Total earnings
−$63,462.97
1D
$4.1K
7D
−$3.4K
30D
$12.9K
90D
−$16.8K
Total volume
$23.37M
Predictions
1,451
Positions value
$291.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$71.6K
LP+$10.2K
Maker+$4.0K
Yield+$46.86
Taker+$315.13
Fees−$7.1K

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 55.9¢86.5K shares
55.9¢→78.6¢
$48.3K
$86.5K
$68.0K
+$19.7K (+40.8%)

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
No 95.5¢41.6K shares
95.5¢→95.7¢
$39.8K
$41.6K
$39.8K
+$51.99 (+0.1%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?
No 98.5¢23.1K shares
98.5¢→98¢
$22.8K
$23.1K
$22.6K
−$119.16 (-0.5%)

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 27.2¢70.2K shares
27.2¢→31.4¢
$19.1K
$70.2K
$22.0K
+$2.9K (+15.3%)

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 94.4¢20.0K shares
94.4¢→95.8¢
$18.9K
$20.0K
$19.2K
+$280.98 (+1.5%)

Iran leadership change by July 31?
No 95.1¢18.4K shares
95.1¢→98.1¢
$17.5K
$18.4K
$18.1K
+$545.28 (+3.1%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 27.7¢75.1K shares
27.7¢→23.6¢
$20.8K
$75.1K
$17.8K
−$3.1K (-14.8%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
No 97.0¢13.2K shares
97.0¢→98.9¢
$12.9K
$13.2K
$13.1K
+$241.98 (+1.9%)

US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 62.6¢16.5K shares
62.6¢→67.5¢
$10.3K
$16.5K
$11.1K
+$802.08 (+7.8%)

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Yes 93.8¢11.2K shares
93.8¢→98.7¢
$10.5K
$11.2K
$11.0K
+$550.08 (+5.2%)

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 23.7¢42.7K shares
23.7¢→25.5¢
$10.1K
$42.7K
$10.9K
+$781.17 (+7.7%)

Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 82.2¢7.7K shares
82.2¢→86.9¢
$6.3K
$7.7K
$6.7K
+$360.03 (+5.7%)

Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
Yes 90.5¢6.0K shares
90.5¢→95.0¢
$5.4K
$6.0K
$5.7K
+$276.03 (+5.1%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
No 88.1¢7.8K shares
88.1¢→69.8¢
$6.9K
$7.8K
$5.4K
−$1.4K (-20.9%)

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 87.3¢4.0K shares
87.3¢→87.5¢
$3.5K
$4.0K
$3.5K
+$6.20 (+0.2%)

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No 84.8¢3.0K shares
84.8¢→94.5¢
$2.5K
$3.0K
$2.8K
+$289.79 (+11.5%)

Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 79.5¢2.2K shares
79.5¢→88.5¢
$1.7K
$2.2K
$1.9K
+$198.09 (+11.4%)

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
No 60.9¢2.8K shares
60.9¢→69.0¢
$1.7K
$2.8K
$1.9K
+$224.69 (+13.3%)

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 2.5¢61.4K shares
2.5¢→2.9¢
$1.5K
$61.4K
$1.8K
+$272.59 (+17.7%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 60.0¢1.7K shares
60.0¢→62.5¢
$1.0K
$1.7K
$1.0K
+$41.82 (+4.2%)

Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 79.6¢1.3K shares
79.6¢→79¢
$1.0K
$1.3K
$1.0K
−$7.84 (-0.8%)

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.7¢66.2K shares
0.7¢→1.5¢
$477.61
$66.2K
$992.68
+$515.07 (+107.8%)

Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by October 31, 2026?
No 89.3¢843.8 shares
89.3¢→98.4¢
$753.12
$843.81
$830.31
+$77.18 (+10.2%)

National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?
Yes 81.8¢794 shares
81.8¢→89¢
$649.35
$793.96
$706.63
+$57.28 (+8.8%)

Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by July 31, 2026?
No 98.8¢595.7 shares
98.8¢→99.6¢
$588.64
$595.66
$593.28
+$4.64 (+0.8%)

Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 73.8¢731.3 shares
73.8¢→73¢
$539.53
$731.30
$533.85
−$5.68 (-1.1%)

French election called by July 31, 2026?
No 99.3¢347.7 shares
99.3¢→99.4¢
$345.14
$347.68
$345.42
+$0.28 (+0.1%)

Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 77.8¢324.8 shares
77.8¢→79¢
$252.73
$324.75
$256.55
+$3.82 (+1.5%)

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
No 71.4¢278 shares
71.4¢→76.5¢
$198.48
$278.05
$212.71
+$14.22 (+7.2%)

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 2.4¢6.2K shares
2.4¢→3.1¢
$148.59
$6.2K
$191.93
+$43.34 (+29.2%)

Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 54¢300 shares
54¢→63¢
$162.00
$300.00
$189.00
+$27.00 (+16.7%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
Yes 81.8¢210.7 shares
81.8¢→83¢
$172.24
$210.66
$174.84
+$2.61 (+1.5%)

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
No 78.0¢204.8 shares
78.0¢→78¢
$159.76
$204.76
$159.71
−$0.05 (-0.0%)

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Yes 77.6¢172.9 shares
77.6¢→87.5¢
$134.17
$172.87
$151.26
+$17.09 (+12.7%)

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 2.9¢8.3K shares
2.9¢→1.8¢
$238.21
$8.3K
$145.35
−$92.87 (-39.0%)
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 87¢114.8 shares
87¢→86.5¢
$99.84
$114.76
$99.27
−$0.57 (-0.6%)

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes 3.8¢6.8K shares
3.8¢→1.5¢
$257.22
$6.8K
$99.22
−$158.00 (-61.4%)

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢40.0K shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$120.00
$40.0K
$60.00
−$60.00 (-50.0%)

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.7¢20.0K shares
0.7¢→0.3¢
$140.00
$20.0K
$50.00
−$90.00 (-64.3%)

Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 9.0¢2.5K shares
9.0¢→1.1¢
$223.13
$2.5K
$28.40
−$194.74 (-87.3%)

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
Yes 99.3¢11.8 shares
99.3¢→99.8¢
$11.68
$11.76
$11.74
+$0.06 (+0.5%)

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 15¢38.5 shares
15¢→16¢
$5.77
$38.50
$6.16
+$0.38 (+6.7%)

Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 17.0¢632.9 shares
17.0¢→0.6¢
$107.49
$632.86
$3.80
−$103.69 (-96.5%)
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 40.4¢11.3K shares
40.4¢→0¢
$4.6K
$11.3K
Lost

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
No 56.0¢125 shares
56.0¢→0¢
$69.99
$124.99
Lost
Will Désiré Doué win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 27.1¢543.8 shares
27.1¢→0¢
$147.57
$543.76
Lost
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 18.9¢1.8K shares
18.9¢→0¢
$342.43
$1.8K
Lost

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Yes 18.3¢7.1K shares
18.3¢→0¢
$1.3K
$7.1K
Lost

Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondar
Elina Avanesyan 69.0¢207.5 shares
69.0¢→0¢
$143.18
$207.51
Lost
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 38¢7.5K shares
38¢→0¢
$2.9K
$7.5K
Lost

France vs. England: O/U 3.5
Under 55.0¢240 shares
55.0¢→0¢
$131.99
$239.99
Lost
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 4.4¢276.9 shares
4.4¢→0¢
$12.18
$276.91
Lost
