Joined November 2025
Total earnings
$109,574.30
1D
$72.36
7D
−$53.93
30D
$1.7K
90D
$4.5K
Total volume
$24.85M
Predictions
6,720
Positions value
$4.3K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$107.5K
LP+$2.1K
Maker+$5.58
Yield+$15.60
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
No 89¢292.8 shares
89¢→98.5¢
$260.60
$292.81
$288.27
+$27.67 (+10.6%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
No 96.2¢286.2 shares
96.2¢→90.6¢
$275.24
$286.22
$259.46
−$15.78 (-5.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?
No 87.0¢258 shares
87.0¢→84¢
$224.46
$258.00
$216.72
−$7.74 (-3.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?
No 82¢242.9 shares
82¢→88.5¢
$199.17
$242.89
$214.96
+$15.79 (+7.9%)
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
No 72¢210 shares
72¢→87¢
$151.20
$210.00
$182.70
+$31.50 (+20.8%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Yes 29.9¢542.9 shares
29.9¢→33.5¢
$162.16
$542.88
$181.86
+$19.71 (+12.2%)
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
No 87.1¢210 shares
87.1¢→83¢
$182.85
$209.96
$174.27
−$8.58 (-4.7%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
Yes 29.9¢542.9 shares
29.9¢→30.5¢
$162.16
$542.88
$165.58
+$3.42 (+2.1%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
No 84.7¢157.3 shares
84.7¢→99.5¢
$133.21
$157.27
$156.49
+$23.28 (+17.5%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 2.6¢265.3 shares
2.6¢→56.5¢
$7.05
$265.32
$149.88
+$142.82 (+2024.5%)
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
No 58.0¢238.3 shares
58.0¢→57.5¢
$138.23
$238.33
$137.04
−$1.19 (-0.9%)
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢5.6K shares
0.8¢→2.5¢
$42.29
$5.6K
$136.71
+$94.41 (+223.2%)
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
No 89¢140.6 shares
89¢→89¢
$125.15
$140.62
$125.15
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 97.2¢112.1 shares
97.2¢→99.8¢
$108.99
$112.11
$111.83
+$2.84 (+2.6%)
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
No 38¢191.4 shares
38¢→48.5¢
$72.74
$191.41
$92.83
+$20.10 (+27.6%)
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes 3.6¢3.6K shares
3.6¢→2.5¢
$129.86
$3.6K
$89.08
−$40.77 (-31.4%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 1.2¢102.1 shares
1.2¢→82.0¢
$1.25
$102.06
$83.64
+$82.39 (+6613.7%)
Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
No 53¢81.6 shares
53¢→92.5¢
$43.24
$81.58
$75.42
+$32.18 (+74.4%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 47.7¢172.2 shares
47.7¢→43.5¢
$82.15
$172.19
$74.90
−$7.25 (-8.8%)
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes -0.1¢14.1K shares
-0.1¢→0.4¢
−$18.87
$14.1K
$63.65
+$82.52 (+0.0%)
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
No 37¢66.2 shares
37¢→95.5¢
$24.50
$66.22
$63.24
+$38.74 (+158.1%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
Yes 29.9¢542.9 shares
29.9¢→11.2¢
$162.16
$542.88
$60.53
−$101.63 (-62.7%)
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?
No 49.9¢155.4 shares
49.9¢→36¢
$77.54
$155.40
$55.94
−$21.60 (-27.9%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No 89.8¢52.9 shares
89.8¢→89.5¢
$47.48
$52.88
$47.33
−$0.15 (-0.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?
No 63¢50 shares
63¢→89.5¢
$31.50
$50.00
$44.75
+$13.25 (+42.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?
No 83¢50 shares
83¢→86¢
$41.50
$50.00
$43.00
+$1.50 (+3.6%)
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
No 72¢48.4 shares
72¢→87¢
$34.88
$48.45
$42.15
+$7.27 (+20.8%)
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
No 35.4¢56.7 shares
35.4¢→73.5¢
$20.08
$56.67
$41.65
+$21.57 (+107.5%)
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 0.7¢112.6 shares
0.7¢→36.4¢
$0.79
$112.64
$41.06
+$40.27 (+5093.1%)
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?
No 88.5¢45.3 shares
88.5¢→89.3¢
$40.12
$45.34
$40.47
+$0.35 (+0.9%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 30.0¢90.7 shares
30.0¢→40.5¢
$27.21
$90.71
$36.74
+$9.53 (+35.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
No 72¢50 shares
72¢→71¢
$36.00
$50.00
$35.50
−$0.50 (-1.4%)
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes -0.1¢14.1K shares
-0.1¢→0.3¢
−$18.87
$14.1K
$35.36
+$54.23 (+0.0%)
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 19.3¢1.2K shares
19.3¢→2.8¢
$236.81
$1.2K
$34.41
−$202.40 (-85.5%)
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Yes 0.1¢136.6 shares
0.1¢→22.7¢
$0.19
$136.60
$31.01
+$30.81 (+15949.7%)
Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Yes 0.1¢136.6 shares
0.1¢→22.3¢
$0.19
$136.60
$30.46
+$30.27 (+15666.9%)
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 3.1¢1.5K shares
3.1¢→1.8¢
$48.30
$1.5K
$28.60
−$19.71 (-40.8%)
Will Mark Zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Yes 0.1¢136.6 shares
0.1¢→18.8¢
$0.19
$136.60
$25.68
+$25.49 (+13192.2%)
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢5.6K shares
0.8¢→0.4¢
$42.29
$5.6K
$25.11
−$17.19 (-40.6%)
Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
No 88.8¢24.9 shares
88.8¢→100¢
$22.10
$24.89
Won
$24.89
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
No 53¢36.8 shares
53¢→66.5¢
$19.51
$36.82
$24.48
+$4.97 (+25.5%)
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes -0.1¢14.1K shares
-0.1¢→0.1¢
−$18.87
$14.1K
$21.22
+$40.09 (+0.0%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
Yes 4.3¢60 shares
4.3¢→33¢
$2.59
$60.00
$19.80
+$17.21 (+664.2%)
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?
No 66.8¢19.6 shares
66.8¢→100¢
$13.08
$19.58
Won
$19.58
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢5.6K shares
0.8¢→0.4¢
$42.29
$5.6K
$19.53
−$22.77 (-53.8%)
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Yes 28.6¢20.7 shares
28.6¢→92.5¢
$5.91
$20.67
$19.12
+$13.21 (+223.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?
No 66.2¢30 shares
66.2¢→63.5¢
$19.85
$30.00
$19.05
−$0.80 (-4.0%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢1.6K shares
0.8¢→1.1¢
$11.98
$1.6K
$18.18
+$6.20 (+51.7%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 3¢100 shares
3¢→15.8¢
$3.00
$100.00
$15.75
+$12.75 (+425.0%)
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 88.0¢15.8 shares
88.0¢→97.4¢
$13.89
$15.79
$15.38
+$1.49 (+10.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat?
No 57.0¢15.4 shares
57.0¢→91.5¢
$8.76
$15.37
$14.06
+$5.30 (+60.5%)
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢5.6K shares
0.8¢→0.3¢
$42.29
$5.6K
$13.95
−$28.35 (-67.0%)
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢5.6K shares
0.8¢→0.3¢
$42.29
$5.6K
$13.95
−$28.35 (-67.0%)
Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Yes 0.1¢136.6 shares
0.1¢→9.6¢
$0.19
$136.60
$13.05
+$12.85 (+6652.1%)
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
No 75.6¢38.6 shares
75.6¢→33.5¢
$29.20
$38.64
$12.95
−$16.26 (-55.7%)
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes 16¢20 shares
16¢→63¢
$3.20
$20.00
$12.60
+$9.40 (+293.7%)
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%?
No 38¢12.6 shares
38¢→97.3¢
$4.78
$12.58
$12.23
+$7.45 (+155.9%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 1.2¢102.1 shares
1.2¢→11.5¢
$1.25
$102.06
$11.74
+$10.49 (+842.1%)
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.1¢2.6K shares
0.1¢→0.4¢
$2.03
$2.6K
$11.69
+$9.65 (+474.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?
No 4¢169.3 shares
4¢→6.5¢
$6.77
$169.26
$11.00
+$4.23 (+62.5%)
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
No 26.4¢11 shares
26.4¢→99.3¢
$2.90
$10.99
$10.91
+$8.01 (+276.1%)
Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
No 99.9¢10.2 shares
99.9¢→100¢
$10.17
$10.18
Won
$10.18
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Yes 4.1¢10 shares
4.1¢→97.2¢
$0.41
$10.00
$9.72
+$9.31 (+2287.6%)
Will Toby Doeden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
No 61¢10 shares
61¢→94.8¢
$6.10
$10.00
$9.49
+$3.39 (+55.5%)
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes -0.1¢617.2 shares
-0.1¢→1.5¢
−$0.59
$617.15
$9.26
+$9.84 (+0.0%)
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Yes 1.5¢36.1 shares
1.5¢→25¢
$0.54
$36.11
$9.03
+$8.48 (+1562.0%)
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢5.6K shares
0.8¢→0.1¢
$42.29
$5.6K
$8.37
−$33.93 (-80.2%)
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢5.6K shares
0.8¢→0.1¢
$42.29
$5.6K
$8.37
−$33.93 (-80.2%)
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢5.6K shares
0.8¢→0.1¢
$42.29
$5.6K
$8.37
−$33.93 (-80.2%)
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢5.6K shares
0.8¢→0.1¢
$42.29
$5.6K
$8.37
−$33.93 (-80.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-04 House seat?
No 20.0¢75.1 shares
20.0¢→10.5¢
$15.03
$75.14
$7.89
−$7.14 (-47.5%)
Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Yes 0.1¢136.6 shares
0.1¢→5.5¢
$0.19
$136.60
$7.44
+$7.25 (+3753.3%)
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes -0.1¢14.1K shares
-0.1¢→0.1¢
−$18.87
$14.1K
$7.07
+$25.94 (+0.0%)
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes -0.1¢14.1K shares
-0.1¢→0.1¢
−$18.87
$14.1K
$7.07
+$25.94 (+0.0%)
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes -0.1¢14.1K shares
-0.1¢→0.1¢
−$18.87
$14.1K
$7.07
+$25.94 (+0.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?
No 45¢37 shares
45¢→17.5¢
$16.65
$37.00
$6.48
−$10.18 (-61.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?
No 19¢23.9 shares
19¢→26¢
$4.54
$23.89
$6.21
+$1.67 (+36.8%)
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
No 96.5¢4.8 shares
96.5¢→100¢
$4.62
$4.79
Won
$4.79
Will Steve Lanier win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
No 6¢4.3 shares
6¢→100¢
$0.26
$4.26
Won
$4.26
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
No 32¢10 shares
32¢→41.5¢
$3.18
$9.95
$4.13
+$0.95 (+29.7%)
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.1¢2.7K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$3.22
$2.7K
$4.04
+$0.82 (+25.4%)
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.1¢2.7K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$3.22
$2.7K
$4.04
+$0.82 (+25.4%)
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.1¢2.7K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$3.22
$2.7K
$4.04
+$0.82 (+25.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?
No 17¢21 shares
17¢→18.5¢
$3.56
$20.97
$3.88
+$0.31 (+8.8%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 73¢4.6 shares
73¢→83.5¢
$3.38
$4.63
$3.86
+$0.49 (+14.4%)
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢358.5 shares
0.8¢→1.1¢
$2.72
$358.53
$3.76
+$1.05 (+38.5%)
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?
Yes 0.1¢136.6 shares
0.1¢→2.6¢
$0.19
$136.60
$3.62
+$3.43 (+1773.6%)
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
No 80.3¢3.6 shares
80.3¢→97.5¢
$2.91
$3.62
$3.53
+$0.62 (+21.5%)
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Yes -11.0¢22.1 shares
-11.0¢→13.4¢
−$2.43
$22.14
$2.96
+$5.38 (+0.0%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Yes 14.7¢173.6 shares
14.7¢→1.7¢
$25.46
$173.63
$2.86
−$22.60 (-88.7%)
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
No 15¢20 shares
15¢→13¢
$3.00
$20.00
$2.60
−$0.40 (-13.3%)
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Yes 9.0¢2.3 shares
9.0¢→100¢
$0.21
$2.30
Won
$2.30
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
No 10.0¢2.2 shares
10.0¢→100¢
$0.22
$2.22
Won
$2.22
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-05 House seat?
No 27¢20 shares
27¢→11¢
$5.40
$20.00
$2.20
−$3.20 (-59.3%)
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes 1.3¢63.3 shares
1.3¢→2.9¢
$0.80
$63.33
$1.87
+$1.06 (+132.4%)
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
No 39¢1.6 shares
39¢→100¢
$0.64
$1.63
Won
$1.63
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.1¢2.7K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$3.22
$2.7K
$1.35
−$1.88 (-58.2%)
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 0.1¢2.7K shares
0.1¢→0.1¢
$3.22
$2.7K
$1.35
−$1.88 (-58.2%)
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes 0.4¢348.3 shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$1.25
$348.25
$1.22
−$0.03 (-2.2%)
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 1.2¢102.1 shares
1.2¢→1.1¢
$1.25
$102.06
$1.17
−$0.07 (-5.8%)