881112
Flex cardJoined October 2024
Total earnings
$447,386.46
1D
$7.1K
7D
$6.2K
30D
$27.6K
90D
$194.2K
Total volume
$17.19M
Predictions
1,365
Positions value
$129.0K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$440.1K
LP+$5.5K
Maker+$913.74
Yield+$12.22
Taker+$69.96

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
No 85.4¢8.4K shares
85.4¢→91.5¢
$7.1K
$8.4K
$7.6K
+$507.14 (+7.1%)

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
No 37.2¢15.8K shares
37.2¢→46.5¢
$5.9K
$15.8K
$7.3K
+$1.5K (+25.0%)

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 11.6¢7.7K shares
11.6¢→88.3¢
$892.91
$7.7K
$6.8K
+$5.9K (+659.7%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 17.0¢17.1K shares
17.0¢→37.5¢
$2.9K
$17.1K
$6.4K
+$3.5K (+120.4%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 51.0¢6.2K shares
51.0¢→99.3¢
$3.2K
$6.2K
$6.1K
+$3.0K (+94.5%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Yes 57.9¢6.8K shares
57.9¢→89.5¢
$4.0K
$6.8K
$6.1K
+$2.2K (+54.6%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
No 27.1¢5.7K shares
27.1¢→93.5¢
$1.5K
$5.7K
$5.3K
+$3.8K (+245.0%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
No 58.0¢6.0K shares
58.0¢→85.5¢
$3.5K
$6.0K
$5.1K
+$1.6K (+47.4%)

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
No 64.0¢4.3K shares
64.0¢→93.5¢
$2.8K
$4.3K
$4.0K
+$1.3K (+46.2%)

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
No 67.9¢4.0K shares
67.9¢→91.5¢
$2.7K
$4.0K
$3.7K
+$948.97 (+34.7%)

Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
No 50.8¢4.7K shares
50.8¢→66.5¢
$2.4K
$4.7K
$3.1K
+$742.20 (+31.0%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 71.2¢2.7K shares
71.2¢→99.6¢
$1.9K
$2.7K
$2.7K
+$768.95 (+39.8%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Yes 26.5¢14.3K shares
26.5¢→18.5¢
$3.8K
$14.3K
$2.6K
−$1.1K (-30.1%)

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
No 92.8¢2.2K shares
92.8¢→98.8¢
$2.0K
$2.2K
$2.2K
+$131.76 (+6.4%)

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
Yes 18.4¢17.3K shares
18.4¢→11.5¢
$3.2K
$17.3K
$2.0K
−$1.2K (-37.7%)
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 26.9¢5.4K shares
26.9¢→35¢
$1.4K
$5.4K
$1.9K
+$433.59 (+30.0%)
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
No 94.7¢1.9K shares
94.7¢→96.5¢
$1.8K
$1.9K
$1.8K
+$34.11 (+1.9%)

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Yes 5.1¢6.5K shares
5.1¢→27.6¢
$336.97
$6.5K
$1.8K
+$1.5K (+436.1%)

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Yes 44.9¢5.0K shares
44.9¢→35.5¢
$2.2K
$5.0K
$1.8K
−$468.88 (-20.9%)

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Yes 18.3¢15.3K shares
18.3¢→11.5¢
$2.8K
$15.3K
$1.8K
−$1.0K (-37.3%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 80.5¢2.6K shares
80.5¢→68.3¢
$2.1K
$2.6K
$1.7K
−$312.53 (-15.2%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
No 88.0¢1.9K shares
88.0¢→91.6¢
$1.7K
$1.9K
$1.7K
+$67.51 (+4.0%)
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No 68.1¢2.4K shares
68.1¢→65¢
$1.7K
$2.4K
$1.6K
−$76.35 (-4.6%)

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?
No 97¢1.6K shares
97¢→98.3¢
$1.5K
$1.6K
$1.6K
+$20.62 (+1.3%)
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Yes 71.6¢1.6K shares
71.6¢→95.3¢
$1.2K
$1.6K
$1.6K
+$387.78 (+33.1%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Yes 24.5¢5.7K shares
24.5¢→24.5¢
$1.4K
$5.7K
$1.4K
−$0.02 (-0.0%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
Yes 16.2¢4.1K shares
16.2¢→31.7¢
$654.81
$4.1K
$1.3K
+$629.61 (+96.2%)

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No 56.0¢2.2K shares
56.0¢→56.5¢
$1.2K
$2.2K
$1.3K
+$10.89 (+0.9%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 57.0¢2.1K shares
57.0¢→56.5¢
$1.2K
$2.1K
$1.2K
−$10.95 (-0.9%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 19.6¢5.6K shares
19.6¢→19.8¢
$1.1K
$5.6K
$1.1K
+$7.88 (+0.7%)

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 60¢1.1K shares
60¢→99.3¢
$630.00
$1.1K
$1.0K
+$412.65 (+65.5%)

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Yes 28.5¢2.5K shares
28.5¢→41¢
$700.43
$2.5K
$1.0K
+$306.09 (+43.7%)

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 37.8¢1.0K shares
37.8¢→92.3¢
$392.59
$1.0K
$958.07
+$565.48 (+144.0%)

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes 36.2¢2.9K shares
36.2¢→32.5¢
$1.1K
$2.9K
$943.54
−$107.61 (-10.2%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
No 82.3¢1.2K shares
82.3¢→78.5¢
$967.05
$1.2K
$922.37
−$44.67 (-4.6%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
No 82.8¢957.4 shares
82.8¢→93.2¢
$792.46
$957.43
$891.85
+$99.39 (+12.5%)

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
No 14.9¢8.1K shares
14.9¢→11¢
$1.2K
$8.1K
$887.26
−$313.21 (-26.1%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 68¢1.6K shares
68¢→55.5¢
$1.1K
$1.6K
$863.03
−$194.38 (-18.4%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 19.5¢2.3K shares
19.5¢→37.8¢
$441.46
$2.3K
$854.10
+$412.63 (+93.5%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?
No 53.3¢1.1K shares
53.3¢→78¢
$583.53
$1.1K
$853.13
+$269.60 (+46.2%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?
No 48.7¢2.7K shares
48.7¢→30¢
$1.3K
$2.7K
$810.00
−$505.80 (-38.4%)

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes 6.8¢11.3K shares
6.8¢→7.1¢
$767.89
$11.3K
$809.33
+$41.44 (+5.4%)
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
No 92¢780.5 shares
92¢→100¢
$718.06
$780.50
Won
$780.50

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Yes 9.9¢750 shares
9.9¢→100¢
$74.00
$749.99
Won
$749.99

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
Yes 8.1¢8.7K shares
8.1¢→8.4¢
$705.00
$8.7K
$727.36
+$22.37 (+3.2%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?
No 54.5¢960 shares
54.5¢→73¢
$523.46
$960.04
$700.83
+$177.37 (+33.9%)

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
No 73¢700 shares
73¢→100¢
$511.00
$700.00
Won
$700.00
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
Yes 84.4¢700 shares
84.4¢→99.7¢
$591.00
$700.00
$697.90
+$106.90 (+18.1%)

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Yes 54.5¢1.1K shares
54.5¢→60¢
$620.99
$1.1K
$683.99
+$63.00 (+10.1%)

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes 5.9¢16.4K shares
5.9¢→4.0¢
$962.19
$16.4K
$664.20
−$297.99 (-31.0%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 59¢888 shares
59¢→72.5¢
$523.91
$887.99
$643.79
+$119.88 (+22.9%)
Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026?
No 57.0¢700 shares
57.0¢→90¢
$399.00
$700.00
$630.00
+$231.00 (+57.9%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?
No 52.7¢822.6 shares
52.7¢→74¢
$433.67
$822.64
$608.75
+$175.08 (+40.4%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
No 55.0¢819.3 shares
55.0¢→73.5¢
$450.63
$819.33
$602.21
+$151.58 (+33.6%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
No 63¢600 shares
63¢→100¢
$377.99
$599.99
Won
$599.99

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 57.0¢1.4K shares
57.0¢→40.5¢
$823.66
$1.4K
$585.23
−$238.43 (-28.9%)

Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
No 62.5¢565.9 shares
62.5¢→97.4¢
$353.87
$565.89
$551.18
+$197.30 (+55.8%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Yes 28.0¢990 shares
28.0¢→55.5¢
$277.20
$989.99
$549.45
+$272.25 (+98.2%)

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?
No 93¢600 shares
93¢→89¢
$558.00
$600.00
$534.00
−$24.00 (-4.3%)
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
No 59¢600 shares
59¢→85.5¢
$354.00
$600.00
$513.00
+$159.00 (+44.9%)

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No 62¢571.5 shares
62¢→87.5¢
$354.31
$571.46
$500.03
+$145.72 (+41.1%)

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
No 93.1¢513.6 shares
93.1¢→93.2¢
$478.39
$513.57
$478.65
+$0.26 (+0.1%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 23.1¢1.7K shares
23.1¢→27.0¢
$403.96
$1.7K
$471.62
+$67.65 (+16.7%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
No 14.9¢2.0K shares
14.9¢→23¢
$301.62
$2.0K
$465.44
+$163.82 (+54.3%)
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
No 26.7¢707.6 shares
26.7¢→65.5¢
$188.72
$707.61
$463.48
+$274.77 (+145.6%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?
No 56.0¢600 shares
56.0¢→76.5¢
$336.00
$600.00
$459.00
+$123.00 (+36.6%)
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
No 62.8¢522.2 shares
62.8¢→87.5¢
$327.89
$522.23
$456.95
+$129.06 (+39.4%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?
No 65¢400 shares
65¢→100¢
$260.00
$400.00
Won
$400.00

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes 49¢919 shares
49¢→43¢
$450.31
$918.99
$395.17
−$55.14 (-12.2%)

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
No 79.6¢400 shares
79.6¢→97.5¢
$318.49
$399.99
$390.19
+$71.70 (+22.5%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Yes 7.8¢4.8K shares
7.8¢→8¢
$374.77
$4.8K
$386.41
+$11.64 (+3.1%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 84¢600 shares
84¢→62.5¢
$504.00
$600.00
$375.00
−$129.00 (-25.6%)

US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
Yes 13.6¢1.6K shares
13.6¢→21.5¢
$220.80
$1.6K
$348.30
+$127.50 (+57.7%)

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
No 38¢702.6 shares
38¢→49¢
$266.97
$702.55
$344.25
+$77.28 (+28.9%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
Yes 29.0¢600 shares
29.0¢→51.5¢
$173.99
$599.98
$308.99
+$134.99 (+77.6%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No 36¢899.9 shares
36¢→33.5¢
$323.98
$899.94
$301.48
−$22.50 (-6.9%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
No 71¢300 shares
71¢→99.3¢
$213.00
$300.00
$297.90
+$84.90 (+39.9%)

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
No 96.7¢311.1 shares
96.7¢→94.8¢
$300.85
$311.12
$295.10
−$5.76 (-1.9%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 11.3¢2.5K shares
11.3¢→11.5¢
$286.42
$2.5K
$290.03
+$3.61 (+1.3%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Yes 36.0¢431.4 shares
36.0¢→66¢
$155.49
$431.45
$284.75
+$129.26 (+83.1%)

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
No 35.7¢1.2K shares
35.7¢→23.5¢
$416.89
$1.2K
$274.58
−$142.30 (-34.1%)

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Yes 12.5¢1.9K shares
12.5¢→14.5¢
$231.34
$1.9K
$268.52
+$37.18 (+16.1%)
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
No 59.3¢5.3K shares
59.3¢→4.7¢
$3.2K
$5.3K
$247.37
−$2.9K (-92.2%)

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
No 6.4¢4.5K shares
6.4¢→5.4¢
$290.81
$4.5K
$244.97
−$45.84 (-15.8%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Yes 20.9¢27.7K shares
20.9¢→0.9¢
$5.8K
$27.7K
$235.84
−$5.6K (-95.9%)
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Yes 7.9¢17.9K shares
7.9¢→1.3¢
$1.4K
$17.9K
$232.91
−$1.2K (-83.5%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
Yes 12¢1.8K shares
12¢→11¢
$221.28
$1.8K
$202.84
−$18.44 (-8.3%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?
No 46.0¢227 shares
46.0¢→88¢
$104.34
$227.00
$199.76
+$95.42 (+91.5%)

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Yes 17.1¢6.2K shares
17.1¢→2.9¢
$1.1K
$6.2K
$181.95
−$870.11 (-82.7%)

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
Yes 23¢600 shares
23¢→29.0¢
$138.00
$600.00
$174.00
+$36.00 (+26.1%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
No 39.0¢208 shares
39.0¢→70.5¢
$81.04
$208.00
$146.64
+$65.60 (+80.9%)

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?
No 39¢148.6 shares
39¢→93.5¢
$57.95
$148.58
$138.92
+$80.98 (+139.7%)

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 82¢129.1 shares
82¢→100¢
$105.87
$129.11
Won
$129.11

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 1.2¢11.1K shares
1.2¢→1.1¢
$138.83
$11.1K
$127.76
−$11.07 (-8.0%)
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
No 19¢181.8 shares
19¢→59.5¢
$34.55
$181.83
$108.19
+$73.64 (+213.2%)
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
No 56.0¢171.6 shares
56.0¢→59¢
$96.11
$171.62
$101.25
+$5.15 (+5.4%)

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
No 27¢100 shares
27¢→99.2¢
$27.00
$100.00
$99.15
+$72.15 (+267.2%)
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
Yes 21.0¢2.4K shares
21.0¢→4.0¢
$500.54
$2.4K
$94.00
−$406.54 (-81.2%)
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Yes 13¢599.9 shares
13¢→12.5¢
$77.99
$599.95
$74.99
−$3.00 (-3.8%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 40¢467.6 shares
40¢→15.5¢
$187.03
$467.57
$72.47
−$114.55 (-61.3%)
