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TheRealWarMonger
Joined October 2025
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Polymarket
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Total earnings
−$51,623.53
1D
$4.1K
7D
$8.3K
30D
−$42.0K
90D
−$52.6K
Total volume
$7.75M
Predictions
677
Positions value
$125.5K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
−$55.8K
LP
+$2,897.37
Maker
+$1,118.54
Yield
+$51.33
Referral
+$70.94
Taker
+$14.77
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No 100.0¢
52.9K shares
Share
95.0¢
→
100.0¢
$50.2K
$52.9K
$52.9K
+$2.6K
(+5.2%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No 89.5¢
22.2K shares
Share
89.0¢
→
89.5¢
$19.8K
$22.2K
$19.9K
+$103.74
(+0.5%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
No 93.5¢
19.5K shares
Share
92.8¢
→
93.5¢
$18.1K
$19.5K
$18.3K
+$135.38
(+0.7%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 77¢
9.7K shares
Share
91.9¢
→
77¢
$9.0K
$9.7K
$7.5K
−$1.5K
(-16.2%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 95.5¢
5.4K shares
Share
93.6¢
→
95.5¢
$5.1K
$5.4K
$5.2K
+$100.95
(+2.0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 78.5¢
5.0K shares
Share
76¢
→
78.5¢
$3.8K
$5.0K
$3.9K
+$125.00
(+3.3%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
Yes 72¢
5.0K shares
Share
69.1¢
→
72¢
$3.5K
$5.0K
$3.6K
+$145.28
(+4.2%)
New pandemic in 2026?
No 98.1¢
2.9K shares
Share
93.4¢
→
98.1¢
$2.7K
$2.9K
$2.8K
+$136.90
(+5.1%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 99.9¢
2.4K shares
Share
93.6¢
→
99.9¢
$2.2K
$2.4K
$2.4K
+$150.51
(+6.7%)
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 77¢
3.0K shares
Share
90.5¢
→
77¢
$2.7K
$3.0K
$2.3K
−$405.00
(-14.9%)
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
No 95.0¢
2.2K shares
Share
92.6¢
→
95.0¢
$2.0K
$2.2K
$2.1K
+$53.50
(+2.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes 39.4¢
3.0K shares
Share
67.3¢
→
39.4¢
$2.0K
$3.0K
$1.2K
−$840.25
(-41.6%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
Yes 66.5¢
1.3K shares
Share
67.9¢
→
66.5¢
$870.78
$1.3K
$853.20
−$17.58
(-2.0%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
No 99¢
700 shares
Share
91¢
→
99¢
$637.00
$700.00
$693.00
+$56.00
(+8.8%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Yes 24.5¢
1.5K shares
Share
28.9¢
→
24.5¢
$433.33
$1.5K
$367.50
−$65.83
(-15.2%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 90.5¢
400 shares
Share
89¢
→
90.5¢
$356.00
$400.00
$362.00
+$6.00
(+1.7%)
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
No 94¢
372.1 shares
Share
91¢
→
94¢
$338.58
$372.07
$349.75
+$11.16
(+3.3%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No 90.5¢
300 shares
Share
82.2¢
→
90.5¢
$246.63
$300.01
$271.51
+$24.88
(+10.1%)
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
No 96.8¢
159.8 shares
Share
93¢
→
96.8¢
$148.63
$159.82
$154.71
+$6.07
(+4.1%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
No 68.5¢
200 shares
Share
76¢
→
68.5¢
$152.00
$200.00
$137.00
−$15.00
(-9.9%)
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No 95.2¢
120 shares
Share
84.3¢
→
95.2¢
$101.22
$120.01
$114.19
+$12.96
(+12.8%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?
No 95¢
86.4 shares
Share
92¢
→
95¢
$79.47
$86.38
$82.06
+$2.59
(+3.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Yes 62.5¢
115.8 shares
Share
57.0¢
→
62.5¢
$66.03
$115.84
$72.40
+$6.37
(+9.6%)
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
No 88.5¢
19.5 shares
Share
81¢
→
88.5¢
$15.77
$19.46
$17.22
+$1.46
(+9.3%)
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No 5.5¢
135 shares
Share
74.1¢
→
5.5¢
$100.00
$134.98
$7.49
−$92.51
(-92.5%)
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 0¢
2.0K shares
Share
28.0¢
→
0¢
$560.00
$2.0K
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢
9.9K shares
Share
6.9¢
→
0¢
$682.57
$9.9K
Lost
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