DerDon

Flex card
Joined February 2025

Total earnings

$110,371.36
1D
$5.3K
7D
$7.8K
30D
$16.5K
90D
$34.4K
Total volume
$11.82M
Predictions
3,436
Positions value
$79.8K
Performance
+$97.8K
+$11.8K
+$1.5K
+$97.16
+$22.57
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 55.0¢10.0K shares
$6.9K
+$1.4K (+26.3%)
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes 20.5¢31.9K shares
$6.8K
+$288.69 (+4.4%)
Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 94.7¢6.9K shares
$6.8K
+$229.14 (+3.5%)
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Yes 42.9¢16.8K shares
$6.6K
−$564.70 (-7.9%)
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No 71.3¢7.0K shares
$5.1K
+$152.65 (+3.1%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
No 57.5¢7.2K shares
$4.8K
+$648.98 (+15.7%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
No 37.7¢4.3K shares
$4.2K
+$2.6K (+160.9%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
No 56.4¢4.3K shares
$3.3K
+$903.99 (+37.5%)
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes 53.7¢6.0K shares
$3.2K
−$10.00 (-0.3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 50¢2.8K shares
$2.8K
+$1.4K (+98.5%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
No 54.6¢2.6K shares
$2.6K
+$1.2K (+82.3%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?
Yes 85¢2.9K shares
$2.6K
+$73.57 (+2.9%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?
No 98.3¢2.4K shares
$2.3K
−$6.27 (-0.3%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
No 45.4¢2.7K shares
$2.3K
+$1.1K (+84.9%)
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 95.9¢2.0K shares
$2.0K
+$71.83 (+3.7%)
Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference?
Yes 73.3¢2.4K shares
$1.9K
+$90.62 (+5.1%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Yes 5.3¢30.0K shares
$1.4K
−$189.99 (-11.9%)
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
No 8.7¢20.7K shares
$1.3K
−$449.71 (-25.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 67.8¢1.5K shares
$1.2K
+$191.56 (+18.7%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 80.4¢1.2K shares
$1.1K
+$63.43 (+6.4%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
No 84¢1.0K shares
$936.61
+$95.16 (+11.3%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
No 56.0¢1,000 shares
$934.99
+$375.00 (+67.0%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
No 53¢883.2 shares
$839.03
+$370.94 (+79.2%)
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
No 85.4¢799.7 shares
$583.76
−$98.96 (-14.5%)
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?
No 91.9¢550 shares
$532.68
+$27.18 (+5.4%)
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
No 97.0¢425.8 shares
$420.90
+$7.67 (+1.9%)
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes 15.4¢2.8K shares
$401.72
−$28.68 (-6.7%)
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?
Yes 42.9¢913.5 shares
$397.39
+$5.29 (+1.3%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?
Yes 7.9¢4.5K shares
$384.92
+$29.85 (+8.4%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 70¢500 shares
$347.45
−$2.55 (-0.7%)
Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?
Yes 17.7¢1.6K shares
$316.61
+$28.75 (+10.0%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 37¢1.0K shares
$295.00
−$75.00 (-20.3%)
Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 58.1¢445.6 shares
$274.06
+$15.34 (+5.9%)
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?
No 85¢317.3 shares
$272.88
+$3.17 (+1.2%)
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 50¢447.2 shares
$252.62
+$29.02 (+13.0%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
No 21¢753.1 shares
$252.28
+$94.13 (+59.5%)
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No 89.9¢219.9 shares
$207.22
+$9.56 (+4.8%)
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No 45.0¢678.2 shares
$200.07
−$105.23 (-34.5%)
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
No 50¢200 shares
$177.00
+$77.00 (+77.0%)
Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 52.0¢260 shares
$162.49
+$27.30 (+20.2%)
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 29.4¢396.8 shares
$152.76
+$35.96 (+30.8%)
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?
No 70¢167 shares
$132.77
+$15.86 (+13.6%)
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
No 54¢207 shares
$130.91
+$19.13 (+17.1%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
No 12¢184.8 shares
$125.66
+$103.49 (+466.7%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes 77¢300 shares
$121.50
−$109.50 (-47.4%)
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?
No 61.8¢157 shares
$113.81
+$16.81 (+17.3%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 39¢200 shares
$112.98
+$34.98 (+44.8%)
Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?
No 45.4¢217.2 shares
$106.41
+$7.92 (+8.0%)
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Yes 30.1¢310 shares
$105.40
+$12.10 (+13.0%)
Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?
No 44.2¢193.1 shares
$100.43
+$15.09 (+17.7%)
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?
Yes 71¢100 shares
$99.70
+$28.70 (+40.4%)
Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?
Yes 39¢216.4 shares
$85.49
+$1.08 (+1.3%)
Will Warsh say "Recession" during July Press Conference?
Yes 17¢448.6 shares
$83.00
+$6.73 (+8.8%)
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 45.0¢257.3 shares
$81.04
−$34.71 (-30.0%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 87¢100 shares
$68.99
−$18.01 (-20.7%)
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 94¢68.2 shares
$68.12
+$4.05 (+6.3%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?
Yes 2.4¢210.1 shares
$64.70
+$59.66 (+1183.3%)
Will Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 32¢115 shares
$62.68
+$25.87 (+70.3%)
Will The Left win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Yes 2.2¢1.3K shares
$52.97
+$24.51 (+86.1%)
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
No 24¢179.6 shares
$47.60
+$4.49 (+10.4%)
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 56.6¢108 shares
$47.53
−$13.64 (-22.3%)
Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
No 41¢100 shares
$47.00
+$6.00 (+14.6%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 15¢110.9 shares
$28.62
+$11.98 (+72.0%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?
Yes 14.0¢313.3 shares
$28.20
−$15.67 (-35.7%)
Will Warsh say "Independence" during July Press Conference?
No 56.0¢41.5 shares
$23.86
+$0.62 (+2.7%)
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?
No 22¢60 shares
$16.20
+$3.00 (+22.7%)
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?
Yes 23¢50 shares
$13.75
+$2.25 (+19.6%)
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
No 92¢12.5 shares
$12.04
+$0.54 (+4.7%)
Iran leadership change by September 30?
Yes 11¢100 shares
$12.00
+$1.00 (+9.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 72¢11.4 shares
$6.34
−$1.89 (-22.9%)
Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?
Yes 10¢48 shares
$5.28
+$0.48 (+10.0%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Yes 2.4¢274.1 shares
$4.25
−$2.33 (-35.4%)
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?
Yes 53¢5 shares
$3.78
+$1.12 (+42.4%)
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Yes 5.1¢134.5 shares
$2.22
−$4.71 (-68.0%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Yes 3.5¢377 shares
$1.88
−$11.38 (-85.8%)
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 1.2¢380.6 shares
$1.71
−$2.80 (-62.1%)
Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?
Yes 24¢12 shares
$1.56
−$1.32 (-45.8%)
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes 4.3¢30.8 shares
$1.45
+$0.12 (+9.3%)
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
No 66¢83 shares
$1.33
−$53.45 (-97.6%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Yes 20¢61.3 shares
$1.10
−$11.16 (-91.0%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 4.7¢64.4 shares
$0.35
−$2.67 (-88.3%)
Will MrBeast say "Apple" during his next YouTube video?
No 20¢215 shares
Lost
Will MrBeast say "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next YouTube video?
No 16¢4.5 shares
Lost