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PolyScalping

DerDon

Joined February 2025

Total earnings

$127,608.13
1D
$3.0K
7D
$3.0K
30D
$9.4K
90D
$23.0K
Total volume
$13.46M
Predictions
4,147
Positions value
$91.5K
Performance
+$107.1K
+$17.9K
+$2,468.79
+$98.82
+$119.17
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
No 88.5¢9.8K shares
$8.7K
+$1.7K (+23.7%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
No 68.5¢12.6K shares
$8.6K
+$661.36 (+8.3%)
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
No 27.5¢19.3K shares
$5.3K
−$496.55 (-8.6%)
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?
No 86¢3.5K shares
$3.0K
+$250.60 (+9.0%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Yes 85.4¢3.5K shares
$3.0K
−$231.00 (-7.2%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
No 43¢6.8K shares
$2.9K
−$359.78 (-11.0%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 97.2¢3.0K shares
$2.9K
+$105.84 (+3.8%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes 39.4¢7.4K shares
$2.9K
−$795.92 (-21.5%)
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 81.5¢2.9K shares
$2.4K
+$1.5K (+160.3%)
Will AfD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
No 95.5¢2.4K shares
$2.3K
−$6.04 (-0.3%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
No 96¢2.4K shares
$2.3K
+$73.16 (+3.3%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
No 92.2¢2.5K shares
$2.3K
−$115.44 (-4.9%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No 55.5¢4.0K shares
$2.2K
−$524.02 (-19.1%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?
No 66¢3.3K shares
$2.2K
+$81.91 (+3.9%)
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?
No 78¢2.7K shares
$2.1K
+$464.02 (+28.3%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
No 33.5¢6.1K shares
$2.0K
−$673.38 (-24.7%)
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
No 96.5¢2.0K shares
$1.9K
+$311.66 (+19.3%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
No 78¢2.4K shares
$1.9K
+$790.64 (+71.7%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No 90.5¢2.1K shares
$1.9K
+$325.85 (+21.2%)
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
No 88¢2.0K shares
$1.8K
+$65.01 (+3.8%)
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026?
No 94.5¢1.4K shares
$1.3K
+$129.76 (+10.8%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 86.4¢1.5K shares
$1.3K
+$821.60 (+173.4%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 96.7¢1.2K shares
$1.2K
+$202.08 (+20.3%)
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?
No 61¢1.7K shares
$1.0K
+$439.01 (+77.1%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% by June 30, 2027?
No 90¢1.1K shares
$972.97
+$60.62 (+6.6%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 96.9¢1.0K shares
$970.17
+$128.72 (+15.3%)
Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
No 46¢2.0K shares
$915.34
−$66.43 (-6.8%)
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
No 58.5¢1.5K shares
$903.98
−$68.84 (-7.1%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 32% by June 30, 2027?
No 89.5¢1.0K shares
$903.91
+$74.74 (+9.0%)
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
No 95¢818.4 shares
$777.51
+$32.74 (+4.4%)
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
Yes 35¢2.2K shares
$772.55
+$296.75 (+62.4%)
Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
No 68.5¢1.1K shares
$741.08
−$1.84 (-0.2%)
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
No 98.2¢712.2 shares
$699.38
+$24.22 (+3.6%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 12.7¢5.5K shares
$696.55
+$555.87 (+395.1%)
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?
No 92.8¢696.1 shares
$646.31
+$84.64 (+15.1%)
Will AfD be in the next Berlin state government?
No 97.6¢623 shares
$608.05
+$12.10 (+2.0%)
Will FDP be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
No 98¢600 shares
$588.00
+$21.50 (+3.8%)
Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in November 2026?
No 98.8¢572.6 shares
$565.48
+$147.45 (+35.3%)
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 39.5¢1.4K shares
$550.89
+$70.46 (+14.7%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Yes 14.3¢3.5K shares
$500.29
+$444.32 (+793.8%)
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?
Yes 94.5¢500 shares
$472.50
+$22.50 (+5.0%)
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $423,000 on December 31?
No 99.6¢471.3 shares
$469.45
+$73.77 (+18.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
No 91.5¢500 shares
$457.50
+$37.50 (+8.9%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
No 88¢491 shares
$432.08
+$225.86 (+109.5%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
No 99.0¢401.5 shares
$397.32
+$27.91 (+7.6%)
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 79¢500 shares
$395.00
+$285.00 (+259.1%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% by June 30, 2027?
No 88.5¢431.3 shares
$381.70
+$28.85 (+8.2%)
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?
No 12¢3.2K shares
$379.28
−$169.64 (-30.9%)
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 40¢947.5 shares
$378.99
+$201.50 (+113.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 37¢1.0K shares
$370.01
+$20.00 (+5.7%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?
No 78¢468.8 shares
$365.69
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.3¢10.9K shares
$355.61
+$5.47 (+1.6%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 66¢512.7 shares
$338.41
+$174.33 (+106.2%)
Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
Yes 95.3¢300 shares
$285.90
+$44.18 (+18.3%)
Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 87.2¢320 shares
$279.04
+$14.55 (+5.5%)
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by November 30, 2026?
No 86.5¢300 shares
$259.50
+$10.50 (+4.2%)
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
No 92¢277.6 shares
$255.42
+$8.33 (+3.4%)
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
No 97.3¢258.6 shares
$251.45
+$3.49 (+1.4%)
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
Yes 26¢913.6 shares
$237.53
+$9.14 (+4.0%)
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No 97.2¢219.9 shares
$213.60
+$15.94 (+8.1%)
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?
No 88¢238.1 shares
$209.52
+$71.43 (+51.7%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
No 39.5¢500 shares
$197.50
−$7.50 (-3.7%)
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
No 98.7¢200 shares
$197.40
+$97.40 (+97.4%)
Elon Musk meets with Putin by December 31, 2026?
No 95.5¢200 shares
$191.10
+$24.30 (+14.6%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?
No 28.0¢681.3 shares
$190.76
+$6.08 (+3.3%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
No 63.1¢300 shares
$189.30
+$73.80 (+63.9%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?
No 37.5¢500 shares
$187.50
+$8.50 (+4.7%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?
Yes 5.9¢3.0K shares
$175.50
−$94.50 (-35.0%)
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
No 89¢195 shares
$173.55
+$17.55 (+11.3%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 46% by June 30, 2027?
No 93¢183.2 shares
$170.38
+$5.71 (+3.5%)
Plague pandemic in 2026?
No 98.6¢170.4 shares
$167.95
+$5.54 (+3.4%)
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
No 89.5¢187.2 shares
$167.52
+$14.04 (+9.1%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 80.5¢200 shares
$161.00
+$83.00 (+106.4%)
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?
Yes 28.2¢528.3 shares
$148.98
+$40.60 (+37.5%)
Will BSW be in the next Berlin state government?
No 97.7¢150 shares
$146.48
+$4.00 (+2.8%)
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called by December 31, 2026?
No 86¢168.3 shares
$144.77
−$3.37 (-2.3%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
No 97.9¢144.8 shares
$141.67
+$23.13 (+19.5%)
Will Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
Yes 49.3¢260 shares
$128.05
+$74.91 (+141.0%)
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Something 11.5¢1.1K shares
$120.92
+$15.77 (+15.0%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
No 62.5¢189.7 shares
$118.54
−$6.64 (-5.3%)
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?
No 52.7¢200 shares
$105.40
+$1.60 (+1.5%)
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No 15¢678.2 shares
$101.73
−$203.58 (-66.7%)
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?
No 12.5¢800 shares
$100.00
−$67.00 (-40.1%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% by June 30, 2027?
No 37¢254.8 shares
$94.29
+$11.76 (+14.2%)
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?
No 43¢200 shares
$85.99
+$18.00 (+26.5%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 84.5¢100 shares
$84.50
−$2.50 (-2.9%)
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m?
No 68.5¢104.3 shares
$71.48
+$10.96 (+18.1%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026
Yes 1.4¢5.0K shares
$70.00
−$15.00 (-17.6%)
Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?
No 94.5¢73.7 shares
$69.57
+$10.42 (+17.6%)
Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?
No 23¢300 shares
$69.00
−$6.00 (-8.0%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 67¢100 shares
$67.02
+$15.01 (+28.9%)
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Yes 77¢79.8 shares
$61.42
+$3.19 (+5.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 19.5¢304.7 shares
$59.42
−$30.47 (-33.9%)
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?
Yes 50.1¢107.4 shares
$53.84
+$17.23 (+47.1%)
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 110m and 130m?
Yes 20.5¢256.5 shares
$52.58
+$11.54 (+28.1%)
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?
No 33.5¢147.5 shares
$49.40
−$18.43 (-27.2%)
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?
No 63¢76 shares
$47.90
−$3.04 (-6.0%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% by June 30, 2027?
No 45¢100 shares
$45.00
+$3.00 (+7.1%)
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?
No 73.5¢60 shares
$44.10
+$21.30 (+93.4%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes 19.5¢216.3 shares
$42.18
−$61.65 (-59.4%)