2¢
$1.9K
$14.1K
$1.9K
−$86.91 (-4.5%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 66.0¢3.3K shares
66.0¢→55.5¢
$2.1K
$3.3K
$1.8K
−$340.50 (-15.8%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 46.2¢3.9K shares
46.2¢→44.5¢
$1.8K
$3.9K
$1.7K
−$67.45 (-3.7%)

Will CSD Tristan Suarez win on 2026-08-02?
No 1.4¢4.4K shares
1.4¢→37.1¢
$60.62
$4.4K
$1.6K
+$1.6K (+2604.9%)

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 5.1¢17.2K shares
5.1¢→9.2¢
$881.21
$17.2K
$1.6K
+$689.62 (+78.3%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No 98.9¢1.5K shares
98.9¢→98.8¢
$1.5K
$1.5K
$1.5K
−$2.28 (-0.2%)

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 99.9¢1.5K shares
99.9¢→99.7¢
$1.5K
$1.5K
$1.5K
−$3.68 (-0.3%)

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 93.0¢1.1K shares
93.0¢→92.9¢
$1.0K
$1.1K
$1.0K
−$1.44 (-0.1%)

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 75.5¢1.3K shares
75.5¢→78.6¢
$975.63
$1.3K
$1.0K
+$40.72 (+4.2%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 36.5¢2.7K shares
36.5¢→35.5¢
$969.77
$2.7K
$941.68
−$28.10 (-2.9%)

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-05?
Yes 88.3¢805 shares
88.3¢→100.0¢
$710.51
$805.01
$804.61
+$94.10 (+13.2%)

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢34.6K shares
0.1¢→2.1¢
$43.34
$34.6K
$740.22
+$696.88 (+1607.9%)

Cruzeiro EC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5
Over 85.5¢550 shares
85.5¢→100.0¢
$470.00
$550.00
$549.73
+$79.73 (+17.0%)

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Yes 4.3¢556.9 shares
4.3¢→98.6¢
$24.21
$556.87
$548.80
+$524.58 (+2166.7%)

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 99.9¢512.1 shares
99.9¢→99.9¢
$511.57
$512.08
$511.31
−$0.26 (-0.1%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Yes 14.0¢3.8K shares
14.0¢→13.5¢
$529.54
$3.8K
$510.55
−$18.99 (-3.6%)

Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs ODDIK (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs
QUINTESSÊNCIA 33.1¢412.9 shares
33.1¢→99.7¢
$136.46
$412.87
$411.63
+$275.17 (+201.7%)

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢34.8K shares
0.1¢→1.1¢
$43.62
$34.8K
$400.62
+$357.01 (+818.5%)
Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 15?
No 99.8¢400 shares
99.8¢→99.5¢
$399.20
$400.00
$398.00
−$1.20 (-0.3%)
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 15?
No 99.8¢400 shares
99.8¢→98.7¢
$399.20
$400.00
$394.80
−$4.40 (-1.1%)
Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 15?
No 99.8¢400 shares
99.8¢→98.5¢
$399.20
$400.00
$394.00
−$5.20 (-1.3%)
Will "I'm The Problem - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 15?
No 99.8¢400 shares
99.8¢→98.5¢
$399.20
$400.00
$394.00
−$5.20 (-1.3%)
Will "Daughter from Hell - Gracie Abrams" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 15?
No 99.7¢400 shares
99.7¢→98.1¢
$398.80
$400.00
$392.40
−$6.40 (-1.6%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No 50.9¢825.6 shares
50.9¢→45.5¢
$420.40
$825.60
$375.65
−$44.75 (-10.6%)

Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)
Cruzeiro EC 70.7¢374.1 shares
70.7¢→100.0¢
$264.54
$374.09
$373.90
+$109.36 (+41.3%)

KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins
Hanwha Eagles 29.8¢1.4K shares
29.8¢→21.9¢
$430.96
$1.4K
$317.37
−$113.59 (-26.4%)

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 3.1¢18.5K shares
3.1¢→1.7¢
$576.82
$18.5K
$313.79
−$263.03 (-45.6%)

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 1.1¢4.7K shares
1.1¢→6.5¢
$52.42
$4.7K
$303.30
+$250.87 (+478.5%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 91.0¢299 shares
91.0¢→95.5¢
$272.07
$299.00
$285.55
+$13.48 (+5.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?
No 94.3¢290 shares
94.3¢→95.2¢
$273.41
$289.99
$275.93
+$2.52 (+0.9%)

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 6?
No 97.5¢274.3 shares
97.5¢→100.0¢
$267.53
$274.32
$274.18
+$6.65 (+2.5%)

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 6?
No 86.1¢274.3 shares
86.1¢→98.6¢
$236.11
$274.32
$270.34
+$34.23 (+14.5%)

Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
No 86¢256.5 shares
86¢→93.5¢
$220.59
$256.50
$239.83
+$19.24 (+8.7%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?
No 74.7¢237.7 shares
74.7¢→100.0¢
$177.51
$237.68
$237.56
+$60.05 (+33.8%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?
No 68.3¢236 shares
68.3¢→100.0¢
$161.11
$236.02
$235.90
+$74.80 (+46.4%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5?
No 95.7¢236 shares
95.7¢→100.0¢
$225.94
$236.02
$235.90
+$9.96 (+4.4%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?
No 82.4¢236 shares
82.4¢→100.0¢
$194.50
$236.02
$235.90
+$41.40 (+21.3%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 74.4¢299 shares
74.4¢→77.5¢
$222.42
$299.00
$231.73
+$9.31 (+4.2%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?
No 88.5¢229 shares
88.5¢→100.0¢
$202.74
$229.00
$228.88
+$26.14 (+12.9%)

CA Guemes vs. CSD Tristan Suarez: O/U 3.5
Under 1.8¢887.1 shares
1.8¢→25.5¢
$16.44
$887.11
$226.21
+$209.78 (+1276.4%)
Will Rodri join Real Madrid?
No 25.3¢340.2 shares
25.3¢→65.1¢
$85.93
$340.17
$221.45
+$135.52 (+157.7%)

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
No 48.0¢371.2 shares
48.0¢→58.5¢
$178.08
$371.17
$217.14
+$39.06 (+21.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-07 House seat?
No 88¢232 shares
88¢→92.5¢
$204.16
$232.00
$214.60
+$10.44 (+5.1%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 99.2¢219 shares
99.2¢→97.5¢
$217.17
$219.00
$213.63
−$3.54 (-1.6%)

CA Guemes vs. CSD Tristan Suarez: O/U 4.5
Over 23.4¢846.6 shares
23.4¢→25.1¢
$198.10
$846.63
$212.08
+$13.99 (+7.1%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 42.4¢628.5 shares
42.4¢→33¢
$266.75
$628.46
$207.39
−$59.36 (-22.3%)

Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
No 98.9¢203.1 shares
98.9¢→99.3¢
$200.98
$203.12
$201.60
+$0.62 (+0.3%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 97.8¢199 shares
97.8¢→98.7¢
$194.72
$199.00
$196.31
+$1.59 (+0.8%)

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Yes 16.7¢305.9 shares
16.7¢→64¢
$50.98
$305.88
$195.76
+$144.78 (+284.0%)
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?
No 87.5¢197 shares
87.5¢→96.9¢
$172.47
$197.00
$190.89
+$18.42 (+10.7%)
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
No 70.6¢240.8 shares
70.6¢→78.7¢
$169.98
$240.84
$189.54
+$19.56 (+11.5%)

Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 97.3¢190.1 shares
97.3¢→99.0¢
$184.95
$190.10
$188.10
+$3.16 (+1.7%)

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 43.0¢497.4 shares
43.0¢→37¢
$214.13
$497.41
$184.04
−$30.09 (-14.1%)

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?
No 89.7¢197 shares
89.7¢→93¢
$176.74
$197.00
$183.21
+$6.47 (+3.7%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 29.0¢536.1 shares
29.0¢→33.5¢
$155.71
$536.12
$179.60
+$23.89 (+15.3%)

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5?
No 94.6¢179.3 shares
94.6¢→100.0¢
$169.60
$179.27
$179.18
+$9.58 (+5.6%)

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 68.3¢282 shares
68.3¢→63.5¢
$192.53
$282.01
$179.08
−$13.45 (-7.0%)

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs ReThink (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
Drama eSports 43.3¢269.7 shares
43.3¢→66¢
$116.75
$269.69
$178.00
+$61.24 (+52.5%)

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0¢1.9K shares
0¢→9.4¢
$0.00
$1.9K
$177.05
+$177.05 (+0.0%)

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?
No 97.8¢180 shares
97.8¢→97.5¢
$175.96
$180.00
$175.59
−$0.37 (-0.2%)

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 6?
No 50.9¢228.1 shares
50.9¢→76.5¢
$116.22
$228.12
$174.51
+$58.29 (+50.2%)

Will Matt Klein be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?
No 92.7¢220 shares
92.7¢→78.3¢
$203.94
$220.00
$172.15
−$31.79 (-15.6%)

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Yes 8.3¢1.3K shares
8.3¢→12.8¢
$111.70
$1.3K
$170.90
+$59.20 (+53.0%)

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
No 95.4¢175.1 shares
95.4¢→97.2¢
$166.98
$175.08
$170.18
+$3.20 (+1.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?
No 78.2¢200 shares
78.2¢→84.5¢
$156.44
$200.00
$169.00
+$12.56 (+8.0%)

Will an independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
No 86.8¢203.1 shares
86.8¢→82.6¢
$176.39
$203.12
$167.78
−$8.61 (-4.9%)

Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
No 98.2¢168.4 shares
98.2¢→99.5¢
$165.39
$168.40
$167.56
+$2.17 (+1.3%)

Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?
No 98.1¢169.7 shares
98.1¢→98.4¢
$166.51
$169.66
$166.86
+$0.35 (+0.2%)

Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 74.1¢180 shares
74.1¢→92¢
$133.40
$180.00
$165.60
+$32.20 (+24.1%)

Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?
No 96.3¢172.1 shares
96.3¢→95.5¢
$165.71
$172.08
$164.25
−$1.47 (-0.9%)

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
No 21.8¢1.7K shares
21.8¢→9.5¢
$375.45
$1.7K
$163.88
−$211.57 (-56.4%)

Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 99.9¢160 shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$159.84
$160.00
$159.92
+$0.08 (+0.0%)

Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 99.9¢160 shares
99.9¢→99.9¢
$159.84
$160.00
$159.76
−$0.08 (-0.1%)

Will Rakyz Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)
No 97.2¢160 shares
97.2¢→98.7¢
$155.54
$160.00
$157.92
+$2.38 (+1.5%)

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 189.5
Over 47¢550 shares
47¢→28.5¢
$258.50
$550.00
$156.70
−$101.81 (-39.4%)

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?
No 99¢160 shares
99¢→97.9¢
$158.40
$160.00
$156.64
−$1.76 (-1.1%)

Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?
No 98.2¢160 shares
98.2¢→97.9¢
$157.16
$160.00
$156.64
−$0.52 (-0.3%)

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢34.6K shares
0.1¢→0.4¢
$43.34
$34.6K
$155.65
+$112.31 (+259.1%)

Will Manolito Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)
No 92.6¢160 shares
92.6¢→96.3¢
$148.24
$160.00
$154.08
+$5.84 (+3.9%)

Will Dahvys Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)
No 98.5¢160 shares
98.5¢→95.6¢
$157.60
$160.00
$152.96
−$4.64 (-2.9%)

Will Count Binface win at least 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 97.0¢156 shares
97.0¢→97.3¢
$151.31
$156.00
$151.71
+$0.40 (+0.3%)
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in July 2026?
No 92.5¢160 shares
92.5¢→94.5¢
$148.08
$160.00
$151.20
+$3.12 (+2.1%)

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No 96.2¢158.7 shares
96.2¢→95.2¢
$152.57
$158.67
$151.05
−$1.51 (-1.0%)

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No 95.6¢157 shares
95.6¢→95.8¢
$150.01
$156.98
$150.31
+$0.30 (+0.2%)
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?
No 80.1¢158.5 shares
80.1¢→94.5¢
$126.91
$158.47
$149.67
+$22.77 (+17.9%)

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
No 13.0¢963.1 shares
13.0¢→15.5¢
$124.77
$963.15
$149.29
+$24.52 (+19.7%)

Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
No 85.4¢165.9 shares
85.4¢→89.8¢
$141.69
$165.91
$148.99
+$7.30 (+5.1%)

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
No 50.4¢357.7 shares
50.4¢→41.5¢
$180.28
$357.69
$148.44
−$31.83 (-17.7%)

Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?
No 74.4¢163.1 shares
74.4¢→91¢
$121.37
$163.08
$148.40
+$27.03 (+22.3%)
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?
No 97.0¢149 shares
97.0¢→99.0¢
$144.50
$149.00
$147.44
+$2.94 (+2.0%)

Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
No 99.6¢148.4 shares
99.6¢→99.4¢
$147.77
$148.40
$147.44
−$0.33 (-0.2%)

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the September interest rate announcement?
No 94.8¢146.6 shares
94.8¢→97.9¢
$138.93
$146.59
$143.51
+$4.58 (+3.3%)
