Total earnings
$460,851.11
1D
$3.8K
7D
$12.2K
30D
−$21.3K
90D
$40.2K
Total volume
$22.63M
Predictions
944
Positions value
$462.9K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$446.0K
LP+$4.2K
Maker+$467.68
Yield+$11.3K
Referral+$229.36
Taker+$22.90
Fees−$1.4K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 48.6¢331.7K shares
48.6¢→45.9¢
$161.3K
$331.7K
$152.1K
−$9.3K (-5.7%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢296.0K shares
0.4¢→27.8¢
$1.2K
$296.0K
$82.1K
+$81.0K (+6948.5%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 92.4¢65.3K shares
92.4¢→96.0¢
$60.3K
$65.3K
$62.7K
+$2.3K (+3.9%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 84.7¢40.0K shares
84.7¢→96.3¢
$33.9K
$40.0K
$38.5K
+$4.6K (+13.6%)
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 92¢10.0K shares
92¢→97.7¢
$9.2K
$10.0K
$9.8K
+$565.00 (+6.1%)
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 56.0¢16.0K shares
56.0¢→59.5¢
$8.9K
$16.0K
$9.5K
+$559.32 (+6.2%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→3.0¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$9.3K
+$8.1K (+674.7%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 46¢20.2K shares
46¢→45.5¢
$9.3K
$20.2K
$9.2K
−$100.81 (-1.1%)
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢309.0K shares
0.4¢→2.9¢
$1.3K
$309.0K
$8.8K
+$7.5K (+575.5%)
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢306.0K shares
0.4¢→2.1¢
$1.2K
$306.0K
$6.3K
+$5.1K (+420.7%)
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 56.0¢8.7K shares
56.0¢→59.5¢
$4.9K
$8.7K
$5.2K
+$304.37 (+6.2%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.1K shares
0.4¢→1.4¢
$1.2K
$304.1K
$4.1K
+$2.9K (+242.9%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 16.2¢29.1K shares
16.2¢→11.7¢
$4.7K
$29.1K
$3.4K
−$1.3K (-28.0%)
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→1.1¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$3.2K
+$2.0K (+166.7%)
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢314.0K shares
0.4¢→0.9¢
$1.2K
$314.0K
$3.0K
+$1.7K (+141.3%)
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.1K shares
0.4¢→0.9¢
$1.2K
$304.1K
$2.9K
+$1.7K (+141.3%)
New pandemic in 2026?
No 89¢2.9K shares
89¢→93.5¢
$2.6K
$2.9K
$2.7K
+$130.05 (+5.1%)
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes 45¢5.0K shares
45¢→48.5¢
$2.2K
$5.0K
$2.4K
+$175.00 (+7.8%)
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢319.0K shares
0.4¢→0.8¢
$1.3K
$319.0K
$2.4K
+$1.1K (+90.5%)
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.8¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$2.3K
+$1.1K (+90.5%)
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.8¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$2.3K
+$1.1K (+90.5%)
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.8¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$2.3K
+$1.1K (+90.5%)
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.7¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$2.0K
+$779.15 (+65.1%)
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.7¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$2.0K
+$779.15 (+65.1%)
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢308.1K shares
0.4¢→0.5¢
$1.2K
$308.1K
$1.7K
+$481.50 (+39.7%)
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.5¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$1.7K
+$475.15 (+39.7%)
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢316.1K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$1.2K
$316.1K
$1.4K
+$177.99 (+14.3%)
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.9K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$1.2K
$304.9K
$1.4K
+$171.68 (+14.3%)
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$1.4K
+$171.15 (+14.3%)
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$1.4K
+$171.15 (+14.3%)
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$1.4K
+$171.15 (+14.3%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 27.4¢6.7K shares
27.4¢→18.3¢
$1.8K
$6.7K
$1.2K
−$617.03 (-33.4%)
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢338.3K shares
0.8¢→0.4¢
$2.8K
$338.3K
$1.2K
−$1.6K (-58.2%)
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢319.0K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$1.3K
$319.0K
$1.1K
−$139.40 (-11.1%)
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢319.0K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$1.3K
$319.0K
$1.1K
−$139.40 (-11.1%)
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$1.1K
−$132.85 (-11.1%)
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$1.1K
−$132.85 (-11.1%)
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.4¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$1.1K
−$132.85 (-11.1%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 47.9¢1.8K shares
47.9¢→60.5¢
$839.06
$1.8K
$1.1K
+$219.93 (+26.2%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 3.0¢3.8K shares
3.0¢→26.6¢
$114.91
$3.8K
$1.0K
+$889.49 (+774.0%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes 73¢1.3K shares
73¢→67¢
$938.37
$1.3K
$861.24
−$77.13 (-8.2%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Yes 29.3¢10.0K shares
29.3¢→8.5¢
$2.9K
$10.0K
$850.00
−$2.1K (-70.9%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 5.3¢9.2K shares
5.3¢→9.2¢
$489.66
$9.2K
$845.35
+$355.69 (+72.6%)
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢319.0K shares
0.4¢→0.3¢
$1.3K
$319.0K
$797.50
−$458.40 (-36.5%)
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢319.0K shares
0.4¢→0.3¢
$1.3K
$319.0K
$797.50
−$458.40 (-36.5%)
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.3¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$760.00
−$436.85 (-36.5%)
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.3¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$760.00
−$436.85 (-36.5%)
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.3¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$760.00
−$436.85 (-36.5%)
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.3¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$760.00
−$436.85 (-36.5%)
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.3¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$760.00
−$436.85 (-36.5%)
Trump on $250 bill this year?
No 90¢665.1 shares
90¢→97.3¢
$598.55
$665.06
$646.77
+$48.22 (+8.1%)
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No 87.0¢681.5 shares
87.0¢→94.3¢
$592.94
$681.54
$642.69
+$49.75 (+8.4%)
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Yes 42.7¢707.1 shares
42.7¢→90.2¢
$302.26
$707.07
$637.78
+$335.52 (+111.0%)
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢319.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$1.3K
$319.0K
$478.50
−$777.40 (-61.9%)
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢319.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$1.3K
$319.0K
$478.50
−$777.40 (-61.9%)
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢319.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$1.3K
$319.0K
$478.50
−$777.40 (-61.9%)
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢319.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$1.3K
$319.0K
$478.50
−$777.40 (-61.9%)
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢319.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$1.3K
$319.0K
$478.50
−$777.40 (-61.9%)
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢319.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$1.3K
$319.0K
$478.50
−$777.40 (-61.9%)
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
No 71¢500 shares
71¢→95.5¢
$355.00
$500.00
$477.50
+$122.50 (+34.5%)
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢304.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$1.2K
$304.0K
$456.00
−$740.85 (-61.9%)
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
Yes 77¢325 shares
77¢→74.5¢
$250.25
$325.00
$242.13
−$8.13 (-3.2%)
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 17¢6.0K shares
17¢→3.4¢
$1.0K
$6.0K
$200.31
−$816.18 (-80.3%)
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged in 2026?
Yes 5¢1.6K shares
5¢→6.5¢
$78.35
$1.6K
$101.86
+$23.50 (+30.0%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 4¢5.0K shares
4¢→1.6¢
$200.00
$5.0K
$77.50
−$122.50 (-61.3%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Yes 66¢700 shares
66¢→9.5¢
$462.00
$700.00
$66.50
−$395.50 (-85.6%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Yes 16¢121.8 shares
16¢→30.5¢
$19.49
$121.84
$37.16
+$17.67 (+90.6%)
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
No 30¢73 shares
30¢→50¢
$21.90
$73.01
Won
$36.51
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.4¢20.0K shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$80.00
$20.0K
$30.00
−$50.00 (-62.5%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
No 40¢15 shares
40¢→78.5¢
$6.00
$15.00
$11.77
+$5.77 (+96.2%)
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
No 59.0¢1.7 shares
59.0¢→21.6¢
$1.00
$1.69
$0.37
−$0.63 (-63.5%)
Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Yes 0.8¢782.7 shares
0.8¢→0¢
$6.26
$782.71
Lost
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?
Yes 2.5¢1.1 shares
2.5¢→0¢
$0.03
$1.06
Lost
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?
Yes 2.5¢1.1 shares
2.5¢→0¢
$0.03
$1.06
Lost
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Yes 4.9¢5.0K shares
4.9¢→0¢
$244.80
$5.0K
Lost
Megaquake by August 31?
No 6¢10.0K shares
6¢→0¢
$600.00
$10.0K
Lost
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?
Yes 0.6¢4.0K shares
0.6¢→0¢
$24.00
$4.0K
Lost
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?
Yes 2.5¢1.1 shares
2.5¢→0¢
$0.03
$1.06
Lost
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?
Yes 2.5¢1.1 shares
2.5¢→0¢
$0.03
$1.06
Lost
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Yes 15¢20.0K shares
15¢→0¢
$3.0K
$20.0K
Lost
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
No 13¢7.4K shares
13¢→0¢
$962.80
$7.4K
Lost
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?
Yes 2.5¢1.1 shares
2.5¢→0¢
$0.03
$1.06
Lost
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?
Yes 2.5¢1.1 shares
2.5¢→0¢
$0.03
$1.06
Lost
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?
Yes 27.2¢136.2 shares
27.2¢→0¢
$37.08
$136.15
Lost
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?
Yes 2.5¢1.1 shares
2.5¢→0¢
$0.03
$1.06
Lost
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Yes 68¢5.0K shares
68¢→0¢
$3.4K
$5.0K
Lost
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Yes 6.4¢30.0K shares
6.4¢→0¢
$1.9K
$30.0K
Lost
Bears vs. 49ers
Bears 37¢500 shares
37¢→0¢
$185.00
$500.00
Lost
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Yes 9.9¢5.0K shares
9.9¢→0¢
$495.00
$5.0K
Lost
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Yes 3.7¢5.6K shares
3.7¢→0¢
$207.99
$5.6K
Lost
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
No 26.5¢13.1K shares
26.5¢→0¢
$3.5K
$13.1K
Lost
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Yes 3.2¢5.0K shares
3.2¢→0¢
$160.00
$5.0K
Lost
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Yes 1.9¢5.0K shares
1.9¢→0¢
$95.00
$5.0K
Lost
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Yes 3.5¢186.2 shares
3.5¢→0¢
$6.52
$186.21
Lost
US government shutdown Saturday?
No 12.5¢10.0K shares
12.5¢→0¢
$1.2K
$10.0K
Lost
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?
No 25¢167 shares
25¢→0¢
$41.75
$167.00
Lost
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?
Yes 2.5¢1.1 shares
2.5¢→0¢
$0.03
$1.06
Lost
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Yes 38.5¢4.7K shares
38.5¢→0¢
$1.8K
$4.7K
Lost
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Yes 24¢3.0K shares
24¢→0¢
$720.00
$3.0K
Lost
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Yes 12.4¢1.8K shares
12.4¢→0¢
$224.82
$1.8K
Lost