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Public-Jaguar
Joined January 2026
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Polymarket
Check on Polymarket
Total earnings
$228,864.03
1D
−$276.96
7D
$44.4K
30D
$26.1K
90D
$39.9K
Total volume
$55.37M
Predictions
868
Positions value
$18.2K
Performance
Performance over all time
1D
1W
1M
YTD
All
Trade
+$226.4K
LP
+$9,027.88
Maker
+$866.67
Taker
+$244.09
Fees
−$7,661.11
Standings
Overall
#1,049
of 3.3M wallets
Volume
#423
of 3.3M wallets
Profit
#1,027
of 3.3M wallets
LP Rewards
#672
of 189k earners
Maker Rebates
#5,277
of 161k earners
Taker Rebates
#5,532
of 72k earners
Fees Paid
#3,960
of 1.5M payers
Positions
Activity
Comments
active
closed
Market
Avg → Now
Traded
To win
Value
Share
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
35.0K shares
Share
9¢
→
8.5¢
$3.1K
$35.0K
$3.0K
−$175.00
(-5.6%)
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 84.5¢
3.2K shares
Share
82.6¢
→
84.5¢
$2.7K
$3.2K
$2.7K
+$62.67
(+2.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
No 37.5¢
6.4K shares
Share
35.9¢
→
37.5¢
$2.3K
$6.4K
$2.4K
+$99.06
(+4.3%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 90.5¢
2.2K shares
Share
83.5¢
→
90.5¢
$1.9K
$2.2K
$2.0K
+$155.31
(+8.4%)
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 86.5¢
1.3K shares
Share
86.8¢
→
86.5¢
$1.1K
$1.3K
$1.1K
−$3.44
(-0.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
No 49.5¢
2.1K shares
Share
33.5¢
→
49.5¢
$708.82
$2.1K
$1.0K
+$339.69
(+47.9%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
No 93.5¢
1.0K shares
Share
92.5¢
→
93.5¢
$925.00
$1.0K
$935.00
+$10.00
(+1.1%)
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 13.5¢
6.0K shares
Share
19¢
→
13.5¢
$1.1K
$6.0K
$810.00
−$330.00
(-28.9%)
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 81.5¢
986.8 shares
Share
86.2¢
→
81.5¢
$850.40
$986.83
$804.27
−$46.13
(-5.4%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 13.5¢
4.1K shares
Share
16.7¢
→
13.5¢
$686.25
$4.1K
$556.23
−$130.02
(-18.9%)
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
Yes 7.5¢
7.0K shares
Share
6.0¢
→
7.5¢
$419.57
$7.0K
$525.00
+$105.43
(+25.1%)
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026?
No 93.5¢
500 shares
Share
87¢
→
93.5¢
$435.00
$500.00
$467.50
+$32.50
(+7.5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No 89.5¢
480 shares
Share
72.0¢
→
89.5¢
$345.58
$479.97
$429.58
+$84.00
(+24.3%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 100.0¢
293.9 shares
Share
54.0¢
→
100.0¢
$158.84
$293.87
$293.72
+$134.88
(+84.9%)
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
No 94.5¢
276.6 shares
Share
80.7¢
→
94.5¢
$223.28
$276.55
$261.34
+$38.06
(+17.0%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 91.8¢
200 shares
Share
50¢
→
91.8¢
$100.00
$200.00
$183.50
+$83.50
(+83.5%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Yes 4.5¢
3.0K shares
Share
13¢
→
4.5¢
$390.00
$3.0K
$135.00
−$255.00
(-65.4%)
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 86.5¢
145.1 shares
Share
84.2¢
→
86.5¢
$122.10
$145.09
$125.50
+$3.40
(+2.8%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Yes 8.8¢
1.4K shares
Share
10.0¢
→
8.8¢
$137.87
$1.4K
$122.05
−$15.82
(-11.5%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 97.2¢
98.8 shares
Share
56.4¢
→
97.2¢
$55.77
$98.81
$95.99
+$40.23
(+72.1%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Yes 6.5¢
1.3K shares
Share
9¢
→
6.5¢
$114.46
$1.3K
$82.67
−$31.80
(-27.8%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No 60.7¢
98.9 shares
Share
47.0¢
→
60.7¢
$46.52
$98.92
$59.99
+$13.48
(+29.0%)
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?
Yes 12¢
219.6 shares
Share
9¢
→
12¢
$19.76
$219.60
$26.35
+$6.59
(+33.3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Yes 0.1¢
24.1K shares
Share
6.7¢
→
0.1¢
$1.6K
$24.1K
$24.08
−$1.6K
(-98.5%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 98.0¢
20.7 shares
Share
60.0¢
→
98.0¢
$12.41
$20.70
$20.28
+$7.86
(+63.3%)
Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes 0¢
17.3K shares
Share
0.2¢
→
0¢
$42.06
$17.3K
Lost
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
Yes 0¢
10 shares
Share
19¢
→
0¢
$1.90
$10.00
Lost
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Yes 0¢
21.7K shares
Share
2.9¢
→
0¢
$638.49
$21.7K
Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
4.0K shares
Share
5.3¢
→
0¢
$210.52
$4.0K
Lost
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes 0¢
241.3 shares
Share
23.4¢
→
0¢
$56.50
$241.30
Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Yes 0¢
3.2K shares
Share
8¢
→
0¢
$257.94
$3.2K
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
No 0¢
8.3K shares
Share
31.7¢
→
0¢
$2.6K
$8.3K
Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?
Yes 0¢
81.7K shares
Share
0¢
→
0¢
$0.00
$81.7K
Lost
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Yes 0¢
197 shares
Share
54.8¢
→
0¢
$107.89
$196.99
Lost
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
Yes 0¢
9.8K shares
Share
2.2¢
→
0¢
$213.52
$9.8K
Lost
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
No 0¢
42.7K shares
Share
34.2¢
→
0¢
$14.6K
$42.7K
Lost
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Yes 0¢
100 shares
Share
6.6¢
→
0¢
$6.60
$100.00
Lost
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?
Yes 0¢
9.0K shares
Share
4.7¢
→
0¢
$427.98
$9.0K
Lost
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Yes 0¢
245.2 shares
Share
16.7¢
→
0¢
$40.83
$245.16
Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?
Yes 0¢
76.2K shares
Share
1.2¢
→
0¢
$935.38
$76.2K
Lost
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
No 0¢
16.8K shares
Share
11.1¢
→
0¢
$1.9K
$16.8K
Lost
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Yes 0¢
719.8 shares
Share
2.4¢
→
0¢
$17.30
$719.82
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?
Yes 0¢
13.9K shares
Share
5.5¢
→
0¢
$771.72
$13.9K
Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
No 0¢
3.2K shares
Share
14.1¢
→
0¢
$448.27
$3.2K
Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
1.8K shares
Share
19¢
→
0¢
$335.42
$1.8K
Lost
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
Yes 0¢
15.0K shares
Share
1.6¢
→
0¢
$232.98
$15.0K
Lost
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Yes 0¢
4.2K shares
Share
6¢
→
0¢
$252.00
$4.2K
Lost
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes 0¢
5.7K shares
Share
0.3¢
→
0¢
$19.72
$5.7K
Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Yes 0¢
76.3K shares
Share
9.7¢
→
0¢
$7.4K
$76.3K
Lost
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes 0¢
626.3 shares
Share
17.1¢
→
0¢
$106.97
$626.32
Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
No 0¢
5.8K shares
Share
53.9¢
→
0¢
$3.1K
$5.8K
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
Yes 0¢
2.0K shares
Share
11.9¢
→
0¢
$233.86
$2.0K
Lost
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 0¢
18.9K shares
Share
25.0¢
→
0¢
$4.7K
$18.9K
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
No 0¢
100 shares
Share
2.4¢
→
0¢
$2.40
$100.00
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Yes 0¢
259.3 shares
Share
12.6¢
→
0¢
$32.63
$259.31
Lost
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?
Yes 0¢
4.9K shares
Share
11.2¢
→
0¢
$552.91
$4.9K
Lost
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of March?
Yes 0¢
2.7K shares
Share
1.3¢
→
0¢
$35.02
$2.7K
Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Yes 0¢
284.3 shares
Share
86.8¢
→
0¢
$246.67
$284.25
Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢
4.8K shares
Share
9.3¢
→
0¢
$449.58
$4.8K
Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
5.3K shares
Share
5.5¢
→
0¢
$293.33
$5.3K
Lost
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
No 0¢
3.3K shares
Share
65.8¢
→
0¢
$2.2K
$3.3K
Lost
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes 0¢
5.7K shares
Share
0.3¢
→
0¢
$19.72
$5.7K
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Yes 0¢
3.9K shares
Share
3.8¢
→
0¢
$146.88
$3.9K
Lost
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
No 0¢
4.6K shares
Share
55.0¢
→
0¢
$2.5K
$4.6K
Lost
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Yes 0¢
100 shares
Share
13.0¢
→
0¢
$12.99
$100.00
Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Yes 0¢
5.7K shares
Share
1.5¢
→
0¢
$85.06
$5.7K
Lost
Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes 0¢
5.7K shares
Share
0.3¢
→
0¢
$19.72
$5.7K
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
Yes 0¢
6.8K shares
Share
4.3¢
→
0¢
$294.00
$6.8K
Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
4.0K shares
Share
5.3¢
→
0¢
$210.52
$4.0K
Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)?
Yes 0¢
64.5K shares
Share
1.3¢
→
0¢
$834.88
$64.5K
Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)?
Yes 0¢
71.3K shares
Share
1.1¢
→
0¢
$800.64
$71.3K
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
No 0¢
4.4K shares
Share
45.4¢
→
0¢
$2.0K
$4.4K
Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
4.0K shares
Share
5.3¢
→
0¢
$210.52
$4.0K
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Yes 0¢
3.0K shares
Share
1.7¢
→
0¢
$51.00
$3.0K
Lost
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes 0¢
6.1K shares
Share
0.7¢
→
0¢
$41.38
$6.1K
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
Yes 0¢
12.1K shares
Share
20.5¢
→
0¢
$2.5K
$12.1K
Lost
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?
No 0¢
6.6K shares
Share
10.8¢
→
0¢
$720.14
$6.6K
Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Yes 0¢
19.4K shares
Share
17.2¢
→
0¢
$3.3K
$19.4K
Lost
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 29?
Yes 0¢
5.9K shares
Share
14.3¢
→
0¢
$847.84
$5.9K
Lost
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
No 0¢
16.2K shares
Share
11.3¢
→
0¢
$1.8K
$16.2K
Lost
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Yes 0¢
16.3K shares
Share
4.0¢
→
0¢
$647.42
$16.3K
Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
No 0¢
10.7K shares
Share
26.4¢
→
0¢
$2.8K
$10.7K
Lost
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
14.0K shares
Share
21.3¢
→
0¢
$3.0K
$14.0K
Lost
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
No 0¢
271.2 shares
Share
46.7¢
→
0¢
$126.54
$271.23
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?
No 0¢
4.4K shares
Share
46.4¢
→
0¢
$2.1K
$4.4K
Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Yes 0¢
11.8K shares
Share
4.3¢
→
0¢
$508.48
$11.8K
Lost
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 0¢
21.5K shares
Share
4.3¢
→
0¢
$916.14
$21.5K
Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 18?
No 0¢
500 shares
Share
41¢
→
0¢
$205.00
$500.00
Lost
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
No 0¢
1.9K shares
Share
12.7¢
→
0¢
$241.05
$1.9K
Lost
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
No 0¢
16.5K shares
Share
33.5¢
→
0¢
$5.5K
$16.5K
Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?
Yes 0¢
69.2K shares
Share
1.1¢
→
0¢
$747.17
$69.2K
Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Yes 0¢
51.4 shares
Share
4.4¢
→
0¢
$2.26
$51.41
Lost
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?
Yes 0¢
77.7K shares
Share
0¢
→
0¢
$0.00
$77.7K
Lost
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Yes 0¢
150 shares
Share
6.5¢
→
0¢
$9.80
$150.00
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
No 0¢
3.3K shares
Share
36.2¢
→
0¢
$1.2K
$3.3K
Lost
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
4.0K shares
Share
5.3¢
→
0¢
$210.52
$4.0K
Lost
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Yes 0¢
450.7 shares
Share
30.1¢
→
0¢
$135.59
$450.68
Lost
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?
Yes 0¢
1.0K shares
Share
3.9¢
→
0¢
$38.95
$1.0K
Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Yes 0¢
6.2K shares
Share
1.8¢
→
0¢
$115.02
$6.2K
Lost
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Yes 0¢
62.0K shares
Share
23.4¢
→
0¢
$14.5K
$62.0K
Lost
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