Joined August 2023
Total earnings
−$165,093.21
1D
$5.3K
7D
$7.2K
30D
$31.4K
90D
−$309.4K
Total volume
$52.39M
Predictions
1,772
Positions value
$592.4K
PerformancePerformance over all time
Trade−$172.3K
LP+$5.2K
Maker+$2.6K
Yield+$367.63
Taker+$50.88
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 98¢205.2K shares
98¢→99.3¢
$201.1K
$205.2K
$203.7K
+$2.5K (+1.3%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 20¢200.0K shares
20¢→78.5¢
$40.0K
$200.0K
$157.1K
+$117.1K (+292.8%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
No 98.2¢100.0K shares
98.2¢→99.5¢
$98.2K
$100.0K
$99.5K
+$1.3K (+1.3%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 20¢200.0K shares
20¢→19.9¢
$40.0K
$200.0K
$39.7K
−$300.00 (-0.8%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 74.6¢50.0K shares
74.6¢→76.5¢
$37.3K
$50.0K
$38.2K
+$950.85 (+2.5%)
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
Yes 92.8¢28.8K shares
92.8¢→95.8¢
$26.7K
$28.8K
$27.6K
+$862.31 (+3.2%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
No 91¢23.7K shares
91¢→95.3¢
$21.6K
$23.7K
$22.6K
+$1.0K (+4.7%)
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
No 84.5¢2.2K shares
84.5¢→99.7¢
$1.9K
$2.2K
$2.2K
+$340.06 (+17.9%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 20¢200.0K shares
20¢→0.4¢
$40.0K
$200.0K
$900.00
−$39.1K (-97.8%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
No 87¢362.9 shares
87¢→93.5¢
$315.75
$362.93
$339.34
+$23.59 (+7.5%)
French election called by July 31, 2026?
No 99¢333.9 shares
99¢→99.4¢
$330.51
$333.85
$331.85
+$1.34 (+0.4%)
Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
No 91.1¢192 shares
91.1¢→95.2¢
$174.89
$192.03
$182.81
+$7.92 (+4.5%)
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 12.7¢10 shares
12.7¢→25.5¢
$1.27
$10.00
$2.55
+$1.28 (+101.1%)
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Yes 44.2¢3.7K shares
44.2¢→0.1¢
$1.6K
$3.7K
$1.86
−$1.6K (-99.9%)
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 5.2¢10 shares
5.2¢→12.5¢
$0.52
$10.00
$1.25
+$0.73 (+140.9%)
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 13.2¢10 shares
13.2¢→3.0¢
$1.32
$10.00
$0.31
−$1.02 (-76.9%)
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 1.6¢10 shares
1.6¢→2.9¢
$0.16
$10.00
$0.30
+$0.14 (+89.5%)
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 2.0¢10 shares
2.0¢→2.8¢
$0.20
$10.00
$0.28
+$0.07 (+36.3%)
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 2.1¢10 shares
2.1¢→2.7¢
$0.21
$10.00
$0.27
+$0.06 (+26.6%)
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 2.1¢10 shares
2.1¢→2.1¢
$0.21
$10.00
$0.21
−$0.01 (-3.8%)
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 3.2¢10 shares
3.2¢→1.8¢
$0.32
$10.00
$0.18
−$0.15 (-45.8%)
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 1.1¢10 shares
1.1¢→1.8¢
$0.12
$10.00
$0.18
+$0.06 (+51.8%)
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢10 shares
0.6¢→1.5¢
$0.06
$10.00
$0.15
+$0.09 (+136.4%)
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 1.1¢10 shares
1.1¢→0.9¢
$0.11
$10.00
$0.10
−$0.01 (-13.2%)
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢10 shares
0.5¢→0.8¢
$0.05
$10.00
$0.08
+$0.03 (+62.5%)
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.5¢10 shares
0.5¢→0.4¢
$0.05
$10.00
$0.05
−$0.00 (-2.4%)
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.6¢10 shares
0.6¢→0.4¢
$0.06
$10.00
$0.04
−$0.03 (-44.8%)
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.8¢10 shares
0.8¢→0.4¢
$0.08
$10.00
$0.04
−$0.05 (-56.6%)
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.03
−$0.01 (-27.5%)
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.03
−$0.01 (-27.5%)
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.03
−$0.00 (-13.2%)
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.2¢10 shares
0.2¢→0.3¢
$0.02
$10.00
$0.03
+$0.00 (+8.3%)
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.03
−$0.01 (-27.5%)
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.03
−$0.00 (-13.2%)
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.03
−$0.01 (-27.5%)
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.03
−$0.00 (-13.2%)
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.4¢10 shares
0.4¢→0.3¢
$0.05
$10.00
$0.03
−$0.02 (-44.4%)
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.3¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.03
−$0.00 (-13.2%)
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.02 (-56.5%)
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.01 (-47.9%)
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.4¢10 shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$0.05
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.03 (-66.7%)
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.02 (-56.5%)
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.02 (-56.5%)
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.2¢10 shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$0.02
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.01 (-34.8%)
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.2¢10 shares
0.2¢→0.1¢
$0.02
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.01 (-34.8%)
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.4¢10 shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$0.05
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.03 (-66.7%)
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.4¢10 shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$0.05
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.03 (-66.7%)
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.02 (-56.5%)
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.02 (-56.5%)
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.4¢10 shares
0.4¢→0.1¢
$0.05
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.03 (-66.7%)
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.01 (-47.9%)
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 0.3¢10 shares
0.3¢→0.1¢
$0.03
$10.00
$0.02
−$0.01 (-47.9%)