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Sardinianshepherd
Joined July 2024
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$86,853.94
1D
$3.6K
7D
$4.3K
30D
$3.8K
90D
$6.8K
Total volume
$4.11M
Predictions
1,668
Positions value
$10.6K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$85.4K
LP
+$1,159.44
Maker
+$299.34
Yield
+$17.82
Taker
+$19.84
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 100.0¢
4.0K shares
Share
90.0¢
→
100.0¢
$3.6K
$4.0K
$4.0K
+$398.00
(+11.1%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 36¢
7.9K shares
Share
66.1¢
→
36¢
$5.2K
$7.9K
$2.8K
−$2.4K
(-45.5%)
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No 88¢
2.0K shares
Share
84.0¢
→
88¢
$1.7K
$2.0K
$1.8K
+$80.03
(+4.8%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 86.5¢
1.0K shares
Share
87¢
→
86.5¢
$870.00
$1.0K
$864.50
−$5.50
(-0.6%)
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Yes 38¢
1.7K shares
Share
25¢
→
38¢
$427.89
$1.7K
$650.39
+$222.50
(+52.0%)
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 87.1¢
425 shares
Share
73.1¢
→
87.1¢
$310.65
$425.04
$370.00
+$59.35
(+19.1%)
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?
Yes 3.5¢
890.4 shares
Share
10.3¢
→
3.5¢
$91.74
$890.43
$30.72
−$61.02
(-66.5%)
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 95.3¢
29 shares
Share
76¢
→
95.3¢
$22.04
$29.00
$27.65
+$5.61
(+25.5%)
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 65.6¢
32 shares
Share
73.6¢
→
65.6¢
$23.56
$32.00
$20.99
−$2.57
(-10.9%)
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
Yes 3.1¢
266.2 shares
Share
76.7¢
→
3.1¢
$204.18
$266.17
$8.38
−$195.80
(-95.9%)
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
No 96.8¢
6.7 shares
Share
79¢
→
96.8¢
$5.32
$6.73
$6.51
+$1.20
(+22.5%)
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?
Yes 0¢
4.7K shares
Share
78.3¢
→
0¢
$3.6K
$4.7K
Lost
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
9.6K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$153.90
$9.6K
Lost
Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
Yes 0¢
613.8 shares
Share
73.8¢
→
0¢
$452.77
$613.82
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Yes 0¢
4.0K shares
Share
15.6¢
→
0¢
$622.03
$4.0K
Lost
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
1.0K shares
Share
7.9¢
→
0¢
$79.00
$1.0K
Lost
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Yes 0¢
600 shares
Share
34¢
→
0¢
$204.00
$600.00
Lost
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
No 0¢
500 shares
Share
91¢
→
0¢
$455.00
$500.00
Lost
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
No 0¢
500 shares
Share
47¢
→
0¢
$235.00
$500.00
Lost
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?
Yes 0¢
370.2 shares
Share
46.0¢
→
0¢
$170.20
$370.16
Lost
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Yes 0¢
671.8 shares
Share
93¢
→
0¢
$624.76
$671.79
Lost
Will "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
Yes 0¢
2.5K shares
Share
15.3¢
→
0¢
$385.96
$2.5K
Lost
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
10.0K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$161.44
$10.0K
Lost
Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?
No 0¢
321.1 shares
Share
70.5¢
→
0¢
$226.23
$321.08
Lost
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
Yes 0¢
5.4K shares
Share
0.3¢
→
0¢
$16.77
$5.4K
Lost
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes 0¢
800 shares
Share
13.2¢
→
0¢
$105.78
$800.00
Lost
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Yes 0¢
57.1 shares
Share
58.1¢
→
0¢
$33.15
$57.05
Lost
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Yes 0¢
1.3K shares
Share
20.8¢
→
0¢
$270.00
$1.3K
Lost
Will Sophia Chikirou advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
No 0¢
123 shares
Share
12.9¢
→
0¢
$15.91
$123.00
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
Yes 0¢
280.1 shares
Share
10.6¢
→
0¢
$29.78
$280.05
Lost
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
No 0¢
460 shares
Share
24¢
→
0¢
$110.40
$460.00
Lost
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
13.6¢
→
0¢
$68.00
$500.00
Lost
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?
No 0¢
200 shares
Share
76¢
→
0¢
$151.99
$199.99
Lost
Will valid votes be between 5.8-6 million in Bolivia election?
Yes 0¢
700.5 shares
Share
21.0¢
→
0¢
$147.44
$700.50
Lost
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 75% and 78%?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
2¢
→
0¢
$10.00
$500.00
Lost
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Yes 0¢
1.1K shares
Share
20.9¢
→
0¢
$240.09
$1.1K
Lost
Will Bernie Sanders say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Fighting Oligarchy speech on August 24?
Yes 0¢
300 shares
Share
6.1¢
→
0¢
$18.30
$299.97
Lost
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?
Yes 0¢
159.5 shares
Share
26.1¢
→
0¢
$41.69
$159.54
Lost
Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0¢
879.5 shares
Share
2.8¢
→
0¢
$24.19
$879.46
Lost
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
13.0K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$208.39
$13.0K
Lost
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
No 0¢
3.7K shares
Share
8.4¢
→
0¢
$307.28
$3.7K
Lost
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?
Yes 0¢
70.1 shares
Share
84¢
→
0¢
$58.86
$70.07
Lost
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
No 0¢
250 shares
Share
42¢
→
0¢
$105.00
$250.00
Lost
Will Katy Perry rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Yes 0¢
1.5K shares
Share
4.0¢
→
0¢
$61.10
$1.5K
Lost
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Yes 0¢
193.5 shares
Share
66.8¢
→
0¢
$129.37
$193.50
Lost
Will Andrea Paccagnella win the 2026 Selvazzano Dentro by-election?
Yes 0¢
151.4 shares
Share
1.2¢
→
0¢
$1.77
$151.41
Lost
Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 5–10%?
Yes 0¢
171 shares
Share
14.0¢
→
0¢
$23.94
$170.99
Lost
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
13.0K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$208.39
$13.0K
Lost
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
No 0¢
1.2K shares
Share
59.3¢
→
0¢
$710.96
$1.2K
Lost
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Switzerland by November 30?
No 0¢
55.2 shares
Share
56.4¢
→
0¢
$31.11
$55.18
Lost
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
328 shares
Share
4.4¢
→
0¢
$14.52
$327.98
Lost
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
No 0¢
690.6 shares
Share
5.5¢
→
0¢
$37.92
$690.58
Lost
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
No 0¢
700 shares
Share
29.0¢
→
0¢
$203.00
$700.00
Lost
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
24.3¢
→
0¢
$121.67
$500.00
Lost
Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?
Yes 0¢
370 shares
Share
25.5¢
→
0¢
$94.50
$370.00
Lost
Will the red bloc win between 90 and 92 seats in the Norwegian election?
Yes 0¢
50 shares
Share
27¢
→
0¢
$13.50
$50.00
Lost
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Yes 0¢
212.7 shares
Share
16.9¢
→
0¢
$35.86
$212.72
Lost
Christian Democratic Party (KrF) wins 4% or more of vote in Norwegian election?
No 0¢
42.1 shares
Share
31¢
→
0¢
$13.04
$42.07
Lost
Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?
No 0¢
11.3 shares
Share
15.0¢
→
0¢
$1.69
$11.26
Lost
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes 0¢
2.5K shares
Share
9.9¢
→
0¢
$245.60
$2.5K
Lost
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
13.0K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$208.39
$13.0K
Lost
Will a dozen eggs be below $3.50 in June?
Yes 0¢
284 shares
Share
11¢
→
0¢
$31.24
$284.00
Lost
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Yes 0¢
650 shares
Share
11.5¢
→
0¢
$74.68
$649.99
Lost
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
10.0K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$164.92
$10.0K
Lost
Will voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No 0¢
262 shares
Share
60¢
→
0¢
$157.20
$262.00
Lost
Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Yes 0¢
1.1K shares
Share
1.4¢
→
0¢
$15.49
$1.1K
Lost
Will Luigi Petrone win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?
Yes 0¢
1.2K shares
Share
15.3¢
→
0¢
$190.83
$1.2K
Lost
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
Yes 0¢
277 shares
Share
98.9¢
→
0¢
$273.93
$277.00
Lost
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
Yes 0¢
200 shares
Share
88¢
→
0¢
$176.00
$200.00
Lost
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
10.5K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$172.17
$10.5K
Lost
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Yes 0¢
1.0K shares
Share
0.5¢
→
0¢
$5.00
$1.0K
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Yes 0¢
1.4K shares
Share
10.7¢
→
0¢
$149.25
$1.4K
Lost
Will Israel strike 1 country in November 2025?
Yes 0¢
414.7 shares
Share
94.5¢
→
0¢
$391.87
$414.71
Lost
Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0¢
836.5 shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0¢
$15.25
$836.46
Lost
Will Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Yes 0¢
882.7 shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0¢
$6.08
$882.74
Lost
Will "Skyscraper Live" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
No 0¢
44.8 shares
Share
81.3¢
→
0¢
$36.44
$44.82
Lost
Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
Yes 0¢
226.7 shares
Share
72.0¢
→
0¢
$163.32
$226.65
Lost
Will Andrew Cuomo win Queens in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Yes 0¢
241.9 shares
Share
78.6¢
→
0¢
$190.12
$241.92
Lost
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
No 0¢
150 shares
Share
20.3¢
→
0¢
$30.50
$150.00
Lost
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
18.3K shares
Share
2.4¢
→
0¢
$445.76
$18.3K
Lost
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 0¢
2.5K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$39.00
$2.5K
Lost
Will Super Bowl LX have between 132M and 136M viewers?
Yes 0¢
326.2 shares
Share
14.8¢
→
0¢
$48.20
$326.24
Lost
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
6.6K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$106.47
$6.6K
Lost
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?
No 0¢
200 shares
Share
95.3¢
→
0¢
$190.59
$199.99
Lost
Will André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?
No 0¢
200.1 shares
Share
76¢
→
0¢
$152.05
$200.06
Lost
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Yes 0¢
152.8 shares
Share
55.9¢
→
0¢
$85.33
$152.77
Lost
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
No 0¢
822.2 shares
Share
44.2¢
→
0¢
$363.54
$822.22
Lost
Israel strikes Syria by Friday?
Yes 0¢
88.1 shares
Share
8¢
→
0¢
$7.04
$88.05
Lost
Will Evelyn Matthei come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Yes 0¢
100 shares
Share
15.1¢
→
0¢
$15.10
$100.00
Lost
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Yes 0¢
1.0K shares
Share
7.0¢
→
0¢
$72.58
$1.0K
Lost
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
No 0¢
1.2K shares
Share
81.6¢
→
0¢
$978.99
$1.2K
Lost
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Yes 0¢
3.0K shares
Share
10.1¢
→
0¢
$303.22
$3.0K
Lost
Greg Bovino fired/resigns by March 31?
No 0¢
35 shares
Share
83¢
→
0¢
$29.05
$35.00
Lost
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 78% and 80%?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
3¢
→
0¢
$15.00
$500.00
Lost
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be less than 75%?
Yes 0¢
500 shares
Share
3.4¢
→
0¢
$17.00
$500.00
Lost
Will MrBeast raise $50m or more by midnight?
Yes 0¢
400 shares
Share
6¢
→
0¢
$24.00
$400.00
Lost
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
No 0¢
1,000 shares
Share
58.0¢
→
0¢
$580.00
$1,000.00
Lost
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Yes 0¢
1,000 shares
Share
1.1¢
→
0¢
$11.00
$999.99
Lost
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 0¢
13.0K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$208.39
$13.0K
Lost
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
Yes 0¢
1.1K shares
Share
21.3¢
→
0¢
$232.20
$1.1K
Lost
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