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Nostdam
Joined October 2024
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$72,827.11
1D
$448.69
7D
$830.70
30D
$6.3K
90D
$5.6K
Total volume
$5.25M
Predictions
3,473
Positions value
$6.1K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$68.3K
LP
+$3,602.90
Maker
+$853.39
Yield
+$2.02
Taker
+$32.44
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m?
No 61¢
2.5K shares
Share
68.5¢
→
61¢
$1.7K
$2.5K
$1.5K
−$186.58
(-10.9%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 100.0¢
1.0K shares
Share
95¢
→
100.0¢
$950.00
$1.0K
$999.50
+$49.50
(+5.2%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 98.8¢
764.8 shares
Share
88.9¢
→
98.8¢
$679.68
$764.80
$755.24
+$75.56
(+11.1%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 53¢
1.4K shares
Share
54.2¢
→
53¢
$742.28
$1.4K
$725.52
−$16.76
(-2.3%)
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 76¢
538.5 shares
Share
75.4¢
→
76¢
$406.13
$538.54
$409.29
+$3.16
(+0.8%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?
Yes 22.5¢
1.1K shares
Share
20.1¢
→
22.5¢
$212.67
$1.1K
$238.24
+$25.57
(+12.0%)
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 73.0¢
268.3 shares
Share
55.0¢
→
73.0¢
$147.49
$268.31
$195.73
+$48.24
(+32.7%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Yes 92.9¢
154.1 shares
Share
96.2¢
→
92.9¢
$148.22
$154.13
$143.19
−$5.03
(-3.4%)
Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 91.5¢
139.5 shares
Share
86.8¢
→
91.5¢
$121.14
$139.51
$127.65
+$6.51
(+5.4%)
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
No 82.5¢
145.2 shares
Share
64.0¢
→
82.5¢
$92.93
$145.20
$119.79
+$26.86
(+28.9%)
Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)
No 99.7¢
100.3 shares
Share
92.9¢
→
99.7¢
$93.16
$100.28
$99.98
+$6.82
(+7.3%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 15.8¢
586 shares
Share
19.4¢
→
15.8¢
$113.58
$585.99
$92.29
−$21.29
(-18.7%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 12.6¢
683.4 shares
Share
2.6¢
→
12.6¢
$17.62
$683.44
$86.11
+$68.50
(+388.8%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?
Yes 19.5¢
421.4 shares
Share
11.5¢
→
19.5¢
$48.50
$421.36
$82.17
+$33.66
(+69.4%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?
Yes 6.5¢
1.2K shares
Share
11.4¢
→
6.5¢
$134.49
$1.2K
$76.53
−$57.97
(-43.1%)
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
No 89¢
64.8 shares
Share
64.8¢
→
89¢
$41.98
$64.80
$57.67
+$15.70
(+37.4%)
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 23.6¢
230.9 shares
Share
68.4¢
→
23.6¢
$157.99
$230.86
$54.60
−$103.39
(-65.4%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?
Yes 14.0¢
381 shares
Share
11.6¢
→
14.0¢
$44.12
$380.96
$53.33
+$9.22
(+20.9%)
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?
Yes 13.1¢
383.2 shares
Share
11.4¢
→
13.1¢
$43.67
$383.20
$50.01
+$6.34
(+14.5%)
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19.5¢
250 shares
Share
67.0¢
→
19.5¢
$167.49
$249.98
$48.75
−$118.74
(-70.9%)
Will You Can See Everything win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 64.5¢
72 shares
Share
2.6¢
→
64.5¢
$1.89
$71.95
$46.41
+$44.51
(+2350.0%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Yes 48.8¢
77.8 shares
Share
75.5¢
→
48.8¢
$58.74
$77.80
$37.93
−$20.81
(-35.4%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m?
Yes 2.1¢
1.7K shares
Share
3.2¢
→
2.1¢
$55.61
$1.7K
$35.93
−$19.67
(-35.4%)
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 340m?
Yes 23¢
78.1 shares
Share
8¢
→
23¢
$6.25
$78.10
$17.96
+$11.72
(+187.5%)
Will Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 1.6¢
514.9 shares
Share
2.6¢
→
1.6¢
$13.55
$514.86
$7.98
−$5.57
(-41.1%)
Will Tutu win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 1.3¢
501.6 shares
Share
2.6¢
→
1.3¢
$13.21
$501.58
$6.52
−$6.68
(-50.6%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m?
Yes 0.7¢
880 shares
Share
5.0¢
→
0.7¢
$43.60
$879.99
$6.16
−$37.44
(-85.9%)
Will Musk win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 1.1¢
514.9 shares
Share
2.6¢
→
1.1¢
$13.55
$514.86
$5.92
−$7.63
(-56.3%)
Will One in a Million win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 2.1¢
198.2 shares
Share
2.6¢
→
2.1¢
$5.22
$198.23
$4.06
−$1.16
(-22.1%)
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes 3.4¢
53 shares
Share
28.6¢
→
3.4¢
$15.19
$53.00
$1.78
−$13.41
(-88.3%)
Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Yes 7.5¢
2 shares
Share
49.0¢
→
7.5¢
$1.00
$2.04
$0.15
−$0.85
(-84.7%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
Yes 0¢
59.9 shares
Share
4.5¢
→
0¢
$2.72
$59.93
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 34 and 36 million views on day 3?
Yes 0¢
599.6 shares
Share
8.1¢
→
0¢
$48.42
$599.60
Lost
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Yes 0¢
41.3 shares
Share
10.4¢
→
0¢
$4.32
$41.35
Lost
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner
Karmine Corp 0¢
4.3 shares
Share
37.8¢
→
0¢
$1.63
$4.31
Lost
Will MrBeast's video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6?
Yes 0¢
150 shares
Share
10¢
→
0¢
$15.00
$149.99
Lost
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?
Yes 0¢
24 shares
Share
76¢
→
0¢
$18.24
$24.00
Lost
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 28m?
Yes 0¢
185 shares
Share
1.0¢
→
0¢
$1.93
$185.02
Lost
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢
63.6 shares
Share
1.0¢
→
0¢
$0.64
$63.64
Lost
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?
No 0¢
400 shares
Share
20.5¢
→
0¢
$82.00
$400.00
Lost
Ducks vs. Wild
Ducks 0¢
204.5 shares
Share
15.4¢
→
0¢
$31.61
$204.47
Lost
Will Trump's remarks not air?
Yes 0¢
100 shares
Share
3.5¢
→
0¢
$3.50
$100.00
Lost
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
No 0¢
204.8 shares
Share
19.5¢
→
0¢
$39.93
$204.79
Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
No 0¢
477.8 shares
Share
7.5¢
→
0¢
$35.98
$477.77
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
Yes 0¢
985.7 shares
Share
13.2¢
→
0¢
$130.39
$985.75
Lost
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?
Yes 0¢
1.1K shares
Share
1.2¢
→
0¢
$13.28
$1.1K
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 69 million views on day 4?
Yes 0¢
200 shares
Share
4.7¢
→
0¢
$9.36
$200.00
Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
47.8 shares
Share
23.4¢
→
0¢
$11.18
$47.76
Lost
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
Shopify Rebellion 0¢
194.1 shares
Share
33.7¢
→
0¢
$65.35
$194.07
Lost
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 0¢
386.2 shares
Share
4.5¢
→
0¢
$17.35
$386.16
Lost
Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?
Yes 0¢
208.3 shares
Share
20.7¢
→
0¢
$43.04
$208.31
Lost
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?
Yes 0¢
141 shares
Share
1.5¢
→
0¢
$2.11
$141.00
Lost
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?
Yes 0¢
126 shares
Share
0.8¢
→
0¢
$1.01
$126.00
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
0.4¢
→
0¢
$1.77
$499.99
Lost
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Team Liquid 0¢
597 shares
Share
31.2¢
→
0¢
$186.54
$596.96
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
Yes 0¢
107.9 shares
Share
7.1¢
→
0¢
$7.72
$107.89
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?
Yes 0¢
200 shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$4.20
$200.00
Lost
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?
Yes 0¢
1.1K shares
Share
22.9¢
→
0¢
$251.61
$1.1K
Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 0¢
600 shares
Share
21¢
→
0¢
$126.00
$600.00
Lost
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?
Yes 0¢
359 shares
Share
13.6¢
→
0¢
$48.92
$358.95
Lost
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner
Cloud9 0¢
618.4 shares
Share
18.9¢
→
0¢
$116.76
$618.44
Lost
LoL: Sentinels vs Cloud9 - Game 4 Winner
Sentinels 0¢
174 shares
Share
27¢
→
0¢
$46.98
$173.98
Lost
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
No 0¢
5.8K shares
Share
0.4¢
→
0¢
$22.76
$5.8K
Lost
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Yes 0¢
137.2 shares
Share
0.2¢
→
0¢
$0.27
$137.17
Lost
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stage
Team Vitality 0¢
118.5 shares
Share
33.6¢
→
0¢
$39.87
$118.54
Lost
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers
Queens (NC) Royals 0¢
1.0K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$15.93
$1.0K
Lost
Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 21.5m?
Yes 0¢
535 shares
Share
5.0¢
→
0¢
$26.75
$534.97
Lost
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on April 19, 2026?
Yes 0¢
195.5 shares
Share
1.3¢
→
0¢
$2.60
$195.46
Lost
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
Yes 0¢
27 shares
Share
2.1¢
→
0¢
$0.57
$27.04
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Yes 0¢
5.9K shares
Share
31.9¢
→
0¢
$1.9K
$5.9K
Lost
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes 0¢
465.6 shares
Share
14.7¢
→
0¢
$68.35
$465.58
Lost
Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 0¢
2.2K shares
Share
1.0¢
→
0¢
$20.70
$2.2K
Lost
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in July?
No 0¢
211.7 shares
Share
30.7¢
→
0¢
$65.08
$211.65
Lost
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
163 shares
Share
33.6¢
→
0¢
$54.78
$162.97
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 67 million or more views on day 5?
No 0¢
2.1K shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0¢
$37.12
$2.1K
Lost
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
No 0¢
200 shares
Share
74¢
→
0¢
$148.00
$200.00
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 2?
Yes 0¢
172.2 shares
Share
9.0¢
→
0¢
$15.44
$172.20
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get 71 million or more views on day 3?
Yes 0¢
788.6 shares
Share
1.0¢
→
0¢
$7.60
$788.61
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
No 0¢
729.9 shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0¢
$5.11
$729.86
Lost
Cavaliers vs. Bucks
Cavaliers 0¢
533.8 shares
Share
6¢
→
0¢
$32.03
$533.79
Lost
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye?
Yes 0¢
62.5 shares
Share
20¢
→
0¢
$12.50
$62.50
Lost
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?
Down 0¢
136 shares
Share
46.6¢
→
0¢
$63.32
$136.00
Lost
Capitals vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5
Over 0¢
247.7 shares
Share
96.5¢
→
0¢
$238.92
$247.72
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 77 and 78 million views on day 6?
Yes 0¢
200 shares
Share
10.1¢
→
0¢
$20.20
$200.00
Lost
Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Yes 0¢
585.8 shares
Share
7.5¢
→
0¢
$44.09
$585.78
Lost
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1)
Shifters 0¢
354 shares
Share
49.2¢
→
0¢
$174.32
$354.00
Lost
Will OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Yes 0¢
40 shares
Share
12¢
→
0¢
$4.80
$40.00
Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31?
Yes 0¢
2.5K shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0¢
$44.77
$2.5K
Lost
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?
Yes 0¢
42.3 shares
Share
39¢
→
0¢
$16.49
$42.29
Lost
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Yes 0¢
214.5 shares
Share
3.2¢
→
0¢
$6.92
$214.48
Lost
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Yes 0¢
858 shares
Share
12.0¢
→
0¢
$102.95
$858.04
Lost
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Deep Cross Gaming 0¢
52 shares
Share
60¢
→
0¢
$31.20
$52.00
Lost
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Yes 0¢
79 shares
Share
7.2¢
→
0¢
$5.69
$79.00
Lost
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?
Yes 0¢
191.5 shares
Share
1.5¢
→
0¢
$2.86
$191.52
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
Yes 0¢
200 shares
Share
5¢
→
0¢
$10.00
$200.00
Lost
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?
Yes 0¢
1.3K shares
Share
5.9¢
→
0¢
$79.70
$1.3K
Lost
Sharks vs. Flames
Sharks 0¢
100 shares
Share
66¢
→
0¢
$66.00
$100.00
Lost
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Shifters 0¢
200 shares
Share
48.0¢
→
0¢
$96.00
$200.00
Lost
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
No 0¢
227.2 shares
Share
26.1¢
→
0¢
$59.33
$227.16
Lost
Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?
Yes 0¢
4.8K shares
Share
4.1¢
→
0¢
$198.09
$4.8K
Lost
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