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TBill1
TBill1
Joined May 2026
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$92,335.79
1D
$2.6K
7D
$5.2K
30D
$5.1K
90D
$68.6K
Total volume
$12.16M
Predictions
488
Positions value
$121.9K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$93.7K
LP
+$1,368.08
Maker
+$2,214.99
Yield
+$566.53
Taker
+$341.51
Fees
−$5,902.87
Standings
Overall
#2,260
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#2,442
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#2,227
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#2,930
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#2,687
of 161k earners
Taker Rebates
#4,249
of 72k earners
Yield
#837
of 351k earners
Fees Paid
#5,068
of 1.5M payers
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
US recession by end of 2026?
No 94.5¢
21.8K shares
Share
89.8¢
→
94.5¢
$19.6K
$21.8K
$20.6K
+$1.0K
(+5.2%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 98.7¢
20.8K shares
Share
97.9¢
→
98.7¢
$20.3K
$20.8K
$20.5K
+$161.78
(+0.8%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81.5¢
25.1K shares
Share
83.5¢
→
81.5¢
$21.0K
$25.1K
$20.5K
−$499.11
(-2.4%)
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 84.5¢
13.9K shares
Share
74.9¢
→
84.5¢
$10.4K
$13.9K
$11.7K
+$1.3K
(+12.9%)
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 98.6¢
8.2K shares
Share
97.8¢
→
98.6¢
$8.0K
$8.2K
$8.1K
+$62.10
(+0.8%)
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 84.7¢
8.2K shares
Share
86.2¢
→
84.7¢
$7.0K
$8.2K
$6.9K
−$128.69
(-1.8%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 96.3¢
4.7K shares
Share
94¢
→
96.3¢
$4.4K
$4.7K
$4.5K
+$105.02
(+2.4%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 64.5¢
6.3K shares
Share
57.0¢
→
64.5¢
$3.6K
$6.3K
$4.0K
+$471.21
(+13.2%)
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No 99.5¢
2.7K shares
Share
97.2¢
→
99.5¢
$2.6K
$2.7K
$2.7K
+$60.91
(+2.3%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 92¢
2.9K shares
Share
78.0¢
→
92¢
$2.2K
$2.9K
$2.6K
+$403.91
(+18.0%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 40.2¢
5.0K shares
Share
28.0¢
→
40.2¢
$1.4K
$5.0K
$2.0K
+$606.96
(+43.3%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 86.6¢
2.1K shares
Share
73.0¢
→
86.6¢
$1.5K
$2.1K
$1.8K
+$281.91
(+18.6%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 74¢
2.0K shares
Share
75.0¢
→
74¢
$1.5K
$2.0K
$1.5K
−$19.99
(-1.3%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 54.5¢
2.2K shares
Share
54.5¢
→
54.5¢
$1.2K
$2.2K
$1.2K
−$0.15
(-0.0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 74.5¢
1.5K shares
Share
74¢
→
74.5¢
$1.1K
$1.5K
$1.1K
+$7.50
(+0.7%)
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
No 41.3¢
2.5K shares
Share
38.1¢
→
41.3¢
$945.67
$2.5K
$1.0K
+$79.80
(+8.4%)
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
Yes 94.6¢
960 shares
Share
92.0¢
→
94.6¢
$883.42
$960.00
$908.16
+$24.74
(+2.8%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 64.5¢
1.3K shares
Share
61.9¢
→
64.5¢
$800.98
$1.3K
$835.55
+$34.58
(+4.3%)
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
No 94.5¢
800 shares
Share
87¢
→
94.5¢
$696.00
$800.00
$756.00
+$60.00
(+8.6%)
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Yes 94¢
800 shares
Share
87¢
→
94¢
$695.99
$799.99
$751.99
+$56.00
(+8.0%)
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 12.5¢
5.0K shares
Share
11.8¢
→
12.5¢
$590.00
$5.0K
$625.00
+$35.00
(+5.9%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 2.1¢
26.5K shares
Share
1.5¢
→
2.1¢
$408.85
$26.5K
$569.65
+$160.80
(+39.3%)
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Yes 18.1¢
3.0K shares
Share
14.0¢
→
18.1¢
$420.00
$3.0K
$541.50
+$121.50
(+28.9%)
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
No 12.4¢
4.1K shares
Share
16.8¢
→
12.4¢
$688.36
$4.1K
$510.73
−$177.63
(-25.8%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 97¢
502.4 shares
Share
74.9¢
→
97¢
$376.24
$502.42
$487.35
+$111.11
(+29.5%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 85.7¢
500 shares
Share
74.5¢
→
85.7¢
$372.50
$500.00
$428.50
+$56.00
(+15.0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 1.8¢
20.0K shares
Share
1.5¢
→
1.8¢
$300.00
$20.0K
$370.00
+$70.00
(+23.3%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 73.5¢
502 shares
Share
59.5¢
→
73.5¢
$298.74
$501.99
$368.96
+$70.22
(+23.5%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 66.2¢
470 shares
Share
67¢
→
66.2¢
$314.90
$470.00
$311.14
−$3.76
(-1.2%)
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?
No 96.3¢
300 shares
Share
93¢
→
96.3¢
$279.00
$300.00
$288.75
+$9.75
(+3.5%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 23.5¢
1.2K shares
Share
29.0¢
→
23.5¢
$348.01
$1.2K
$282.00
−$66.00
(-19.0%)
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 82.5¢
300 shares
Share
75.0¢
→
82.5¢
$225.00
$300.00
$247.50
+$22.50
(+10.0%)
US recession by end of 2027?
No 67¢
340 shares
Share
65¢
→
67¢
$221.00
$340.00
$227.80
+$6.80
(+3.1%)
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Yes 39.5¢
500 shares
Share
39¢
→
39.5¢
$195.00
$500.00
$197.50
+$2.50
(+1.3%)
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes 9.5¢
2.0K shares
Share
10¢
→
9.5¢
$199.99
$2.0K
$189.99
−$10.00
(-5.0%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 6.0¢
3.1K shares
Share
5.1¢
→
6.0¢
$156.14
$3.1K
$184.88
+$28.74
(+18.4%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 85¢
200 shares
Share
89¢
→
85¢
$178.00
$200.00
$170.00
−$8.00
(-4.5%)
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes 98.5¢
171.4 shares
Share
66.2¢
→
98.5¢
$113.57
$171.42
$168.85
+$55.28
(+48.7%)
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No 15.5¢
1,000 shares
Share
14.0¢
→
15.5¢
$140.00
$999.99
$155.00
+$15.00
(+10.7%)
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
No 66.5¢
200 shares
Share
81¢
→
66.5¢
$162.00
$200.00
$133.00
−$29.00
(-17.9%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 35.4¢
353.7 shares
Share
36.7¢
→
35.4¢
$129.90
$353.68
$125.38
−$4.52
(-3.5%)
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?
Yes 66¢
188.4 shares
Share
58.0¢
→
66¢
$109.28
$188.42
$124.36
+$15.07
(+13.8%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes 2.6¢
4.5K shares
Share
9.2¢
→
2.6¢
$417.10
$4.5K
$120.40
−$296.70
(-71.1%)
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?
Yes 83.5¢
144 shares
Share
65.3¢
→
83.5¢
$94.03
$143.99
$120.30
+$26.28
(+27.9%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 18.5¢
629.3 shares
Share
26.4¢
→
18.5¢
$166.14
$629.26
$116.41
−$49.72
(-29.9%)
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 11.5¢
1.0K shares
Share
29.0¢
→
11.5¢
$290.00
$1.0K
$115.00
−$175.00
(-60.3%)
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes 22¢
500 shares
Share
35¢
→
22¢
$175.00
$500.00
$110.00
−$65.00
(-37.1%)
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Yes 39.5¢
240.8 shares
Share
55.1¢
→
39.5¢
$132.61
$240.75
$95.10
−$37.52
(-28.3%)
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
No 95¢
71.1 shares
Share
84.0¢
→
95¢
$59.75
$71.13
$67.57
+$7.82
(+13.1%)
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Yes 27.5¢
213 shares
Share
62.6¢
→
27.5¢
$133.28
$212.99
$58.57
−$74.71
(-56.1%)
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
No 2.8¢
1.8K shares
Share
18.4¢
→
2.8¢
$331.18
$1.8K
$49.61
−$281.56
(-85.0%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 15.5¢
200 shares
Share
15¢
→
15.5¢
$30.00
$200.00
$31.00
+$1.00
(+3.3%)
Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
No 95.6¢
30 shares
Share
92.1¢
→
95.6¢
$27.63
$30.00
$28.68
+$1.05
(+3.8%)
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?
No 87.5¢
28 shares
Share
46¢
→
87.5¢
$12.88
$28.00
$24.50
+$11.62
(+90.2%)
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 4.6¢
400 shares
Share
8¢
→
4.6¢
$32.00
$400.00
$18.40
−$13.60
(-42.5%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?
No 36.5¢
49.5 shares
Share
56.3¢
→
36.5¢
$27.87
$49.50
$18.07
−$9.80
(-35.2%)
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 13.5¢
128 shares
Share
26¢
→
13.5¢
$33.28
$128.00
$17.28
−$16.00
(-48.1%)
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 4.2¢
400 shares
Share
2.7¢
→
4.2¢
$10.80
$400.00
$16.80
+$6.00
(+55.6%)
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 3.4¢
330 shares
Share
5.0¢
→
3.4¢
$16.47
$330.00
$11.22
−$5.25
(-31.9%)
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Yes 1.4¢
500 shares
Share
12¢
→
1.4¢
$60.00
$500.00
$6.75
−$53.25
(-88.8%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
Yes 2.1¢
236.3 shares
Share
5.2¢
→
2.1¢
$12.29
$236.33
$4.96
−$7.32
(-59.6%)
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
8.0K shares
Share
0.0¢
→
0.1¢
$3.45
$8.0K
$4.00
+$0.55
(+16.0%)
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 0.3¢
306.5 shares
Share
2.2¢
→
0.3¢
$6.70
$306.52
$0.77
−$5.94
(-88.6%)
Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?
Down 0.1¢
1.0K shares
Share
0.2¢
→
0.1¢
$2.00
$1.0K
$0.50
−$1.50
(-75.0%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Yes 2.5¢
18.7 shares
Share
4.2¢
→
2.5¢
$0.78
$18.66
$0.46
−$0.32
(-41.4%)
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?
No 0¢
100 shares
Share
7.0¢
→
0¢
$7.00
$100.00
Lost
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 0¢
452.7 shares
Share
65.1¢
→
0¢
$294.72
$452.70
Lost
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?
Yes 0¢
10.1K shares
Share
0.2¢
→
0¢
$24.93
$10.1K
Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Yes 0¢
60.0K shares
Share
25¢
→
0¢
$15.0K
$60.0K
Lost
Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2027?
No 0¢
500 shares
Share
1¢
→
0¢
$5.00
$500.00
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢
84.1 shares
Share
21.6¢
→
0¢
$18.17
$84.14
Lost
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 0¢
100 shares
Share
8¢
→
0¢
$8.00
$100.00
Lost
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
No 0¢
45 shares
Share
7.1¢
→
0¢
$3.19
$44.99
Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes 0¢
55 shares
Share
11.2¢
→
0¢
$6.17
$55.00
Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Yes 0¢
75.0K shares
Share
25¢
→
0¢
$18.8K
$75.0K
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢
162.7K shares
Share
5.9¢
→
0¢
$9.7K
$162.7K
Lost
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Yes 0¢
50.1 shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0¢
$0.92
$50.10
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 0¢
1.1K shares
Share
55.9¢
→
0¢
$614.33
$1.1K
Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Yes 0¢
381.2 shares
Share
3.6¢
→
0¢
$13.71
$381.24
Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢
107.3K shares
Share
2.4¢
→
0¢
$2.6K
$107.3K
Lost
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