2.0–2.5%35%
1.5–2.0%26%
>2.5%14%
<0.5%10%
No price data yet
$56,821 Vol.Jan 29, 2027
<0.5%
$7,340 Vol.
10%
0.5–1.0%
$16,779 Vol.
<1%
1.0–1.5%
$3,594 Vol.
4%
1.5–2.0%
$6,444 Vol.
26%
2.0–2.5%
$6,962 Vol.
35%
>2.5%
$15,703 Vol.
14%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in…