operationcastle
Flex cardJoined September 2024
Total earnings
$569,117.03
1D
$649.17
7D
$99.87
30D
$976.40
90D
$46.2K
Total volume
$16.44M
Predictions
1,018
Positions value
$18.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$564.7K
LP+$3.1K
Maker+$506.18
Yield+$787.70
Taker+$2.90

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 65¢10.0K shares
65¢→66.5¢
$6.5K
$10.0K
$6.6K
+$150.00 (+2.3%)

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 97.1¢3.7K shares
97.1¢→98.3¢
$3.6K
$3.7K
$3.6K
+$42.28 (+1.2%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 5.7¢23.3K shares
5.7¢→8.6¢
$1.3K
$23.3K
$2.0K
+$686.08 (+51.6%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 22¢4.3K shares
22¢→43.5¢
$948.20
$4.3K
$1.9K
+$926.65 (+97.7%)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 3.5¢31.8K shares
3.5¢→4.9¢
$1.1K
$31.8K
$1.5K
+$428.82 (+38.6%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 45¢2.6K shares
45¢→56.5¢
$1.2K
$2.6K
$1.5K
+$300.72 (+25.5%)

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 98.3¢1.1K shares
98.3¢→99.4¢
$1.0K
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$11.13 (+1.1%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Yes 50¢613.5 shares
50¢→32.5¢
$306.77
$613.54
$199.40
−$107.37 (-35.0%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 17¢42.6 shares
17¢→37.8¢
$7.24
$42.57
$16.07
+$8.83 (+122.1%)

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 55.5¢3.6K shares
55.5¢→0.1¢
$2.0K
$3.6K
$1.81
−$2.0K (-99.9%)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Yes 34¢5.0K shares
34¢→0¢
$1.7K
$5.0K
Lost

UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Curtis Blaydes 47.0¢4.9K shares
47.0¢→0¢
$2.3K
$4.9K
Lost

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Yes 45.2¢10.0K shares
45.2¢→0¢
$4.5K
$10.0K
Lost

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Yes 9¢10.0K shares
9¢→0¢
$900.00
$10.0K
Lost

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
No 32¢5.0K shares
32¢→0¢
$1.6K
$5.0K
Lost

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No 38.2¢25.0K shares
38.2¢→0¢
$9.5K
$25.0K
Lost

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Yes 25¢5.0K shares
25¢→0¢
$1.2K
$5.0K
Lost

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Yes 7.0¢901.5 shares
7.0¢→0¢
$63.11
$901.50
Lost

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 16.8¢59.5K shares
16.8¢→0¢
$10.0K
$59.5K
Lost

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Yes 19¢5.0K shares
19¢→0¢
$950.00
$5.0K
Lost

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
No 40¢5.0K shares
40¢→0¢
$2.0K
$5.0K
Lost

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes 11¢128.9 shares
11¢→0¢
$14.18
$128.91
Lost

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes 1.3¢20.0K shares
1.3¢→0¢
$269.76
$20.0K
Lost

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?
Yes 23.9¢567.8 shares
23.9¢→0¢
$135.97
$567.77
Lost

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
No 34.3¢19.2K shares
34.3¢→0¢
$6.6K
$19.2K
Lost

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 8.1¢92.6K shares
8.1¢→0¢
$7.5K
$92.6K
Lost

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes 17.7¢50.0K shares
17.7¢→0¢
$8.8K
$50.0K
Lost

Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Yes 5.1¢38.6 shares
5.1¢→0¢
$1.97
$38.64
Lost

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?
No 21¢5.0K shares
21¢→0¢
$1.1K
$5.0K
Lost

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No 11¢191 shares
11¢→0¢
$21.01
$191.00
Lost

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 2.2¢1.3K shares
2.2¢→0¢
$28.32
$1.3K
Lost

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes 38.1¢21.5K shares
38.1¢→0¢
$8.2K
$21.5K
Lost

Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Yes 86.8¢2.6K shares
86.8¢→0¢
$2.2K
$2.6K
Lost
