Umaroth

Joined May 2025

Total earnings

$29,882.88

1D

−$40.54

7D

$1.9K

30D

$883.04

90D

$8.4K

Total volume

$12.03M

Predictions

3,451

Positions value

$14.5K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$17.8K

LP+$10.2K

Maker+$1.7K

Yield+$12.99

Taker+$4.26

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 60.3¢3.0K shares

60.3¢→59.1¢

−$36.64 (-2.0%)

Iran leadership change by July 31?

No 95.7¢1.6K shares

95.7¢→98.0¢

+$36.83 (+2.4%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Yes 39.2¢3.9K shares

39.2¢→39.5¢

+$11.08 (+0.7%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

No 86¢1.2K shares

−$18.00 (-1.7%)

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Yes 12.1¢8.0K shares

12.1¢→11.5¢

−$45.42 (-4.7%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 30.4¢2.9K shares

30.4¢→31.4¢

+$27.09 (+3.1%)

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 24.6¢3.1K shares

24.6¢→27.0¢

+$73.16 (+9.6%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?

No 91.2¢1.2K shares

91.2¢→68.3¢

−$271.91 (-25.1%)

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

No 61.4¢1.0K shares

61.4¢→77.5¢

+$167.43 (+26.1%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 79.0¢1.0K shares

79.0¢→76.5¢

−$25.00 (-3.2%)

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

No 71.1¢873 shares

71.1¢→73.5¢

+$21.00 (+3.4%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?

Yes 82¢593.3 shares

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?

No 99¢500 shares

−$5.00 (-1.0%)

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?

Yes 57.6¢1.0K shares

−$146.00 (-25.3%)

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Yes 39¢1.0K shares

−$5.05 (-1.3%)

Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during Michigan remarks?

Yes 79¢324.8 shares

Iran full airspace closure by August 31?

Yes 49.5¢622 shares

−$96.37 (-31.3%)

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

No 10.0¢2.2K shares

−$77.16 (-35.0%)

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31

No 45¢181.8 shares

+$42.73 (+52.2%)

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?

Yes 53¢177.9 shares

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?

No 19¢1.5K shares

−$221.25 (-77.6%)

Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?

No 33¢122.2 shares

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

Yes 17¢191.3 shares

+$5.74 (+17.6%)

Will Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?

Yes 13.8¢623.1 shares

−$61.11 (-71.0%)

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

Yes 42¢88.9 shares

−$12.89 (-34.5%)

Will Trump say "Air Force" or "Space Force" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?

Yes 80¢30 shares

Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?

No 46¢40 shares

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Yes 49¢114.3 shares

−$41.16 (-73.5%)

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

Yes 42¢10 shares

+$0.95 (+22.6%)

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

No 63¢6 shares

+$0.75 (+19.8%)

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 24.7¢30 shares

−$7.40 (-99.8%)

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51¢112.7 shares

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during remarks in Georgia?

Yes 13¢251.4 shares

Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 63¢50.3 shares

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

No 53¢104.1 shares

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

No 8.9¢460.7 shares

Will Kylian Mbappe score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 44¢8.9 shares

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 6¢7.4 shares

Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during White House Correspondents Dinner?

Yes 19¢255.8 shares

Will Trump say "Fake News" during remarks in Georgia?

No 26¢28.1 shares

Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 65.8¢306.3 shares

Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?

No 21¢50 shares

Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?

No 48.1¢720.8 shares

Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?

Yes 57.0¢691.9 shares

Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Yes 19¢18.4 shares

Will Trump say "Ronaldo" or "Messi" or "Pele" during June 24 Rally?

Yes 8¢68.6 shares

Will Kenan Yıldız score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36¢668 shares

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 50.5¢750 shares

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Yes 44¢1,000 shares

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 24¢778 shares

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7¢6.0K shares

Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goals

Yes 4¢1.3K shares

Will the announcers say "Corner" 12+ times during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 72¢85 shares

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?

No 63.0¢1.0K shares

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Côte dIvoire 37¢1.1K shares

World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

No 72.2¢79.2 shares

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

No 30¢1.0K shares

Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?

No 49¢1.5K shares

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?

No 61¢17.7 shares

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8¢5.0K shares

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 40¢140.2 shares

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

England 55.0¢1.5K shares

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

No 10¢4.4 shares