Total earnings
$300,945.13
1D
−$297.03
7D
−$1.4K
30D
$184.1K
90D
$187.5K
Total volume
$12.18M
Predictions
2,072
Positions value
$54.5K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$297.4K
LP+$2.8K
Maker+$387.51
Yield+$10.96
Referral+$2.11
Taker+$19.54

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 74.1¢13.5K shares
74.1¢→92.9¢
$10.0K
$13.5K
$12.5K
+$2.5K (+25.3%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No 94.1¢8.3K shares
94.1¢→95.7¢
$7.8K
$8.3K
$8.0K
+$129.59 (+1.7%)

Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
No 83.1¢7.3K shares
83.1¢→94.5¢
$6.1K
$7.3K
$6.9K
+$838.27 (+13.7%)

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 45.0¢11.7K shares
45.0¢→58.5¢
$5.3K
$11.7K
$6.8K
+$1.6K (+30.1%)

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 71.4¢6.6K shares
71.4¢→65.5¢
$4.7K
$6.6K
$4.3K
−$388.87 (-8.3%)

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Yes 68.2¢4.0K shares
68.2¢→83.5¢
$2.7K
$4.0K
$3.3K
+$605.43 (+22.4%)

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 62.0¢4.0K shares
62.0¢→56.5¢
$2.5K
$4.0K
$2.3K
−$220.37 (-8.9%)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Yes 37.9¢5.7K shares
37.9¢→26.5¢
$2.2K
$5.7K
$1.5K
−$649.73 (-30.1%)

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Yes 24.4¢7.7K shares
24.4¢→15¢
$1.9K
$7.7K
$1.2K
−$723.69 (-38.5%)

Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 55.2¢1.3K shares
55.2¢→82¢
$727.12
$1.3K
$1.1K
+$353.01 (+48.5%)

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
No 83.5¢1,000 shares
83.5¢→90.5¢
$835.00
$1,000.00
$905.00
+$70.00 (+8.4%)

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by July 31?
Yes 13.1¢8.3K shares
13.1¢→9.5¢
$1.1K
$8.3K
$788.23
−$297.10 (-27.4%)

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes 20.6¢5.8K shares
20.6¢→12.5¢
$1.2K
$5.8K
$722.80
−$471.70 (-39.5%)

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No 45¢1.5K shares
45¢→43.5¢
$675.00
$1.5K
$652.50
−$22.50 (-3.3%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 74.6¢666 shares
74.6¢→80.2¢
$496.82
$665.98
$533.79
+$36.96 (+7.4%)

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
No 6.8¢12.0K shares
6.8¢→4.2¢
$819.49
$12.0K
$504.00
−$315.49 (-38.5%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 4.6¢17.2K shares
4.6¢→2.6¢
$786.65
$17.2K
$446.59
−$340.06 (-43.2%)

Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
Yes 85.1¢322.5 shares
85.1¢→93.5¢
$274.50
$322.47
$301.51
+$27.01 (+9.8%)

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No 90.2¢330.2 shares
90.2¢→89.6¢
$297.82
$330.20
$296.02
−$1.80 (-0.6%)

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
No 96.2¢276.7 shares
96.2¢→97.4¢
$266.27
$276.66
$269.33
+$3.06 (+1.1%)

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Yes 43.3¢1.5K shares
43.3¢→16.5¢
$657.21
$1.5K
$250.42
−$406.78 (-61.9%)

Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No 80¢248.4 shares
80¢→88.9¢
$198.74
$248.43
$220.98
+$22.23 (+11.2%)

Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Yes 17.5¢1.3K shares
17.5¢→16.5¢
$228.60
$1.3K
$215.04
−$13.56 (-5.9%)

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
No 17¢332.6 shares
17¢→35.5¢
$56.53
$332.55
$118.06
+$61.52 (+108.8%)

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 58.2¢119.5 shares
58.2¢→82.0¢
$69.59
$119.51
$97.94
+$28.34 (+40.7%)

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
No 19¢250.7 shares
19¢→25.5¢
$47.63
$250.70
$63.93
+$16.30 (+34.2%)

Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 59.5¢37.9 shares
59.5¢→95.5¢
$22.55
$37.88
$36.19
+$13.64 (+60.5%)

Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Yes 11.9¢801.8 shares
11.9¢→4.4¢
$95.79
$801.78
$35.28
−$60.51 (-63.2%)

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
No 88¢40.4 shares
88¢→86.6¢
$35.54
$40.39
$34.98
−$0.57 (-1.6%)

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 14.0¢3.3K shares
14.0¢→0.7¢
$466.61
$3.3K
$21.66
−$444.94 (-95.4%)

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 12¢150.3 shares
12¢→11.5¢
$18.03
$150.29
$17.28
−$0.75 (-4.2%)

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 3.9¢27.5K shares
3.9¢→0.1¢
$1.1K
$27.5K
$13.76
−$1.1K (-98.7%)

Will John Stevens win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 1.9¢8.6K shares
1.9¢→0.1¢
$164.51
$8.6K
$12.83
−$151.68 (-92.2%)

Will William Clouston win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 1.9¢8.6K shares
1.9¢→0.1¢
$164.51
$8.6K
$12.83
−$151.68 (-92.2%)
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
No 32.4¢4.1K shares
32.4¢→0.3¢
$1.3K
$4.1K
$12.16
−$1.3K (-99.1%)

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
No 80.0¢12 shares
80.0¢→77¢
$9.58
$11.97
$9.22
−$0.36 (-3.7%)

Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 1.9¢8.6K shares
1.9¢→0.1¢
$164.51
$8.6K
$4.28
−$160.24 (-97.4%)

Will Matthew Bensilum win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 1.9¢8.6K shares
1.9¢→0.1¢
$164.51
$8.6K
$4.28
−$160.24 (-97.4%)

Will Giles Watling win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 1.9¢8.6K shares
1.9¢→0.1¢
$164.51
$8.6K
$4.28
−$160.24 (-97.4%)

Will Natasha Osben win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 1.9¢8.6K shares
1.9¢→0.1¢
$164.51
$8.6K
$4.28
−$160.24 (-97.4%)

Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 1.9¢8.6K shares
1.9¢→0.1¢
$164.51
$8.6K
$4.28
−$160.24 (-97.4%)

Will Tony Mack win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 1.9¢8.6K shares
1.9¢→0.1¢
$164.51
$8.6K
$4.28
−$160.24 (-97.4%)

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No 48.8¢11.1 shares
48.8¢→33.5¢
$5.41
$11.09
$3.71
−$1.70 (-31.4%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 8¢3.0K shares
8¢→0.1¢
$240.15
$3.0K
$1.50
−$238.65 (-99.4%)
Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Yes 10.6¢940.4 shares
10.6¢→0.1¢
$99.40
$940.43
$1.41
−$97.99 (-98.6%)
Will Trump say "Interfere" or "Interference" during Speech to the Nation?
No 28.3¢628.6 shares
28.3¢→0¢
$178.18
$628.60
Lost
Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?
No 10¢2.2K shares
10¢→0¢
$222.20
$2.2K
Lost

