wan123

Joined December 2025

Total earnings

$1,622,450.11

1D

−$73.7K

7D

$167.1K

30D

$57.0K

90D

$1.17M

Total volume

$48.54M

Predictions

420

Positions value

$745.6K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$1.62M

LP+$10.6K

Maker+$6.0K

Yield+$575.59

Taker+$538.93

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 10.7¢819.9K shares

10.7¢→19.9¢

+$74.7K (+84.7%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

No 18.8¢691.9K shares

18.8¢→21.4¢

+$18.7K (+14.4%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 41.3¢107.1K shares

41.3¢→90.5¢

+$52.7K (+119.1%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 61.1¢109.8K shares

61.1¢→65.5¢

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 50.3¢35.9K shares

50.3¢→92.9¢

+$15.3K (+84.6%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 37.4¢65.3K shares

37.4¢→42.9¢

+$3.6K (+14.6%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 89.7¢27.8K shares

89.7¢→93.4¢

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 21.0¢356.3K shares

−$51.8K (-69.1%)

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 46¢50.0K shares

−$750.00 (-3.3%)

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 46¢50.0K shares

−$1.2K (-5.4%)

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Yes 18.9¢385.2K shares

−$54.9K (-75.2%)

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Yes 41.4¢34.6K shares

41.4¢→43.5¢

+$730.08 (+5.1%)

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No 28.0¢29.4K shares

28.0¢→35.5¢

+$2.2K (+26.8%)

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 58.7¢8.3K shares

58.7¢→100.0¢

+$3.4K (+70.3%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No 39¢15.6K shares

+$701.57 (+11.5%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Yes 7.3¢86.7K shares

−$917.34 (-14.5%)

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 62.7¢8.5K shares

62.7¢→62.3¢

−$36.24 (-0.7%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Yes 52.0¢7.3K shares

52.0¢→66.5¢

+$1.1K (+28.0%)

Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

No 44¢10.0K shares

−$350.00 (-8.0%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.7¢536.5K shares

−$463.56 (-11.7%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 41.0¢10.2K shares

41.0¢→32.5¢

−$866.26 (-20.8%)

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

No 71.7¢3.8K shares

71.7¢→83.5¢

+$445.76 (+16.5%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 37.9¢7.0K shares

37.9¢→43.5¢

+$391.51 (+14.6%)

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

No 88.2¢3.0K shares

88.2¢→97.4¢

+$277.17 (+10.4%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 23.5¢10.8K shares

23.5¢→21.9¢

−$175.83 (-6.9%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes 23.1¢14.3K shares

23.1¢→12.5¢

−$1.5K (-45.8%)

Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?

Yes 87.1¢1.7K shares

87.1¢→98.2¢

+$191.24 (+12.7%)

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

No 65.9¢1.4K shares

65.9¢→93.5¢

+$392.86 (+42.0%)

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?

Yes 79.5¢1.7K shares

−$76.62 (-5.6%)

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

No 49.5¢1.4K shares

+$385.92 (+57.6%)

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Yes 9¢9.4K shares

+$187.05 (+22.1%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 3.2¢76.3K shares

−$1.5K (-60.5%)

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 29.4¢1.1K shares

29.4¢→78.1¢

+$536.19 (+166.0%)

Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?

No 81.2¢1.1K shares

−$44.88 (-5.2%)

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

Yes 9.1¢6.1K shares

+$207.55 (+37.2%)

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

No 14.9¢5.3K shares

14.9¢→11.5¢

−$178.29 (-22.6%)

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Yes 15.0¢5.1K shares

15.0¢→11.5¢

−$175.83 (-23.2%)

SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?

No 73¢563.5 shares

+$87.34 (+21.2%)

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Yes 8.0¢2.3K shares

+$276.60 (+152.2%)

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

No 61¢437.7 shares

+$28.45 (+10.7%)

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

No 29.9¢521.5 shares

29.9¢→27.5¢

−$12.40 (-8.0%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 81.8¢180 shares

81.8¢→78.5¢

−$5.85 (-4.0%)

Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?

Yes 35.7¢136.3 shares

+$64.43 (+132.3%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

No 46¢477.9 shares

−$133.56 (-60.8%)

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 11.5¢28.7K shares

−$3.3K (-99.6%)

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 7.7¢20.0K shares

−$1.5K (-99.4%)

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 28.8¢2.5K shares

−$710.75 (-99.8%)

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5)

Northern Iowa Panthers 51¢20.0K shares

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Yes 5.9¢8.8K shares

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 35.7¢120.9K shares

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Yes 40¢452.4 shares

Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5

Under 53.0¢9.4K shares

Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

Yes 19.8¢5.9K shares

Iran closes its airspace by May 7?

Yes 5.2¢4.2K shares

Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?

No 55.0¢34.2 shares

Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 0.2¢46.5K shares

Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Akron Zips 27¢49.8K shares

Spread: Pistons (-11.5)

Pistons 28.0¢2.4K shares

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

No 3.9¢74.9K shares

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Yes 9.5¢40.5K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Yes 4.9¢743.2K shares

Rockets vs. Lakers

Rockets 47.0¢47.9K shares

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Yes 11.9¢33.4K shares

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?

Yes 23.2¢25.7K shares

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Timberwolves 18.6¢149.1K shares

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

No 26.2¢57.7K shares

Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%?

No 32¢1,000 shares

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Yes 36.9¢17.2K shares

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Yes 31.2¢79.3K shares

Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5)

Northern Iowa Panthers 45.2¢22.0K shares

Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 11.0¢2.2K shares

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Yes 1.8¢42.7K shares

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

Yes 36.8¢3.1K shares

Knicks vs. 76ers

76ers 32.3¢72.0K shares

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Yes 11.0¢103.0K shares

Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 0.2¢46.5K shares

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Yes 26.1¢568 shares

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 9.4¢169.9K shares

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Yes 5.3¢1.1K shares

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Yes 32.3¢14.3K shares

Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?

Yes 46.3¢3.2K shares

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers 22.7¢37.6K shares

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Yes 4.3¢11.3K shares

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Cavaliers 36¢50.0K shares

Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Vanderbilt Commodores 24.1¢63.6K shares

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 22.1¢2.0K shares

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 8.7¢5.6K shares

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Yes 31.1¢20.0K shares

Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?

Yes 13.6¢63.5K shares

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Yes 15.5¢430.2K shares

Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5)

Hofstra Pride 49¢30.0K shares

Pistons vs. Magic

Pistons 44¢49.2K shares

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 9.2¢614.9K shares

US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?

Yes 5.7¢77.7K shares

Hawks vs. Knicks

Hawks 28.5¢66.6K shares

Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 6.9¢11.6K shares

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

No 18.6¢15.4K shares

Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 0.2¢46.5K shares

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

No 15.0¢36.7K shares

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Yes 12.0¢1.1K shares