Joined February 2024
Total earnings
$348,546.96
1D
$8.8K
7D
$9.0K
30D
$28.4K
90D
$166.2K
Total volume
$364.59M
Predictions
1,601
Positions value
$86.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$335.9K
LP+$14.2K
Maker+$9.4K
Yield+$48.58
Taker+$1.6K
Fees−$12.7K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 74.4¢26.9K shares
74.4¢→78.5¢
$20.0K
$26.9K
$21.1K
+$1.1K (+5.6%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
No 92.4¢18.6K shares
92.4¢→93.2¢
$17.2K
$18.6K
$17.3K
+$142.32 (+0.8%)
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 37.1¢16.8K shares
37.1¢→55.5¢
$6.2K
$16.8K
$9.3K
+$3.1K (+49.5%)
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 85¢10.3K shares
85¢→85.5¢
$8.8K
$10.3K
$8.8K
+$51.67 (+0.6%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No 85.5¢6.7K shares
85.5¢→85.5¢
$5.7K
$6.7K
$5.7K
+$2.67 (+0.0%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 11.1¢5.6K shares
11.1¢→85.5¢
$625.70
$5.6K
$4.8K
+$4.2K (+669.5%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 15¢32.0K shares
15¢→14.5¢
$4.8K
$32.0K
$4.6K
−$160.01 (-3.3%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.8¢19.5K shares
20.8¢→19.9¢
$4.1K
$19.5K
$3.9K
−$193.08 (-4.7%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
No 86.8¢2.1K shares
86.8¢→90.5¢
$1.8K
$2.1K
$1.9K
+$77.52 (+4.3%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 55.5¢2.0K shares
55.5¢→56.5¢
$1.1K
$2.0K
$1.1K
+$20.71 (+1.9%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
No 76.8¢1.3K shares
76.8¢→81¢
$972.58
$1.3K
$1.0K
+$53.56 (+5.5%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
No 80.5¢1.0K shares
80.5¢→87.5¢
$818.00
$1.0K
$888.61
+$70.61 (+8.6%)
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
No 61.2¢758.6 shares
61.2¢→94.5¢
$464.06
$758.60
$716.87
+$252.81 (+54.5%)
Megaquake by July 31?
No 78.7¢709.4 shares
78.7¢→97.7¢
$558.03
$709.37
$693.05
+$135.02 (+24.2%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
No 79.0¢509.7 shares
79.0¢→80.2¢
$402.69
$509.73
$408.55
+$5.86 (+1.5%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
No 90.2¢400 shares
90.2¢→93.8¢
$360.80
$400.00
$375.00
+$14.20 (+3.9%)
Obama federally charged before 2027?
No 88.8¢370.8 shares
88.8¢→95.0¢
$329.42
$370.84
$352.11
+$22.69 (+6.9%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
No 78.1¢508 shares
78.1¢→63.5¢
$396.92
$508.01
$322.59
−$74.33 (-18.7%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 40.0¢653.5 shares
40.0¢→40.5¢
$261.41
$653.55
$264.69
+$3.27 (+1.3%)
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
No 60.0¢300 shares
60.0¢→84¢
$179.90
$300.00
$252.00
+$72.10 (+40.1%)
Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?
No 70.2¢248.3 shares
70.2¢→92.5¢
$174.21
$248.28
$229.66
+$55.45 (+31.8%)
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No 87.5¢210 shares
87.5¢→92.7¢
$183.86
$210.00
$194.67
+$10.81 (+5.9%)
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
No 86.2¢175.5 shares
86.2¢→95.6¢
$151.30
$175.47
$167.75
+$16.45 (+10.9%)
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026?
No 93.1¢152.5 shares
93.1¢→96.8¢
$142.06
$152.51
$147.55
+$5.49 (+3.9%)
Obama arrested before 2027?
No 92.8¢150.5 shares
92.8¢→97.2¢
$139.68
$150.52
$146.31
+$6.63 (+4.7%)
Tim Walz in jail by December 31?
No 94.0¢150 shares
94.0¢→94¢
$141.00
$150.00
$141.00
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?
No 66¢150 shares
66¢→93.9¢
$99.00
$150.00
$140.85
+$41.85 (+42.3%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Yes 20¢8.3K shares
20¢→1.7¢
$1.7K
$8.3K
$136.84
−$1.5K (-91.8%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
No 68.9¢178.8 shares
68.9¢→69.5¢
$123.27
$178.81
$124.26
+$0.98 (+0.8%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
No 91.9¢122 shares
91.9¢→96.3¢
$112.13
$122.01
$117.50
+$5.37 (+4.8%)
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?
No 92¢120.5 shares
92¢→96.0¢
$110.86
$120.50
$115.62
+$4.76 (+4.3%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 56.0¢196.2 shares
56.0¢→56.5¢
$109.86
$196.18
$110.82
+$0.96 (+0.9%)
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?
No 72¢100 shares
72¢→98.0¢
$72.00
$100.00
$97.95
+$25.95 (+36.0%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Yes 19.5¢601.3 shares
19.5¢→13.5¢
$117.50
$601.34
$81.18
−$36.32 (-30.9%)
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
No 71.6¢80.7 shares
71.6¢→91.5¢
$57.75
$80.68
$73.82
+$16.07 (+27.8%)
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
No 65.6¢115 shares
65.6¢→49¢
$75.45
$115.00
$56.35
−$19.10 (-25.3%)
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No 72¢70.6 shares
72¢→78¢
$50.81
$70.56
$55.04
+$4.23 (+8.3%)
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
No 89.5¢101.5 shares
89.5¢→53.5¢
$90.86
$101.52
$54.31
−$36.54 (-40.2%)
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
No 78.1¢50.3 shares
78.1¢→93.5¢
$39.31
$50.34
$47.07
+$7.76 (+19.7%)
Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by July 31?
No 95¢39 shares
95¢→97.2¢
$37.05
$39.00
$37.91
+$0.86 (+2.3%)
Will gas hit $5.00 (High) by July 31?
No 96¢35.9 shares
96¢→99.4¢
$34.43
$35.86
$35.64
+$1.22 (+3.5%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.0¢18.3K shares
20.0¢→0.1¢
$3.7K
$18.3K
$27.41
−$3.6K (-99.2%)
Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?
No 67.6¢26 shares
67.6¢→98.6¢
$17.57
$26.00
$25.62
+$8.05 (+45.8%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.0¢5.0K shares
20.0¢→0.4¢
$999.99
$5.0K
$22.50
−$977.49 (-97.7%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 65.4¢265.9 shares
65.4¢→6.4¢
$173.94
$265.88
$17.02
−$156.92 (-90.2%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
Yes 94.1¢147.7 shares
94.1¢→10.1¢
$139.00
$147.69
$14.84
−$124.16 (-89.3%)
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
No 80¢10 shares
80¢→89.5¢
$7.97
$9.96
$8.91
+$0.95 (+11.9%)
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 24¢100 shares
24¢→8¢
$24.00
$100.00
$8.00
−$16.00 (-66.7%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
No 76¢7.4 shares
76¢→84.5¢
$5.59
$7.35
$6.21
+$0.62 (+11.2%)
Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026?
No 86¢5 shares
86¢→95¢
$4.30
$5.00
$4.75
+$0.45 (+10.5%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?
No 95¢4.7 shares
95¢→97.9¢
$4.48
$4.72
$4.62
+$0.14 (+3.1%)
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Yes 60¢21 shares
60¢→19¢
$12.60
$21.00
$3.99
−$8.61 (-68.3%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
Yes 68.4¢2.6 shares
68.4¢→10.5¢
$1.80
$2.63
$0.28
−$1.52 (-84.7%)
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?
No 14.0¢773 shares
14.0¢→0¢
$108.22
$773.00
Lost
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Yes 32.5¢45.7K shares
32.5¢→0¢
$14.8K
$45.7K
Lost
Will Bybit be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?
Yes 1.9¢142.2K shares
1.9¢→0¢
$2.7K
$142.2K
Lost
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes 3.1¢319.3K shares
3.1¢→0¢
$9.9K
$319.3K
Lost
Will Tammy Duckworth be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes 2.3¢1.6K shares
2.3¢→0¢
$37.22
$1.6K
Lost
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Will Joe Biden be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes 2.3¢1.6K shares
2.3¢→0¢
$37.22
$1.6K
Lost
France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Yes 15.4¢4.9K shares
15.4¢→0¢
$758.44
$4.9K
Lost
Will Tether be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 22.2¢25 shares
22.2¢→0¢
$5.55
$25.01
Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
No 64.7¢43.9 shares
64.7¢→0¢
$28.38
$43.85
Lost
Will Bernie Sanders be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes 2.3¢1.6K shares
2.3¢→0¢
$37.22
$1.6K
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 20¢4.40M shares
20¢→0¢
$880.1K
$4.40M
Lost
Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31?
No 24.6¢198.9 shares
24.6¢→0¢
$48.92
$198.91
Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 20¢1.62M shares
20¢→0¢
$323.7K
$1.62M
Lost
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?
No 52.2¢344.2 shares
52.2¢→0¢
$179.80
$344.22
Lost
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Up 47.0¢49.7 shares
47.0¢→0¢
$23.35
$49.69
Lost
Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?
Yes 47.6¢46.3 shares
47.6¢→0¢
$22.04
$46.26
Lost
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes 2.3¢1.6K shares
2.3¢→0¢
$37.22
$1.6K
Lost
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.1¢186.4 shares
0.1¢→0¢
$0.29
$186.44
Lost
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes 3.1¢128.9K shares
3.1¢→0¢
$3.9K
$128.9K
Lost
Will another company be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Up 50.9¢49.2 shares
50.9¢→0¢
$25.07
$49.22
Lost
Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?
Yes 15.4¢4.9K shares
15.4¢→0¢
$758.44
$4.9K
Lost
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
Yes 1.9¢142.2K shares
1.9¢→0¢
$2.7K
$142.2K
Lost
Will Gemini be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
No 13.0¢328.8 shares
13.0¢→0¢
$42.80
$328.81
Lost
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes 4.0¢4.9K shares
4.0¢→0¢
$195.21
$4.9K
Lost
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?
Yes 1.9¢142.2K shares
1.9¢→0¢
$2.7K
$142.2K
Lost
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Yes 2.3¢1.6K shares
2.3¢→0¢
$37.22
$1.6K
Lost
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Yes 25¢7.25M shares
25¢→0¢
$1.81M
$7.25M
Lost
Will Helius be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.7¢7.43M shares
2.7¢→0¢
$203.0K
$7.43M
Lost
Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes 4.0¢4.9K shares
4.0¢→0¢
$195.21
$4.9K
Lost
Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Will Base be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.7¢15.53M shares
2.7¢→0¢
$418.3K
$15.53M
Lost
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?
Yes 1.8¢5 shares
1.8¢→0¢
$0.09
$5.00
Lost
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes 3.1¢128.9K shares
3.1¢→0¢
$4.0K
$128.9K
Lost
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01?
No 61¢5 shares
61¢→0¢
$3.05
$5.00
Lost
Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes 3.1¢312.6K shares
3.1¢→0¢
$9.8K
$312.6K
Lost
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
Yes 1.9¢142.2K shares
1.9¢→0¢
$2.7K
$142.2K
Lost