elmcap2

Joined April 2023

Total earnings

$2,118,340.26
1D
$6.1K
7D
$27.1K
30D
$66.9K
90D
$330.3K
Total volume
$288.74M
Predictions
1,974
Positions value
$7.68M
Performance
+$2.07M
+$7.6K
+$3.0K
+$46.6K
+$195.45
$4.5K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢6.50M shares
$5.14M
+$1.89M (+58.1%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50¢6.50M shares
$1.36M
−$1.89M (-58.1%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
No 91.5¢201.0K shares
$188.0K
+$4.1K (+2.2%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 88.1¢190.7K shares
$183.5K
+$15.5K (+9.2%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
No 89.0¢125.0K shares
$120.2K
+$8.9K (+8.0%)
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
No 91.1¢112.5K shares
$107.5K
+$5.0K (+4.9%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 94.8¢101.9K shares
$99.4K
+$2.8K (+2.9%)
Trump out as President by August 31?
No 98.9¢63.6K shares
$63.2K
+$287.87 (+0.5%)
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 92.5¢64.1K shares
$58.7K
−$653.22 (-1.1%)
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 90.6¢42.1K shares
$40.2K
+$2.0K (+5.4%)
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes 93.2¢37.4K shares
$35.9K
+$1.1K (+3.1%)
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 94.1¢32.5K shares
$31.8K
+$1.2K (+4.0%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 84.1¢33.1K shares
$29.3K
+$1.5K (+5.3%)
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?
No 97.8¢27.7K shares
$27.5K
+$362.32 (+1.3%)
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
No 89.2¢25.9K shares
$25.3K
+$2.2K (+9.4%)
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 94.4¢22.8K shares
$22.6K
+$1.0K (+4.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
Yes 99.9¢15.0K shares
$15.0K
+$12.51 (+0.1%)
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
No 89.0¢11.8K shares
$11.1K
+$650.31 (+6.2%)
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
No 94.0¢10.6K shares
$10.2K
+$165.51 (+1.7%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Yes 87.7¢11.1K shares
$10.1K
+$417.55 (+4.3%)
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
No 52.7¢14.0K shares
$10.1K
+$2.8K (+37.5%)
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
No 97.4¢9.0K shares
$8.9K
+$183.56 (+2.1%)
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
No 91.9¢8.4K shares
$8.0K
+$299.48 (+3.9%)
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No 95.3¢7.5K shares
$7.4K
+$271.30 (+3.8%)
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 97.7¢5.8K shares
$5.6K
−$20.10 (-0.4%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 51.0¢7.5K shares
$4.6K
+$787.57 (+20.6%)
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No 84.6¢5.0K shares
$4.5K
+$294.61 (+7.0%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
No 85.5¢4.0K shares
$3.5K
+$38.45 (+1.1%)
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 87.8¢3.7K shares
$3.4K
+$193.16 (+6.0%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
No 91.3¢3.0K shares
$2.7K
−$55.05 (-2.0%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Yes 13¢20.8K shares
$2.6K
−$103.84 (-3.8%)
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 90¢2.5K shares
$2.5K
+$207.42 (+9.1%)
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 92.8¢2.6K shares
$2.5K
+$44.96 (+1.9%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
No 93¢2.5K shares
$2.4K
+$37.57 (+1.6%)
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
No 88.8¢2.5K shares
$2.3K
+$124.52 (+5.7%)
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
No 90.3¢2.4K shares
$2.3K
+$132.65 (+6.2%)
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
No 94.0¢2.1K shares
$2.1K
+$103.59 (+5.1%)
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
No 93¢2.2K shares
$2.1K
+$53.96 (+2.7%)
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No 86.2¢2.1K shares
$2.0K
+$210.45 (+11.7%)
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
No 93.9¢2.1K shares
$2.0K
+$53.25 (+2.8%)
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No 92.5¢2.0K shares
$1.9K
+$60.01 (+3.2%)
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No 94¢2.0K shares
$1.9K
+$15.00 (+0.8%)
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No 89.8¢1.8K shares
$1.7K
+$94.12 (+5.7%)
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 91.6¢1.7K shares
$1.6K
+$83.75 (+5.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
Yes 99.8¢1.4K shares
$1.4K
+$2.11 (+0.2%)
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 64.8¢2.1K shares
$1.3K
−$111.77 (-8.1%)
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
No 84.6¢1.4K shares
$1.2K
+$75.15 (+6.5%)
Waymo IPO before 2027?
No 80.2¢1.1K shares
$1.0K
+$175.44 (+20.4%)
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
No 93.2¢1.0K shares
$994.12
+$23.24 (+2.4%)
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No 93¢1.0K shares
$915.14
−$15.00 (-1.6%)
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes 44.1¢2.4K shares
$906.29
−$159.31 (-15.0%)
Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 96.8¢910.9 shares
$898.11
+$16.47 (+1.9%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
No 79.8¢1.0K shares
$851.37
+$51.58 (+6.4%)
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes 62.5¢1.2K shares
$698.98
−$35.08 (-4.8%)
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No 92¢646.4 shares
$625.35
+$30.70 (+5.2%)
Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 98.0¢543.8 shares
$535.41
+$2.48 (+0.5%)
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
No 89.9¢437.7 shares
$418.04
+$24.60 (+6.3%)
Will QFEX launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 96¢421.5 shares
$411.78
+$7.16 (+1.8%)
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Yes 97¢295.8 shares
$289.19
+$2.22 (+0.8%)
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
No 94¢287.6 shares
$277.95
+$7.62 (+2.8%)
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
No 90¢261.7 shares
$242.05
+$6.54 (+2.8%)
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 92¢250 shares
$230.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Obama arrested before 2027?
No 93¢202.8 shares
$196.00
+$7.40 (+3.9%)
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 75.0¢219.9 shares
$186.89
+$22.05 (+13.4%)
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?
No 84¢201.6 shares
$172.34
+$3.02 (+1.8%)
Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?
No 81.9¢173.3 shares
$160.34
+$18.36 (+12.9%)
Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 96¢148.6 shares
$147.53
+$4.90 (+3.4%)
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
No 78.9¢91.4 shares
$80.88
+$8.77 (+12.2%)
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 85¢83.5 shares
$74.71
+$3.76 (+5.3%)
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No 88.9¢77.6 shares
$74.12
+$5.11 (+7.4%)
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by September 30, 2026?
No 92.4¢72.4 shares
$59.32
−$7.57 (-11.3%)
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
No 93¢60 shares
$57.31
+$1.50 (+2.7%)
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No 91.5¢57.1 shares
$53.19
+$0.94 (+1.8%)
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
No 91¢53.6 shares
$51.71
+$2.95 (+6.0%)
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 98.2¢32.8 shares
$32.25
+$0.05 (+0.2%)
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2026?
No 89.3¢37.4 shares
$28.63
−$4.77 (-14.3%)
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢14.1 shares
$12.72
+$0.91 (+7.7%)