flawfence

Joined April 2026

Total earnings

$373,181.08

1D

$3.7K

7D

$11.3K

30D

−$231.2K

90D

$372.4K

Total volume

$16.98M

Predictions

407

Positions value

$510.0K

PerformancePerformance over all time

Trade+$347.7K

LP+$3.2K

Maker+$20.9K

Yield+$127.13

Taker+$1.1K

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 50¢320.0K shares

+$95.2K (+59.5%)

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 50¢320.0K shares

−$95.2K (-59.5%)

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Yes 69.2¢37.8K shares

69.2¢→72.8¢

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 88.2¢26.0K shares

88.2¢→89.6¢

+$380.33 (+1.7%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?

No 97.5¢20.4K shares

97.5¢→99.5¢

+$397.32 (+2.0%)

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?

No 93.6¢17.9K shares

93.6¢→98.4¢

+$843.13 (+5.0%)

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Yes 31.8¢40.6K shares

31.8¢→41.5¢

+$3.9K (+30.4%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 23.3¢40.1K shares

23.3¢→23.6¢

+$139.87 (+1.5%)

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

No 68.7¢12.5K shares

68.7¢→65.0¢

−$465.71 (-5.4%)

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Yes 66.5¢11.4K shares

66.5¢→64.5¢

−$226.47 (-3.0%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 62¢8.7K shares

+$392.76 (+7.3%)

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 72.7¢5.9K shares

72.7¢→92.9¢

+$1.2K (+27.7%)

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 4.5¢118.0K shares

−$313.61 (-6.0%)

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

No 51.1¢7.6K shares

51.1¢→57.0¢

+$446.45 (+11.6%)

Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

No 87.1¢3.9K shares

87.1¢→87.1¢

−$1.93 (-0.1%)

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

No 81.7¢4.1K shares

81.7¢→78.5¢

−$128.77 (-3.8%)

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

No 59.8¢5.2K shares

59.8¢→60.5¢

+$38.90 (+1.3%)

Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

Yes 56.9¢5.0K shares

56.9¢→59.5¢

+$128.89 (+4.5%)

Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?

No 56.8¢4.9K shares

56.8¢→60.5¢

+$181.02 (+6.5%)

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

No 40.5¢6.9K shares

40.5¢→41.5¢

+$67.21 (+2.4%)

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 61.2¢5.1K shares

61.2¢→56.5¢

−$241.75 (-7.8%)

Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?

No 79.7¢2.2K shares

79.7¢→98.9¢

+$418.63 (+24.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Yes 39.9¢4.3K shares

39.9¢→41.5¢

+$71.05 (+4.1%)

Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

No 78.8¢2.0K shares

+$45.24 (+2.9%)

Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

No 82.5¢1.5K shares

82.5¢→88.2¢

+$84.64 (+6.9%)

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 31.8¢3.5K shares

31.8¢→36.4¢

+$163.08 (+14.7%)

Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

No 77.2¢1.1K shares

77.2¢→89.6¢

+$137.46 (+16.1%)

Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

No 55.2¢1.7K shares

55.2¢→57.5¢

+$38.47 (+4.1%)

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?

Yes 36.2¢12.2K shares

−$3.5K (-79.3%)

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

+$383.17 (+82.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Yes 54.9¢1.1K shares

54.9¢→57.0¢

+$21.94 (+3.7%)

Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?

Yes 28.0¢1.2K shares

28.0¢→47.5¢

+$239.90 (+69.6%)

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Yes 82¢675.3 shares

+$23.63 (+4.3%)

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$4.11 (-0.9%)

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

No 82¢517.9 shares

+$18.13 (+4.3%)

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Yes 23.1¢1.6K shares

23.1¢→26.5¢

+$53.45 (+14.7%)

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Yes 70¢395 shares

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in July 2026?

Yes 8.7¢2.0K shares

+$86.24 (+48.9%)

Will Larry Rhoden win the South Dakota Governor primary runoff by more than 20%?

Yes 33.9¢309.2 shares

33.9¢→80.5¢

+$144.12 (+137.3%)

Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?

No 19.7¢3.8K shares

−$518.99 (-69.5%)

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

No 50¢359 shares

Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 13¢926.1 shares

+$50.94 (+42.3%)

Will July 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?

Yes 17.4¢2.4K shares

−$274.19 (-65.8%)

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

No 37¢293 shares

+$24.91 (+23.0%)

Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Yes 36¢1.5K shares

−$442.50 (-81.9%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

No 77¢104 shares

−$1.04 (-1.3%)

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$408.39 (-87.4%)

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Yes 16.7¢2.8K shares

−$403.77 (-87.7%)

Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$421.48 (-90.2%)

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 32¢115.7 shares

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 16.8¢76.7K shares

−$12.8K (-99.7%)

Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$434.56 (-93.0%)

Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$434.56 (-93.0%)

Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$434.56 (-93.0%)

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$434.56 (-93.0%)

Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Yes 42¢55.4 shares

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$447.64 (-95.8%)

Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$447.64 (-95.8%)

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$447.64 (-95.8%)

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$447.64 (-95.8%)

Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$447.64 (-95.8%)

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$447.64 (-95.8%)

Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$447.64 (-95.8%)

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 3.6¢13.1K shares

−$447.64 (-95.8%)

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

Yes 50¢21.1 shares

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 1.8¢257.7 shares

+$3.09 (+64.7%)

Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

No 11¢1.9K shares

−$202.87 (-97.3%)

Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.2¢634.1 shares

+$3.49 (+275.0%)

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

No 69.0¢3.8 shares

69.0¢→74.5¢

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 2.2¢2.9K shares

−$62.74 (-97.8%)

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 2.2¢2.9K shares

−$62.74 (-97.8%)

Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 81¢633.3 shares

Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 2.0¢11.0K shares

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

Argentina 19¢33.0K shares

Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5

Under 34¢62.9K shares

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

No 33¢30.0K shares

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

No 30¢40.0K shares

Will Greg Stanton be the AZ-04 Democratic nominee?

No 6.7¢7.1K shares

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5

Under 31¢75.0K shares

Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 1.5¢57.6K shares

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?

No 69.0¢100.0K shares

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

No 41¢80.0K shares

Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 2.0¢11.0K shares

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Over 49¢56.0K shares

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5

Under 44.8¢100.0K shares

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

No 8.6¢12.0K shares

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Yes 5¢3.0K shares

Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 91.6¢8.0K shares

Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik

Alexander Bublik 33¢50.0K shares

Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Yes 60¢1.9K shares

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?

No 40¢100.0K shares

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

France 58.8¢402.5K shares

Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Yes 27.5¢16.4K shares

Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 1.5¢57.6K shares

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?

Yes 8.7¢1.7K shares

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Under 47¢15.0K shares

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22.1¢50.0K shares

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival

MOUZ 26¢20.0K shares

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 25% and 30%?

No 92.6¢704.6 shares

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 35¢53.0K shares