Outsid3rTrading
Flex cardJoined November 2024
Total earnings
$101,291.75
1D
−$1.5K
7D
$14.1K
30D
$35.8K
90D
$170.3K
Total volume
$10.05M
Predictions
1,553
Positions value
$371.1K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$95.9K
LP+$1.4K
Maker+$3.8K
Yield+$1.2K
Taker+$82.65
Fees−$1.2K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 50¢70.0K shares
50¢→79.8¢
$35.0K
$70.0K
$55.8K
+$20.8K (+59.5%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 90¢30.0K shares
90¢→90.5¢
$27.0K
$30.0K
$27.1K
+$150.00 (+0.6%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81.1¢35.0K shares
81.1¢→76.5¢
$28.4K
$35.0K
$26.8K
−$1.6K (-5.7%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 82.7¢30.0K shares
82.7¢→85.5¢
$24.8K
$30.0K
$25.6K
+$850.26 (+3.4%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 99.4¢20.0K shares
99.4¢→99.4¢
$19.9K
$20.0K
$19.9K
−$10.00 (-0.1%)
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 83.0¢20.0K shares
83.0¢→85.5¢
$16.6K
$20.0K
$17.1K
+$500.02 (+3.0%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 50¢70.0K shares
50¢→20.3¢
$35.0K
$70.0K
$14.2K
−$20.8K (-59.5%)
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 92.6¢13.2K shares
92.6¢→95.8¢
$12.3K
$13.2K
$12.7K
+$420.83 (+3.4%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 56.8¢20.0K shares
56.8¢→62.5¢
$11.4K
$20.0K
$12.5K
+$1.1K (+10.0%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
No 91.9¢10.6K shares
91.9¢→99.5¢
$9.8K
$10.6K
$10.6K
+$806.00 (+8.2%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
No 95¢10.0K shares
95¢→99.7¢
$9.5K
$10.0K
$10.0K
+$465.00 (+4.9%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 87.7¢11.1K shares
87.7¢→87.5¢
$9.8K
$11.1K
$9.7K
−$21.86 (-0.2%)
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No 92¢10.0K shares
92¢→95.8¢
$9.2K
$10.0K
$9.6K
+$375.00 (+4.1%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 92¢10.0K shares
92¢→94.5¢
$9.2K
$10.0K
$9.4K
+$250.00 (+2.7%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 91¢10.0K shares
91¢→91.5¢
$9.1K
$10.0K
$9.1K
+$50.00 (+0.5%)
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
No 50.8¢8.3K shares
50.8¢→100.0¢
$4.2K
$8.3K
$8.3K
+$4.1K (+96.8%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 95.2¢10.0K shares
95.2¢→79.1¢
$9.5K
$10.0K
$7.9K
−$1.6K (-16.9%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 93¢7.0K shares
93¢→93.5¢
$6.5K
$7.0K
$6.5K
+$35.00 (+0.5%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
No 87¢6.0K shares
87¢→94.5¢
$5.2K
$6.0K
$5.7K
+$450.00 (+8.6%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 62¢8.0K shares
62¢→69.0¢
$5.0K
$8.0K
$5.5K
+$559.20 (+11.3%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 81.6¢9.0K shares
81.6¢→60.5¢
$7.3K
$9.0K
$5.4K
−$1.9K (-25.9%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 78¢6.0K shares
78¢→88¢
$4.7K
$6.0K
$5.3K
+$600.00 (+12.8%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 75¢5.5K shares
75¢→93.5¢
$4.1K
$5.5K
$5.1K
+$1.0K (+24.7%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
No 95.9¢5.0K shares
95.9¢→99.3¢
$4.8K
$5.0K
$5.0K
+$167.96 (+3.5%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 83.7¢6.1K shares
83.7¢→78.6¢
$5.1K
$6.1K
$4.8K
−$309.19 (-6.1%)
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
No 79.0¢7.0K shares
79.0¢→68.0¢
$5.5K
$7.0K
$4.8K
−$775.48 (-14.0%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Yes 79.1¢7.0K shares
79.1¢→65.5¢
$5.5K
$7.0K
$4.6K
−$954.85 (-17.2%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 76¢5.0K shares
76¢→77.5¢
$3.8K
$5.0K
$3.9K
+$75.00 (+2.0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 48¢8.0K shares
48¢→44.5¢
$3.8K
$8.0K
$3.6K
−$280.00 (-7.3%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 38.7¢8.2K shares
38.7¢→37.9¢
$3.2K
$8.2K
$3.1K
−$70.06 (-2.2%)
Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 95¢3.0K shares
95¢→98.3¢
$2.9K
$3.0K
$2.9K
+$99.00 (+3.5%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 75¢3.0K shares
75¢→91.5¢
$2.2K
$3.0K
$2.7K
+$489.72 (+22.0%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
No 65¢3.0K shares
65¢→73¢
$1.9K
$3.0K
$2.2K
+$239.99 (+12.3%)
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 82.2¢2.5K shares
82.2¢→80.5¢
$2.1K
$2.5K
$2.0K
−$42.49 (-2.1%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
No 64¢4.0K shares
64¢→48.5¢
$2.6K
$4.0K
$1.9K
−$620.00 (-24.2%)
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
No 77¢3.0K shares
77¢→58.5¢
$2.3K
$3.0K
$1.8K
−$555.00 (-24.0%)
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes 77.2¢2.0K shares
77.2¢→72.8¢
$1.5K
$2.0K
$1.5K
−$88.00 (-5.7%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 24¢6.0K shares
24¢→23.6¢
$1.4K
$6.0K
$1.4K
−$21.00 (-1.5%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Yes 33¢5.0K shares
33¢→25.5¢
$1.6K
$5.0K
$1.3K
−$375.00 (-22.7%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 17.1¢9.5K shares
17.1¢→12.6¢
$1.6K
$9.5K
$1.2K
−$434.29 (-26.6%)
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes 38¢2.0K shares
38¢→53.5¢
$760.00
$2.0K
$1.1K
+$310.00 (+40.8%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 16¢6.0K shares
16¢→15.5¢
$960.00
$6.0K
$930.00
−$30.00 (-3.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes 24¢2.0K shares
24¢→27.5¢
$480.00
$2.0K
$550.00
+$70.00 (+14.6%)
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
No 38¢2.0K shares
38¢→2.1¢
$759.99
$2.0K
$41.00
−$718.99 (-94.6%)
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)
Thomas Petersen 37¢5.0K shares
37¢→0¢
$1.8K
$5.0K
Lost