TBill1

Joined May 2026

Total earnings

$24,540.53
1D
$171.96
7D
$985.67
30D
−$2.0K
90D
$24.2K
Total volume
$10.02M
Predictions
325
Positions value
$101.3K
Performance
+$25.7K
+$1.1K
+$1.2K
+$258.61
+$223.77
$3.8K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢80.0K shares
$62.8K
+$22.8K (+57.1%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50¢80.0K shares
$17.2K
−$22.8K (-57.1%)
US recession by end of 2026?
No 86.6¢6.2K shares
$5.7K
+$367.46 (+6.9%)
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
No 97.2¢5.7K shares
$5.5K
+$15.10 (+0.3%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 57.7¢4.4K shares
$3.1K
+$567.65 (+22.2%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 73.0¢2.1K shares
$1.6K
+$95.20 (+6.3%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 27.6¢4.6K shares
$1.4K
+$113.70 (+8.9%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 86.3¢783.1 shares
$677.42
+$1.42 (+0.2%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 65.0¢908.2 shares
$558.57
−$31.88 (-5.4%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 66¢561.6 shares
$440.89
+$70.20 (+18.9%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 74.5¢500 shares
$409.45
+$36.95 (+9.9%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 52.3¢721.1 shares
$371.35
−$5.46 (-1.4%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 93¢336 shares
$326.72
+$14.28 (+4.6%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
No 94¢276 shares
$265.37
+$5.93 (+2.3%)
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
Yes 14.8¢1.2K shares
$209.99
+$32.00 (+18.0%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 3.6¢4.5K shares
$145.05
−$14.74 (-9.2%)
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?
Yes 13¢700 shares
$91.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?
Yes 1.3K shares
$91.00
+$13.00 (+16.7%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
No 62¢87.2 shares
$68.41
+$14.38 (+26.6%)
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
Yes 1.2K shares
$63.00
+$15.00 (+31.2%)
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢71.1 shares
$61.17
+$1.42 (+2.4%)
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
No 68¢91 shares
$55.49
−$6.37 (-10.3%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes 7.4¢577.5 shares
$37.25
−$5.44 (-12.8%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
No 62¢11.5 shares
$9.10
+$2.00 (+28.2%)
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11?
Yes 1.1¢599.9 shares
$7.80
+$1.37 (+21.3%)
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
Yes 3.4¢400 shares
$6.80
−$6.67 (-49.5%)
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 2.2¢306.5 shares
$5.36
−$1.34 (-20.0%)
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Yes 65.1¢452.7 shares
Lost
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
Yes 33.3¢60.0K shares
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?
Yes 21.6¢84.1 shares
Lost
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
No 7.1¢45 shares
Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes 11.2¢55 shares
Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Yes 33.3¢75.0K shares
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 14.3¢162.7K shares
Lost
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Yes 1.8¢50.1 shares
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 55.9¢1.1K shares
Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Yes 3.6¢381.2 shares
Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 16.8¢107.3K shares
Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 1.7¢16.0K shares
Lost
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?
No 2.4¢510.4 shares
Lost
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Yes 53¢30 shares
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
Yes 16.2¢111.2 shares
Lost
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
No 0.6¢519 shares
Lost
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Yes 52.0¢172.8 shares
Lost
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 0.3¢5.7K shares
Lost
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5
Over 1.4¢300 shares
Lost
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Conor McGregor 0.1¢10.0K shares
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Yes 13.9¢228.3 shares
Lost
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?
No 0.1¢4.5K shares
Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
Yes 33.3¢60.0K shares
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Yes 5.4 shares
Lost
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
No 39.6¢28.3 shares
Lost
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?
Yes 33.3¢75.0K shares
Lost
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Yes 7.7¢499.1 shares
Lost
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Yes 11.3¢14.2 shares
Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Yes 17.1¢79 shares
Lost
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?
Yes 0.4¢344.7 shares
Lost
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
No 0.3¢63.1 shares
Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Yes 17¢2.7K shares
Lost
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
Yes 14.6¢209.2 shares
Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 16.7¢107.3K shares
Lost
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?
Yes 33.3¢60.0K shares
Lost
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
No 22.6¢120.2 shares
Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Yes 1.5¢70.5 shares
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Yes 30.4¢12.4 shares
Lost
Over $32.5M committed to the Credible public sale?
No 55 shares
Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
No 6.6¢100 shares
Lost
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Yes 22.4¢2.3K shares
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Yes 14.0¢7.3K shares
Lost
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?
Yes 19.7¢100.2 shares
Lost
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Yes 13.3¢178.2 shares
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 1.9¢958.1K shares
Lost
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Canada 0.1¢8.1K shares
Lost
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
No 0.4¢854.6 shares
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
No 8.1¢470.4 shares
Lost
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?
Yes 5.3¢290.9 shares
Lost
France vs. England: Team to Win
France 0.1¢2.5K shares
Lost
Will Iran close its airspace by June 9?
Yes 15.4¢147.2 shares
Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
No 500 shares
Lost
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Yes 25.1¢130 shares
Lost
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Yes 6.2¢200 shares
Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?
Yes 5.9¢5.0K shares
Lost
Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?
Yes 4.9¢150 shares
Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?
Yes 5.9¢5.0K shares
Lost
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
No 5.5¢55 shares
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Yes 2.1¢500 shares
Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?
Yes 5.9¢5.0K shares
Lost
Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Yes 33.3¢60.0K shares
Lost
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?
Yes 15.4¢484.9 shares
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Yes 38¢500 shares
Lost
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
No 66¢55 shares
Lost
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No 0.1¢5.0K shares
Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
No 53.8¢67.9 shares
Lost
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
Yes 75.8¢802.2 shares
Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?
Yes 5.9¢5.0K shares
Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?
Yes 5.9¢5.0K shares
Lost
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 0.2¢5.0K shares
Lost
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Yes 8.3¢43.2 shares
Lost
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 1.3¢1.0K shares
Lost
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?
Yes 5.9¢5.0K shares
Lost