Total earnings
$2,238,435.09
1D
−$34.7K
7D
−$109.2K
30D
−$270.3K
90D
$252.5K
Total volume
$249.70M
Predictions
3,083
Positions value
$115.3K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$2.20M
LP+$45.2K
Maker+$3.7K
Yield+$58.65
Taker+$660.02
Fees−$16.1K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes 22.2¢85.3K shares
22.2¢→24.5¢
$18.9K
$85.3K
$20.9K
+$2.0K (+10.4%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 58.9¢24.5K shares
58.9¢→69.5¢
$14.4K
$24.5K
$17.0K
+$2.6K (+18.0%)
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
No 91¢6.7K shares
91¢→98.5¢
$6.1K
$6.7K
$6.6K
+$498.13 (+8.2%)
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Yes 81.8¢8.0K shares
81.8¢→73.5¢
$6.5K
$8.0K
$5.9K
−$659.47 (-10.1%)
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 94.6¢5.1K shares
94.6¢→96.6¢
$4.8K
$5.1K
$4.9K
+$103.90 (+2.2%)
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes 78.8¢5.5K shares
78.8¢→59.1¢
$4.3K
$5.5K
$3.2K
−$1.1K (-25.0%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Yes 40.4¢12.4K shares
40.4¢→24.5¢
$5.0K
$12.4K
$3.0K
−$2.0K (-39.4%)
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 86.1¢3.9K shares
86.1¢→71.6¢
$3.3K
$3.9K
$2.8K
−$564.16 (-16.9%)
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Yes 91.0¢2.5K shares
91.0¢→98.6¢
$2.3K
$2.5K
$2.5K
+$190.52 (+8.3%)
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes 23.7¢28.9K shares
23.7¢→8.5¢
$6.9K
$28.9K
$2.5K
−$4.4K (-64.1%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Yes 20.7¢30.1K shares
20.7¢→8¢
$6.2K
$30.1K
$2.4K
−$3.8K (-61.4%)
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Yes 94.7¢2.4K shares
94.7¢→96.9¢
$2.3K
$2.4K
$2.3K
+$53.72 (+2.4%)
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Yes 14.2¢12.1K shares
14.2¢→13¢
$1.7K
$12.1K
$1.6K
−$150.00 (-8.7%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 37.7¢4.5K shares
37.7¢→34.5¢
$1.7K
$4.5K
$1.5K
−$141.64 (-8.4%)
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
No 93.2¢1.5K shares
93.2¢→91.8¢
$1.4K
$1.5K
$1.4K
−$20.50 (-1.4%)
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Yes 32.4¢2.0K shares
32.4¢→64.0¢
$662.81
$2.0K
$1.3K
+$646.10 (+97.5%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Yes 39.2¢6.4K shares
39.2¢→18.5¢
$2.5K
$6.4K
$1.2K
−$1.3K (-52.9%)
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
No 94.9¢1.0K shares
94.9¢→99.8¢
$989.63
$1.0K
$1.0K
+$50.66 (+5.1%)
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes 20¢1.2K shares
20¢→83.5¢
$248.55
$1.2K
$1.0K
+$789.15 (+317.5%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Yes 26¢26.9K shares
26¢→3.7¢
$7.0K
$26.9K
$996.91
−$6.0K (-85.8%)
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Yes 56.8¢4.4K shares
56.8¢→21¢
$2.5K
$4.4K
$913.76
−$1.6K (-63.0%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Yes 40.7¢4.4K shares
40.7¢→20.5¢
$1.8K
$4.4K
$892.40
−$881.00 (-49.7%)
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 33.8¢4.2K shares
33.8¢→18¢
$1.4K
$4.2K
$759.85
−$665.00 (-46.7%)
Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes 65¢1.1K shares
65¢→66¢
$713.26
$1.1K
$724.19
+$10.93 (+1.5%)
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes 79.9¢782.4 shares
79.9¢→90.5¢
$625.10
$782.35
$708.03
+$82.92 (+13.3%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes 67.2¢2.9K shares
67.2¢→24¢
$2.0K
$2.9K
$706.42
−$1.3K (-64.3%)
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by October 31?
Yes 57.0¢692.4 shares
57.0¢→93.5¢
$394.74
$692.37
$647.37
+$252.63 (+64.0%)
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes 22.3¢6.0K shares
22.3¢→10.5¢
$1.3K
$6.0K
$626.11
−$704.75 (-53.0%)
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Yes 19.9¢2.5K shares
19.9¢→21¢
$489.99
$2.5K
$515.87
+$25.88 (+5.3%)
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes 34.4¢805.7 shares
34.4¢→50.5¢
$276.86
$805.67
$406.86
+$130.00 (+47.0%)
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Yes 8.2¢12.2K shares
8.2¢→3¢
$998.80
$12.2K
$366.23
−$632.57 (-63.3%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes 27¢1.0K shares
27¢→31.5¢
$278.72
$1.0K
$325.17
+$46.45 (+16.7%)
Will Todd Blanche be the next Attorney General?
Yes 86.3¢339 shares
86.3¢→95.8¢
$292.63
$339.00
$324.76
+$32.13 (+11.0%)
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Yes 30.8¢1.9K shares
30.8¢→17¢
$571.07
$1.9K
$315.48
−$255.58 (-44.8%)
Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by December 31?
Yes 67.8¢325 shares
67.8¢→96.1¢
$220.30
$325.00
$312.33
+$92.03 (+41.8%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?
No 75.8¢289 shares
75.8¢→100.0¢
$219.15
$289.00
$288.86
+$69.71 (+31.8%)
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Yes 13.1¢3.0K shares
13.1¢→9.5¢
$393.89
$3.0K
$285.26
−$108.63 (-27.6%)
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes 8.4¢3.3K shares
8.4¢→8.5¢
$279.30
$3.3K
$283.39
+$4.10 (+1.5%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?
No 92.0¢249.9 shares
92.0¢→100.0¢
$230.00
$249.85
$249.73
+$19.73 (+8.6%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Yes 18.4¢3.7K shares
18.4¢→5.5¢
$688.57
$3.7K
$206.08
−$482.49 (-70.1%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Yes 12.7¢4.4K shares
12.7¢→4.3¢
$565.93
$4.4K
$188.88
−$377.05 (-66.6%)
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes 12.5¢2.7K shares
12.5¢→6.9¢
$333.84
$2.7K
$184.45
−$149.40 (-44.8%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?
Yes 14.9¢16.5K shares
14.9¢→1.1¢
$2.5K
$16.5K
$181.77
−$2.3K (-92.6%)
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes 6¢973.6 shares
6¢→16.5¢
$58.42
$973.63
$160.65
+$102.23 (+175.0%)
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Yes 28.6¢815.5 shares
28.6¢→19¢
$233.70
$815.51
$154.95
−$78.75 (-33.7%)
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
No 87.8¢207 shares
87.8¢→73¢
$181.80
$206.98
$151.10
−$30.71 (-16.9%)
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Yes 20.4¢866 shares
20.4¢→17¢
$176.38
$866.00
$147.22
−$29.16 (-16.5%)
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
Yes 26¢665.7 shares
26¢→21.5¢
$173.07
$665.66
$143.12
−$29.95 (-17.3%)
Will Trump say "Tehran" in August?
Yes 84¢184.9 shares
84¢→70.5¢
$155.31
$184.89
$130.35
−$24.96 (-16.1%)
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Yes 29.6¢773.5 shares
29.6¢→16¢
$229.12
$773.54
$123.77
−$105.35 (-46.0%)
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?
Yes 98.2¢120 shares
98.2¢→98.8¢
$117.84
$120.00
$118.56
+$0.72 (+0.6%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 28.7¢639.2 shares
28.7¢→17.5¢
$183.47
$639.22
$111.86
−$71.60 (-39.0%)
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
Yes 44.4¢364.6 shares
44.4¢→29.5¢
$161.97
$364.64
$107.57
−$54.40 (-33.6%)
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
Yes 90¢102 shares
90¢→98.5¢
$91.84
$102.04
$100.51
+$8.67 (+9.4%)
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
Yes 6.7¢2.7K shares
6.7¢→3.5¢
$178.10
$2.7K
$92.97
−$85.13 (-47.8%)
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
No 95.9¢124.8 shares
95.9¢→61.7¢
$119.62
$124.75
$76.91
−$42.71 (-35.7%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Yes 69.5¢252.5 shares
69.5¢→28.5¢
$175.61
$252.49
$71.93
−$103.68 (-59.0%)
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Yes 43.1¢264.4 shares
43.1¢→25.5¢
$114.05
$264.41
$67.42
−$46.63 (-40.9%)
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 61.2¢272.6 shares
61.2¢→24.5¢
$166.74
$272.58
$66.78
−$99.96 (-59.9%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes 35¢231.1 shares
35¢→26.6¢
$80.88
$231.08
$61.35
−$19.53 (-24.1%)
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?
Yes 91¢75 shares
91¢→64¢
$68.25
$75.00
$48.00
−$20.25 (-29.7%)
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Yes 2¢588.8 shares
2¢→8.2¢
$11.78
$588.78
$47.99
+$36.21 (+307.5%)
Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?
Yes 83.3¢53.1 shares
83.3¢→83¢
$44.24
$53.10
$44.07
−$0.16 (-0.4%)
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
Yes 94¢43.8 shares
94¢→92.0¢
$41.19
$43.82
$40.29
−$0.90 (-2.2%)
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Yes 21.4¢500 shares
21.4¢→7.7¢
$107.17
$500.00
$38.50
−$68.67 (-64.1%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?
Yes 99¢35 shares
99¢→99.6¢
$34.65
$35.00
$34.86
+$0.21 (+0.6%)
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
Yes 70¢59.3 shares
70¢→54.5¢
$41.49
$59.27
$32.30
−$9.19 (-22.1%)
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
Yes 76¢30 shares
76¢→86.5¢
$22.80
$30.00
$25.95
+$3.15 (+13.8%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?
No 98.6¢20.2 shares
98.6¢→99.8¢
$19.88
$20.17
$20.13
+$0.25 (+1.3%)
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
No 71¢21.9 shares
71¢→90.5¢
$15.55
$21.90
$19.82
+$4.27 (+27.5%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
Yes 15.2¢160 shares
15.2¢→9.2¢
$24.27
$160.00
$14.72
−$9.55 (-39.4%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Yes 15¢100.3 shares
15¢→12.5¢
$15.04
$100.30
$12.54
−$2.51 (-16.7%)
Will 50 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
No 85.5¢15 shares
85.5¢→76.8¢
$12.82
$15.00
$11.52
−$1.30 (-10.1%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Yes 14.3¢42 shares
14.3¢→13.8¢
$6.01
$42.00
$5.78
−$0.23 (-3.8%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
Yes 17¢23.8 shares
17¢→18.5¢
$4.04
$23.78
$4.40
+$0.36 (+8.8%)
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Yes 6¢256.7 shares
6¢→1.6¢
$15.40
$256.73
$3.98
−$11.42 (-74.2%)
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Yes 19¢20 shares
19¢→19¢
$3.80
$20.00
$3.80
+$0.00 (+0.0%)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Yes 31.6¢19.8 shares
31.6¢→17.5¢
$6.26
$19.77
$3.46
−$2.80 (-44.7%)
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Yes 18¢12 shares
18¢→26¢
$2.16
$12.00
$3.12
+$0.96 (+44.4%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Yes 15¢8 shares
15¢→32.5¢
$1.20
$8.00
$2.60
+$1.40 (+116.7%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?
Yes 52.4¢942.7 shares
52.4¢→0.2¢
$494.09
$942.74
$1.89
−$492.21 (-99.6%)
Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
No 59¢25.9 shares
59¢→4.3¢
$15.29
$25.92
$1.12
−$14.17 (-92.6%)
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Yes 36¢5 shares
36¢→13¢
$1.80
$5.00
$0.65
−$1.15 (-63.9%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?
Yes 12.0¢905.9 shares
12.0¢→0.1¢
$109.03
$905.90
$0.45
−$108.58 (-99.6%)
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by August 6?
Yes 11¢35.3 shares
11¢→1.1¢
$3.88
$35.30
$0.37
−$3.51 (-90.5%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?
Yes 14.6¢692.2 shares
14.6¢→0.1¢
$101.39
$692.15
$0.35
−$101.04 (-99.7%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 49.9¢1.8 shares
49.9¢→15.4¢
$0.88
$1.76
$0.27
−$0.61 (-69.1%)
Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
No 57.0¢5 shares
57.0¢→1.5¢
$2.85
$5.00
$0.08
−$2.77 (-97.4%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?
No 7.3¢271.7 shares
7.3¢→0¢
$19.76
$271.65
Lost
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?
Yes 16.7¢67.9K shares
16.7¢→0¢
$11.3K
$67.9K
Lost
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
No 30.8¢5.5K shares
30.8¢→0¢
$1.7K
$5.5K
Lost
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?
Yes 16.7¢30.3K shares
16.7¢→0¢
$5.1K
$30.3K
Lost
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
No 31.4¢46.6K shares
31.4¢→0¢
$14.6K
$46.6K
Lost
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
Yes 19.6¢6.5 shares
19.6¢→0¢
$1.27
$6.49
Lost
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 10¢7.5K shares
10¢→0¢
$745.80
$7.5K
Lost
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Yes 37.1¢2.7K shares
37.1¢→0¢
$984.84
$2.7K
Lost
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 19.8¢35.0K shares
19.8¢→0¢
$6.9K
$35.0K
Lost
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?
Yes 47.5¢20 shares
47.5¢→0¢
$9.50
$20.00
Lost
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Yes 46¢114.5 shares
46¢→0¢
$52.67
$114.50
Lost
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Yes 11.8¢8.1K shares
11.8¢→0¢
$958.34
$8.1K
Lost