Total earnings
$2,118,340.26
1D
$6.1K
7D
$27.1K
30D
$66.9K
90D
$330.3K
Total volume
$288.74M
Predictions
1,974
Positions value
$7.68M
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$2.07M
LP+$7.6K
Maker+$3.0K
Yield+$46.6K
Taker+$195.45
Fees−$4.5K

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢6.50M shares
50¢→79.0¢
$3.25M
$6.50M
$5.14M
+$1.89M (+58.1%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50¢6.50M shares
50¢→20.9¢
$3.25M
$6.50M
$1.36M
−$1.89M (-58.1%)

Trump out as President before 2027?
No 91.5¢201.0K shares
91.5¢→93.5¢
$183.9K
$201.0K
$188.0K
+$4.1K (+2.2%)

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 88.1¢190.7K shares
88.1¢→96.3¢
$168.0K
$190.7K
$183.5K
+$15.5K (+9.2%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
No 89.0¢125.0K shares
89.0¢→96.2¢
$111.3K
$125.0K
$120.2K
+$8.9K (+8.0%)

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
No 91.1¢112.5K shares
91.1¢→95.5¢
$102.5K
$112.5K
$107.5K
+$5.0K (+4.9%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 94.8¢101.9K shares
94.8¢→97.5¢
$96.6K
$101.9K
$99.4K
+$2.8K (+2.9%)

Trump out as President by August 31?
No 98.9¢63.6K shares
98.9¢→99.4¢
$62.9K
$63.6K
$63.2K
+$287.87 (+0.5%)

China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No 92.5¢64.1K shares
92.5¢→91.5¢
$59.3K
$64.1K
$58.7K
−$653.22 (-1.1%)

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 90.6¢42.1K shares
90.6¢→95.5¢
$38.2K
$42.1K
$40.2K
+$2.0K (+5.4%)

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Yes 93.2¢37.4K shares
93.2¢→96.2¢
$34.8K
$37.4K
$35.9K
+$1.1K (+3.1%)

Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 94.1¢32.5K shares
94.1¢→97.8¢
$30.6K
$32.5K
$31.8K
+$1.2K (+4.0%)

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 84.1¢33.1K shares
84.1¢→88.5¢
$27.8K
$33.1K
$29.3K
+$1.5K (+5.3%)
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?
No 97.8¢27.7K shares
97.8¢→99.2¢
$27.1K
$27.7K
$27.5K
+$362.32 (+1.3%)

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
No 89.2¢25.9K shares
89.2¢→97.7¢
$23.1K
$25.9K
$25.3K
+$2.2K (+9.4%)

Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 94.4¢22.8K shares
94.4¢→99¢
$21.6K
$22.8K
$22.6K
+$1.0K (+4.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
Yes 99.9¢15.0K shares
99.9¢→100.0¢
$15.0K
$15.0K
$15.0K
+$12.51 (+0.1%)

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
No 89.0¢11.8K shares
89.0¢→94.5¢
$10.5K
$11.8K
$11.1K
+$650.31 (+6.2%)

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
No 94.0¢10.6K shares
94.0¢→95.6¢
$10.0K
$10.6K
$10.2K
+$165.51 (+1.7%)

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Yes 87.7¢11.1K shares
87.7¢→91.5¢
$9.7K
$11.1K
$10.1K
+$417.55 (+4.3%)

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
No 52.7¢14.0K shares
52.7¢→72.5¢
$7.4K
$14.0K
$10.1K
+$2.8K (+37.5%)

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
No 97.4¢9.0K shares
97.4¢→99.4¢
$8.7K
$9.0K
$8.9K
+$183.56 (+2.1%)

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
No 91.9¢8.4K shares
91.9¢→95.5¢
$7.7K
$8.4K
$8.0K
+$299.48 (+3.9%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No 95.3¢7.5K shares
95.3¢→99.0¢
$7.1K
$7.5K
$7.4K
+$271.30 (+3.8%)

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 97.7¢5.8K shares
97.7¢→97.4¢
$5.7K
$5.8K
$5.6K
−$20.10 (-0.4%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 51.0¢7.5K shares
51.0¢→61.5¢
$3.8K
$7.5K
$4.6K
+$787.57 (+20.6%)

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No 84.6¢5.0K shares
84.6¢→90.5¢
$4.2K
$5.0K
$4.5K
+$294.61 (+7.0%)

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
No 85.5¢4.0K shares
85.5¢→86.5¢
$3.4K
$4.0K
$3.5K
+$38.45 (+1.1%)

Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 87.8¢3.7K shares
87.8¢→93¢
$3.2K
$3.7K
$3.4K
+$193.16 (+6.0%)

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
No 91.3¢3.0K shares
91.3¢→89.5¢
$2.7K
$3.0K
$2.7K
−$55.05 (-2.0%)

Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Yes 13¢20.8K shares
13¢→12.5¢
$2.7K
$20.8K
$2.6K
−$103.84 (-3.8%)

Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 90¢2.5K shares
90¢→98.2¢
$2.3K
$2.5K
$2.5K
+$207.42 (+9.1%)

Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 92.8¢2.6K shares
92.8¢→94.5¢
$2.4K
$2.6K
$2.5K
+$44.96 (+1.9%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
No 93¢2.5K shares
93¢→94.5¢
$2.3K
$2.5K
$2.4K
+$37.57 (+1.6%)

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
No 88.8¢2.5K shares
88.8¢→93.8¢
$2.2K
$2.5K
$2.3K
+$124.52 (+5.7%)

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
No 90.3¢2.4K shares
90.3¢→96.0¢
$2.1K
$2.4K
$2.3K
+$132.65 (+6.2%)

Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
No 94.0¢2.1K shares
94.0¢→98.9¢
$2.0K
$2.1K
$2.1K
+$103.59 (+5.1%)

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
No 93¢2.2K shares
93¢→95.5¢
$2.0K
$2.2K
$2.1K
+$53.96 (+2.7%)

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No 86.2¢2.1K shares
86.2¢→96.2¢
$1.8K
$2.1K
$2.0K
+$210.45 (+11.7%)

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
No 93.9¢2.1K shares
93.9¢→96.5¢
$1.9K
$2.1K
$2.0K
+$53.25 (+2.8%)

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No 92.5¢2.0K shares
92.5¢→95.5¢
$1.8K
$2.0K
$1.9K
+$60.01 (+3.2%)

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No 94¢2.0K shares
94¢→94.8¢
$1.9K
$2.0K
$1.9K
+$15.00 (+0.8%)

Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No 89.8¢1.8K shares
89.8¢→95¢
$1.6K
$1.8K
$1.7K
+$94.12 (+5.7%)

Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 91.6¢1.7K shares
91.6¢→96.7¢
$1.5K
$1.7K
$1.6K
+$83.75 (+5.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?
Yes 99.8¢1.4K shares
99.8¢→100.0¢
$1.4K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$2.11 (+0.2%)

Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 64.8¢2.1K shares
64.8¢→59.5¢
$1.4K
$2.1K
$1.3K
−$111.77 (-8.1%)

Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
No 84.6¢1.4K shares
84.6¢→90.0¢
$1.2K
$1.4K
$1.2K
+$75.15 (+6.5%)

Waymo IPO before 2027?
No 80.2¢1.1K shares
80.2¢→96.6¢
$859.09
$1.1K
$1.0K
+$175.44 (+20.4%)

Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
No 93.2¢1.0K shares
93.2¢→95.5¢
$970.88
$1.0K
$994.12
+$23.24 (+2.4%)

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No 93¢1.0K shares
93¢→91.5¢
$930.14
$1.0K
$915.14
−$15.00 (-1.6%)

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes 44.1¢2.4K shares
44.1¢→37.5¢
$1.1K
$2.4K
$906.29
−$159.31 (-15.0%)

Will Dreamcash launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 96.8¢910.9 shares
96.8¢→98.6¢
$881.64
$910.86
$898.11
+$16.47 (+1.9%)

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
No 79.8¢1.0K shares
79.8¢→85¢
$799.78
$1.0K
$851.37
+$51.58 (+6.4%)

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes 62.5¢1.2K shares
62.5¢→59.5¢
$734.05
$1.2K
$698.98
−$35.08 (-4.8%)

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No 92¢646.4 shares
92¢→96.8¢
$594.65
$646.36
$625.35
+$30.70 (+5.2%)

Will Rabby launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 98.0¢543.8 shares
98.0¢→98.5¢
$532.93
$543.84
$535.41
+$2.48 (+0.5%)

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
No 89.9¢437.7 shares
89.9¢→95.5¢
$393.44
$437.74
$418.04
+$24.60 (+6.3%)

Will QFEX launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 96¢421.5 shares
96¢→97.7¢
$404.61
$421.47
$411.78
+$7.16 (+1.8%)
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Yes 97¢295.8 shares
97¢→97.8¢
$286.97
$295.84
$289.19
+$2.22 (+0.8%)

Will BP be acquired before 2027?
No 94¢287.6 shares
94¢→96.7¢
$270.33
$287.58
$277.95
+$7.62 (+2.8%)

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
No 90¢261.7 shares
90¢→92.5¢
$235.51
$261.68
$242.05
+$6.54 (+2.8%)

Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 92¢250 shares
92¢→92¢
$230.00
$250.00
$230.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)

Obama arrested before 2027?
No 93¢202.8 shares
93¢→96.7¢
$188.60
$202.79
$196.00
+$7.40 (+3.9%)
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 75.0¢219.9 shares
75.0¢→85¢
$164.84
$219.87
$186.89
+$22.05 (+13.4%)

Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?
No 84¢201.6 shares
84¢→85.5¢
$169.32
$201.57
$172.34
+$3.02 (+1.8%)

Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?
No 81.9¢173.3 shares
81.9¢→92.5¢
$141.98
$173.34
$160.34
+$18.36 (+12.9%)

Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?
No 96¢148.6 shares
96¢→99.3¢
$142.63
$148.57
$147.53
+$4.90 (+3.4%)

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?
No 78.9¢91.4 shares
78.9¢→88.5¢
$72.11
$91.39
$80.88
+$8.77 (+12.2%)

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 85¢83.5 shares
85¢→89.5¢
$70.96
$83.48
$74.71
+$3.76 (+5.3%)

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No 88.9¢77.6 shares
88.9¢→95.5¢
$69.00
$77.61
$74.12
+$5.11 (+7.4%)

Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by September 30, 2026?
No 92.4¢72.4 shares
92.4¢→82.0¢
$66.89
$72.38
$59.32
−$7.57 (-11.3%)

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
No 93¢60 shares
93¢→95.5¢
$55.81
$60.01
$57.31
+$1.50 (+2.7%)

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No 91.5¢57.1 shares
91.5¢→93.2¢
$52.25
$57.10
$53.19
+$0.94 (+1.8%)

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
No 91¢53.6 shares
91¢→96.5¢
$48.76
$53.58
$51.71
+$2.95 (+6.0%)

Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 98.2¢32.8 shares
98.2¢→98.4¢
$32.20
$32.79
$32.25
+$0.05 (+0.2%)

Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2026?
No 89.3¢37.4 shares
89.3¢→76.5¢
$33.40
$37.42
$28.63
−$4.77 (-14.3%)
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢14.1 shares
84¢→90.5¢
$11.81
$14.06
$12.72
+$0.91 (+7.7%)

