milize
Joined August 2023
Total earnings
$53,779.51
1D
$19.68
7D
$140.55
30D
−$99.98
90D
$1.2K
Total volume
$56.46M
Predictions
12,584
Positions value
$4.1K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$34.4K
LP+$88.0K
Maker+$281.86
Yield+$10.31
Fees−$57.14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76.7¢2.4K shares
76.7¢→84.5¢
$1.8K
$2.4K
$2.0K
+$183.60 (+10.2%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Yes 14.5¢4.8K shares
14.5¢→12.5¢
$697.88
$4.8K
$599.95
−$97.93 (-14.0%)
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
No 90.2¢300 shares
90.2¢→94.5¢
$270.63
$299.99
$283.49
+$12.86 (+4.8%)
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
No 91.0¢250 shares
91.0¢→100¢
$227.38
$250.00
Won
$250.00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 51¢242.1 shares
51¢→60.5¢
$123.47
$242.10
$146.47
+$23.00 (+18.6%)
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 48¢250 shares
48¢→45.5¢
$120.01
$250.01
$113.75
−$6.25 (-5.2%)
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
No 99¢100 shares
99¢→99.5¢
$99.00
$100.00
$99.50
+$0.50 (+0.5%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 48¢214.8 shares
48¢→44.5¢
$103.12
$214.84
$95.60
−$7.52 (-7.3%)
Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next?
No 97.6¢72 shares
97.6¢→97.9¢
$70.26
$72.01
$70.50
+$0.23 (+0.3%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 26.4¢250 shares
26.4¢→27.8¢
$66.00
$250.00
$69.38
+$3.38 (+5.1%)
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes 23¢500 shares
23¢→12.5¢
$115.00
$499.99
$62.50
−$52.50 (-45.7%)
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 68¢45 shares
68¢→100¢
$30.60
$45.00
Won
$45.00
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027?
No 88¢46.5 shares
88¢→95.3¢
$40.95
$46.53
$44.34
+$3.40 (+8.3%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 11.2¢250 shares
11.2¢→13.2¢
$28.00
$250.00
$32.88
+$4.88 (+17.4%)
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?
No 19.6¢191.3 shares
19.6¢→16.8¢
$37.54
$191.31
$32.14
−$5.40 (-14.4%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 19¢45.5 shares
19¢→62.5¢
$8.65
$45.50
$28.44
+$19.79 (+228.9%)
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Yes 24¢219.2 shares
24¢→12.5¢
$52.60
$219.15
$27.39
−$25.20 (-47.9%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 24.1¢122.5 shares
24.1¢→18.3¢
$29.52
$122.50
$22.36
−$7.17 (-24.3%)
California voter ID referendum passes?
Yes 39¢21.9 shares
39¢→47¢
$8.56
$21.94
$10.31
+$1.76 (+20.5%)
Will Maxx Crosby play for Cincinnati Bengals next?
No 89.9¢10 shares
89.9¢→99.8¢
$8.99
$10.00
$9.98
+$0.99 (+11.0%)
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No 71¢13 shares
71¢→66.5¢
$9.23
$13.00
$8.65
−$0.59 (-6.3%)
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 92¢5.3 shares
92¢→99.7¢
$4.90
$5.33
$5.31
+$0.41 (+8.3%)
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No 93.1¢11.7 shares
93.1¢→44.6¢
$10.86
$11.67
$5.20
−$5.66 (-52.1%)
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
Yes 87.0¢4.8 shares
87.0¢→93.5¢
$4.21
$4.84
$4.52
+$0.31 (+7.5%)
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
No 88¢3 shares
88¢→98.5¢
$2.64
$3.00
$2.95
+$0.31 (+11.9%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
No 78¢2.8 shares
78¢→88.5¢
$2.18
$2.80
$2.48
+$0.29 (+13.5%)
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
Yes 51.5¢7.6 shares
51.5¢→19.5¢
$3.91
$7.60
$1.48
−$2.43 (-62.1%)
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Yes 2¢60 shares
2¢→2.5¢
$1.20
$60.00
$1.47
+$0.27 (+22.5%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Yes 5.8¢35.3 shares
5.8¢→4.0¢
$2.04
$35.25
$1.43
−$0.62 (-30.2%)
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
Yes 18¢20 shares
18¢→6.8¢
$3.60
$20.00
$1.36
−$2.24 (-62.2%)
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
No 76¢4 shares
76¢→32.5¢
$3.04
$4.00
$1.30
−$1.74 (-57.2%)
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
No 57.0¢5.2 shares
57.0¢→21.6¢
$2.94
$5.16
$1.11
−$1.83 (-62.2%)
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
No 62.0¢1.1 shares
62.0¢→100¢
$0.69
$1.11
Won
$1.11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 18.8¢5.2 shares
18.8¢→20.9¢
$0.97
$5.15
$1.08
+$0.11 (+11.4%)
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes 29.0¢1.9 shares
29.0¢→43.5¢
$0.54
$1.87
$0.81
+$0.27 (+50.0%)
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes 7.0¢9.6 shares
7.0¢→7.5¢
$0.67
$9.60
$0.72
+$0.05 (+7.1%)
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
Yes 13¢20 shares
13¢→3.5¢
$2.60
$20.00
$0.70
−$1.90 (-73.1%)
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
No 5.0¢3.2 shares
5.0¢→15.5¢
$0.16
$3.16
$0.49
+$0.33 (+210.1%)
Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware?
No 28.0¢6.3 shares
28.0¢→4.3¢
$1.76
$6.28
$0.27
−$1.49 (-84.8%)
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?
No 8¢2.2 shares
8¢→7.8¢
$0.17
$2.17
$0.17
−$0.00 (-1.8%)
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?
No 11¢3 shares
11¢→3.9¢
$0.33
$3.00
$0.12
−$0.21 (-65.0%)
Will the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Yes 4¢18.5 shares
4¢→0.4¢
$0.74
$18.47
$0.08
−$0.66 (-88.8%)
Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?
Yes 4.7¢73.6 shares
4.7¢→0.1¢
$3.44
$73.64
$0.04
−$3.40 (-98.9%)
Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next?
Yes 2.2¢10 shares
2.2¢→0.3¢
$0.22
$10.00
$0.03
−$0.19 (-86.4%)
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 6¢5.3 shares
6¢→0.5¢
$0.32
$5.32
$0.03
−$0.29 (-90.8%)
Will the Central African Democratic Rally win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?
Yes 3¢40 shares
3¢→0.1¢
$1.20
$40.00
$0.02
−$1.18 (-98.3%)
Will Brad Kohler win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 6¢10 shares
6¢→0.1¢
$0.60
$10.00
$0.01
−$0.60 (-99.2%)
Will Kristin Robbins win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 3.2¢2.3 shares
3.2¢→0.1¢
$0.07
$2.30
$0.00
−$0.07 (-98.5%)
Will Phil Parrish win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 6¢2.3 shares
6¢→0.1¢
$0.14
$2.30
$0.00
−$0.14 (-99.3%)
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $116 in May?
Yes 5.1¢14.6 shares
5.1¢→0¢
$0.74
$14.57
Lost
Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Yes 26¢30 shares
26¢→0¢
$7.80
$30.00
Lost
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Yes 34¢500 shares
34¢→0¢
$170.00
$500.00
Lost
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
Yes 3.4¢20 shares
3.4¢→0¢
$0.68
$20.00
Lost
Will Trump say "Israel" 3+ times during Monday press conference?
No 0.1¢50 shares
0.1¢→0¢
$0.05
$50.00
Lost
Will Tisza win 110–119 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Yes 10.0¢20 shares
10.0¢→0¢
$2.00
$20.00
Lost
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
No 69.1¢4 shares
69.1¢→0¢
$2.78
$4.02
Lost
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 1?
Yes 39¢98.6 shares
39¢→0¢
$38.47
$98.64
Lost
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?
Yes 13¢5.3 shares
13¢→0¢
$0.69
$5.35
Lost
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?
No 23.1¢21.5 shares
23.1¢→0¢
$4.96
$21.49
Lost
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during events with Japanese PM?
Yes 21¢60 shares
21¢→0¢
$12.60
$60.00
Lost
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Yes 53.8¢64.1 shares
53.8¢→0¢
$34.50
$64.06
Lost
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?
Yes 42.5¢65.7 shares
42.5¢→0¢
$27.94
$65.72
Lost
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 30-31°F on March 16?
No 2.5¢47.6 shares
2.5¢→0¢
$1.19
$47.59
Lost
Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Yes 7.0¢10.6 shares
7.0¢→0¢
$0.74
$10.64
Lost
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?
Yes 21.9¢32.2 shares
21.9¢→0¢
$7.06
$32.20
Lost
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?
No 31.8¢506.4 shares
31.8¢→0¢
$161.28
$506.38
Lost
Will Kyler Murray play for Minnesota Vikings in 2026-27?
No 66.8¢3.9 shares
66.8¢→0¢
$2.60
$3.89
Lost
James Comey mugshot released by May 5?
Yes 9.9¢20.4 shares
9.9¢→0¢
$2.01
$20.36
Lost
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during Taoiseach events?
Yes 6¢60 shares
6¢→0¢
$3.60
$60.00
Lost
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
Yes 17¢1.2 shares
17¢→0¢
$0.20
$1.19
Lost
Will Juliana Stratton win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 3%?
Yes 0.1¢63.6 shares
0.1¢→0¢
$0.06
$63.63
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
No 19¢300 shares
19¢→0¢
$57.00
$300.00
Lost
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Yes 0.1¢49.1 shares
0.1¢→0¢
$0.05
$49.09
Lost
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?
No 44.9¢4 shares
44.9¢→0¢
$1.80
$4.02
Lost
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
Yes 8¢8.7 shares
8¢→0¢
$0.70
$8.74
Lost
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates
No 36¢1.5 shares
36¢→0¢
$0.54
$1.50
Lost
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?
Yes 12¢5 shares
12¢→0¢
$0.60
$4.97
Lost
Will Norway join the Board of Peace?
Yes 11¢10 shares
11¢→0¢
$1.10
$10.00
Lost
Will Jurassic World Rebirth win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 2¢20 shares
2¢→0¢
$0.40
$20.00
Lost
Will Russia enter Khatnie by March 31, 2026?
Yes 25¢4.8 shares
25¢→0¢
$1.21
$4.83
Lost
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Yes 45¢490 shares
45¢→0¢
$220.50
$490.00
Lost
Will "White House" be said at the Oscars?
No 0.1¢50 shares
0.1¢→0¢
$0.05
$50.00
Lost
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Yes 20.0¢15 shares
20.0¢→0¢
$3.00
$15.00
Lost
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 16?
No 0.1¢50 shares
0.1¢→0¢
$0.05
$50.00
Lost
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 16?
Yes 20.0¢50 shares
20.0¢→0¢
$10.00
$50.00
Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 16?
Yes 15¢50 shares
15¢→0¢
$7.50
$50.00
Lost
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Yes 2.7¢48 shares
2.7¢→0¢
$1.30
$48.00
Lost
Will Trump say "Toyota" during events with Japanese PM?
Yes 23¢43.7 shares
23¢→0¢
$10.06
$43.72
Lost
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?
GOP 1.1¢3.2 shares
1.1¢→0¢
$0.04
$3.20
Lost
Will Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
No 4.1¢3.8 shares
4.1¢→0¢
$0.16
$3.80
Lost
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
No 68.2¢60 shares
68.2¢→0¢
$40.94
$60.03
Lost
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
No 54.2¢165.5 shares
54.2¢→0¢
$89.68
$165.52
Lost
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
No 36¢500 shares
36¢→0¢
$180.00
$500.00
Lost
Will Matt Gress be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Yes 15.2¢30 shares
15.2¢→0¢
$4.56
$30.00
Lost
Will Blue Moon win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
Yes 2.4¢5.4 shares
2.4¢→0¢
$0.13
$5.40
Lost
Will Gina Swoboda be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
Yes 20.0¢100.7 shares
20.0¢→0¢
$20.13
$100.66
Lost
Will Iran strike Georgia by March 31?
Yes 5.0¢30 shares
5.0¢→0¢
$1.50
$30.00
Lost
Will Alvin Kamara be traded?
Yes 26.0¢40 shares
26.0¢→0¢
$10.40
$40.00
Lost
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?
Yes 48¢40.4 shares
48¢→0¢
$19.38
$40.37
Lost
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on March 16?
No 0.1¢60 shares
0.1¢→0¢
$0.06
$59.98
Lost