Total earnings
$522,468.75
1D
$1.0K
7D
$635.36
30D
$35.7K
90D
−$110.2K
Total volume
$43.29M
Predictions
2,845
Positions value
$417.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade+$507.7K
LP+$11.6K
Maker+$636.87
Yield+$4.9K
Taker+$88.85
Fees−$2.5K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 50¢250.0K shares
50¢→72.3¢
$125.0K
$250.0K
$180.6K
+$55.6K (+44.5%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 50¢250.0K shares
50¢→27.8¢
$125.0K
$250.0K
$69.4K
−$55.6K (-44.5%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 82.0¢55.0K shares
82.0¢→96.3¢
$45.1K
$55.0K
$52.9K
+$7.8K (+17.4%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 3.9¢294.4K shares
3.9¢→5.3¢
$11.4K
$294.4K
$15.5K
+$4.1K (+35.6%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 69.1¢7.6K shares
69.1¢→84.5¢
$5.3K
$7.6K
$6.4K
+$1.2K (+22.3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 59¢10.0K shares
59¢→61.5¢
$5.9K
$10.0K
$6.2K
+$250.00 (+4.2%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 44.7¢4.4K shares
44.7¢→83.5¢
$2.0K
$4.4K
$3.7K
+$1.7K (+86.7%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 15.4¢27.0K shares
15.4¢→11.7¢
$4.2K
$27.0K
$3.1K
−$1.0K (-24.2%)
Will Nico Schlotterbeck join Manchester City?
No 56.3¢3.1K shares
56.3¢→99.4¢
$1.7K
$3.1K
$3.0K
+$1.3K (+76.6%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
No 31.2¢4.0K shares
31.2¢→74.5¢
$1.2K
$4.0K
$2.9K
+$1.7K (+138.8%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢114.7K shares
2.1¢→2.5¢
$2.4K
$114.7K
$2.9K
+$544.77 (+23.0%)
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Yes 46.2¢3.7K shares
46.2¢→74.5¢
$1.7K
$3.7K
$2.8K
+$1.1K (+61.1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Yes 27.2¢9.2K shares
27.2¢→29.5¢
$2.5K
$9.2K
$2.7K
+$207.42 (+8.3%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 5.2¢2.8K shares
5.2¢→94.7¢
$146.06
$2.8K
$2.6K
+$2.5K (+1713.7%)
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 92.4¢2.3K shares
92.4¢→98.8¢
$2.1K
$2.3K
$2.3K
+$147.71 (+6.9%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 6.3¢13.9K shares
6.3¢→16.1¢
$868.83
$13.9K
$2.2K
+$1.4K (+156.8%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 8.1¢14.0K shares
8.1¢→14.8¢
$1.1K
$14.0K
$2.1K
+$932.28 (+82.3%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.3¢150.0K shares
1.3¢→1.3¢
$2.0K
$150.0K
$1.9K
−$104.85 (-5.3%)
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
No 91.4¢2.0K shares
91.4¢→95.4¢
$1.8K
$2.0K
$1.9K
+$79.04 (+4.4%)
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 94.7¢1.9K shares
94.7¢→98.3¢
$1.8K
$1.9K
$1.8K
+$67.80 (+3.8%)
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 92.2¢1.8K shares
92.2¢→97.1¢
$1.6K
$1.8K
$1.7K
+$87.33 (+5.3%)
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 47¢4.5K shares
47¢→37.5¢
$2.1K
$4.5K
$1.7K
−$426.07 (-20.2%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 9¢5.6K shares
9¢→29.8¢
$504.27
$5.6K
$1.7K
+$1.2K (+231.7%)
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 91.7¢1.7K shares
91.7¢→98.8¢
$1.5K
$1.7K
$1.7K
+$118.40 (+7.7%)
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 90.8¢1.7K shares
90.8¢→96.4¢
$1.5K
$1.7K
$1.6K
+$92.44 (+6.1%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 23.6¢10.0K shares
23.6¢→15.5¢
$2.4K
$10.0K
$1.6K
−$808.91 (-34.3%)
Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 93.7¢1.6K shares
93.7¢→98.9¢
$1.5K
$1.6K
$1.5K
+$81.45 (+5.6%)
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 1¢11.2K shares
1¢→13.5¢
$112.06
$11.2K
$1.5K
+$1.4K (+1250.0%)
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 93¢1.4K shares
93¢→98.7¢
$1.3K
$1.4K
$1.4K
+$79.38 (+6.1%)
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 1¢10.2K shares
1¢→12.5¢
$101.58
$10.2K
$1.3K
+$1.2K (+1150.0%)
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 66.1¢1.4K shares
66.1¢→89.5¢
$916.60
$1.4K
$1.2K
+$323.66 (+35.3%)
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 93.3¢1.2K shares
93.3¢→98.2¢
$1.1K
$1.2K
$1.2K
+$59.50 (+5.2%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.0¢46.2K shares
2.0¢→2.5¢
$944.40
$46.2K
$1.1K
+$188.20 (+19.9%)
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 96.0¢1.1K shares
96.0¢→97.4¢
$1.1K
$1.1K
$1.1K
+$14.75 (+1.4%)
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
No 94.2¢1.0K shares
94.2¢→95.3¢
$976.84
$1.0K
$987.66
+$10.82 (+1.1%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 81¢1.0K shares
81¢→95.6¢
$829.63
$1.0K
$979.17
+$149.54 (+18.0%)
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 57.1¢1.4K shares
57.1¢→68.5¢
$813.45
$1.4K
$976.27
+$162.82 (+20.0%)
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
Yes 74.1¢1.3K shares
74.1¢→71.6¢
$998.86
$1.3K
$965.12
−$33.74 (-3.4%)
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
No 94¢979.9 shares
94¢→96.9¢
$921.13
$979.92
$949.06
+$27.93 (+3.0%)
Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 92.4¢937.3 shares
92.4¢→97.5¢
$866.49
$937.30
$913.40
+$46.91 (+5.4%)
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 93.5¢954.5 shares
93.5¢→94.5¢
$892.18
$954.47
$901.97
+$9.79 (+1.1%)
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 88.5¢917.3 shares
88.5¢→96.2¢
$811.77
$917.32
$882.46
+$70.69 (+8.7%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Yes 31¢3.2K shares
31¢→24.5¢
$1.0K
$3.2K
$791.60
−$210.02 (-21.0%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Yes 15.6¢9.4K shares
15.6¢→8¢
$1.5K
$9.4K
$749.75
−$707.61 (-48.6%)
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 90¢770.8 shares
90¢→92.3¢
$693.70
$770.78
$711.43
+$17.73 (+2.6%)
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢200.0K shares
0.3¢→0.4¢
$699.80
$200.0K
$700.00
+$0.20 (+0.0%)
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes 73.5¢821.4 shares
73.5¢→84.7¢
$603.61
$821.44
$695.76
+$92.15 (+15.3%)
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 94.5¢721.2 shares
94.5¢→95.2¢
$681.62
$721.19
$686.21
+$4.60 (+0.7%)
Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 94.0¢688.3 shares
94.0¢→95.4¢
$646.76
$688.26
$656.60
+$9.84 (+1.5%)
Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
Yes 82.1¢665.4 shares
82.1¢→98.5¢
$546.42
$665.40
$655.09
+$108.66 (+19.9%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
Yes 27.7¢5.0K shares
27.7¢→13¢
$1.4K
$5.0K
$650.00
−$736.76 (-53.1%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Yes 50.3¢1.3K shares
50.3¢→48.5¢
$641.75
$1.3K
$619.07
−$22.68 (-3.5%)
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 93¢616.2 shares
93¢→98.4¢
$573.02
$616.15
$606.29
+$33.27 (+5.8%)
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
No 84.2¢668.7 shares
84.2¢→88.5¢
$563.15
$668.74
$591.83
+$28.69 (+5.1%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 10.2¢3.3K shares
10.2¢→17.5¢
$341.43
$3.3K
$585.44
+$244.01 (+71.5%)
Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 89.4¢597.3 shares
89.4¢→97.1¢
$534.01
$597.25
$579.93
+$45.92 (+8.6%)
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Yes 19.9¢6.1K shares
19.9¢→9.5¢
$1.2K
$6.1K
$574.85
−$627.40 (-52.2%)
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Yes 18.3¢5.4K shares
18.3¢→10¢
$995.88
$5.4K
$543.56
−$452.32 (-45.4%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes 58.3¢2.2K shares
58.3¢→24¢
$1.3K
$2.2K
$533.13
−$761.85 (-58.8%)
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Yes 30¢3.8K shares
30¢→13.5¢
$1.1K
$3.8K
$516.67
−$631.48 (-55.0%)
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Yes 5.7¢5.6K shares
5.7¢→8.8¢
$321.08
$5.6K
$494.36
+$173.28 (+54.0%)
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 87.6¢521.7 shares
87.6¢→93¢
$457.05
$521.74
$485.22
+$28.17 (+6.2%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.2¢33.3K shares
1.2¢→1.5¢
$400.00
$33.3K
$483.33
+$83.33 (+20.8%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 17.9¢2.3K shares
17.9¢→20.9¢
$412.32
$2.3K
$482.10
+$69.78 (+16.9%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 20.7¢2.6K shares
20.7¢→18.3¢
$546.48
$2.6K
$480.80
−$65.69 (-12.0%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 91.2¢528.1 shares
91.2¢→90.6¢
$481.82
$528.07
$478.43
−$3.38 (-0.7%)
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Yes 5.1¢5.5K shares
5.1¢→8.6¢
$282.73
$5.5K
$469.86
+$187.13 (+66.2%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.3¢9.6K shares
4.3¢→4.9¢
$412.40
$9.6K
$464.38
+$51.98 (+12.6%)
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 18.2¢18.3K shares
18.2¢→2.5¢
$3.3K
$18.3K
$464.35
−$2.9K (-86.0%)
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Yes 81.7¢573.6 shares
81.7¢→73.5¢
$468.68
$573.58
$421.58
−$47.10 (-10.1%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 25¢510.7 shares
25¢→82.5¢
$127.67
$510.67
$421.30
+$293.64 (+230.0%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
No 69.0¢555 shares
69.0¢→63.5¢
$382.95
$555.00
$352.43
−$30.52 (-8.0%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?
No 88.7¢350.7 shares
88.7¢→95.5¢
$311.15
$350.69
$334.91
+$23.76 (+7.6%)
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
Yes 76.8¢421.3 shares
76.8¢→78.5¢
$323.64
$421.27
$330.69
+$7.05 (+2.2%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 2.2¢9.3K shares
2.2¢→3.0¢
$203.77
$9.3K
$282.50
+$78.73 (+38.6%)
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.6¢62.1K shares
0.6¢→0.4¢
$398.11
$62.1K
$279.40
−$118.71 (-29.8%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Yes 27.7¢2.8K shares
27.7¢→9.5¢
$763.20
$2.8K
$261.76
−$501.44 (-65.7%)
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
No 47.1¢256.9 shares
47.1¢→88.2¢
$121.00
$256.90
$226.59
+$105.59 (+87.3%)
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.9¢7.4K shares
1.9¢→2.9¢
$142.07
$7.4K
$219.08
+$77.01 (+54.2%)
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Yes 64.9¢220.7 shares
64.9¢→93.5¢
$143.28
$220.74
$206.39
+$63.11 (+44.0%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes 31.0¢3.0K shares
31.0¢→6.5¢
$930.00
$3.0K
$195.00
−$735.00 (-79.0%)
Will Anthony DiLorenzo be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?
Yes 73.8¢195.8 shares
73.8¢→86.5¢
$144.49
$195.83
$169.39
+$24.90 (+17.2%)
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes 65.9¢278.1 shares
65.9¢→59.1¢
$183.37
$278.05
$164.19
−$19.18 (-10.5%)
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 81.7¢196.5 shares
81.7¢→83.5¢
$160.54
$196.46
$164.04
+$3.51 (+2.2%)
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
No 80.0¢144.3 shares
80.0¢→97.5¢
$115.44
$144.30
$140.62
+$25.18 (+21.8%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Yes 54.3¢1.5K shares
54.3¢→9.5¢
$797.27
$1.5K
$139.55
−$657.72 (-82.5%)
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Yes 29.8¢1.0K shares
29.8¢→13¢
$310.73
$1.0K
$135.71
−$175.02 (-56.3%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
No 39¢817.9 shares
39¢→16.5¢
$318.97
$817.86
$134.95
−$184.02 (-57.7%)
ECB rate cut in 2026?
No 59.3¢146.2 shares
59.3¢→91¢
$86.77
$146.22
$133.06
+$46.29 (+53.3%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Yes 14.0¢947.6 shares
14.0¢→13.5¢
$132.66
$947.55
$127.92
−$4.74 (-3.6%)
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢50.0K shares
0.7¢→0.3¢
$350.00
$50.0K
$125.00
−$225.00 (-64.3%)
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
OpenAI 34.6¢1.2K shares
34.6¢→10.5¢
$405.10
$1.2K
$122.95
−$282.15 (-69.7%)
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?
Yes 17.9¢1.5K shares
17.9¢→8¢
$265.28
$1.5K
$118.75
−$146.52 (-55.2%)
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Yes 4.0¢1.6K shares
4.0¢→7.3¢
$62.21
$1.6K
$114.51
+$52.29 (+84.1%)
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Yes 3.8¢1.6K shares
3.8¢→6.9¢
$61.91
$1.6K
$111.31
+$49.40 (+79.8%)
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
Yes 30.9¢479.2 shares
30.9¢→22¢
$148.07
$479.19
$105.42
−$42.65 (-28.8%)
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1¢30.0K shares
1¢→0.4¢
$300.00
$30.0K
$105.00
−$195.00 (-65.0%)
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?
Yes 4.8¢1.6K shares
4.8¢→6.7¢
$76.02
$1.6K
$104.41
+$28.39 (+37.3%)
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢40.9K shares
0.8¢→0.3¢
$326.93
$40.9K
$102.17
−$224.76 (-68.8%)
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
Yes 18.1¢1.6K shares
18.1¢→6.3¢
$294.12
$1.6K
$101.41
−$192.70 (-65.5%)